As much as statement attributed to Gbagbo is surprising to say lest, especially for History Professor. He should easily understood the contradiction between Zimbabwe (revolutionaries) and imperialists.
I disagree with cadre on number of his assertions. 1. I do not see as Gbagbo fault that his movement is younger therefore less matured. He has three constituencies that has worked for Cde Mugabe the Youth (Youth Patriots) and Army Command structures and Patriotic Judiciary. 2. It is not Gbagbo fault that ECOWAS is majority "Francophone" States. These phony states take instructions from French therefore unsugar coat-able. Most of these States did not win the independent as Algeria did. They accept the model that keep them as self managing French colonies in similar manner as Botswana. Hence similar behavior of Mali, Gabon, Botswana and others to defend the emperor's interest. Ghana has different position to the rest of ECOWAS although not laud about it because a Khrumist Party is in government. Pan Africanist Senegal has been off the radar possible taken similar position as Zimbabwe. 3. Gbagbo from the beginning emerge with demand of sovereignty. Independent from occupying French force, French monetary control and French corporations. Ivory Coast is still at stage of Second Chimuranga. The struggle for independence is being waged, now. Different condition but same goal. Cde Mugabe studied before he went to bush. Gbagbo is well read and is now waging liberation struggle. 4. Gbagbo came to power through youth militia that is very determine and committed to liberation on Ivory Coast. He should be applauded for winning over the army, which he toppled just a decade ago. The odds are definitely against Gbagbo's forces therefore it is a reasonable to predict his demise. It was obvious from number perspective that liberation movements (primitive weaponry, poor logistics support, inferior trained solders, low number of solders, limited - no scarce financial resources and limited genuine solidarity) should have lost against formidable British, Portuguese of French Army. Cde Mugabe led struggle to its conclusion despite the obvious and we hope progressive forces will win the day. It is our desire that the struggle conditions push Ivory Coast force from being progressive (Social Democrats) to be revolutionary (Pan Africanist). Sbusiso Xaba *Note: *Good analysis Ivory Coast Fair Ballot or Full Bullet on www.zimpapers.co.zw On 3 January 2011 15:51, <ma...@msu.ac.zw> wrote: > Cde Hlongwane , whilst I agree with your analysis regarding the political > crisis in Ivory Coast , below is an analysis I got from a fellow cadre , > what do you make of it.Read on... > > > From: "clapperton mavhunga" <clappert...@yahoo.com> > Date: Mon, December 27, 2010 2:04 am > > ... and right on time, as I suspected, Laurent Gbagbo likens his plight to > that of Mugabe. He says it's a western plot directed by France and the US, > who are busy inciting ECOWAS to topple him. "When you go through what I've > been through, you tell yourself: 'Perhaps Mugabe wasn't completely wrong > after all'." Unfortunately for him there are several differences here in > terms of calculus that puts significant acreage between him and Mugabe. > > Robert Mugabe is one of Africa's best political engineers who knows how to > survive even when you think he's history. Gbagbo is a virtual upstart and > here is why. First, Mugabe knew that for him to weather a tempest such as > he was in, he made SADC his missile defense system, adroitly using the > collegiate of liberation movement governments to create a critical mass > within the region and isolate a few troublemakers like Botswana. Ggagbo is > doing the opposite; he is alienating ECOWAS where Mugabe sugar-coated > SADC. Alassane Ouattara has, by design or not, stolen the march on ECOWAS. > It's immaterial what realpolitik or real-economik is pushing ECOWAS; the > fact is that you don't want to be surrounded by enemies that are as > powerful as Nigeria. > > That brings up the second tier of Mugabe's adroit strategy against Morgan > Tsvangirai: unlike Gbagbo, who claims lineage to Pan-Africanism on the > basis of reading books, Mugabe derives his credentials from leading a > guerrilla organization whose networks of camaraderie just half a century > since the independence of African countries began are still very strong. > Now two things. Mugabe weaponizes an entire region to act as batsman for > him at the African Union level. Second, while the nationalist parties that > fought colonial rule are beginning to be eased from office in places like > Kenya, the 'old boys associations' are still strong enough that when > Mugabe talks about British recolonization and uses land as a powerful > rhetorical device, the reality of a western conspiracy--thanks recently to > the wikileaks--fronted by local puppets will not be easily ignored > (however much it may be hollow). By contrast, Gbagbo is thinking he can > bat and bowl--to use cricket jargon--all by himself, gives the middle > finger to ECOWAS no less, even as he can not point to any tangible reason > why