[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-10-14 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize,
 which is for achievements that cannot, or should not,
 be reproduced, i.e., for pseudoscience.

Following is a list of the 2006 Ig Noble Prize
winners; the awards were given on October 5.

Note that these are all for entirely legitimate
scientific studies.  The studies may be trivial,
or ridiculous sounding, or useless; their results
and/or conclusions may even turn not out to be
valid.

But they aren't pseudoscience.

For that matter, Hagelin's D.C. study may in fact
be pseudoscience.  But you can't say so based on his
having received an Ig Noble Prize. Achievements
that cannot or should not be reproduced (Ig Noble's
own tongue-in-cheek definition of what the the
awards are given for) are not other words for
pseudoscience.

2006 Ig Noble Prize Winners:

ORNITHOLOGY-
Ivan R. Schwab, of University of California Davis, and the late
Philip R.A. May of the University of California Los Angeles, for
exploring and explaining why woodpeckers don't get headaches.

NUTRITION-
Wasmia Al-Houty of Kuwait University and Faten Al-Mussalam of the
Kuwait Environment Public Authority, for showing that dung beetles
are finicky eaters.

PEACE-
Howard Stapleton of Merthyr Tydfil, Wales, for inventing an
electromechanical teenager repellant -- a device that makes
annoying noise designed to be audible to teenagers but not to
adults; and for later using that same technology to make telephone
ringtones that are audible to teenagers but not to their teachers.

ACOUSTICS-
D. Lynn Halpern (of Harvard Vanguard Medical Associates, and
Brandeis University, and Northwestern University), Randolph Blake
(of Vanderbilt University and Northwestern University) and James
Hillenbrand (of Western Michigan University and Northwestern
University) for conducting experiments to learn why people dislike
the sound of fingernails scraping on a blackboard.

MATHEMATICS-
Nic Svenson and Piers Barnes of the Australian Commonwealth
Scientific and Research Organization, for calculating the number
of photographs you must take to (almost) ensure that nobody in a
group photo will have their eyes closed.

LITERATURE-
Daniel Oppenheimer of Princeton University for his report
Consequences of Erudite Vernacular Utilized Irrespective of
Necessity: Problems with Using Long Words Needlessly.

MEDICINE-
Francis M. Fesmire of the University of Tennessee College of
Medicine, for his medical case report Termination of Intractable
Hiccups with Digital Rectal Massage; and Majed Odeh, Harry
Bassan, and Arie Oliven of Bnai Zion Medical Center, Haifa,
Israel, for their subsequent medical case report also titled
Termination of Intractable Hiccups with Digital Rectal Massage.

PHYSICS-
Basile Audoly and Sebastien Neukirch of the Université Pierre et
Marie Curie, in Paris, for their insights into why, when you bend
dry spaghetti, it often breaks into more than two pieces.

CHEMISTRY-
Antonio Mulet, José Javier Benedito and José Bon of the University
of Valencia, Spain, and Carmen Rosselló of the University of Illes
Balears, in Palma de Mallorca, Spain,  for their study Ultrasonic
Velocity in Cheddar Cheese as Affected by Temperature.

BIOLOGY-
Bart Knols (of Wageningen Agricultural University, in Wageningen,
the Netherlands; and of the National Institute for Medical
Research, in Ifakara Centre, Tanzania, and of the International
Atomic Energy Agency, in Vienna Austria) and Ruurd de Jong (of
Wageningen Agricultural University and of Santa Maria degli
Angeli, Italy) for showing that the female malaria mosquito
Anopheles gambiae is attracted equally to the smell of limburger
cheese and to the smell of human feet.

--From Mini-Air, a free [email] newsletter of
tidbits too tiny to fit in the bi-monthly paper
magazine Annals of Improbable Research (AIR).





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-10 Thread TurquoiseB
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Should anyone ever been seen floating during a YF competition, and 
 James Randi forced to pay up his $1 million challenge, the ME might 
 well be revisited in a big way by the larger scientific community.

Should pigs fly, the bacon industry might go right
into the toilet.  :-)







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-10 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, TurquoiseB [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  Should anyone ever been seen floating during a YF competition, and 
  James Randi forced to pay up his $1 million challenge, the ME might 
  well be revisited in a big way by the larger scientific community.
 
 Should pigs fly, the bacon industry might go right
 into the toilet.  :-)


Why? Pig wings would be a hot seller in bars...





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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread Vaj


On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of Fairfield  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the Taste  of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population more  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger statistical  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like  Washington, DC. Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.If there was a known rise in traffic accidents due to increased congestion, that variable could and should be accounted for. 





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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread Peter


--- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 
 The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime
 rate of Fairfield 
 could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living
 among the 
 sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate
 during the Taste 
 of Utopia course could go up because the town's
 adult population more 
 than doubled (tripled) during that time. To
 accurately measure the 
 predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much
 larger statistical 
 sample population for them to effect than Fairfield,
 IA, like 
 Washington, DC.

Another post hoc explanation. The ME theory as now
constructed does not take sample size into
consideration. What is the critical sample size and
why?




 
 
 That's not to claim that there might not be SOME
 measurable positive 
 effect, only that you can't really claim the ME to
 be supported or 
 non-supported, based on Fairfield statistics (of
 course, the TMO does 
 exactly that when it suits them, but that's the PR
 biz for you).
 
 
 
 
 
 
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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
 
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of 
Fairfield
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the 
Taste
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population 
more
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger 
statistical
  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like
  Washington, DC.
 
 
 Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.

Not real familiar with statistical principles,
are you?

Oh, and the ME has *always* been a large-numbers theory.

 If there was a known rise in traffic accidents due to increased  
 congestion, that variable could and should be accounted for.

It certainly should be included in the total
number of traffic accidents for the (much larger)
population the ME is said to apply to.






