Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
On 1/26/24 4:18 PM, glen wrote: You're probably more competent at parsing it than I am, which is why I said "enjoyed" rather than some other stronger description of my reaction. But when you say "plain language" and "common sense", I blanch a bit. I thought they were talking about things like

Re: [FRIAM] "SSRN-id3978095.pdf" was shared with you

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
This was stuck in my mailtool, waiting for me to complete a closing sentence and hit send... On 1/22/24 12:46 PM, glen wrote: Words matter: how ecologists discuss managed and non-managed bees and birds https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11192-022-04620-2 Words do matter, acutely in

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
On 1/26/24 3:13 PM, glen wrote: I enjoyed this brief assessment of subjective probability/plausibility: https://home.snafu.de/erich/ibe_2023.pdf And I kindasortamaybe agree with their conclusion in favor of "convergence": "Convergence: Traditional epistemic values can over time yield

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread glen
Yeah, but it all boils down to what "same way" means. Addiction is canalized by dopaminergic pathways, right? So if you're canalized to that, then even if there are small effect differences in the way you react, they might be swamped by the large effect sameness forced by the need for

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
On 1/26/24 12:35 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote: We don’t have the same molecular composition from identical histories, so there is no reason to think we’d all *react* the same way. is that technically *act* or *re-act*?   Like my pachinko analogy, it is all *re*action, all the way down... no

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
I just learned about the work of De Finetti who apparently added the notion of "subjective probability" to the extant body of Bayesian probability at the time (1937).   "Probability is not about the system but rather about your knowledge of the system"... From Wikipedia *Bruno de

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
We don’t have the same molecular composition from identical histories, so there is no reason to think we’d all react the same way. From: Friam On Behalf Of Jochen Fromm Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 11:18 AM To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Breaking

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Jochen Fromm
> The more one identifies with some (set of) narrative(s), the less free will > one has.Interesting. Yes, probably.I believe the question of free will is > related to the question if we all experience the world in the same way. This > is also a question we have discussed frequently here at

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread glen
The concept of causality is so irritating. It's like some kind of cafeteria style religion, where you pick and choose whatever attribute you like and toss all the attributes you dislike. So Marcus' identification of uncorrelated observations speaks directly to SteveS' assignation of an

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread glen
+1 Every failed communication effort I engage in is followed by my reaction to the failure. When I've been primed that day/week to be calm and collected, my reaction is to either try again or politely quit the effort. But when I've been primed to be reactionary and aggressive, my reaction

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
For example, my dog has a sequence of actions she takes to indicate she would like to go outside and pee. If I am asleep, I may not see or hear them. Nonetheless she appears to have guilt if there is a mistake. Apparent guilt is just a thing that happens when her intent is not realized.

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
I don’t think it is the explanation in their case. They are just sociopaths. From: Friam On Behalf Of Steve Smith Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 9:32 AM To: friam@redfish.com Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will The person that knows their path is bound, rationally discards the

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
The person that knows their path is bound, rationally discards the self-regulation of guilt, and in that sense has more “freedom”. Yah... that's kinda the vibe I get from DT, Bannon, Stone, Miller and many of the Jan 6 crowd. I have a thing with the triad of Blame/Shame/Guilt   I think

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
The person that knows their path is bound, rationally discards the self-regulation of guilt, and in that sense has more “freedom”. From: Friam On Behalf Of Prof David West Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 8:41 AM To: friam@redfish.com Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will Science

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
good to hear your "voice",  DaveW! Finally, the ideal of "non-attached" action and the omniscience that comes with achievement of Satori allows one to consciously and intentionally take the "correct," non karma accruing, action at every moment seems like the ultimate 'free will' in the sense

[FRIAM] Honeymoon over!

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
GPT is dead, long live LLMs! The following is a pretty good (IMO)  reflection on what GPT is bad (and good) for. https://medium.com/@jordan_gibbs/how-to-not-use-chatgpt-8088ec559681 I've been messing with GPT3/4 and Bard for most of a year now and the honeymoon is definitely over, not that

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Prof David West
Science fiction: *The Traveler*, by John Twelve Hawks is set in a dystopian (near future) 'Big Brother' world of absolute and constant surveillance. The hero, a "Traveler" uses a random number generator to make every action choice, else be eliminated by the evil forces controlling the world.

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
One of the usual claims is that science couldn’t occur without independent observations. I would co-opt Glen’s rhetoric here about parallax. What’s need is largely uncorrelated observations. From: Friam On Behalf Of Marcus Daniels Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 8:07 AM To: The Friday

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
LLMs are causal models. Science is about building causal models.It is bizarre to me that there are scientists that carve out a special case for their own mind. Even people like Scott Aaronson talk this way. As far as I can tell, it is just vanity. From: Friam On Behalf Of Steve

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
On 1/25/24 13:34, Jochen Fromm wrote: Could you say that a strong character or personality reduce our free will too, because they restrict our choices and decisions? On 1/26/24 8:18 AM, glen wrote: Absolutely. If we parse out what character or personality means, we might come to the idea

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
Does ChatGPT have choices? I "can't help myself", so here goes: And in the spirit of recursion, I fed my text to both GPT-4 and Bard asking for a "concise summary" Bard: "I'm just a language model,so I can't help you with that." and GPT: "The text is a contemplative reflection on

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Steve Smith
Does ChatGPT have choices? I "can't help myself", so here goes: I've been reading Sopolsky's "Behave" which paves the runway (or exit ramp) for his recent "Determined".  His deep background in neuroendocrinology leads to some very compelling arguments which pretty much degenerate to:

Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

2024-01-26 Thread Marcus Daniels
The choice could be drawn from a deterministic random number generation, which I claim could not be discriminated from a quantum random number generator in any meaningful way. -Original Message- From: Friam On Behalf Of glen Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 7:19 AM To: