Re: Extremists due to strong priors?

2000-07-20 Thread Robin Hanson
. The observe a correlation between extremism and apparently objective measures of inflexibility. So either you have to say the data doesn't measure what it seems, or accept the data and try to explain it. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University

Re: The Indeterminacy of Individual Economic Actions

2000-07-27 Thread Robin Hanson
means that you don't get any benefits, and your contribution is reduced down to the level required to maintain the current inter-generational redistribution. This is what I had in mind, but should have said. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Maso

Bush vs. Gore

2000-08-28 Thread Robin Hanson
orm agenda. ***** Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Why not develop them here?

2000-09-14 Thread Robin Hanson
to suggests it benefits us as well. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Morality and Immigration

2000-09-14 Thread Robin Hanson
to there, though they clearly don't weigh very heavily on them, since such aid is rather small. They treat the two ways of helping differently, even though the way of helping others that they avoid would actually help them as well. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics

Re: AIDS/POLIO-Not Much Econ

2000-09-21 Thread Robin Hanson
ntroduction of cheap syringes, both of which might explain why infection didn't happen earlier. But I'm not sure they can explain why we haven't seen more such transmissions since then. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Ca

Re: AIDS/POLIO-Not Much Econ

2000-09-21 Thread Robin Hanson
about reports of when people said they saw the disease, but about what we can now infer about who had what when. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Imperfect Reasoning (was: reading recommendation)

2000-09-26 Thread Robin Hanson
oning tend to assume that people are not meta-rational. This may be true, but most of the evidence presented just show cognitive errors, and is silent on the issue of meta-rationality. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Ha

Re: Imperfect Reasoning (was: reading recommendation)

2000-09-26 Thread Robin Hanson
about realizing that each person tends to think highly of him/herself, and trying to compensate for that. How is this so far-fetched? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX

Re: Imperfect Reasoning

2000-09-27 Thread Robin Hanson
oups of people based on small possibly non- representative sets of examples, and consciously try to overcome this tendency. Overall, I'd say they do a reasonable job of correcting for this possible cognitive bias. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George

Re: Assassination

2000-10-06 Thread Robin Hanson
leaders would fear for their lives. That seems a plausible theory to me. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: patenting

2000-10-16 Thread Robin Hanson
Chris Auld wrote: On Tue, 10 Oct 2000, Robin Hanson wrote: If the monopolist equals the paper authors, and the product over which there is a monopoly has its primary value in producing this paper, then I think the journal should require that the algorithm be made available free to others

Re: Periodic redistribution

2000-10-19 Thread Robin Hanson
Jewish tradition of "Julilee" redistributed every 50 years, which makes more sense. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Report A Bug, Pay More?

2000-10-23 Thread Robin Hanson
ess likely to see it fixed. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Top 10 Economic Puzzles

2000-10-24 Thread Robin Hanson
and others poor? 3) Which kinds of consumption are more vs. less positional? 4) Why do people agree to disagree? 5) Why do the young ignore lifestyle advice from the old? 6) What exactly do people get out of voting? 7) What is the functional form of a typical utility function U($)? Robin Hanson [EMAIL

Re: Top 10 Economic Puzzles

2000-10-25 Thread Robin Hanson
with good nutrition a century ago didn't live anywhere near as long as we do. 2) Why are some nations rich and others poor? Are you claiming that we have little or no knowledge about this topic? No, just that the topic is terribly important. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http

Re: Top 10 Economic Puzzles

2000-10-25 Thread Robin Hanson
to summarize how much progress economics has made since the year 2000. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Top 10 Economic Puzzles

2000-10-27 Thread Robin Hanson
of these questions. And I very much like your creativity and coming up with theories to consider. But until we can convince more other people to favor our theories, we have to still call them open questions. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George

Why Are Courting Signals Ambiguous?

2000-11-27 Thread Robin Hanson
ght be larger for the attached and the poor, who are less desired. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Why Are Courting Signals Ambiguous?

2000-11-29 Thread Robin Hanson
that mating signals are more ambiguous that can be explained by this alone. Job matching also requires fluctuations in interest expressed, but seems far less ambiguous. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax

Re: The Price of Free Speech ce of Free

2000-12-04 Thread Robin Hanson
speech. Probably $1/year is more the median answer for how much a person is willing to pay to have a constitutional protection against the government banning that person's speech. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow

Re: The ACLU and The Price of Free Speech

2000-12-05 Thread Robin Hanson
directly causes our society to be more tolerant of diverse religious expressions. But I'd want to see more evidence in favor of this theory before accepting it. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA

Why not refinance when interest rates rise?