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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread Vaj


On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:   On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of  Fairfield could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the  Taste of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population  more than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger  statistical sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like Washington, DC.   Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.  Not real familiar with statistical principles, are you? Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO is certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation. The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all around FF might be harder to hide.Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? Like mosquitoes to a light bulb?While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really is at this point. Since repetition of these studies seems rather unlikely, it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science. But for some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory daze and rising sunshine.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread a_non_moose_ff
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 
 --- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
  
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime
  rate of Fairfield 
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living
  among the 
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate
  during the Taste 
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's
  adult population more 
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To
  accurately measure the 
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much
  larger statistical 
  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield,
  IA, like 
  Washington, DC.
 
 Another post hoc explanation. The ME theory as now
 constructed does not take sample size into
 consideration. What is the critical sample size and
 why?

Sample size is not so much a key component of theory -- its a more
practical consideration. Sample size determines both the size of the
error term one wants to deal with, and the cost of the project. But
its an steep slope exponential relationship. Halving the error term
requires a 2^2 increase in sample size, and thus project costs. 

Your point is more applicable to overall research design: how many and
what types of ME projects, in what types of cities, over what periods
of time, and what corresponding physical (weather, etc) and  social
data (education, income, age, employment levels, etc.) that can be
collected that is relevant to the analysis of exogenous explanatory
variables etc. 

The reason for each research design decision is driven by the need for
observing as much variation in the dependent variable (crime), driven
driven by many diverse explatory variables. This diversity allows the
teasing out, via powerful statiscal methods -- such as multiple
regression -- which parts of the variation in the dependent variable
(crime) are dirven by the independnet variable of interest (ME) and
which are driven by physical, regioanl and social factors.

Observing the effects on only one city, during one period of time, is
roughly analogous to testing a new medicine on one patient. It may
provide some insights, but not be conclusive.











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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 
  On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
 
 
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of
 
  Fairfield
 
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the
 
  Taste
 
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population
 
  more
 
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure 
the
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger
  statistical sample population for them to effect than 
  Fairfield, IA, like Washington, DC.
 
  Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
 
  Not real familiar with statistical principles,
  are you?
 
 Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?

Apparently not, given your comments.

 The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO is  
 certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation.
 
 The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all
 around FF might be harder to hide.

Non sequitur.

 Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? Like  
 mosquitoes to a light bulb?

Non sequitur.

 While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really is
 at this point.

Granted.  There's some suggestive evidence for it,
but it's certainly not conclusive.

The point, however (as you know), is that it has not
been *disproved* by the Fairfield crime numbers.

 Since repetition of these studies seems rather unlikely,  
 it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science.

Even if the ME exists, I seriously doubt it would
ever be possible to validate it scientifically.

 But for  
 some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory
 daze and rising sunshine.

You mean, like the fact that international conflict
has very sharply declined in recent years?






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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread Vaj


On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:50 AM, authfriend wrote: But for   some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory daze and rising sunshine.  You mean, like the fact that international conflict has very sharply declined in recent years? Do you think that's because of lowered numbers of Yogic Hoppers?





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid - ME, large numbers, $$$

2006-01-09 Thread markmeredith2002
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 
  On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
 
 
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of
 
  Fairfield
 
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the
 
  Taste
 
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population
 
  more
 
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger
 
  statistical
 
  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like
  Washington, DC.
 
 
 
  Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
 
 
  Not real familiar with statistical principles,
  are you?
 
 Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?
 
 The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO is  
 certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation.
 
 The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all around  
 FF might be harder to hide.
 
 Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? Like  
 mosquitoes to a light bulb?
 
 While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really is at  
 this point. Since repetition of these studies seems rather unlikely,  
 it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science. But for  
 some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory daze  
 and rising sunshine.

The purported math behind the ME has been clearly expressed 10,000
times - the square root of 1% of any given population.  That's not a
large number theory - it means it's easier to achieve the effect for
large populations that you would think because a square root is
involved.  When group program was established here it was always
stated that it would have the greatest effect here locally - it was
never stated that it would only have an effect nationally, and not any
effect locally, due to some large number theory.  So anyway, when did
hagelin or anyone say DC was a big enough sample but not fairfield (or
apparently any of the original 1% cities)? What exactly is the stated
minimize size? 

It's all irrelevant anyhoo ... the tmo moved away from standard ME
theory and into the miracle of pundits a long time ago, and is now
moving away from the miracle on pundits and into rebuilding the world
with east facing rectangles as the solution to all problems.  Just
listen to the jan 12 broadcasts and you'll see.

Whatever you think of ME as a theory, it's on the way out in the tmo
because the tmo raised a gadzillion dollars over the past 20 yrs and
still didn't spend a fraction of it to establish a ME group that could
have solved all the problems in the world according to ME theory. 
That's just raised too much doubt in people's minds for it to continue
being a bona fide fund-raising approach anymore.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
 
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of 
Fairfield
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the 
Taste
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population 
more
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger 
statistical
  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like
  Washington, DC.
 
 
 Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
 
 If there was a known rise in traffic accidents due to increased  
 congestion, that variable could and should be accounted for.


I don't know of any peer-reviewed research on Fairfield, IA, 
concerning the ME. However, people like to trot outthe statistic 
concerning increased traffic accidents in FF during the Taste of 
Utopia to disprove the ME.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
 
 --- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
  
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime
  rate of Fairfield 
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living
  among the 
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate
  during the Taste 
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's
  adult population more 
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To
  accurately measure the 
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much
  larger statistical 
  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield,
  IA, like 
  Washington, DC.
 
 Another post hoc explanation. The ME theory as now
 constructed does not take sample size into
 consideration. What is the critical sample size and
 why?
 


The ME is taken from analogies in physical systems. ALL such physical 
systems involve really huge numbers of 
particles/photons/atoms/whatevers.

And the exposition I have read DOES talk about the minimum population 
size needed.



 
 
 
  
  
  That's not to claim that there might not be SOME
  measurable positive 
  effect, only that you can't really claim the ME to
  be supported or 
  non-supported, based on Fairfield statistics (of
  course, the TMO does 
  exactly that when it suits them, but that's the PR
  biz for you).
  
