Peter, Gary F.
 
Peter, thanks for this helpful clarification that a falsification is
not ever conclusive.
 
I would agree with you that "Popper was a fallibilist as well as a
falsificationist," and that that distinction certainly needs to be made.
The point I wanted to make in passing, but which I clearly didn't
express very well  in my post addressed to Tori and the list (
suggesting that a lot more could be said about it--and has been, even
recently on this list!) is exactly that both were fallibilists (and Tom
Short, apparently, as well).  See, for example, Susan Haack and
Konstantin Kalenda, "Two Fallibilists in Search of the Truth"
http://www.jstor.org/pss/4106816 , the two fallibilists being exactly
Peirce and Popper.

Btw, I too have found the "swamp/bog" metaphor in both their works
eeiry given that Popper wasn't aware of Peirce's work.
 
Anyhow, just a question for now: Would you agree that it is correct to
say that falsifiability entails fallibilism as this writer remarks? What
of his other claims? (In the light of your comments, at the moment I
would tend to agree with him). 
See: 
http://science.jrank.org/pages/9302/Falsifiability-Popper-s-Emphasis-on-Falsifiability.html

"Moreover, falsifiability, as the ongoing risk of falsification in our
world, is a permanent status for Popper. No amount of successful testing
can establish a hypothesis as absolutely true or even probable: it
forever remains conjectural. That all scientific theories remain
falsifiable entails fallibilism, the view that our best epistemic
efforts remain open to future revision. There can be no certain
foundations to knowledge."
 
Best,
 
Gary R.
 
>>> "Skagestad, Peter" <[email protected]> 8/5/2011 12:12 PM >>>
Gary,

This is not exactly Popper's view, although this is how Popper has
often been interpreted, e.g. by Ayer, in Language, Truth, and Logic.
Popper's falsificationism is based on a purely logical asymmetry between
falsification and verification in that a single counterexample will
refute a universal statement, whereas no number of confirming instances
will prove it. Thus no number of observed black ravens will prove the
statement "All ravens are black," whereas a single white raven will
refute it. But it does not follow, nor did Popper ever say, that a
falsification is ever conclusive, as I can of course be mistaken both in
my belief that  am looking at a raven and in my perception that it is
white.

Basic statements, Popper makes clear in The Logic of Scientific
Discovery (pp. 105-111), are themselves testable; they are "basic" only
in the sense that we have decided not to test them, at least for the
time being. Thus Popper was a fallibilist as well as a falsificationist.
His discussion of basic statements concludes: 

The empirical bases of objective science has thus nothing 'absolute'
about it. Science does not rest on solid bedrock. The bold structure of
its theories rises, as it were, above a swamp. It is like a building
erected on piles. The piles are driven down from above into the swamp,
but not down to any natural or ‘given’ base; and if we stop driving the
piles deeper, it is not because we have reached firm ground. We simply
stop when we are satisfied that the piles are firm enough to carry the
structure, at least for the time being. (L.Sc.D., pp. 11)

This is almost eerily reminiscent of Peirce:

Even if it [science] does find confirmations, they are only partial. It
is still not standing upon the bedrock of fact. It is walking upon a
bog, and can only say, this ground seems to hold for the present. Here I
will stay till it begins to give way. (EP, vol. 2, p. 55)

Popper apparently arrived at his views with no knowledge of Peirce,
although later in life he came to acknowledge numerous points of
agreement with Peirce. But of course thee remain differences, their
divergent conceptions of metaphysics being, as you note, one of them.

Best,
Peter




________________________________________
From: C S Peirce discussion list [[email protected]] on
behalf of Gary Fuhrman [[email protected]]
Sent: Friday, August 05, 2011 6:30 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [peirce-l] Slow Read: "Teleology and the Autonomy of the
Semiosis Process"

I'd like to add one minor detail to what Stefan, Michael, Wilfred,
d_obrien, and Stephen have already well said in response to Steven.

Popper's "falsification" is the principle that only a hypothesis that
can be refuted by empirical testing is really testable, because proof
that a hypothesis is false can be conclusive while confirmation is never
conclusive. Peirce said this too, but that's not what he called
"fallibilism", which indeed he applied to all inquiry and not only to
special sciences. Besides, the term "science" has greater breadth for
Peirce than it does for you or Popper. For instance, Peirce speaks of
metaphysics as a science, and i don't think either you or Popper would.

By the way, d_obrien, glad you could join us! We welcome "newbies"
(though we don't always make it easy for them to enter the
conversation). I expect we'll hear more from you, judging from the
quality of your post -- and it would be helpful if you would sign your
future contributions (so we don't have to address you as d_obrien).

Gary F.

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