Loved that movie.

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi
Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 12:07 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury?

 

Damn.

"Hits the ball farther."



On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 12:05 PM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:

It's actually worse than Power/Speed.  It's hitting speed. 

here are the BA/OBA/SLG/OPS numbers for both from last year.

Ellsbury:

.301

.355

.415

.770

 


Gonzalez:

.277

.407

.551

.958


No contest.

Gonzalez gets on base more often and hit's the ball further.

Ray

PS.  This is a great example of the limitations of batting average.

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:50 AM, Matt & Olga McSorley
<[email protected]> wrote:

        We've devolved into the scout/stat argument again. Here is the
real issue in making the decision to trade Ellsbury for Adrian Gonzalez:

         

        Power>Speed.

         

        -- Matt

         

        
________________________________


        From: Ray Salemi <[email protected]>
        To: [email protected]
        Sent: Fri, December 18, 2009 11:46:29 AM
        Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury?

        
        I am ashamed.

        On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM, Tom Salemi
<[email protected]> wrote:

        Chain of Command was a Star Trek: The Next Generation
episode.....c'mon people. 

         

         

         

        On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:08 AM, Ray Salemi
<[email protected]> wrote:

        "Stat's are valuable"  First time I've ever heard you utter that
phrase on this list.
        
        And who doesn't want to hear about Deep Space Nine?  (That was
an obscure reference. Good job!) 

         

        On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:59 AM, Beaudoin, John
<[email protected]> wrote:

        If you're going to use my name, then please don't speak for me
and say that I dismiss stats completely.  I fully admit they are
valuable and my point, yet again, is that some people look only at the
stats.  Why can't someone say that they like the way a guy plays.  Based
on Pedroia's statiscal body size and weight, he shouldn't have been
given a chance.  Thank God there are scouts who see beyond stats. Or
will you argue that weight and height are not stats?

         

        How can you possibly say that objective counting says that
Ellsbury doesn't get to as many balls?  And who the heck wants to hear
about Star Trek Deep Space Nine during a baseball discussion?  How many
players compared to Ellsbury in centerfield have to play in a ballpark
with a friggin triangle and a center field that is laid out just like
Fenway Park?  Because of all the variables in baseball, you can't draw
concrete conclusions.  You're entitled to your opinion, but you should
not tell me my opinion and then argue against it.  Stats are valuable,
but they are only a piece of what I use to form my opinions.  I believe
that others on here talk stats all the time and I don't use anything but
stats to form their opinions.  Or am I to believe that the few people on
here who think Ellsbury isn't as good a centerfielder as JD Drew is a
rightfielder must be smarter than ... say ... 95% of the fans of
baseball?

         

        John

         

        
________________________________


        From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi
        Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 10:47 AM
        To: [email protected]
        Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury?

         

        I think Bill James would be unhappy to hear his name used this
way.

        On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:05 AM, William Marino
<[email protected]> wrote:

        I will take a good scout, with a proven track record, over Bill
James any day of the week.

        
        I got to see Bill James speak at the Museum of Science and I
asked him a question about this topic. I asked him if teams go through
all this statistical analysis, but then make the decision based on the
opinion that "he has a pretty swing."
        
        Bill James actually batted me down a bit in his answer.  He said
that he felt this question of stats vs. scouts was a false question.  He
believes that while stats are valuable, and need to be used, that scouts
have thousands of hours of experience and also know what they are
talking about.
        
        John's mistake has been to dismiss stats completely, as he did
earlier in the thread.  Stats provide insight.  They especially provide
insight to those of use who do not have thousands of hours watching
ballplayers and who don't watch them every day.  Fans are especially
prone to only remember plays that support their opinion.
        
        John claims that Ellbury gets to more balls than most players,
but objective counting says Ellsbury doesn't.  In this case, intuition
has to give way to counting.  I'm sorry, but no amount of intuition will
make the number four into the number five (even if you are being
tortured by a Cardassian sadist).  

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Just 12 Weeks"
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-- 
Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in
Just 12 Weeks"
www.leadingafteralayoff.com



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