  
  
  
  
  
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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 
  On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
 
 
  The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of
 
  Fairfield
 
  could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
  sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the
 
  Taste
 
  of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population
 
  more
 
  than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure 
the
  predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger
 
  statistical
 
  sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like
  Washington, DC.
 
 
 
  Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
 
 
  Not real familiar with statistical principles,
  are you?
 
 Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?

Then you're well aware that a theory thought to measureably apply to 
very large populations might not have a measureable effect on 
relatively small populations.

 
 The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO is  
 certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation.
 
 The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all 
around  
 FF might be harder to hide.

But what has that to do with the ME?

 
 Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? Like  
 mosquitoes to a light bulb?
 
 While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really is 
at  
 this point. Since repetition of these studies seems rather 
unlikely,  
 it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science. But for  
 some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory 
daze  
 and rising sunshine.


Should anyone ever been seen floating during a YF competition, and 
James Randi forced to pay up his $1 million challenge, the ME might 
well be revisited in a big way by the larger scientific community.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid - ME, large numbers, $$$

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, markmeredith2002 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  
  On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
  
  
  
   On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
  
  
   The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of
  
   Fairfield
  
   could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
   sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the
  
   Taste
  
   of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult 
population
  
   more
  
   than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately 
measure the
   predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger
  
   statistical
  
   sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like
   Washington, DC.
  
  
  
   Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
  
  
   Not real familiar with statistical principles,
   are you?
  
  Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?
  
  The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO 
is  
  certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation.
  
  The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all 
around  
  FF might be harder to hide.
  
  Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? 
Like  
  mosquitoes to a light bulb?
  
  While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really 
is at  
  this point. Since repetition of these studies seems rather 
unlikely,  
  it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science. But 
for  
  some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory 
daze  
  and rising sunshine.
 
 The purported math behind the ME has been clearly expressed 10,000
 times - the square root of 1% of any given population.  That's not a
 large number theory - it means it's easier to achieve the effect for
 large populations that you would think because a square root is
 involved.  When group program was established here it was always
 stated that it would have the greatest effect here locally - it was
 never stated that it would only have an effect nationally, and not 
any
 effect locally, due to some large number theory.  So anyway, when 
did
 hagelin or anyone say DC was a big enough sample but not fairfield 
(or
 apparently any of the original 1% cities)? What exactly is the 
stated
 minimize size? 
 

You're missing the point. While the ME might have the greatest effect 
locally, the effect might also be most easily swamped by local 
variations that overwhelm the slight effects that you might see from 
the ME. Let's consider the case of 1 person doing Yogic FLying. 
OBviously, Yogic Flying will have the greatest effect on that person, 
rather than on the people arround him. For the ME to work as you 
suggest, that 1 person should overwhelm the negativity of 10,000 
people since 1% of 10,000 is 100, and 1% of 100 is 1.

Of course, the TMO has NEVER claimed that one person alone doing 
Yogic Flying is going to have a measureable effect on 10,000 people, 
so your intuition is wrong.

 It's all irrelevant anyhoo ... the tmo moved away from standard ME
 theory and into the miracle of pundits a long time ago, and is now
 moving away from the miracle on pundits and into rebuilding the 
world
 with east facing rectangles as the solution to all problems.  Just
 listen to the jan 12 broadcasts and you'll see.

That might all be. That doesn't change any aspect of what was claimed 
for the ME and, as far as I know, is still being claimed for the ME.

 
 Whatever you think of ME as a theory, it's on the way out in the tmo
 because the tmo raised a gadzillion dollars over the past 20 yrs and
 still didn't spend a fraction of it to establish a ME group that 
could
 have solved all the problems in the world according to ME theory. 
 That's just raised too much doubt in people's minds for it to 
continue
 being a bona fide fund-raising approach anymore.


That might be also.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid - ME, large numbers, $$$

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

[...]
 rather than on the people arround him. For the ME to work as you 
 suggest, that 1 person should overwhelm the negativity of 10,000 
 people since 1% of 10,000 is 100, and 1% of 100 is 1.
 

the SQUAREROOT of 10,000 is 100,and 1% of 100 is 1...


Sigh...





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid - ME, large numbers, $$$

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
 
 [...]
  rather than on the people arround him. For the ME to work as you 
  suggest, that 1 person should overwhelm the negativity of 10,000 
  people since 1% of 10,000 is 100, and 1% of 100 is 1.
  
 
 the SQUAREROOT of 10,000 is 100,and 1% of 100 is 1...
 
 
 Sigh...


Double-sigh, 1% of 10,000 is 100, and the squareroot of 100 is 10...

Analysis still holds: 10 yogic flyers in a group having a measureable 
effect on the 10,000 has never been claimed by the TMO.

LIkewise, the single yogic flyer having a measureable effect on 100 
people around him has never been claimed either.

[1% of 100 is 1. The squareroot of 1 is 1]


It's a big-number theory as I have said. I believe they were talking 
in terms of 100 yogic fliers having a noticable effect on the 
surrounding population, which translates back into a minimum 
population of 1 million people as the smallest population  size that 
one might expect to find a reliably measureable ME for.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid - ME, large numbers, $$$

2006-01-09 Thread markmeredith2002
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 It's a big-number theory as I have said. I believe they were talking 
 in terms of 100 yogic fliers having a noticable effect on the 
 surrounding population, which translates back into a minimum 
 population of 1 million people as the smallest population  size that 
 one might expect to find a reliably measureable ME for.

Fairfield had over 10% of its population - over 1,000 sidhas - doing
group program for many many years.  According to the ME theory, that's
enough to influence 100 million, but even the immediate town of 10,000
and state of a few million were not influenced significantly.

Actually the economy of the town turned south after companies like
telegroup and globallink moved into new s-ved buildings and soon
collapsed.  





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid - ME, large numbers, $$$

2006-01-09 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, markmeredith2002 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
 
  
  It's a big-number theory as I have said. I believe they were 
talking 
  in terms of 100 yogic fliers having a noticable effect on the 
  surrounding population, which translates back into a minimum 
  population of 1 million people as the smallest population  size 
that 
  one might expect to find a reliably measureable ME for.
 