2000-12-14 Thread Robin Hanson
someone else to take over your $7000 per year obligation for only $70,000. So you should be able to refinance, make the same loan payment, and have $30,000 more equity in your house. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow

Re: Externalities, Coase

2001-02-05 Thread Robin Hanson
of an economic situation without having to analyze it in enough detail to figure out if there is a market failure. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Does the stock market do better under Democratic or Republican presidents?

2001-08-28 Thread Robin Hanson
this are described at http://hanson.gmu.edu/decisionmarkets.pdf) I predict that speculators would estimate a *much* smaller than 9pt difference, if any, between Republican vs. Democrat stock returns. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason

Re: Disaster Raises Happiness, Trust

2001-10-01 Thread Robin Hanson
threatened, its members are programmed to reassure each other of their affection and loyalty. Sex can do that. Babies may result, but perhaps other processes can reduce that effect when babies are less desired. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George

Efficiency of Academia (was: Austrians and markets)

2001-11-27 Thread Robin Hanson
correct in a solid piece of economic history, or demonstrating a sense of judgement and wisdom on policy relevant issues seems to be more the hallmark of the best within the Austrian approach. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread Robin Hanson
people want to prevent trans-racial adoption. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Only Economists Tell the Truth?

2002-01-11 Thread Robin Hanson
inconsistent? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Only Economists Tell the Truth?

2002-01-16 Thread Robin Hanson
. But consistency seems to suggest that I should then also not much believe economists when they tell me why they write the papers they do. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326

Re: Decision Markets

2002-02-12 Thread Robin Hanson
Dr. Alexander Tabarrok wrote: Another armchair economist made the news! Robin (Hanson) was mentioned in yesterday's (Sunday Feb. 10, 2002) New York Times in an interesting article about using experimental markets to generate marketing information. ... http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/10

Re: mathematical assumptions (Physics Economics)

2002-02-14 Thread Robin Hanson
in far more detail. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

RE: mathematical assumptions (Physics Economics)

2002-02-14 Thread Robin Hanson
, but usually control problems are dominated by decision theory issues, not physics issues. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Economics of rank vs. Economics of the most money

2002-02-21 Thread Robin Hanson
the consumption of those workers, to minimize the regard in which those workers are held by associates, or to maximize their mating with potential partners who these workers might compete for. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3

Re: nafta

2002-04-22 Thread Robin Hanson
is at least $100 billion. If a thousand economists took ten years to produce this outcome, their marginal product would be $10 million/yr! I think that is considerably more than the opportunity cost for most economists. :-) Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof

Tax Leisure via Time Audits?

2002-04-25 Thread Robin Hanson
are doing it to avoid taxes, and so failure to contact will be coded as not working for wages. Anyone ever estimated the size of the deadweight loss from the income tax distortion? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow

Re: Tax Leisure via Time Audits?

2002-04-25 Thread Robin Hanson
them. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Tax Leisure via Time Audits?

2002-04-25 Thread Robin Hanson
to audit time spent. We need enough data so that audits are feasible. Question: Would such a program necessarily imply flat taxation, instead of progressive, since income will not be reported but hours will? Tax as a function of hours need not be flat. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http

Re: Tax Leisure via Time Audits?

2002-04-26 Thread Robin Hanson
the advice. Btw, if people could be persuaded, this is the form of government I'd advise them to choose: http://hanson.gmu.edu/futarchy.html Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326

Re: Tax Leisure via Time Audits?

2002-04-27 Thread Robin Hanson
At 04:59 PM 4/26/02 -0700, Wei Dai wrote: On Fri, Apr 26, 2002 at 05:15:33PM -0400, Robin Hanson wrote: I apply the same logic to government. If I believe, as I do, that people often overestimate the value they get from government, I should fix that if I can by persuasion. What if you

Re: In Praise of Pay Toilets

2002-05-28 Thread Robin Hanson
. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: I'm lying to you for your own good

2002-06-04 Thread Robin Hanson
Warning Labels as Cheap-Talk: Why Regulators Ban Drugs by Robin Hanson One explanation for drug bans is that regulators know more than consumers about product quality. But why not just communicate the information in their ban

Consumer Reports on Deregulation

2002-06-10 Thread Robin Hanson
. Is there a rebuttal to this somewhere? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: fantastically entertaining paper

