I think yes as well.

For some reason, I never was big on Buchholz.  However, I was totally
shocked to learn of his ht and wt compared to Papelbon.

I was sure that Buchholz was thin and probably prone to longterm
injuries like an Oil Can or the like.  But he's actually a big guy.
Just well-proportioned.

 

John

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Tom Salemi
Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 12:04 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury?

 

But is Power> Speed + Young No. 2/3 starter?

 

I still say yes.

 



 

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:50 AM, Matt & Olga McSorley
<[email protected]> wrote:

We've devolved into the scout/stat argument again. Here is the real
issue in making the decision to trade Ellsbury for Adrian Gonzalez:

 

Power>Speed.

 

-- Matt

 

________________________________

From: Ray Salemi <[email protected]>
To: [email protected]
Sent: Fri, December 18, 2009 11:46:29 AM
Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury?


I am ashamed.

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]>
wrote:

Chain of Command was a Star Trek: The Next Generation episode.....c'mon
people. 

 

 

 

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:08 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:

"Stat's are valuable"  First time I've ever heard you utter that phrase
on this list.

And who doesn't want to hear about Deep Space Nine?  (That was an
obscure reference. Good job!) 

 

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:59 AM, Beaudoin, John
<[email protected]> wrote:

If you're going to use my name, then please don't speak for me and say
that I dismiss stats completely.  I fully admit they are valuable and my
point, yet again, is that some people look only at the stats.  Why can't
someone say that they like the way a guy plays.  Based on Pedroia's
statiscal body size and weight, he shouldn't have been given a chance.
Thank God there are scouts who see beyond stats. Or will you argue that
weight and height are not stats?

 

How can you possibly say that objective counting says that Ellsbury
doesn't get to as many balls?  And who the heck wants to hear about Star
Trek Deep Space Nine during a baseball discussion?  How many players
compared to Ellsbury in centerfield have to play in a ballpark with a
friggin triangle and a center field that is laid out just like Fenway
Park?  Because of all the variables in baseball, you can't draw concrete
conclusions.  You're entitled to your opinion, but you should not tell
me my opinion and then argue against it.  Stats are valuable, but they
are only a piece of what I use to form my opinions.  I believe that
others on here talk stats all the time and I don't use anything but
stats to form their opinions.  Or am I to believe that the few people on
here who think Ellsbury isn't as good a centerfielder as JD Drew is a
rightfielder must be smarter than ... say ... 95% of the fans of
baseball?

 

John

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi
Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 10:47 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury?

 

I think Bill James would be unhappy to hear his name used this way.

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:05 AM, William Marino
<[email protected]> wrote:

I will take a good scout, with a proven track record, over Bill James
any day of the week.


I got to see Bill James speak at the Museum of Science and I asked him a
question about this topic. I asked him if teams go through all this
statistical analysis, but then make the decision based on the opinion
that "he has a pretty swing."

Bill James actually batted me down a bit in his answer.  He said that he
felt this question of stats vs. scouts was a false question.  He
believes that while stats are valuable, and need to be used, that scouts
have thousands of hours of experience and also know what they are
talking about.

John's mistake has been to dismiss stats completely, as he did earlier
in the thread.  Stats provide insight.  They especially provide insight
to those of use who do not have thousands of hours watching ballplayers
and who don't watch them every day.  Fans are especially prone to only
remember plays that support their opinion.

John claims that Ellbury gets to more balls than most players, but
objective counting says Ellsbury doesn't.  In this case, intuition has
to give way to counting.  I'm sorry, but no amount of intuition will
make the number four into the number five (even if you are being
tortured by a Cardassian sadist).  

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