 Fairfield had over 10% of its population - over 1,000 sidhas - doing
 group program for many many years.  According to the ME theory, 
that's
 enough to influence 100 million, but even the immediate town of 
10,000
 and state of a few million were not influenced significantly.
 
 Actually the economy of the town turned south after companies like
 telegroup and globallink moved into new s-ved buildings and soon
 collapsed.


Bad timing for expansion (new facilities).






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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-08 Thread Peter


--- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 wrote:
 
  
  
  --- markmeredith2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
  
   
   It's good that tmo scientists try to get
 published,
   but the spirit of
   the whole effort seems to fall more under PR
 than
   science - and until
   at least one independent scientist is impressed
   enough by the
   maharishi effect research to begin the long
 process
   of replication,
   then it's still an proven theory.
  
  More a very unusual hypothesis with some slight
  empirical support. Not enough to build a theory on
  becaue there is so much empirical evidence which
  completely contradicts the M.A. theory as it is
 now
  constructed.
  
  
 
 Which emperical evidence contradicts the ME theory?

The prima facie fact that large numbers of meditators
in Fairfield, Iowa have not reduced the crime rate
there. Post hoc explanations/metaphors such as the
washing machine effect indicate that the ME theory
has a long way to go in its development as a formal
theory. I'm not dismissing the ME, but it is far from
a complete theory. Right now it is a hypothesis, not a
theory.




 
 
 
 
 
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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-08 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
 
 --- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  wrote:
  
   
   
   --- markmeredith2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   
   

It's good that tmo scientists try to get
  published,
but the spirit of
the whole effort seems to fall more under PR
  than
science - and until
at least one independent scientist is impressed
enough by the
maharishi effect research to begin the long
  process
of replication,
then it's still an proven theory.
   
   More a very unusual hypothesis with some slight
   empirical support. Not enough to build a theory on
   becaue there is so much empirical evidence which
   completely contradicts the M.A. theory as it is
  now
   constructed.
   
   
  
  Which emperical evidence contradicts the ME theory?
 
 The prima facie fact that large numbers of meditators
 in Fairfield, Iowa have not reduced the crime rate
 there. Post hoc explanations/metaphors such as the
 washing machine effect indicate that the ME theory
 has a long way to go in its development as a formal
 theory. I'm not dismissing the ME, but it is far from
 a complete theory. Right now it is a hypothesis, not a
 theory.

The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of Fairfield 
could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the 
sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the Taste 
of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population more 
than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the 
predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger statistical 
sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like 
Washington, DC.


That's not to claim that there might not be SOME measurable positive 
effect, only that you can't really claim the ME to be supported or 
non-supported, based on Fairfield statistics (of course, the TMO does 
exactly that when it suits them, but that's the PR biz for you).







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-08 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
 
 --- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  wrote:
  
   
   
   --- markmeredith2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   
   

It's good that tmo scientists try to get
  published,
but the spirit of
the whole effort seems to fall more under PR
  than
science - and until
at least one independent scientist is impressed
enough by the
maharishi effect research to begin the long
  process
of replication,
then it's still an proven theory.
   
   More a very unusual hypothesis with some slight
   empirical support. Not enough to build a theory on
   becaue there is so much empirical evidence which
   completely contradicts the M.A. theory as it is
  now
   constructed.
   
   
  
  Which emperical evidence contradicts the ME theory?
 
 The prima facie fact that large numbers of meditators
 in Fairfield, Iowa have not reduced the crime rate
 there. Post hoc explanations/metaphors such as the
 washing machine effect indicate that the ME theory
 has a long way to go in its development as a formal
 theory. I'm not dismissing the ME, but it is far from
 a complete theory. Right now it is a hypothesis, not a
 theory.

The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of Fairfield 
could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the 
sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the Taste 
of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population more 
than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the 
predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger statistical 
sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like 
Washington, DC.


That's not to claim that there might not be SOME measurable positive 
effect, only that you can't really claim the ME to be supported or 
non-supported, based on Fairfield statistics (of course, the TMO does 
exactly that when it suits them, but that's the PR biz for you).






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-08 Thread a_non_moose_ff
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 wrote:
 
  
  
  --- sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter
   [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
   wrote:
   


--- markmeredith2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 
 It's good that tmo scientists try to get
   published,
 but the spirit of
 the whole effort seems to fall more under PR
   than
 science - and until
 at least one independent scientist is impressed
 enough by the
 maharishi effect research to begin the long
   process
 of replication,
 then it's still an proven theory.

More a very unusual hypothesis with some slight
empirical support. Not enough to build a theory on
becaue there is so much empirical evidence which
completely contradicts the M.A. theory as it is
   now
constructed.


   
   Which emperical evidence contradicts the ME theory?
  
  The prima facie fact that large numbers of meditators
  in Fairfield, Iowa have not reduced the crime rate
  there. Post hoc explanations/metaphors such as the
  washing machine effect indicate that the ME theory
  has a long way to go in its development as a formal
  theory. I'm not dismissing the ME, but it is far from
  a complete theory. Right now it is a hypothesis, not a
  theory.
 
 The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of Fairfield 
 could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the 
 sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the Taste 
 of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population more 
 than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure the 
 predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger statistical 
 sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like 
 Washington, DC.
 
 
 That's not to claim that there might not be SOME measurable positive 
 effect, only that you can't really claim the ME to be supported or 
 non-supported, based on Fairfield statistics (of course, the TMO does 
 exactly that when it suits them, but that's the PR biz for you).


Nor can the ME be shown tobe conclusive by just one DC size study. To
show real causality, not mere correlation, or random effects, the
study would need to be done in a number of differnt types of cities,
at different times of the year, over different lengths of time
periods, with different YFs/ population rations, etc. etc. With such
varieddatea, then good statistical analysis can drill deep and see if
the effect is real.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is for  
 achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
for  
 pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
experimental  
 conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
 Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, DC.



