On 06 Sep 2017, at 18:38, John Clark wrote:



On Wed, Sep 6, 2017 at 4:21 AM, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:

​It contradicts nothing. We're not talking about the H-person, you're complaining that neither the Moscow Man nor the Washington Man could​ ​have made a prediction, and they couldn't because they didn't exist before the duplication.​

​> ​That contradicts your statement that the H-episode belongs to the life of both copies.

​My statement was if "the H man" is anyone tomorrow who remembers being in H today then tomorrow "the H man" will be in 2 cities.

That is right in some third-person description. But the two H-man will feel to be in only one city, and so, the H-man, when in still in Helsinki, can be sure that his first person experience will be of being in once city, and that he cannot prdict which one.



My statement is crystal clear and as I said contradicts nothing.

Only because you confuse "where will you be from an outsider pov" with the question asked: "where do you expect to feel to be after pushing the button". Obviously you do not expect to *feel* to be in the two cities simultaneously.





Your statement is, today before the duplication "he" can't predict that "he" will be in Moscow tomorrow after the duplication;


No. My statement is, today before the duplication "he" can't predict where "he" will feel to be.





and nobody will ever know if your statement contradicts something or not because nobody will ever know who "he" is suposed to be.


That is false, "he" will very well know where "he" feel to be after pushing the button.






 ​>​>>​ ​​ ​indeed, in both cities).

​​>> ​Yes, in BOTH cities!!​​ ​So will the Helsinki ​ Man see both cities? I say yes, Bruno says no. Go figure.

​> ​He will see both cities from the 3-1 view.

​Good old Mr. He, don't you just love him! What a great job "he" does at sweeping logical absurdities under the rug. ​

​> ​Obviously, The H-man will see only one city in his first person views accessible from Helsinki,

Yes. ​If it's before the duplication, and I assume that's when you want the prediction to be made because otherwise it's not a prediction,

Of course. But the prediction is about his *future* first person experience.


then that one and only one city the H-man sees is Helsinki. ​

Not after pushing the button. The first person experiences available are "feeling to be in Moscow" and "feeling to be in Washington", and only one of them can occur for any of its future first person experience.

You just continue to ignore that the question is on a future first- person experience.

There is no ambiguity, thanks to the numerical precision we have with the digital hypothesis.

The H-man knows, with probability 1, that he will feel to have survived in one city among two possible one. He knows in Helsinki that after pushing the button, and opening the door, he will see only one city, and get a cup of coffee. But after pushing the button, and before opening the door, he cannot know which city is behind the door. He can look at a screen telling him that the reconstitution has been a success, but he (wherever "he" is now) cannot know which city is there. He is in a state of complete uncertainty, and then he open the door, see one city, and write its name in the diary, and, as predicted in Helsinki, he got that one bit of information he expected. "he" refers always to the H-man, and its sense only differ according to the first or third person view in consideration. After pushing the button, we can say, to be short, that "he" is in two city, and "he" feels to be in one city, indeed, "he" feels that in the two cities. Now, just take into account that the question is about what he expect to live, feel, experience, ... always in the FIRST-PERSON sense.


Bruno





​John K Clark​





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http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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