maybe a historical analogy will help in the discussion of whether rivalry
between the US and CHina has within the the danger of (sorry for the
buzz-word) "inter-imperialist war".

What led to WW I was the division of the world capitalist system into
competing blocs --- what almost led to WW III was the division of the world
into a socialist bloc and a capitalist bloc ---

Isn't it possible that because China and the US are so intertwined
economically there is less (I didn't say "no") danger of a war of
re-division because both sides have so much to lose.

If one thinks of what led up to WW I (the rise of Germany as a would-be
imperial power) that does NOT seem to be happening between the US and China
--- China has penetrated the international market place very dramatically
(selling many important products to the rest of the capitalist world) ---

Obviously, a counter-argument could occur about China's penetration of the
so-called "third world" and whether that holds the danger of pushing out
the "older" imperialist powers ---

(here is where the argument about China being capitalist --- which means
ultimately imperialist if we follow Lenin, right? --- comes to the fore ---
it's not just an arcane discussion but has significant and dangerous
consequences --- If China follows the laws of motion of advanced
capitalism, it is BOUND to ultimately confront the current hegemon.....)

I think the issue of war vs. "peaceful competition" rides on how important
the intertwining of the Chinese and US economies are ---

(Russia's isolation and relative backwardness --- "an oil well with nuclear
weapons" --- and reliance on Iran and China does of course raise dangers of
the Ukraine war ultimately leading to a wider war with the prospect of
using nuclear weapons --- Russia appears to be LESS economically
intertwined with the rest of Europe ....)

On Mon, Mar 18, 2024 at 9:35 AM Marv Gandall <[email protected]> wrote:

>
>
> More concerning are the underlying practical implications.  They shape our
> view of the current trade war initiated by the US against China and how we
> would position ourselves if it were to escalate into an unintended military
> confrontation between the two sides. That would stretch the present strains
> over Ukraine within the left in the advanced capitalist countries past the
> breaking point.
>
>
>


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