Yep, and the people who awarded theprize never read the subsequent 
published study since it hadn't been published at that time. I doubt if 
the study would change their mind, but its an interesting commentary on 
the scientific parody community that this was done.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
Part of this is completely false and misleading. Hagelin's 
groundbreaking work started BECAUSE he linked MMY's Vedic Cosmology 
to Western Science. After some discussions with MMY in Switzerland, 
Hagelin started sifting through existing theories, looking for one 
that best fit MMY's interpretation of the Vedas. Flipped SU(5) looked 
the most promising, and after slight modifications to make it better 
fit MMY's theories, Hagelin realized that the modifications actually 
made Flipped SU(5) a better theory from a Western perspective. He 
contacted his old friend George Ellis of CERN who contacted Dimitri 
Nanopoulos, the author of the original Flipped SU(5), and the three 
co-published about 50 papers on the subject, which made a scientific 
name for all 3. In other words, it is BECAUSE of Hagelin's linking of 
TM and western science that he became well known.

His loss of reputation came when he started to devote himself to 
politics full time. You can't be a politician running for office and 
publish scientific papers simultaneously. And his former 
collaborators never distanced themselves from Hagelin, only from his 
politics. In fact, Ellis of CERN published a paper on consciousness 
and Quantum Mechanics a few years ago himself.




--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 oops:
 
 In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
for  
 achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
for  
 pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
experimental  
 conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
 Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
DC.  
 Before Hagelin started with his dubious works on TM, he was given 
the  
 Kilby Award in 1992, for scientists who have made major  
 contributions to society through their applied research in the 
fields  
 of science and technology. The award states it is for a 
scientist  
 in the tradition of Einstein, Jeans, Bohr and Eddington.
 
 Hagelin has published a number of peer-reviewed papers in particle  
 physics dealing with supersymmetry and grand unification theory. 
His  
 groundbreaking work with Dimitri Nanopoulos was particularly  
 influential. After that he tried to link particle physics to  
 Transcendental Meditation and failed to publish a single paper in 
an  
 established journal. His last accepted contribution to physics is  
 from 1994. His former co-authors nowadays distance themselves from 
him.
 
 
 
 -from the Wikipedia.
 
 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:10 AM, Vaj wrote:
 
  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is  
  for achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced,  
  i.e., for pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for 
his  
  experimental conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi  
  University of Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime 
in  
  Washington, DC.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread shempmcgurk
Vaj:

How do you incorporate hyperlinks in your text?  It really works 
great!


--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 oops:
 
 In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
for  
 achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
for  
 pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
experimental  
 conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
 Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
DC.  
 Before Hagelin started with his dubious works on TM, he was given 
the  
 Kilby Award in 1992, for scientists who have made major  
 contributions to society through their applied research in the 
fields  
 of science and technology. The award states it is for a 
scientist  
 in the tradition of Einstein, Jeans, Bohr and Eddington.
 
 Hagelin has published a number of peer-reviewed papers in 
particle  
 physics dealing with supersymmetry and grand unification theory. 
His  
 groundbreaking work with Dimitri Nanopoulos was particularly  
 influential. After that he tried to link particle physics to  
 Transcendental Meditation and failed to publish a single paper in 
an  
 established journal. His last accepted contribution to physics is  
 from 1994. His former co-authors nowadays distance themselves from 
him.
 
 
 
 -from the Wikipedia.
 
 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:10 AM, Vaj wrote:
 
  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which 
is  
  for achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced,  
  i.e., for pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for 
his  
  experimental conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi  
  University of Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime 
in  
  Washington, DC.








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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread Vaj


On a Mac you just paste text as html.On Jan 7, 2006, at 12:40 PM, shempmcgurk wrote:Vaj:  How do you incorporate hyperlinks in your text?  It really works  great! 





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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread Vaj


On Jan 7, 2006, at 12:18 PM, sparaig wrote:--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is for   "achievements" that "cannot, or should not, be reproduced", i.e.,  for   pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his  experimental   conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of   Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, DC.Yep, and the people who awarded theprize never read the subsequent  published study since it hadn't been published at that time. I doubt if  the study would change their mind, but its an interesting commentary on  the scientific parody community that this was done. It's also interesting that his close colleagues tried to distances themselves from him.I watched a chunk of the most recent press conference with him. It was pretty funny, but also sad what has become of him.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
 for  
  achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
 for  
  pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
 experimental  
  conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
  Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
 DC.
 
 
 research which was later published in a peer-reviewed journal: 
 Social Indicators Research, 47, 153–201, whilst the sceintists who 
 gave out the ignobel prize in 1994, have gone back to their 
teaching 
 jobs, and are struggling to get any recognition or published work. 
 
 Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by  
 halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting 
 about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain 
 your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)

Wikipedia is currently being sued because someone published 
a revelation about the Kennedy assisination that named names and 
the wiki operators never caught on. The person who was named may win 
the lawsuit which could close Wikipedia down completely. Sad, 
actually, but it DOES point out the danger of quoting Wikipedia or 
other anonymous online sources rather than using it as a place to go 
to find REAL sources of info in the footnotes.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
 
  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
  halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting
  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain
  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
 about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.


Heh. That study was incorrect, unless Britannica is getting sued for 
not catching a hoax published by them.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Alex Stanley 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  
  On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
  
   Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
   halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are 
spouting
   about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to 
regain
   your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
  
  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
  about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.
 
 
 http://tinyurl.com/88kt2
 
 London - Online 'open source' encyclopaedia Wikipedia, is comparable
 in content and quality to the respected Encyclopaedia Britannica,
 reports the British journal Nature.
 
 The journal compared 42 articles from the two reference works, 
masking
 the origin of each individual article from their testers. Unlike the
 Encyclopaedia Britannica, Wikipedia has no official editors. Anyone
 can create new articles and modify existing ones.
 
