> The odds are shortening, perhaps? What metric do they use to assess how bad a flood is? Area inundated? Number of houses flooded?
http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/charts/hadukp_daily_plots.html http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/charts/hadukp_ts_plots.html July doesn't look all that bad precipitation wise, and in fact, there seems to be a downward trend in the historical data with the 10 wettest July's all before 1900. I've been looking at the historical data, and with a bit of digging I managed to undig some all time records: 1. For Enland and Wales as a whole, maximum daily total for May (25 mm), beating the previous record by 5 mm; however, in a number of other months higher maximum daily totals can be found, eg for August, where the record was established in 1986 (43 mm), and it seems this particular series is less than a hundred years old. 2. Then we've got to dig into regional totals and for the North East there's some substantial records for June, both for monthly total and maximum daily. However, when looking at August instead, the records for June look less impressive. Based on the precip data, we shouldn't be having 50 year floods this July, let alone 200+ year floods. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
