On Sun, Feb 27, 2022 at 10:37 PM John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Sat, Feb 26, 2022 at 6:13 PM Bruce Kellett <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
> *> What would happen if NATO launched an all-out cruise missile assault on
>> Moscow and Petersburg? Not nuclear, purely conventional.*
>>
>
> The short answer is I don't know. Nobody can say for sure what would
> happen if NATO launched an all-out cruise missile assault on Moscow and
> Petersburg, just as nobody can say for sure what would happen if Russia
> launched a all-out cruise missile attack on Manhattan and Chicago, but one
> outcome that is not at all unlikely is that it would start World War III
> and result in the destruction of civilization and possibly the extinction
> of the entire human race. I am not a big enough gambler to want to take
> that risk.
>
> *> Putin might respond with a nuclear assault, but that would certainly
>> render his empire plans futile.*
>
>
> It's true that starting World War III would not be in Putin's long-term
> best interests, but recent events indicate that Putin may no longer be an
> entirely rational actor. And for some dictators bringing about the
> extinction of the human race would be less undesirable than being
> personally embarrassed, and at this point backing down would be personally
> embarrassing for Putin.
>
> *> I think the odds would be in favour of making Putin pause rather than
>> escalating further.*
>
>
> Perhaps so, but what are the odds that what you think is correct? And are
> you willing to face the consequences if you are wrong?  Are you so sure
> that you're correct that you're willing to bet your life and the life of
> everybody you know on it?
>


Perhaps the old saying: "Better dead than red." is relevant here.
Appeasement of tyrants is never in the best interests of anyone. The brave
people of Ukraine are facing this decision every day -- do they resist, and
throw Molotov cocktails at tanks in the knowledge that they may be shot? Or
do they lie down and submit to Putin's tyranny?

Bruce

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