 The experts detected four errors per Wikipedia article on average; 
for
 the Encyclopaedia Britannica, it was three. Some 162 errors in all
 were discovered in the articles from the Internet project, 123 by 
the
 Encyclopaedia Britannica.


The idea of a wiki is that it is self-correcting because someone will 
notice an error and challenge it.However, when an error is 
deliberately introduced, the wiki model can fall down miserably.

Also, much of Wikipedia (and Britannica) involves interpretation of 
facts, so whose opinion dictates which fact is correct? The person 
who wrote the original has the upper hand because the correction 
process is relatively involved and most people aren't going to bother 
merely because they disagree with an editorial stance.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  
  On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
  
   Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
   halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are 
spouting
   about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to 
regain
   your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
  
  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
  about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.
 
 Not when it comes to TM.


If you disagree with something in Wikipedia, you can start theprocess 
to have the article changed. I would make very sure of your facts 
before you start the process, however.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Vaj:
 
 How do you incorporate hyperlinks in your text?  It really works 
 great!

On a PC, click in the Address box of the browser window when you're on 
the page you want to link to, to select the URL, then Ctrl-C to copy it 
to the clipboard.  Switch to the message window you want the URL to 
appear in, and CTRL-V to paste it in.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, markmeredith2002 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
   
In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which 
is 
   for  
achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, 
i.e., 
   for  
pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
   experimental  
conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University 
of  
Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in 
Washington, 
   DC.
   
   research which was later published in a peer-reviewed 
journal: 
   Social Indicators Research, 47, 153–201, whilst the sceintists 
who 
   gave out the ignobel prize in 1994, have gone back to their 
   teaching jobs, and are struggling to get any recognition or 
   published work.
  
  Don't dis the folks who award the Ig Nobels either.
  They're exceptionally savvy and thoughtful people.
 
 The following quote is from Prof. Paul Meyers from U of Minn. in
 response to a question about an intelligent design guy who got a 
paper
 published in a science journal:
 
 Well, first of all, sometimes real crap gets published in peer-
 reviewed journals, and sometimes really great stuff has to struggle 
to
 get the approval of other scientists. It's not an absolute sine qua
 non of good research -- it's more of a stochastic thing, where what
 counts more is what kind of work snowballs into a lot of research...
 The whole shoddy affair illustrates why Intelligent Design 
creationism
 isn't science. They are scrabbling to put up a facade, but science
 isn't about words in a journal or a collection of degrees: it is a
 process. It's science if it is being continually tested, if there is
 research being done to critically evaluate the components of the
 theory. There is no research being done on intelligent design, nor 
can
 there be--there aren't any testable hypotheses in their proposal.
 http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/1/6/95138/89017
 
 It's good that tmo scientists try to get published, but the spirit 
of
 the whole effort seems to fall more under PR than science - and 
until
 at least one independent scientist is impressed enough by the
 maharishi effect research to begin the long process of replication,
 then it's still an proven theory.


The ME, yes. However, indendent scientists have been testing TM 
claims for a long time. Some are persuaded that TM works best on 
things like hypertension, and some are not.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
 
 --- markmeredith2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
  
  It's good that tmo scientists try to get published,
  but the spirit of
  the whole effort seems to fall more under PR than
  science - and until
  at least one independent scientist is impressed
  enough by the
  maharishi effect research to begin the long process
  of replication,
  then it's still an proven theory.
 
 More a very unusual hypothesis with some slight
 empirical support. Not enough to build a theory on
 becaue there is so much empirical evidence which
 completely contradicts the M.A. theory as it is now
 constructed.
 
 

Which emperical evidence contradicts the ME theory?





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread sparaig
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 7, 2006, at 12:18 PM, sparaig wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
for
  achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e.,
  for
  pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his
  experimental
  conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of
  Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
DC.
 
 
 
  Yep, and the people who awarded theprize never read the subsequent
  published study since it hadn't been published at that time. I  
  doubt if
  the study would change their mind, but its an interesting  
  commentary on
  the scientific parody community that this was done.
 
 It's also interesting that his close colleagues tried to distances  
 themselves from him.

that is NOT the case. Ellis still cites John Hagelin articles in 
discussions and has published a paper on QM and consciousness (well, 
the possible role of QM in the functioning of microtubules in brain).

 
 I watched a chunk of the most recent press conference with him. It  
 was pretty funny, but also sad what has become of him.

How so? John's grown quite a bit overtheyears as a public speaker, in 
my opinion. What was sad about what you watched, as opposed to funny?







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-07 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, sparaig [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
  for achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, 
  i.e., for pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for 
  his experimental conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the 
  Maharishi University of Management caused an 18 percent decrease 
  in crime in Washington, DC.

I posted a piece of this before, but I'm going to 
post it again, along with some additional commentary,
because Vaj's Wikipedia quote about the Ig Nobel
being awarded for pseudoscience keeps being
reproduced without the rebuttal, and people keep
taking it for established fact.  It seems that
neither the person who wrote the Wikipedia article
nor Vaj checked the Ig Nobel Web site to see what
the awards are *actually* for.  Either that, or
they were more interested in bashing Hagelin than
in accuracy.

From the Ig Nobel Web site:

WHAT: Every Ig Nobel Prize winner has done something that first makes 
people LAUGH, then makes them THINK.

WHO: Here is a list of all the winners.

WHY: The Igs are intended to celebrate the unusual, honor the 
imaginative -- and spur people's interest in science, medicine, and 
technology.

http://www.improb.com/ig/what-are.html

From another page on the site:

Each year, ten Ig Nobel Prizes are awarded. The selection criterion 
is simple. The prizes are for achievements that cannot or should not 
be reproduced. Examine that phrase carefully. It covers a lot of 
ground. It says nothing as to whether a thing is good or bad, 
commendable or pernicious. 

