> www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/hadleycentre/pubs/brochures/2005/clim_g...

Thanks a google search with the reference gave me this:
http://prudence.dmi.dk/public/publications/FreiEtAl_subm.pdf

And it's got what I was after, namely predictions for 1 day
precipitation totals in summer (it would be nice to have the 1 month
and 2 month totals as well, for comparison with this year and all, but
that's maybe a little too much to ask).

The colourful figures are on page 47, and they seem to indicate that
there is some disagreement between different models, but there'll
either be little change or some decline in 1 day precipitation events
with a present 50 year return period (your link also gave a nice map,
the only thing that was lacking was an explanation of what was meant
by "heavy rainfall events").


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