the West would be interested in toppling him (Mugabe deployed land as > a weapon at the most strategic time when the opposition, made up of and > supported by white members albeit a tiny minority among black supporters, > was gaining popularity based on very genuine disaffection about > governance. Then he seized the land and used it as a rhetorical RPG-7 > against his enemies; Africa--barring a few heads of state--went along, > applauded, or stayed out of it. That was because of Mugabe's strategic > awareness. > > The thing with Gbagbo is that unlike Mugabe who was possibly too > formidable for SADC barring South Africa militarily, and in any case > counted on it rejecting military force (Mbeki would not allow it and he > said that publicly), and hence military force was off the table even after > Zuma, ECOWAS is quite willing to intervene. Already Gbagbo is facing a > financial blockade, like it or not. Journalists and those whom they are > interviewing say that ECOWAS has little chance of doing that because they > don't have capacity for an excision, drone-like capacity to take out > Gbagbo. What nonsense. African means of removing recalcitrant neighbors > don't need those technologies; they often take, as Nyerere did against > Amin, and Mugabe, Nujoma and Dos Santos did in aid in DR Congo, or SADC in > Lesotho, a full-scale invasion with perhaps Ouattara's troops as back up > or advance guard. That is exactly what they have in mind. > > One final thing. Mugabe and his top generals have an esprit d' corps that > spans at least forty years. He has been keeping them happy--with land, > luxury perks, and promotions. The rank and file's loyalty may be > questioned by the media but when called upon to reinforce Mugabe's will > the army has certainly not said no. And no opposition is powerful enough > to control any part of government in Zimbabwe or any territory; the army, > police, intelligence, prison services, his loyal veterans from the 1970s > war of independence, and party youth militias trained in their thousands > with state coffers are all in control of every inch of Zimbabwe. Certainly > Morgan Tsvangirai is (as yet) no Ouattara, whose will to freeze Gbagbo's > 'government' has not been seen in Zimbabwe. To be loyal soldiers > need to be kept paid; once that dries up, you're out. Here is Mugabe with > all the levers of power that matter; and then here is Gbagbo, > intellectualizing about a western plot against him like Mugabe, with less > than three months of salary to pay the civil service and troops. Or so the > media says. > > My sixth sense tells me that Gbagbo is going to be toppled--it's a > question of who gets to him first--ECOWAS or his own troops. > > Chakanetsa Mavhunga, > Assistant Professor, > Program in STS, > MIT, > mavhu...@mit.edu > > > Quoting a...@joburg.org.za: > > >> >> ACTUS/prpe, 29 December 2010 >> >> Comrade Tony, >> >> Our party, ACTUS/prpe, has no illusions concerning the non-communist >> nature of both protagonists in Côte d'Ivoire. >> >> President Gbagbo is a member of the Socialist International; he is a >> social-democrat. Whereas Ouattara belongs to the circle of the world high >> finance; a former deputy director of the IMF, Ouattara possesses with his >> wife Dominique Ouattara building companies in Paris and in Africa, the >> international Agency of the real-estate marketing (AICI sa), he is an >> owner of a maritime park in Gabon, a plantation of sugar cane in Haiti, a >> cement work in Burkina ? (Source: Mdi Panafricain). >> >> President Sarkozy, then mayor of Neuilly in the bourgeois Seine area in >> the suburbs of Paris, celebrated his marriage in 1990 with Dominique. We >> understand why the capitalist imperialists would like to impose Ouattara >> as president: he who would guarantee their interests better than the >> social-democrat Gbagbo. >> >> As for the supports of certain French socialists to Gbagbo, you make a >> total confusion. Indeed, the French socialist party lined up officially >> behind Sarkozy by summoning to their friend of the Socialist International >> to go over to Ouattara's side. Socialist leaders such as François Loncle, >> Guy Labertit who still continue to support President Gbagbo against the >> position of the socialist Party, do so because since his political exile >> in France, they have been connected by friendship with the future >> President Gbagbo. M. Guy Labertit, for example, accommodated the refugee >> Gbagbo at his home. As for Jack Lang, you are out of date, because this >> one revised his position by sending an open letter to President Gbagbo to >> resign from its post in favour of Ouattara. >> >> The war between the Socialist Party and the right which you declare to be >> the basis of the above-mentioned occasional support for Gbagbo is false. >> This is an imaginary view, far away from the realities that faced by the >> people. Indeed, there never was and there never will be a Left-Right war >> on the question of the enslavement of Africa by France. African peoples of >> former French colonies in Africa are victims of tragedies caused by >> criminal