For example: after something has been discovered or created, no one - 
anyone, anywhere, ever - can later become the first to have made that 
discovery or creation. The firstness cannot be repeated

I raise this matter of good or bad, because the world in general 
seems to enjoy classifying things as being either one or the other. 
The Ig Nobel Prizes aside, most prizes, in most places, for most 
purposes are clearly designed to sanctify the goodness or badness of 
the recipients. Olympic medals go to very good athletes. Worst-
dressed prizes go to badly dressed celebrities. Nobel Prizes go to 
scientists, writers, and others who excel. Occasional mistakes and 
omissions happen, sure, but these prizes, and most others, are meant 
to honor the extremes of humanity - those whose achievements should 
be seen as very good or very bad. 

The Ig Nobel Prize isn't like that. The Ig, as it is known, honors 
the great muddle in which most of us exist much of the time. Life is 
confusing. Good and bad get all mixed up. Yin can be hard to 
distinguish from yang. Ditto for data from artifact and, sometimes, 
up from down

An Ig Nobel can bring recognition and, perhaps, appreciation.
Say you have done something that you - and some other people - 
believe to be very, very good, and maybe even very, very important. 
But most people don't recognize its importance. Worse, most people 
don't even recognize its existence. It's different from what they 
expect, or what they have ever run across. What you have, you 
believe, is a breakthrough. The classic sequence of events for any 
breakthrough is:

(1) Most people don't recognize its existence; then
(2) When they do recognize it, their immediate reaction is to laugh 
or scoff at it; then
(3) Some of those people become curious about this thing that they 
are laughing at, and then think about it, and so come to appreciate 
its true worth.

So there you have a nice little benefit of the Ig Nobel Prizes. If 
you've done something people chuckle at, and you win an Ig, then more 
people will hear about it. And maybe some of those people will also 
become curious, and will think about what you've accomplished, and 
fall in love with it

Lawson wrote:

 Yep, and the people who awarded theprize never read the subsequent 
 published study since it hadn't been published at that time. I
 doubt if the study would change their mind, but its an interesting 
 commentary on the scientific parody community that this was done.

The Ig Nobel folks are *not* on the boat with
debunkers like James Randi, as people like Vaj
would like to have you believe.  There's plenty
more material on the Ig Nobel site that explains
their purpose, which is actually a lot more subtle,
and a lot more interesting, even than parody.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread off_world_beings
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
for  
 achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
for  
 pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
experimental  
 conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
 Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
DC.


research which was later published in a peer-reviewed journal: 
Social Indicators Research, 47, 153–201, whilst the sceintists who 
gave out the ignobel prize in 1994, have gone back to their teaching 
jobs, and are struggling to get any recognition or published work. 

Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by  
halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting 
about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain 
your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)

OffWorld





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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread Vaj


On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by   halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-) A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread Alex Stanley
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
 
  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
  halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting
  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain
  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
 about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.


http://tinyurl.com/88kt2

London - Online 'open source' encyclopaedia Wikipedia, is comparable
in content and quality to the respected Encyclopaedia Britannica,
reports the British journal Nature.

The journal compared 42 articles from the two reference works, masking
the origin of each individual article from their testers. Unlike the
Encyclopaedia Britannica, Wikipedia has no official editors. Anyone
can create new articles and modify existing ones.

The experts detected four errors per Wikipedia article on average; for
the Encyclopaedia Britannica, it was three. Some 162 errors in all
were discovered in the articles from the Internet project, 123 by the
Encyclopaedia Britannica. 





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread TurquoiseB
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
 
  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
  halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting
  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain
  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
 about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.

If you asked the Internet man on the street 
which had more credibility -- Wikipedia or someone 
whose support for the TM party line verges on the 
fanatical -- which do you think they'd vote for?  :-)







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread off_world_beings
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
 
  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
  halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting
  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain
  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
 about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.

Not when it comes to TM.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread off_world_beings
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Alex Stanley 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  
  On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
  
   Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
   halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are 
spouting
   about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to 
regain
   your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
  
  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia 
was  
  about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.
 
 
 http://tinyurl.com/88kt2
 
 London - Online 'open source' encyclopaedia Wikipedia, is 
comparable
 in content and quality to the respected Encyclopaedia Britannica,
 reports the British journal Nature.
 
 The journal compared 42 articles from the two reference works, 
masking
 the origin of each individual article from their testers. Unlike 
the
 Encyclopaedia Britannica, Wikipedia has no official editors. Anyone
 can create new articles and modify existing ones.
 
 The experts detected four errors per Wikipedia article on average; 
for
 the Encyclopaedia Britannica, it was three. Some 162 errors in all
 were discovered in the articles from the Internet project, 123 by 
the
 Encyclopaedia Britannica.

Not when it comes to TM. 
TM-exers do what they can to slant the terminology in their favor. 
Eg: Broadcast one study on various meditations as if it is all about 
TM, and as if it defeats hundreds of other published studies. I went 
in and re-worded that sentance a little so it is more accurate to 
the reader, but I am sure the TM-exers will change it back to suit 
their agenda, as if the study was all about TM, and is the greatest 
proof in the world. I will not bother to respond to it. It was just 
a fun interesting thing to do once, but for them it is a soul-
destroying obsession. I pity them.

OffWorld





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is for  
 achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e.,
 for pseudoscience.

No, in fact the Ig Nobel is not just for
pseudoscience, so sorry to disappoint you.

http://www.improb.com/ig/what-is-this-2000.html

Excerpt:

Your breakthrough might go unnoticed. Say you have done something that 
you - and some other people - believe to be very, very good and maybe 
even very, very important. But most people don't recognize its 
importance. Worse, most people don't even recognize its existence. It's 
different from what they expect or what they have ever run across. What 
you have, you believe, is a breakthrough. The classic sequence of 
events for any breakthrough is:

(1) Most people don't recognize its existence.
(2) When they do recognize it, their immediate reaction is to laugh or 
scoff at it.
(3) Some of those people become curious about this thing that they are 
laughing at, and then think about it, and so come to appreciate its 
true worth.

