On 25 Sep 2017, at 19:51, John Clark wrote:
On Mon, Sep 25, 2017 at 9:47 AM, Terren Suydam <[email protected]
> wrote:
> Then we agree that expectations are important, since the
wrong ones can kill us.
Forget important, expectations are not even meaningful in thought
experiments involving people duplicating machines if it is not
clearly stated what is being expected. And if there is no way to
tell if the prediction made before the duplication turned out
to be correct or not even AFTER the duplication is completed because
of the frequent use of personal pronouns in a world that contains
personal pronoun duplicating machines then the entire exercise
is useless.
Bruno says there is a thing that can't be predicted because of
something he calls first person indeterminacy, but he is unable to
say exactly what it is that can't be predicted,
????????
Of course I can. It is the specific city that I will feel be in that I
cannot predict. My next first person experience after pushing the
button.
But I can predict with certainty that it will belong to the set {W, M}.
I can explain more if you tell me if you agree that P(tea) = 1.
Bruno
but maybe you can do what Bruno can't. Nobody can give a answer if
there is no question so precisely what is it that
Terren Suydam challenges John Clark to predict and claims can't
be done? But please don't do what Bruno does and start talking
about "THE 1p" without specifying which "THE 1p" is being referred
to because remember, there are "THE 1p" duplicating machines on
every street corner in this thought experiment.
John K Clark
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