2002-06-20 Thread Robin Hanson
doesn't even try here. I'd say that the key stumbling block to a better theory of academic journals is identifying the real customers and their preferences. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA

RE: fantastically entertaining paper

2002-06-21 Thread Robin Hanson
demand is up. If quantity is going down, we'd suspect costs are going up. Or maybe price discrimination is getting easier, and you're just looking at the prices the high value customers pay. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN

Re: fantastically entertaining paper

2002-06-21 Thread Robin Hanson
. There have long been journals with strong editors, and I don't see much social pressure against people who like such journals. There might be other coordination failures with people liking the AER, but if so they must be about some other fixed feature of the AER besides referee vetoes. Robin Hanson

Re: Not such a fantastically entertaining paper

2002-06-21 Thread Robin Hanson
William Sjostrom wrote: I agree that academia wastes vast resources relative to the goal of seeking truth, but I disagree that this implies a market failure, mainly because I don't think the ultimate customers fundamentally want truth. In fact, I think customers in part want faddism and

Re: academic journals

2002-06-24 Thread Robin Hanson
and is perpetuated by cultural memes which are themselves the end. I hope you meant original seed metaphorically, rather than temporally. It's not clear there ever was a time when things were different. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN

Re: children and cooperation

2002-07-12 Thread Robin Hanson
, etc. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: children and cooperation

2002-07-12 Thread Robin Hanson
look more like their behavior is more of an adaption for children to act less cooperatively than adults. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

RE: Republican Reversal

2002-07-17 Thread Robin Hanson
or so. (November 1997, Gallup Poll) so why should we be surprised that many Americans also support farm subsidies? Why is this inappropriate? Don't we have far more reason to believe that humankind is more than 10,000 years old than we have to believe that farm subsidies don't work? Robin Hanson

Re: Republican Reversal -- from whence, belief?

2002-07-18 Thread Robin Hanson
Grey Thomas wrote: Let us assume the Bible is not true; further, that there is no Biblical God. Thus, no basis for ANY of the 10 commandments, nor thus for any absolute moral good vs. evil. So fornication, adultery, stealing, murder are not This obviously results in a selfish, mean society

Why Compact Cars Identical?

2002-08-12 Thread Robin Hanson
similar they are, you'd think they'd be available in more than eight colors. ) Is this convergence due to technology or preferences? Is this just clearly the cheapest way to make a roomy reliable car? Or do people now have a preference for a car that looks just like everyone else's car? Robin

Re: Why Compact Cars Identical?

2002-08-12 Thread Robin Hanson
square and boxy a simple way to maximize space inside the car? OK, but wouldn't this have always been true? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Nations as Corporations

2002-08-14 Thread Robin Hanson
and beg here? Would people tend to leave when they retire? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Nations as Corporations

2002-08-14 Thread Robin Hanson
? Yes, but it seems unlikely many would do so. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Nations as Corporations

2002-08-14 Thread Robin Hanson
interests would be overpowered as they are now. And as they are in any corporation. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Nations as Corporations

2002-08-14 Thread Robin Hanson
in such a worlds? Are state-enforced lawsuits really what keeps large multinational corporations honest now? If not, then the concept here is to use mechanisms similar to whatever large corporations now use. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason

Re: Charity and Races as Complements

2002-09-09 Thread Robin Hanson
these as opposed to any other set of three positive features (such as humor, intelligence, residence, etc.)? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Charity and Races as Complements

2002-09-09 Thread Robin Hanson
they donated to the charity. If I donated $10,000, couldn't you donate a few dollars? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Charity and Races as Complements

2002-09-09 Thread Robin Hanson
for racing but few people will pay me to mow my own lawn (or anyone else's)! Races are public goods?! How do I benefit if some other people run a race with each other? Is this just due to some externality that healthy people produce in general? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http

Re: Charity and Races as Complements

2002-09-09 Thread Robin Hanson
isn't much sacrifice, as I suggested. If exercise isn't much of a sacrifice, then someone's willingness to do it isn't much of a signal of their commitment to a charity, which was the proposed explanation that I was responding to in the above. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu

Re: Charity and Races as Complements

2002-09-10 Thread Robin Hanson
soliciting for a race by itself, or for someone soliciting for a cancer charity by itself, but they do give money to someone soliciting for a cancer run. Why the extra willingness to donate to this combined solicitation? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George

