On Thu, Aug 10, 2017 at 8:11 PM, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]>
wrote:

>
​> ​
> Not everyone will be successful in this scenario.


​It's not even clear to me that *anyone* would win the bet. Today you are
about to be duplicated and you bet me $10 that tomorrow you, that is to say
the person who remembers being ​you today, will see Moscow. So what
happens? Tomorrow you come up to me and make the case that Bruce Kellett
sees Moscow and so should get the $10, but you also come up to me and make
a equally strong case that Bruce Kellett does not see Moscow and so should
not get the $10. What to do? It depends on the details of the bet and I've
never seen them spelled out.

Or perhaps you could make a bet not with me but with yourself, if you see
Moscow then your doppelganger who doesn't see Moscow must give you $10, if
you see Washington then your doppelganger who doesn't see Washington must
give you $10. But then you'd just be passing the money back and forth
forever.

​> ​
> :-)). This is the problem of "monster sequences" that is so troublesome
> for understanding probability in Everett QM.


I think the main sticking point in Everett's idea
​i​
s how to obtain probabilities
​, such as the ​
Born rule
​, when infinity is involved. Perhaps the multiverse ​doesn't contain an
infinite number of branches just a astronomically large number of them.

​John K Clark​

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