dictators, supported by all French governments of left and right >> from De Gaulle up to Sarkozy via the Socialist Mitterrand. >> >> We have lost our dearest ones in this genocide programmed by French >> imperialism. In France there is an underlying racist bedrock against >> blacks that transcends ideologies. >> >> Our country is experiencing a situation where in Chad killings of >> protesters by the despot Deby are institutionalized. In 20 years 31,000 >> Chadians have been murdered under the watchful eye of France's protection. >> >> >> Our party, ACTUS/prep, agrees that the only appropriate solution of the >> crisis Ivory Coast, as all around the world, lies in the abolition of >> capitalism, the war source of robbery. However, you forget some African >> sociological and material realities which the African revolutionaries and >> we communists should take into account. >> >> The Communist parties in Africa are an extreme minority on the one hand, >> and on the other hand anti-communist brainwashing campaigns have inflicted >> considerable damages. The balance of power is objectively in our >> disfavour; consequently the strategic realities lead us to form alliances >> within the fronts which would allow us to advance our ideas and our cause. >> >> >> The Democratic Forces to which you are referring undoubtedly include some >> bourgeois parties or personalities or social-democrats like President >> Gbagbo, who is opposed by imperialism. The Comrades of PCB (Benin), do not >> they argue in a broad Front where there are bourgeois parties and social >> democrats to defeat incumbent President Yayi Boni - like Ouattara >> supported by the financial community? >> >> The Comrades of the Rally of African Workers-Senegal (RTAS) are they not >> coalition member (BENOO SIGGIL SENEGAL) involving many parties >> ideologically opposed but have developed a flat minimum platform so as to >> beat Wade at the next presidential election? >> >> The PCCO Comrades (DR Congo), to advance their cause, are they not forced >> to forge an alliance with the People's Party for Reconstruction and >> Democracy (PPRD) of President Joseph Kabila who is also not a Communist? >> Could they not have tried it with the presidential party in the Front and >> they could emerge and be strengthened? Finally, the Alliance of Democratic >> Forces for Liberation (ADFL) of President Kabila, has he not been this >> wide including the Popular Front right, communists, trade unions, the >> feudal ... with minimum objective and short-term to destroy the dictator >> Mobutu? >> >> Comrade Tony, for your information, it is necessary to recall our >> conference last August in South Africa. Is it not a broad Left Front >> comprising socialists, revolutionary democratic parties, fronts, the >> Communist Parties ranging from the Stalinist as our party, ACTUS/prpe >> (Chad) and your Party PTB (Belqique)? Here I would like to convey our >> profound gratitude to the PTB, which, through its seminars and Marxists >> universities, we have been introduced to the communist ideology. The book >> "another look at Stalin" from Comrade Ludo Martens, who was in the >> curriculum, we were deeply influenced by. >> >> In the case of our country Chad, our party, ACTUS/prpe, communist, >> considered objectively the agreement of the Forces so as to achieve the >> minimum platform which is to oust the dictator Déby militarily supported >> by imperialism French, we joined a large National Resistance Front. >> Members do not share our ideology of communism. Far from it. >> >> These few examples clearly show that some battles can be won only within a >> Front. The democratic Ivorian forces which you allude to, are they the >> ones that support Ouattara, a friend of bankers and other capitalists? Or >> those belonging to the Presidential Majority of President Laurent Gbagbo, >> attacked like Robert Mugabe by the western imperialists? >> >> Our party has judged objectively and belongs to the broad anti-imperialist >> Front in Africa and the rest of the world that supports the Gbagbo camp. >> Our party believes that the pro-Gbagbo anti-imperialist front would move >> the anti-imperialist a little, and particularly against the French >> imperialism (Francafrique) that still exists. People frustrated by >> France's support for criminal dictators are found naturally along with >> Gbagbo. Protests against French imperialism took place in France, England, >> Italy ... >> >> I do not know what is happening in Belgium. I remind you that a delegation >> of the African Youth from several African countries had gone a week ago to >> Abidjan to give their support to President Gbagbo. An anti-imperialist >> movement is unquestionable seeing the day. We Communists have to do our >> historic duty in the face of the attempted recolonization of Africa. We >> have a central theme of "anti-imperialism" which is an integral part of >> fighting Communists, so why hesitate to get involved and especially the >> first guide in the direction of the national democratic revolution and >> later give the content of the class struggle? >> >> Comrade