Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Funny you mention robins getting in the way--I thought I was the only one. Here in Columbus, OH this week the robins have been starting up between 1:30 and 2:30am. One has been singing directly over my microphone and its distorted notes make automated call detection impossible at all frequencies. Although radar has indicated heavy migration the last 3 nights, I only picked up flight calls on my mic last night. Before the robins started up last night I recorded some Savannah Sparrows, Chipping Sparrows, and a brief wing twitter of an American Woodcock was a personal first. I am in a very urban setting where the Woodcock was definitely a migrant. Dave Dave Slager Graduate Student Terrestrial Wildlife Ecology Lab School of Environment and Natural Resources The Ohio State University 210 Kottman Hall, 2021 Coffey Road Columbus, OH 43210-1085 slage...@osu.edu On Fri, Apr 2, 2010 at 8:24 AM, Andrew Albright wrote: > Bryan, Thanks for that easy-to-read website. It is pretty simple afterall. > > Anyone record last night? I was all excited for spring recording > minus all the insects like I hear in the fall. However, I didn't > fully realize how early the American Robins start up. I'm estimating > that it was about 3:30am and if I'm reading David's woodcreeper site > correctly, migration in my area was heaviest from 3 until dawn. > > I listened pre-midnight and even moonwatched (only a few days past > full moon) and saw and heard nothing. And listening for about 30 > minutes of last night's tape, only some Canada Geese. > > Sincerely, > Andrew > > On Thu, Apr 1, 2010 at 9:46 PM, Bryan Guarente wrote: >> Andrew and others, >> Reading the wind barbs/"thingies" is a simple process. Here is a website >> that makes it easy to understand the surface observations like David (either >> one) posted. >> >> http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/%28Gh%29/guides/maps/sfcobs/home.rxml >> or >> http://tinyurl.com/yk25236 >> (same site just tiny). >> >> Bryan Guarente >> Meteorologist/Instructional Designer >> The COMET Program >> University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) >> Boulder, CO >> >> > > -- > > NFC-L List Info: > http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_WELCOME > http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_RULES > > ARCHIVES: > 1) http://www.mail-archive.com/nfc-l@cornell.edu/maillist.html > 2) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/NFCL.html > 3) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NFC-L > > Please submit your observations to eBird: > http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ > > -- > > -- NFC-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_WELCOME http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_RULES ARCHIVES: 1) http://www.mail-archive.com/nfc-l@cornell.edu/maillist.html 2) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/NFCL.html 3) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NFC-L Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Bryan, Thanks for that easy-to-read website. It is pretty simple afterall. Anyone record last night? I was all excited for spring recording minus all the insects like I hear in the fall. However, I didn't fully realize how early the American Robins start up. I'm estimating that it was about 3:30am and if I'm reading David's woodcreeper site correctly, migration in my area was heaviest from 3 until dawn. I listened pre-midnight and even moonwatched (only a few days past full moon) and saw and heard nothing. And listening for about 30 minutes of last night's tape, only some Canada Geese. Sincerely, Andrew On Thu, Apr 1, 2010 at 9:46 PM, Bryan Guarente wrote: > Andrew and others, > Reading the wind barbs/"thingies" is a simple process. Here is a website > that makes it easy to understand the surface observations like David (either > one) posted. > > http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/%28Gh%29/guides/maps/sfcobs/home.rxml > or > http://tinyurl.com/yk25236 > (same site just tiny). > > Bryan Guarente > Meteorologist/Instructional Designer > The COMET Program > University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) > Boulder, CO > > -- NFC-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_WELCOME http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_RULES ARCHIVES: 1) http://www.mail-archive.com/nfc-l@cornell.edu/maillist.html 2) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/NFCL.html 3) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NFC-L Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --
RE: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Bryan, Thank you so much for enlightening us about weather symbols. After reading David L's post, I looked at weather the figures and was wondering what they mean and was going to look up on the web. Now it is clear. Meena From: bounce-5512181-10061...@list.cornell.edu [bounce-5512181-10061...@list.cornell.edu] On Behalf Of Bryan Guarente [dafekt...@yahoo.com] Sent: Thursday, April 01, 2010 9:46 PM To: NFC Subject: Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? Andrew and others, Reading the wind barbs/"thingies" is a simple process. Here is a website that makes it easy to understand the surface observations like David (either one) posted. http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/%28Gh%29/guides/maps/sfcobs/home.rxml or http://tinyurl.com/yk25236 (same site just tiny). Bryan Guarente Meteorologist/Instructional Designer The COMET Program University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) Boulder, CO -- NFC-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_WELCOME http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_RULES ARCHIVES: 1) http://www.mail-archive.com/nfc-l@cornell.edu/maillist.html 2) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/NFCL.html 3) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NFC-L Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Andrew and others, Reading the wind barbs/"thingies" is a simple process. Here is a website that makes it easy to understand the surface observations like David (either one) posted. http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/%28Gh%29/guides/maps/sfcobs/home.rxml or http://tinyurl.com/yk25236 (same site just tiny). Bryan Guarente Meteorologist/Instructional Designer The COMET Program University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) Boulder, CO -- NFC-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_WELCOME http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_RULES ARCHIVES: 1) http://www.mail-archive.com/nfc-l@cornell.edu/maillist.html 2) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/NFCL.html 3) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NFC-L Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Oh! You beat me to it! You can get the radiosonde data here: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/upper/ just click on the station nearest you. Note that they are taken at 1200 and UTC (8:00am and 8:00pm EST), so if things are changing rapidly between those times, you might have some discrepancy. Once you click on the station, you'll want to read the winds at ~900mb (3000 - 4 feet elevation). You can also look at the winds at 1000mb which is about surface. You can get the surface maps here: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/ as well. TONIGHT IS THE NIGHT! The radar is really pumping right now... I imagine we should hear some birds tonight! Good Listening David David A. La Puma, Ph.D. Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory birds New Jersey Audubon Society 600 Route 47 North Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 Office: 609.861.1608 x33 Fax:609.861.1651 Websites: http://www.woodcreeper.com http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com Photos: http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper On Thu, Apr 1, 2010 at 9:08 PM, Andrew Albright wrote: > So for the Northeast or at least Mid-Atlantic, I guess this is it > (finally)...tonights the night? I plan on recording the next 3 > nights. > > One question - is there a user friendly website showing wind speeds at > the altitudes at which birds migrate? Either that or is there an > explanation for the weather vane thingees on the maps that David > posted? > > On Sun, Mar 28, 2010 at 9:04 PM, david nicosia > wrote: > > David, > > > > It is a transient pattern but anomalously warm. Attached is a 20 model > > ensemble mean forecast > > of air temperature projection for next Saturday at 925 mb (1-2 thousand > feet > > AGL). > > It shows temperatures reaching 16C (60F) which translates to 70s and > lower > > 80s on the surface. > > This is between 2 and 3 standard deviations above climatology for this > time > > of year. > > Record high temperatures are possible in upstate NY and parts of the > > northeast and > > New England. I expect it to last from Thursday to Saturday, possibly into > > Sunday. The Gulf > > will have prolonged southerly winds beginning Wednesday and lasting into > > the weekend at > > 925 mb according to our multimodel ensemble runs. See attached image > from > > the height of > > this flow. > > > > It will be interested to check bird list servers across the southern > states > > into > > the middle Atlantic to see what kind of species begin arriving later this > > week. Normally I stick to > > forecasting the weather but it is fun to attempt to predict bird species > > migration > > based on their migratory timetables and weather patterns. > > > > Anyway, it should become very interesting for those who monitor night > calls. > > > > Good birding to all! > > > > Dave Nicosia > > Johnson City, NY > > > > From: David La Puma > > To: david nicosia > > Sent: Sun, March 28, 2010 8:07:24 PM > > Subject: Re: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? > > > > David > > > > Cool stuff! So could you elaborate on the uniqueness of this weather > pattern > > for this time of year? I think any consistent favorable migration > conditions > > could influence the movement of certain species, but not all of them. > > Neotropical migrants (or long-distance migrants) are more likely > > evolutionarily hard-wired to leave around fixed dates, because of the > > uncertainty associated with early departure regardless of meteorological > > opportunity. Short-distance migrants, on the other hand, may just jump on > > the train if given the opportunity. It's possible, though, that the point > is > > moot, as we are getting to the time when Neotrops make the leap more and > > more frequently. I'd be interested (as I already mentioned) in whether > this > > pattern is truly unique, or falls within the regular range of variation. > > Either way, it's great to have a meteorologist thinking about these > things > > as well! > > > > Hope to see more of you on the list. > > > > Cheers, > > > > David > > > > > > David A. La Puma, Ph.D. > > Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory > > birds > > New Jersey Audubon Society > > 600 Route 47 North > > Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 > > Office: 609.861.1608 x33 > > Fax:609.861.1651 > > > > Websites: > > http://www.woodcreeper.com > > http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com > > > > Photos: > > http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper > > > > > > > > > > > > > > On Fri, Mar 26, 2010 at 5:43 PM, david nicosia > wrote: > >> > >> All, > >> > >> Being a meteorologist, I can't help myself here, but > >> the potential exists for an early "heat" wave in the eastern 1/2 of > >> U.S beginning Wednesday and lasting into next weekend(April 3-4). > >> > >> A very large and anomalous high pressure system is projected > >> to set up off the southeast U.S coast by Wednesday/Thursday next week >
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
