Gareth wrote:
>> On Jul 25, 10:32 am, James Annan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>
>>> Since everyone is talking about the "worst floods for a generation" it
>>> seems pretty clear that we are seeing the typical one in 50 event that
>>> most people can expect to see in their lifetimes
> 
> And I've just seen this in the Independent:
> http://environment.independent.co.uk/climate_change/article2795635.ece
> 
> "According to the Environment Agency, even the previous worst case,
> the extensive floods of spring 1947, which were aggravated by the vast
> snow melt that followed an exceptionally hard winter, has been
> surpassed. "We have not seen flooding of this magnitude before," said
> the agency yesterday. "The benchmark was 1947, and this has already
> exceeded it." And the 1947 floods were said to have been the worst for
> 200 years."
> 
> The odds are shortening, perhaps?

Maybe, but it's important to recognise that flooding is a function not 
only of rainfall, but of vulnerability:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6911119.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/south_yorkshire/6900636.stm

The EA has at least two very large axes to grind on this subject.

James

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