Re: measuring value of information goods

2002-09-17 Thread Robin Hanson
to watch the movie together to infer what you want from this data. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-29 Thread Robin Hanson
? For example, might not the self-interest of academics, as sellers of schooling, bias their advice on schooling? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-11-04 Thread Robin Hanson
is not enough. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Self-assesment vs. Rationality

2002-11-10 Thread Robin Hanson
Fred Foldvary wrote: --- Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: irrationaly optimistic self-assesment? It is true that many investors are overconfident of their abilities and wrongly think they can beat the averages. But why call this irrational? It seems to me that the concept

DARPA markets on MidEast

2003-05-31 Thread Robin Hanson
: www.PolicyAnalysisMarket.org Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Charity

2003-06-04 Thread Robin Hanson
bill. Huh? This can't possibly be right. People could choose a cheaper mortgage, fewer children, etc. In a world with a median income of ~$3000, someone who makes ten times that much surely can choose to spend thousands on charity if they want to. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http

Re: Competition vs. Profits in the NBA

2003-07-10 Thread Robin Hanson
? Are there other examples? Can we model this behavior as resulting from rational agents, or is some irrationality required to make such a story work? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030

Weekday/end Work vs Leisure or Home product

2003-07-18 Thread Robin Hanson
on weekends? Do people pay for parking on weekdays, but drive around looking for free parking on weekends? Any other similar predictions hold? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030

Senators Denounce Policy Analysis Markets

2003-07-28 Thread Robin Hanson
FYI, our DARPA project (www.policyanalysismarket.com) has just been denounced by two senators: http://wyden.senate.gov/media/2003/07282003_terrormarket.html Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

2003-08-21 Thread Robin Hanson
as ten people, or is it that they can eat foods that are cheaper than food humans can live on? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

2003-08-22 Thread Robin Hanson
by assumption the opportunity cost of humans is roughly the cost to feed them. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

2003-08-22 Thread Robin Hanson
of laborers is low and fat. The demand curve may rise to great heights, but eventually if falls down to meet such a low supply curve. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming (fwd)

2003-08-22 Thread Robin Hanson
than 11 people trying to plow with hand tools. I'm not sure why taht's so hard to believe. Also possible, but perhaps surprising. 11 people are lots clever than one. So the returns to being clever must be very low here. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor

Re: Economics and E.T.s (fwd)

2003-08-22 Thread Robin Hanson
. The costs of colonizing should fall drastically in a million years. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

What's Wrong With Blood Feuds?

2003-09-25 Thread Robin Hanson
? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: why aren't we smarter?

2003-11-26 Thread Robin Hanson
the questions of what exactly are the cues that our evolved minds use to figure out which topics they should act dumb on. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703

Re: why aren't we smarter?

2003-11-30 Thread Robin Hanson
economists are probably less trustworthy partners in various ways. We see this in various experiments comparing economists to others. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326

Re: why aren't we smarter?

2003-12-07 Thread Robin Hanson
plausibility. But you'd need to argue that the huge increase in IQ that has been documented during this last century isn't really an increase in intelligence. And doing that makes it harder to take Jewish IQ as relevant data. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor

Is Manipulation Good?

2004-03-24 Thread Robin Hanson
Since the precedent has been set, let me advertise my new paper: --- http://hanson.gmu.edu/biashelp.pdf Manipulators Increase Information Market Accuracy by Robin Hanson and Ryan Oprea, March 2004

Kerry to win, 2.5 to 1

2004-11-02 Thread Robin Hanson
Tradesports, IEM, Betfair give Kerry a 71 to 74% chance to win. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Now Bush to win 1.5:1

2004-11-03 Thread Robin Hanson
other institutions that on average do better? So far direction comparisons between markets and other institutions in the field have favored markets. And real and play money have come out about the same. But the jury is still out. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant

Re: Now Bush to win 1.5:1

2004-11-03 Thread Robin Hanson
about yesterday. But if you wait a few years, I'm sure the academics who did the previous studies will extend them to include this new data. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-

Hide from friends, but not from enemies

2004-11-21 Thread Robin Hanson
on this will be found at: http://hanson.gmu.edu/openhide.html Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Which Side Does The Informed Media Favor?

2005-03-19 Thread Robin Hanson
. --- http://hanson.gmu.edu/PAMpress.pdf The Informed Press Favored the Policy Analysis Market by Robin Hanson, March 2005 The Policy Analysis Market (PAM), otherwise known as ``terrorism futures, burst into public view in a firestorm of condemnation on July 28, 2003