The Ig provides much-needed publicity. So there you have a nice little 
benefit of the Ig Nobel Prizes. If you've done something people chuckle 
at and you win an Ig, then more people will hear about it. And maybe 
some of those people will also become curious, and will think about 
what you've accomplished, and fall in love with it.



 In his case the prize was awarded for his experimental  
 conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
 Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, DC.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread TurquoiseB
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
  
   Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
   halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting
   about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain
   your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
  
  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
  about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.
 
 Not when it comes to TM.

There you have it, Vaj. When it comes to TM, only 
the spouters of the TM party line are accurate.  :-)







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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread Vaj


On Jan 6, 2006, at 10:43 AM, TurquoiseB wrote:--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings [EMAIL PROTECTED]  wrote: --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was   about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.  Not when it comes to TM.  There you have it, Vaj. When it comes to TM, only  the spouters of the TM party line are accurate.  :-) sigh





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
 for  
  achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
 for  
  pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
 experimental  
  conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
  Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
 DC.
 
 research which was later published in a peer-reviewed journal: 
 Social Indicators Research, 47, 153–201, whilst the sceintists who 
 gave out the ignobel prize in 1994, have gone back to their 
 teaching jobs, and are struggling to get any recognition or 
 published work.

Don't dis the folks who award the Ig Nobels either.
They're exceptionally savvy and thoughtful people.





 Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by  
 halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting 
 about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain 
 your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 OffWorld







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread off_world_beings
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 10:43 AM, TurquoiseB wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
  wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:
 
  On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
 
 
  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
  halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are 
spouting
  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to 
regain
  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 
  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia 
was
  about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.
 
 
  Not when it comes to TM.
 
 
  There you have it, Vaj. When it comes to TM, only
  the spouters of the TM party line are accurate.  :-)
 
 sigh

Not when it comes to TM.
TM-exers do what they can to slant the terminology in their favor on 
Wikipedia.
Eg: Broadcast one study on various meditations as if it is all about
TM, and as if it defeats hundreds of other published studies. I went
in and re-worded that sentance a little so it is more accurate to
the reader, but I am sure the TM-exers will change it back to suit
their agenda, as if the study was all about TM, and is the greatest
proof in the world. I will not bother to respond to it. It was just
a fun interesting thing to do once, but for them it is a soul-
destroying obsession. I pity them.

OffWorld






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
 
  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
  halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting
  about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain
  your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
 
 A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was  
 about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.

However, as I've already noted, Wikipedia is in error
in claiming that achievements which cannot or should
not be reproduced refers only to pseudoscience.

Whoever put that in didn't even bother to look at the
Ig Nobel Web site.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, TurquoiseB [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 wrote:
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:
   
Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by
halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are 
spouting
about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to 
regain
your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)
   
   A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia 
was  
   about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.
  
  Not when it comes to TM.
 
 There you have it, Vaj. When it comes to TM, only 
 the spouters of the TM party line are accurate.  :-)

The Encyclopedia Britannica is a spouter of the TM
party line?






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread markmeredith2002
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings 
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
   In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is 
  for  
   achievements that cannot, or should not, be reproduced, i.e., 
  for  
   pseudoscience. In his case the prize was awarded for his 
  experimental  
   conclusion that 4,000 meditators at the Maharishi University of  
   Management caused an 18 percent decrease in crime in Washington, 
  DC.
  
  research which was later published in a peer-reviewed journal: 
  Social Indicators Research, 47, 153–201, whilst the sceintists who 
  gave out the ignobel prize in 1994, have gone back to their 
  teaching jobs, and are struggling to get any recognition or 
  published work.
 
 Don't dis the folks who award the Ig Nobels either.
 They're exceptionally savvy and thoughtful people.

The following quote is from Prof. Paul Meyers from U of Minn. in
response to a question about an intelligent design guy who got a paper
published in a science journal:

Well, first of all, sometimes real crap gets published in peer-
reviewed journals, and sometimes really great stuff has to struggle to
get the approval of other scientists. It's not an absolute sine qua
non of good research -- it's more of a stochastic thing, where what
counts more is what kind of work snowballs into a lot of research...
The whole shoddy affair illustrates why Intelligent Design creationism
isn't science. They are scrabbling to put up a facade, but science
isn't about words in a journal or a collection of degrees: it is a
process. It's science if it is being continually tested, if there is
research being done to critically evaluate the components of the
theory. There is no research being done on intelligent design, nor can
there be--there aren't any testable hypotheses in their proposal.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/1/6/95138/89017

It's good that tmo scientists try to get published, but the spirit of
the whole effort seems to fall more under PR than science - and until
at least one independent scientist is impressed enough by the
maharishi effect research to begin the long process of replication,
then it's still an proven theory.






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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread Vaj


On Jan 6, 2006, at 11:29 AM, authfriend wrote:--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Vaj [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:   On Jan 6, 2006, at 9:47 AM, off_world_beings wrote:  Wikepedia is the biggest crock of shit. Half of it written by halfwits who have little expertise in the field they are spouting about. Quoting from it will take you 6 months to a year to regain your credibility. Just a friendly peice of advice.:-)  A recent study was published which showed that the Wikipedia was   about as accurate as the Encyclopedia Britannica.  However, as I've already noted, Wikipedia is in error in claiming that "achievements which cannot or should not be reproduced" refers only to pseudoscience. It does not say this. What is says is:"In 1994 Hagelin was the recipient of an Ig Nobel Prize, which is for "achievements" that "cannot, or should not, be reproduced", i.e., for pseudoscience."





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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Interesting Hagelin factoid

2006-01-06 Thread Peter


--- markmeredith2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 
 It's good that tmo scientists try to get published,
 but the spirit of
 the whole effort seems to fall more under PR than
 science - and until
 at least one independent scientist is impressed
 enough by the
 maharishi effect research to begin the long process
 of replication,
 then it's still an proven theory.

More a very unusual hypothesis with some slight
empirical support. Not enough to build a theory on
becaue there is so much empirical evidence which
completely contradicts the M.A. theory as it is now
constructed.



 
 
 
 
 
 
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