So for the Northeast or at least Mid-Atlantic, I guess this is it (finally)...tonights the night? I plan on recording the next 3 nights. One question - is there a user friendly website showing wind speeds at the altitudes at which birds migrate? Either that or is there an explanation for the weather vane thingees on the maps that David posted? On Sun, Mar 28, 2010 at 9:04 PM, david nicosia wrote: > David, > > It is a transient pattern but anomalously warm. Attached is a 20 model > ensemble mean forecast > of air temperature projection for next Saturday at 925 mb (1-2 thousand feet > AGL). > It shows temperatures reaching 16C (60F) which translates to 70s and lower > 80s on the surface. > This is between 2 and 3 standard deviations above climatology for this time > of year. > Record high temperatures are possible in upstate NY and parts of the > northeast and > New England. I expect it to last from Thursday to Saturday, possibly into > Sunday. The Gulf > will have prolonged southerly winds beginning Wednesday and lasting into > the weekend at > 925 mb according to our multimodel ensemble runs. See attached image from > the height of > this flow. > > It will be interested to check bird list servers across the southern states > into > the middle Atlantic to see what kind of species begin arriving later this > week. Normally I stick to > forecasting the weather but it is fun to attempt to predict bird species > migration > based on their migratory timetables and weather patterns. > > Anyway, it should become very interesting for those who monitor night calls. > > Good birding to all! > > Dave Nicosia > Johnson City, NY > > From: David La Puma > To: david nicosia > Sent: Sun, March 28, 2010 8:07:24 PM > Subject: Re: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? > > David > > Cool stuff! So could you elaborate on the uniqueness of this weather pattern > for this time of year? I think any consistent favorable migration conditions > could influence the movement of certain species, but not all of them. > Neotropical migrants (or long-distance migrants) are more likely > evolutionarily hard-wired to leave around fixed dates, because of the > uncertainty associated with early departure regardless of meteorological > opportunity. Short-distance migrants, on the other hand, may just jump on > the train if given the opportunity. It's possible, though, that the point is > moot, as we are getting to the time when Neotrops make the leap more and > more frequently. I'd be interested (as I already mentioned) in whether this > pattern is truly unique, or falls within the regular range of variation. > Either way, it's great to have a meteorologist thinking about these things > as well! > > Hope to see more of you on the list. > > Cheers, > > David > > > David A. La Puma, Ph.D. > Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory > birds > New Jersey Audubon Society > 600 Route 47 North > Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 > Office: 609.861.1608 x33 > Fax: 609.861.1651 > > Websites: > http://www.woodcreeper.com > http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com > > Photos: > http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper > > > > > > > On Fri, Mar 26, 2010 at 5:43 PM, david nicosia wrote: >> >> All, >> >> Being a meteorologist, I can't help myself here, but >> the potential exists for an early "heat" wave in the eastern 1/2 of >> U.S beginning Wednesday and lasting into next weekend(April 3-4). >> >> A very large and anomalous high pressure system is projected >> to set up off the southeast U.S coast by Wednesday/Thursday next week >> and bring strong southerly winds across the Gulf into the Plains/Midwest >> Wednesday/Thursday and to the northeast/Middle Atlantic Friday >> to Saturday. This is a classic "Bermuda" High pressure set-up. >> >> Very unusual warmth is expected if these projections hold true. I could >> see widespread 70s and 80s all the way north to the Great Lakes and >> possibly even to New England. >> >> This would certainly mean a major early migratory push with many species >> arriving very early relative to median arrival dates. The first >> major influx of neo-tropical migrants would be seen into the southern >> and even central U.S. >> >> check out the following website for 925 mb(few thousand feet AGL) >> wind projections for late next week >> >> http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/gfs180hr_925_wnd.gif >> >> or a loop. >> >> >> http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/displayMod.php?var=gfs_925_wnd=1 >> >> Dave Nicosia >> Johnson City, NY >> >> >> >> >> >> > > > > -- NFC-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_WELCOME http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NFC_RULES ARCHIVES: 1) http://www.mail-archive.com/nfc-l@cornell.edu/maillist.html 2) http://birdingonthe.net/mailinglists/NFCL.html 3) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NFC-L Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --
RE: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0=114178876640194201766.0004 8304aef30c862820d> =0=114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d Seems the long link is getting truncated. Try the above or cut-and-paste the entire link. Sincerely, Chris T-H -- Christopher T. Tessaglia-Hymes TARU Product Line Manager and Field Applications Engineer Bioacoustics Research Program, Cornell Lab of Ornithology 159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850 W: 607-254-2418 M: 607-351-5740 F: 607-254-1132 http://www.birds.cornell.edu/brp From: bounce-5498637-9327...@list.cornell.edu [mailto:bounce-5498637-9327...