On 26 Sep 2017, at 16:58, John Clark wrote:



On Tue, Sep 26, 2017 at 9:41 AM, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:

​> ​It is the specific city that I will feel be in that I cannot predict.

​Because when talking about the future AFTER going through a "I" duplicating ​ ​machine the personal pronoun "I​" becomes ambiguous. Nobody can make the prediction because nobody knows what is suposed to be predicted.


'I" is an indexical. It is the d'd' in d'd' = F(d'd'), if you have look at some of my explanation how how to define indexical notions in arithmetic. It referes to the person interviwed locally. The point is that when I ask the M-man (resp. the W-man) if his prediction was correct, he has to look at his diary (written in Helsinki, and duplicated with him), and compare it with what he sees. Ig the diary contains "W and M" it contradicts the experience lived by both. If it contains "W" (resp M), it contradicts half of the experiences, and if it contained W v M" it is a success for both.

​> ​I can explain more if you tell me if you agree that P(tea) = 1.

​I've already answered that, no I don't agree. I have no reason to believe you will keep your promise about the tea

Given that the promise is part of the protocol, here, this is again a change of the protocol. You can't reason like that. It is not valid.



and I expect it is far more likely I will see ​Santa Claus's workshop​ than any tea. However I still don't understand why you're more interested in my expectations than the nature of reality.

Move on step 4, and sequitur. You will be enlightened.

Bruno






 John K Clark



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http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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