On Sat, Aug 5, 2017 at 10:04 AM, Stathis Papaioannou <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> >> >> Without the duplicating machine after it's all over you can say >> "Yesterday I shouldn't have said there is a 30% chance event B will happen, >> yesterday I should have said there is a 100% chance event B will happen", >> but if personal pronoun duplicating machines are used then "you" couldn't >> say that. And that's not equivalent. >> > > > > If you are one of the copies experiencing event B, you can say that, had > you known, yesterday you should have said there was a 100% chance of event > B happening. > No, Mr. B can't say that because the question wasn't about what Mr. B will see (and everybody correctly predicted that Mr. B will see event B anyway) the question was about what Mr. Yesterday will see. Saying Mr. Yesterday will see B happen with 100% certainty is the truth but NOT the entire truth, Mr. Yesterday will also see A happen with 100% certainty because Mr. Yesterday has been duplicated, that's what people duplicating machines do. And that means today there will be 2 people, not just Mr. B, who remembers yesterday. Not everything is unitary, that is to say summing up all the probabilities of the possible outcomes of a event don't always add up to 100%. If I slice a orange in half and put the pieces in 2 boxes there is a 100% chance there is a orange object in box A and a 100% chance there is a orange object in box B. > > > However, you could not have known, because what each copy experiences is > irreducibly random. Not even an omniscient oracle could instil in a person > undergoing duplication knowledge of the future which would turn out correct > for each copy. > I'm not a omniscient oracle but even I can say which would turn out correct for each copy . Mr. A will see A and Mr. B will see B. What more is there to say? What exactly have I failed to predict? And by the way, if a omniscient oracle can't answer a question that can only be because it wasn't a question. John K Clark -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