@list.cornell.edu] On Behalf Of Chris Tessaglia-Hymes Sent: Tuesday, March 30, 2010 11:30 AM To: 'Chase Schiefer'; nfc-l@cornell.edu Subject: RE: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? Make sure to click the "edit" button to activate the push-pin feature. Zoom to street-view then drag and drop the push-pin to your station location. <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0=> =0=114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d> Sincerely, Chris T-H -- Christopher T. Tessaglia-Hymes TARU Product Line Manager and Field Applications Engineer Bioacoustics Research Program, Cornell Lab of Ornithology 159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850 W: 607-254-2418 M: 607-351-5740 F: 607-254-1132 http://www.birds.cornell.edu/brp From: bounce-5497995-9327...@list.cornell.edu [mailto:bounce-5497995-9327...@list.cornell.edu] On Behalf Of Chase Schiefer Sent: Tuesday, March 30, 2010 9:59 AM To: nfc-l@cornell.edu Subject: Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? This may sound rather sad, but I can't seem to figure out how to add my location. I can add my address, but I can't seem to figure out how to edit the name of the address. "We need wilderness because we are wild animals. Every man needs a place where he can go to go crazy in peace. Every Boy Scout deserves a forest to get lost, miserable, and starving in. Even the maddest murderer of the sweetest wife should get a chance for a run to the sanctuary of the hills. If only for the sport of it. For the terror, freedom, and delirium. Because we need brutality and raw adventure, because men and women first learned to love in, under, and all around trees, because we need for every pair of feet and legs about ten leagues of naked nature, crags to leap from, mountains to measure by, deserts to finally die in when the heart fails." ~ Edward Abbey Chase Schiefer Bachmans' Ivory Hazlet, New Jersey http://www.facebook.com/pages/Chase-Schiefer-Photography/337986295177?ref=ts http://www.flickr.com/photos/bachmansivory/ On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 9:47 AM, David La Puma wrote: The radar lit up last night, all the way from Corpus Christi, TX up to Minneapolis, MN (http://tinyurl.com/y8kfseh). Was anyone out listening? Seeing that map also got me wondering, where IS everyone on this list? (I mean, where are you, geographically). I've created a Google Map where you can enter your location, if you wish. I figured this would be a good way for all of us to know what areas are covered, need coverage, and/or a way for us to meet up and coordinate some night listening. This is a public map, so I wouldn't put too much info. I put my name in the town where I live, but left out any specific address, or any equipment notes. It might be interesting to put whether you have a fixed listening station and if it will be running throughout the season, but I leave that up to you to decide. We can also make it private, and invite the entire group, in which case we might feel more comfortable sharing more specifics. Again, I leave this up to the group to decide. Here's the map link: I've shared a map with you called NFC-L Participants: http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0=> =0= 114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d Looking forward to seeing the map fill out! Cheers, David David A. La Puma, Ph.D. Postdoctoral Associate - Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory birds New Jersey Audubon Society 600 Route 47 North Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 Office: 609.861.1608 x33 Fax:609.861.1651 Websites: http://www.woodcreeper.com http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com Photos: http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper On Mon, Mar 29, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Andrew Farnsworth wrote: Hi all, Great post - I, too, am eager to see what happens with the development of this system. Following David N and David LP thoughts, with such strong southerly flow over the Gulf of Mexico later this week, I'd expect a nice pulse of early spring migrants into the Gulf states and beyond; with winds at 925 mb at the speeds currently forecast, it appears that trans-Gulf flights would head far inland assuming no adverse conditions after crossin
RE: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Make sure to click the "edit" button to activate the push-pin feature. Zoom to street-view then drag and drop the push-pin to your station location. <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0=> =0=114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d> Sincerely, Chris T-H -- Christopher T. Tessaglia-Hymes TARU Product Line Manager and Field Applications Engineer Bioacoustics Research Program, Cornell Lab of Ornithology 159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850 W: 607-254-2418 M: 607-351-5740 F: 607-254-1132 http://www.birds.cornell.edu/brp From: bounce-5497995-9327...@list.cornell.edu [mailto:bounce-5497995-9327...@list.cornell.edu] On Behalf Of Chase Schiefer Sent: Tuesday, March 30, 2010 9:59 AM To: nfc-l@cornell.edu Subject: Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? This may sound rather sad, but I can't seem to figure out how to add my location. I can add my address, but I can't seem to figure out how to edit the name of the address. "We need wilderness because we are wild animals. Every man needs a place where he can go to go crazy in peace. Every Boy Scout deserves a forest to get lost, miserable, and starving in. Even the maddest murderer of the sweetest wife should get a chance for a run to the sanctuary of the hills. If only for the sport of it. For the terror, freedom, and delirium. Because we need brutality and raw adventure, because men and women first learned to love in, under, and all around trees, because we need for every pair of feet and legs about ten leagues of naked nature, crags to leap from, mountains to measure by, deserts to finally die in when the heart fails." ~ Edward Abbey Chase Schiefer Bachmans' Ivory Hazlet, New Jersey http://www.facebook.com/pages/Chase-Schiefer-Photography/337986295177?ref=ts http://www.flickr.com/photos/bachmansivory/ On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 9:47 AM, David La Puma wrote: The radar lit up last night, all the way from Corpus