"Stat's are valuable"  First time I've ever heard you utter that phrase on
this list.

And who* doesn't *want to hear about Deep Space Nine?  (That was an obscure
reference. Good job!)

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:59 AM, Beaudoin, John
<[email protected]>wrote:

>  If you’re going to use my name, then please don’t speak for me and say
> that I dismiss stats completely.  I fully admit they are valuable and my
> point, yet again, is that some people look only at the stats.  Why can’t
> someone say that they like the way a guy plays.  Based on Pedroia’s
> statiscal body size and weight, he shouldn’t have been given a chance.
>  Thank God there are scouts who see beyond stats. Or will you argue that
> weight and height are not stats?
>
>
>
> How can you possibly say that objective counting says that Ellsbury doesn’t
> get to as many balls?  And who the heck wants to hear about Star Trek Deep
> Space Nine during a baseball discussion?  How many players compared to
> Ellsbury in centerfield have to play in a ballpark with a friggin triangle
> and a center field that is laid out just like Fenway Park?  Because of all
> the variables in baseball, you can’t draw concrete conclusions.  You’re
> entitled to your opinion, but you should not tell me my opinion and then
> argue against it.  Stats are valuable, but they are only a piece of what I
> use to form my opinions.  I believe that others on here talk stats all the
> time and I don’t use anything but stats to form their opinions.  Or am I to
> believe that the few people on here who think Ellsbury isn’t as good a
> centerfielder as JD Drew is a rightfielder must be smarter than … say … 95%
> of the fans of baseball?
>
>
>
> John
>
>
>  ------------------------------
>
> *From:* [email protected] [mailto:
> [email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Ray Salemi
> *Sent:* Friday, December 18, 2009 10:47 AM
> *To:* [email protected]
> *Subject:* Re: Dealing Ellsbury?
>
>
>
> I think Bill James would be unhappy to hear his name used this way.
>
> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:05 AM, William Marino <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
> I will take a good scout, with a proven track record, over Bill James any
> day of the week.
>
>
> I got to see Bill James speak at the Museum of Science and I asked him a
> question about this topic. I asked him if teams go through all this
> statistical analysis, but then make the decision based on the opinion that
> "he has a pretty swing."
>
> Bill James actually batted me down a bit in his answer.  He said that he
> felt this question of stats vs. scouts was a false question.  He believes
> that while stats are valuable, and need to be used, that scouts have
> thousands of hours of experience and also know what they are talking about.
>
> John's mistake has been to dismiss stats completely, as he did earlier in
> the thread.  Stats provide insight.  They especially provide insight to
> those of use who do not have thousands of hours watching ballplayers and who
> don't watch them every day.  Fans are especially prone to only remember
> plays that support their opinion.
>
> John claims that Ellbury gets to more balls than most players, but
> objective counting says Ellsbury doesn't.  In this case, intuition has to
> give way to counting.  I'm sorry, but no amount of intuition will make the
> number four into the number five (even if you are being tortured by a
> Cardassian sadist).
>
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-- 
Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in Just
12 Weeks"
www.leadingafteralayoff.com

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