Che said: "The revolution will not wait outside the door..." It >> behoves us Communists to take part in a spontaneous in some spontaneous >> movement that has been born. The level of repression of dictators >> Françafrique (french imperialism) is appalling, and the level of >> revolutionary consciousness is virtually nil due to anti communist >> propaganda, so it is not easy for us to create a communist insurgency >> situation for revolution. However, we can act, direct situations and >> actual conditions. As Comrade said Tony, in your capacity as a Marxist and >> Communist, it would be inappropriate to remind you of the existence of >> objective causes and the subjective causes of revolutions. The evolution >> of the movement depends on the degree of commitment of the Communists and >> their deep ideological conviction. >> >> However the camp the most reactionary is Ouattara. He would never allow a >> victory for progressive forces. The doctrine of hesitant "neither Ouattara >> nor Gbagbo" Comrades - would it not be pure capitulation to this predatory >> war unleashed by the imperialist and undoubtedly then to be extended to >> all of Africa? >> >> Obviously for us communists, this small step will serve as an anchor to >> lay the groundwork for the popular national democratic revolution in the >> short term and long term those of the African socialist revolution. >> Comrade Tony, we assure you that our party ACTUS/prpe remains and will >> remain Stalinist Communist. We have in mind the goal without losing sight >> of our identity in a united front. You personally, do you remain still as >> before, or have you mutated? >> >> Your comparison is that to justify your diplomatic position "neither >> Ouattara nor Gbagbo" with Lenin during the 14-18 war seems wrong. Indeed, >> the historical and political context is different because this war was >> between two bourgeois alliances formed kingdoms and republics of Western >> Europe. The Triple Entente is the military alliance of France, the United >> Kingdom and Imperial Russia faced the Triple Alliance or the Triple >> Alliance consisting of the German Empire, the Austro-Hungarian power and >> the Kingdom of Italy. >> >> In Ivory Coast it is not the assassination of an archduke that started the >> war crusade led by France against its president Laurent Gbagbo and the >> Ivorian people. This African country is dominated by the only French >> imperialism, which denies the new direction of President Gbagbo to open >> its market to other competing countries (China, Russia). Moreover, recall >> that the Ivorian market was previously exclusively for French companies, >> which have signed contracts stupendous looting in dubious circumstances. >> >> France is not at war against the other imperialist powers in Ivory Coast, >> not against China and Russia. French President Sarkozy and his allies the >> USA and the EU want to impose one of their servants, Mr. Ouattara who will >> ensure the best interests of France and especially those of his friend, >> the industrialist who controls Bolloré and much wealth the country through >> its group of the same name. France by proxy in order to avoid finding >> themselves caught in its own trap or as mired in Vietnam and Algeria, >> wants to outsource the imperialist war of plunder against Gbagbo to the >> forces of the Economic Community of African States Western States (ECOWAS) >> most of the leaders of which are also small evil creatures of French >> imperialism or Françafrique. >> >> A final historical fact that destroys your comparison with Lenin's >> position against the imperialist war in Côte d'Ivoire is that the >> successive defeats of Russia during the First World War are among the >> causes of the bourgeois revolution in February. Upon entry into war, all >> parties to such participation, except the Social Democratic Party of >> Russia (RSDLP) of Lenin, the only one in Europe and the Serbian Socialist >> Party refused to vote for war credits, but warns, however it will not seek >> to sabotage the war effort. >> >> I hope that supporters of "neither Ouattara nor Gbagbo" refrain from acts >> likely to impede the African peoples' struggle against French imperialism, >> which undoubtedly will find its culmination in Côte d'Ivoire. >> >> Long live the struggle of African peoples against imperialist domination >> in Côte d'Ivoire to live the true independence of the continent. >> >> With communist greetings >> >> General Secretary of ACTUS/prpe >> Dr LEY-NGARDIGAL Djimadoum >> actus-p...@club-internet.fr >> >> >> >> >> Ali Khangela Hlongwane >> Chief Curator: Museum Africa >> >> 121 Bree Street >> Newtown >> 2001 >> >> Box 517 >> Newtown >> Tel:(011) 833 5624 >> Fax:(011)833 5636 >> Cell: 082 4639869 >> a...@joburg.org.za >> http//joburg.org.za/culture/museums-galleries >> (This letter was sent electronically and is therefore not signed) >> >> >> >> >> ##################################################################################### >> The contents of this e-mail and any attachments are confidential. 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