Christi, TX up to Minneapolis, MN (http://tinyurl.com/y8kfseh). Was anyone out listening? Seeing that map also got me wondering, where IS everyone on this list? (I mean, where are you, geographically). I've created a Google Map where you can enter your location, if you wish. I figured this would be a good way for all of us to know what areas are covered, need coverage, and/or a way for us to meet up and coordinate some night listening. This is a public map, so I wouldn't put too much info. I put my name in the town where I live, but left out any specific address, or any equipment notes. It might be interesting to put whether you have a fixed listening station and if it will be running throughout the season, but I leave that up to you to decide. We can also make it private, and invite the entire group, in which case we might feel more comfortable sharing more specifics. Again, I leave this up to the group to decide. Here's the map link: I've shared a map with you called NFC-L Participants: http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0=> =0= 114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d Looking forward to seeing the map fill out! Cheers, David David A. La Puma, Ph.D. Postdoctoral Associate - Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory birds New Jersey Audubon Society 600 Route 47 North Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 Office: 609.861.1608 x33 Fax:609.861.1651 Websites: http://www.woodcreeper.com http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com Photos: http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper On Mon, Mar 29, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Andrew Farnsworth wrote: Hi all, Great post - I, too, am eager to see what happens with the development of this system. Following David N and David LP thoughts, with such strong southerly flow over the Gulf of Mexico later this week, I'd expect a nice pulse of early spring migrants into the Gulf states and beyond; with winds at 925 mb at the speeds currently forecast, it appears that trans-Gulf flights would head far inland assuming no adverse conditions after crossing the Gulf coast upon arrival in the US. So, too, for migrants the central and eastern US, I'd expect a pulse of late winterers, facultative migrants, and early spring arrivals to take flight (I agree with David LP in comments farther below in what he suggests about obligate nocturnal migrants that are farther afield in points south - however, I'd think a good chance for early Neotrop. stragglers of the longer distance type in Texas given the strength and magnitude of the flow predicted - attention to TXBIRDS and FLBIRDS should indicate that if we see/hear it!). As Dave N. suggested, a little later this week would be a great time to deploy your microphones. . .central/eastern Plains states Monday/Tuesday and Tuesday/Wednesday night, the Appalachians and coastal plain thereafter. Even though winds aloft don't look particularly wonderful in the Northeas
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
stinkin linkin here's a better link: *http://tinyurl.com/ygdql7j thanks Don! * David A. La Puma, Ph.D. Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory birds New Jersey Audubon Society 600 Route 47 North Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 Office: 609.861.1608 x33 Fax:609.861.1651 Websites: http://www.woodcreeper.com http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com Photos: http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 10:01 AM, Donald P. Freiday < don.frei...@njaudubon.org> wrote: > FYI the hotlink doesn’t go to the shared map – second half of the address > didn’t get included. Most people will figure it out I think, but you might > want to send an explanation. Great idea! > > > > - > > Donald P. Freiday, > > Director of Birding Programs, > > New Jersey Audubon's Cape May Bird Observatory > > (609) 861-0700 x16 > > don.frei...@njaudubon.org > > www.bircapemay.org > -- > > *From:* bounce-5497927-10072...@list.cornell.edu [mailto: > bounce-5497927-10072...@list.cornell.edu] *On Behalf Of *David La Puma > *Sent:* Tuesday, March 30, 2010 9:48 AM > *To:* NFC-L@cornell.edu > *Subject:* Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? > > > > The radar lit up last night, all the way from Corpus Christi, TX up to > Minneapolis, MN (*http://tinyurl.com/y8kfseh)*. Was anyone out listening? > Seeing that map also got me wondering, where IS everyone on this list? (I > mean, where are you, geographically). > > I've created a Google Map where you can enter your location, if you wish. I > figured this would be a good way for all of us to know what areas are > covered, need coverage, and/or a way for us to meet up and coordinate some > night listening. This is a public map, so I wouldn't put too much info. I > put my name in the town where I live, but left out any specific address, or > any equipment notes. It might be interesting to put whether you have a fixed > listening station and if it will be running throughout the season, but I > leave that up to you to decide. We can also make it private, and invite the > entire group, in which case we might feel more comfortable sharing more > specifics. Again, I leave this up to the group to decide. > > Here's the map link: > > I've shared a map with you called NFC-L Participants: > > http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0= > 114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d > > Looking forward to seeing the map fill out! > > Cheers, > > David > > > > > David A. La Puma, Ph.D. > Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory > birds > New Jersey Audubon Society > 600 Route 47 North > Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 > Office: 609.861.1608 x33 > Fax:609.861.1651 > > Websites: > http://www.woodcreeper.com > http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com > > Photos: > http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper > > > > > > On Mon, Mar 29, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Andrew Farnsworth < > andrew.farnswo...@gmail.com> wrote: > > Hi all, > > Great post - I, too, am eager to see what happens with the development of > this system. Following David N and David LP thoughts, with such strong > southerly flow over the Gulf of Mexico later this week, I'd expect a nice > pulse of early spring migrants into the Gulf states and beyond; with winds > at 925 mb at the speeds currently forecast, it appears that trans-Gulf > flights would head far inland assuming no adverse conditions after crossing > the Gulf coast upon arrival in the US. So, too, for migrants the central > and eastern US, I'd expect a pulse of late winterers, facultative migrants, > and early spring arrivals to take flight (I agree with David LP in comments > farther below in what he suggests about obligate nocturnal migrants that are > farther afield in points south - however, I'd think a good chance for early > Neotrop. stragglers of the longer distance type in Texas given the strength > and magnitude of the flow predicted - attention to TXBIRDS and FLBIRDS > should indicate that if we see/hear it!). > > > > As Dave N. suggested, a little later this week would be a great time to > deploy your microphones. . .central/eastern Plains states Monday/Tuesday and > Tuesday/Wednesday night, the Appalachians and coastal plain thereafter. > Even though winds aloft don't look particularly wonderful in the Northeast > until late in the weekend, I suspect that we'll see a flight after this > moisture-laden system clears out. . . > > > > Also of interest will be the outcome of the strong southerl
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
This may sound rather sad, but I can't seem to figure out how to add my location. I can add my address, but I can't seem to figure out how to edit the name of the address. "We need wilderness because we are wild animals. Every man needs a place where he can go to go crazy in peace. Every Boy Scout deserves a forest to get lost, miserable, and starving in. Even the maddest murderer of the sweetest wife should get a chance for a run to the sanctuary of the hills. If only for the sport of it. For the terror, freedom, and delirium. Because we need brutality and raw adventure, because men and women first learned to love in, under, and all around trees, because we need for every pair of feet and legs about ten leagues of naked nature, crags to leap from, mountains to measure by, deserts to finally die in when the heart fails." ~ Edward Abbey Chase Schiefer Bachmans' Ivory Hazlet, New Jersey http://www.facebook.com/pages/Chase-Schiefer-Photography/337986295177?ref=ts http://www.flickr.com/photos/bachmansivory/ On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 9:47 AM, David La Puma wrote: > The radar lit up last night, all the way from Corpus Christi, TX up to > Minneapolis, MN (*http://tinyurl.com/y8kfseh)*. Was anyone out listening? > Seeing that map also got me wondering, where IS everyone on this list? (I > mean, where are you, geographically). > > I've created a Google Map where you can enter your location, if you wish. I > figured this would be a good way for all of us to know what areas are > covered, need coverage, and/or a way for us to meet up and coordinate some > night listening. This is a public map, so I wouldn't put too much info. I > put my name in the town where I live, but left out any specific address, or > any equipment notes. It might be interesting to put whether you have a fixed > listening station and if it will be running throughout the season, but I > leave that up to you to decide. We can also make it private, and invite the > entire group, in which case we might feel more comfortable sharing more > specifics. Again, I leave this up to the group to decide. > > Here's the map link: > > I've shared a map with you called NFC-L Participants: > http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0= > 114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d > > Looking forward to seeing the map fill out! > > Cheers, > > David > > > > David A. La Puma, Ph.D. > Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory > birds > New Jersey Audubon Society > 600 Route 47 North > Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 > Office: 609.861.1608 x33 > Fax:609.861.1651 > > Websites: > http://www.woodcreeper.com > http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com > > Photos: > http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper > > > > > > > On Mon, Mar 29, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Andrew Farnsworth < > andrew.farnswo...@gmail.com> wrote: > >> Hi all, >> Great post - I, too, am eager to see what happens with the development of >> this system. Following David N and David LP thoughts, with such strong >> southerly flow over the Gulf of Mexico later this week, I'd expect a nice >> pulse of early spring migrants into the Gulf states and beyond; with winds >> at 925 mb at the speeds currently forecast, it appears that trans-Gulf >> flights would head far inland assuming no adverse conditions after crossing >> the Gulf coast upon arrival in the US. So, too, for migrants the central >> and eastern US, I'd expect a pulse of late winterers, facultative migrants, >> and early spring arrivals to take flight (I agree with David LP in comments >> farther below in what he suggests about obligate nocturnal migrants that are >> farther afield in points south - however, I'd think a good chance for early >> Neotrop. stragglers of the longer distance type in Texas given the strength >> and magnitude of the flow predicted - attention to TXBIRDS and FLBIRDS >> should indicate that if we see/hear it!). >> >> As Dave N. suggested, a little later this week would be a great time to >> deploy your microphones. . .central/eastern Plains states Monday/Tuesday and >> Tuesday/Wednesday night, the Appalachians and coastal plain thereafter. >> Even though winds aloft don't look particularly wonderful in the Northeast >> until late in the weekend, I suspect that we'll see a flight after this >> moisture-laden system clears out. . . >> >> Also of interest will be the outcome of the strong southerly flow and >> tremendous moisture moving up the Atlantic coast now in terms of early >> southern spring overshoots. Not likely to be particularly good conditions >> for deploying microphones, of course, but I'll be interested to see what and >> if anything appears in the Northeast and maritimes with favorable conditions >> for departure from the Greater Antilles/Caribbean and rather unfavorable >> conditions for arrival along the eastern seaboard. >> >> Best, >> Andrew >> >> >> On Sun, Mar 28, 2010 at 9:04 PM, david nicosia wrote: >> >>> David, >>> >>> It is a transient pattern but
