On 12 August 2017 at 11:16, John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Fri, Aug 11, 2017 at 6:01 PM, Stathis Papaioannou <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
> ​>> ​
>>> Let me ask you
>>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>> ​a different question, do you think the following 2 questions are
>>> equivalent?​
>>> 1) What will *I*
>>> ​see​
>>>  tomorrow?
>>> 2) What will Stathis Papaioannou see tomorrow?
>>> ​If they are equivalent then ​
>>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>> ​(aka *I*) will see 2 cities tomorrow.  ​
>>> John Clark says they are equivalent, what does
>>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>> ​say?​
>>>
>>
>> ​> ​
>> They are not equivalent if duplication will occur. There will be two
>> Stathis Papaioannous who will see two different things.
>>
>
> ​OK.
>
>
>> ​> ​
>> We will have to start referring to them using different proper nouns, eg
>> SP1 and SP2.
>>
>
> ​OK.
>
>
>
>> ​> ​
>> However, there is only ever one "I", correctly used by each copy
>>
>
> ​
> True. Even in a world with "I" duplicating machines when looking from the
> present into the past
> ​ ​
> there is always only one "I".  All conscious beings will
> ​only ​
> remember one
> ​​
> continuous​
> ​ ​
> thread. However the past and the future are NOT symmetrical so none of
> this
> ​is​
>  true when looking from the present into the future. And the question is
> about the future, and it contains the personal pronoun "I", so the answer
> to the question isn't just unknown the answer does not exist and what is
> worse it never will. So it's not a question. In that situation proper nouns
> must be used in all questions about the future, personal pronouns just
> generate silly nonsense.
>
> ​> ​
>> Personal pronouns capture the peculiar and probabilistic nature of
>> personal identity
>
>
> ​The very concept of probability becomes meaningless ​if after the
> probabilistic prediction there is no way to ever know if the prediction
> turned out to be right or not. And that is exactly what will happen if
> personal pronouns are used in the prediction and personal pronoun
> duplicating machines exist.
>

Before the duplication SP bet that "I will see W". After the duplication
SP1 sees W and SP2 sees M. SP1 says "I was right, I see W" and gets a
reward. SP2 says "I was wrong, I see M" and does not get a reward. Everyone
agrees that this is fair, no-one disputes who should get the reward.



-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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