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
The radar lit up last night, all the way from Corpus Christi, TX up to Minneapolis, MN (*http://tinyurl.com/y8kfseh)*. Was anyone out listening? Seeing that map also got me wondering, where IS everyone on this list? (I mean, where are you, geographically). I've created a Google Map where you can enter your location, if you wish. I figured this would be a good way for all of us to know what areas are covered, need coverage, and/or a way for us to meet up and coordinate some night listening. This is a public map, so I wouldn't put too much info. I put my name in the town where I live, but left out any specific address, or any equipment notes. It might be interesting to put whether you have a fixed listening station and if it will be running throughout the season, but I leave that up to you to decide. We can also make it private, and invite the entire group, in which case we might feel more comfortable sharing more specifics. Again, I leave this up to the group to decide. Here's the map link: I've shared a map with you called NFC-L Participants: http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF=0= 114178876640194201766.00048304aef30c862820d Looking forward to seeing the map fill out! Cheers, David David A. La Puma, Ph.D. Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory birds New Jersey Audubon Society 600 Route 47 North Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 Office: 609.861.1608 x33 Fax:609.861.1651 Websites: http://www.woodcreeper.com http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com Photos: http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper On Mon, Mar 29, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Andrew Farnsworth < andrew.farnswo...@gmail.com> wrote: > Hi all, > Great post - I, too, am eager to see what happens with the development of > this system. Following David N and David LP thoughts, with such strong > southerly flow over the Gulf of Mexico later this week, I'd expect a nice > pulse of early spring migrants into the Gulf states and beyond; with winds > at 925 mb at the speeds currently forecast, it appears that trans-Gulf > flights would head far inland assuming no adverse conditions after crossing > the Gulf coast upon arrival in the US. So, too, for migrants the central > and eastern US, I'd expect a pulse of late winterers, facultative migrants, > and early spring arrivals to take flight (I agree with David LP in comments > farther below in what he suggests about obligate nocturnal migrants that are > farther afield in points south - however, I'd think a good chance for early > Neotrop. stragglers of the longer distance type in Texas given the strength > and magnitude of the flow predicted - attention to TXBIRDS and FLBIRDS > should indicate that if we see/hear it!). > > As Dave N. suggested, a little later this week would be a great time to > deploy your microphones. . .central/eastern Plains states Monday/Tuesday and > Tuesday/Wednesday night, the Appalachians and coastal plain thereafter. > Even though winds aloft don't look particularly wonderful in the Northeast > until late in the weekend, I suspect that we'll see a flight after this > moisture-laden system clears out. . . > > Also of interest will be the outcome of the strong southerly flow and > tremendous moisture moving up the Atlantic coast now in terms of early > southern spring overshoots. Not likely to be particularly good conditions > for deploying microphones, of course, but I'll be interested to see what and > if anything appears in the Northeast and maritimes with favorable conditions > for departure from the Greater Antilles/Caribbean and rather unfavorable > conditions for arrival along the eastern seaboard. > > Best, > Andrew > > > On Sun, Mar 28, 2010 at 9:04 PM, david nicosia wrote: > >> David, >> >> It is a transient pattern but anomalously warm. Attached is a 20 model >> ensemble mean forecast >> of air temperature projection for next Saturday at 925 mb (1-2 thousand >> feet AGL). >> It shows temperatures reaching 16C (60F) which translates to 70s and lower >> 80s on the surface. >> This is between *2 and 3 standard deviations above climatology* for this >> time of year. >> Record high temperatures are possible in upstate NY and parts of the >> northeast and >> New England. I expect it to last from Thursday to Saturday, possibly into >> Sunday. The Gulf >> will have prolonged southerly winds beginning Wednesday and lasting into >> the weekend at >> 925 mb according to our multimodel ensemble runs. See attached image from >> the height of >> this flow. >> >> It will be interested to check bird list servers across the southern >> states into >> the middle Atlantic to see what kind of species begin arriving later this >> week. Normally I stick to >> forecasting the weather but it is fun to attempt to predict bird species >> migration >> based on their migratory timetables and weather patterns. >> >> Anyway, it should become very interesting for those who monitor night >> calls. >> >> Good birding to all! >> >> Dave
Re: Fw: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S??
Hi all, Great post - I, too, am eager to see what happens with the development of this system. Following David N and David LP thoughts, with such strong southerly flow over the Gulf of Mexico later this week, I'd expect a nice pulse of early spring migrants into the Gulf states and beyond; with winds at 925 mb at the speeds currently forecast, it appears that trans-Gulf flights would head far inland assuming no adverse conditions after crossing the Gulf coast upon arrival in the US. So, too, for migrants the central and eastern US, I'd expect a pulse of late winterers, facultative migrants, and early spring arrivals to take flight (I agree with David LP in comments farther below in what he suggests about obligate nocturnal migrants that are farther afield in points south - however, I'd think a good chance for early Neotrop. stragglers of the longer distance type in Texas given the strength and magnitude of the flow predicted - attention to TXBIRDS and FLBIRDS should indicate that if we see/hear it!). As Dave N. suggested, a little later this week would be a great time to deploy your microphones. . .central/eastern Plains states Monday/Tuesday and Tuesday/Wednesday night, the Appalachians and coastal plain thereafter. Even though winds aloft don't look particularly wonderful in the Northeast until late in the weekend, I suspect that we'll see a flight after this moisture-laden system clears out. . . Also of interest will be the outcome of the strong southerly flow and tremendous moisture moving up the Atlantic coast now in terms of early southern spring overshoots. Not likely to be particularly good conditions for deploying microphones, of course, but I'll be interested to see what and if anything appears in the Northeast and maritimes with favorable conditions for departure from the Greater Antilles/Caribbean and rather unfavorable conditions for arrival along the eastern seaboard. Best, Andrew On Sun, Mar 28, 2010 at 9:04 PM, david nicosia wrote: > David, > > It is a transient pattern but anomalously warm. Attached is a 20 model > ensemble mean forecast > of air temperature projection for next Saturday at 925 mb (1-2 thousand > feet AGL). > It shows temperatures reaching 16C (60F) which translates to 70s and lower > 80s on the surface. > This is between *2 and 3 standard deviations above climatology* for this > time of year. > Record high temperatures are possible in upstate NY and parts of the > northeast and > New England. I expect it to last from Thursday to Saturday, possibly into > Sunday. The Gulf > will have prolonged southerly winds beginning Wednesday and lasting into > the weekend at > 925 mb according to our multimodel ensemble runs. See attached image from > the height of > this flow. > > It will be interested to check bird list servers across the southern states > into > the middle Atlantic to see what kind of species begin arriving later this > week. Normally I stick to > forecasting the weather but it is fun to attempt to predict bird species > migration > based on their migratory timetables and weather patterns. > > Anyway, it should become very interesting for those who monitor night > calls. > > Good birding to all! > > Dave Nicosia > Johnson City, NY > > -- > *From:* David La Puma > *To:* david nicosia > *Sent:* Sun, March 28, 2010 8:07:24 PM > *Subject:* Re: [nfc-l] Big Migratory Push Next Week Eastern U.S?? > > David > > Cool stuff! So could you elaborate on the uniqueness of this weather > pattern for this time of year? I think any consistent favorable migration > conditions could influence the movement of certain species, but not all of > them. Neotropical migrants (or long-distance migrants) are more likely > evolutionarily hard-wired to leave around fixed dates, because of the > uncertainty associated with early departure regardless of meteorological > opportunity. Short-distance migrants, on the other hand, may just jump on > the train if given the opportunity. It's possible, though, that the point is > moot, as we are getting to the time when Neotrops make the leap more and > more frequently. I'd be interested (as I already mentioned) in whether this > pattern is truly unique, or falls within the regular range of variation. > Either way, it's great to have a meteorologist thinking about these things > as well! > > Hope to see more of you on the list. > > Cheers, > > David > > > David A. La Puma, Ph.D. > Postdoctoral Associate – Ecology, behavior and conservation of migratory > birds > New Jersey Audubon Society > 600 Route 47 North > Cape May Court House, NJ 08210 > Office: 609.861.1608 x33 > Fax:609.861.1651 > > Websites: > http://www.woodcreeper.com > http://badbirdz2.wordpress.com > > Photos: > http://www.flickr.com/photos/woodcreeper > > > > > > > On Fri, Mar 26, 2010 at 5:43 PM, david nicosia wrote: > >> All, >> >> Being a meteorologist, I can't help myself here, but >> the potential exists for an
