Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-08 Thread Horace Heffner
On Sep 7, 2008, at 5:51 PM, Rick Monteverde wrote: Nick - you simply cannot keep stating what you have said previously and retain any credibility. With you, perhaps, and that doesn't concern me a bit. The position I take is based on my and others' interpretation of the facts, and I'll

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-08 Thread Nick Palmer
Rick wrote The position I take is based on my and others' interpretation of the facts, and I'll stand on that. Lindzen is entitled to his opinion, as are you to yours. Your position would only be acceptable if the various opinions were of equal weight. They are not. Lindzen's opinion

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-08 Thread Rick Monteverde
Nick - Nick You claim to have interpreted the facts but your postings reveal that you are not looking at facts, you are looking at what the deniers tell you are the facts - these people are lying to you - frequently, relentlessly, blatantly. /Nick Where the heck are you getting that from my

RE: [Vo]:RE: [Vo] Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Rick Monteverde
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:RE: [Vo] Sunspotless Rick Monteverde wrote: snip

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Nick Palmer
Just to try to level the field wherein all the argument takes place over AGW. Richard Lindzen is probably the most respected of the atmospheric scientists who are sceptical about catastrophic climate change. He has been the AGW sceptical scientist-of-choice on many TV programmes and writes

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Edmund Storms
While all you say very well Nick is true and reasonable. Nevertheless the basic issue is not addressed. The basic issue is that burning fossil fuels is harmful for several important reasons, only one of which is global warming. Therefore, we should make every effort to phase out this

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Edmund Storms wrote: While all you say very well Nick is true and reasonable. Nevertheless the basic issue is not addressed. The basic issue is that burning fossil fuels is harmful for several important reasons, only one of which is global warming. Therefore, we should make every effort to

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Edmund Storms
On Sep 7, 2008, at 10:57 AM, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote: Edmund Storms wrote: snip So, when the Arctic Ocean is free of ice and the last polar bear is stuffed and placed in a museum, it will *STILL* not be obvious that humans had any effect at all on the climate: The apparent connection

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Rick Monteverde
Nick - The skeptics point to those three things because those things correctly expose the serious problems AGW has - a lack of evidence for CO2 as a cause for warming. 1) there has been warming ...and cooling. And warming. Etc. (I figured you meant currently since human CO2 contribution, but

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Nick Palmer
Apologies for the shouting in this post! Rick wrote: The skeptics point to those three things because those things correctly expose the serious problems AGW has - a lack of evidence for CO2 as a cause for warming. There is tons of evidence for CO2 as a (but not the only) cause for warming.

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-07 Thread Rick Monteverde
Nick - you simply cannot keep stating what you have said previously and retain any credibility. With you, perhaps, and that doesn't concern me a bit. The position I take is based on my and others' interpretation of the facts, and I'll stand on that. Lindzen is entitled to his opinion, as are

[Vo]:RE: [Vo] Sunspotless

2008-09-06 Thread Rick Monteverde
A. Lawrence [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, September 05, 2008 4:02 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick Monteverde wrote: I'm sorry, I'll respond from now on only when spoken to directly. My bad. Sorry if it sounded like I thought you shouldn't have

Re: [Vo]:RE: [Vo] Sunspotless

2008-09-06 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Rick Monteverde wrote: Stephen wrote: I don't understand why you seem to feel humans have no control over human-generated carbon dioxide. How you got that I don't know, but please don't tell me. Of course we can control (dramatically reduce) it, for instance by shutting down our

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-06 Thread Terry Blanton
, 2008 11:35 AM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless In reply to Rick Monteverde's message of Fri, 5 Sep 2008 10:25:43 -1000: Hi, [snip] The argument is whether there are anthropogenic causes to it. I say that the models are incapable of directing that conclusion because

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-06 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Taylor J. Smith's message of Sat, 06 Sep 2008 14:14:36 +: Hi, [snip] What I see here is a peak around solar max superimposed on a general upward trend. It's a pity about the missing years. This is perhaps more use:

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Jed Rothwell
Rick Monteverde wrote: My information that the computer models can't accurately track reality? Chaos theory, mostly, and practical experience and observation too, validated by numerous people who know and use these systems and are honest about how they work. You can't expect a recursive

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
Jed - That's preposterous. If you wish. It's also a fact. It's inherent in how the math works. If that were true, weather forecasting computer programs would not work. You are correct. You've heard of Lorenz, of course. The programs only work for a very brief time before their results

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Jed Rothwell
Rick Monteverde wrote: If that were true, weather forecasting computer programs would not work. You are correct. You've heard of Lorenz, of course. The programs only work for a very brief time before their results degrade to useless noise, so they are only good before they reach that point .

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Jed Rothwell wrote: Furthermore, you are ignoring the fact that the global warming experts predictions have come true in the world is indisputably growing hotter rapidly, as Ed pointed out. You do not need a computer to see that. Just look at melting ice... Just ask Horace. He's in

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
/LENR results. Oh wait, that's what I'm saying about the cause of the warming we see. Ok, maybe not so bad after all. - Rick -Original Message- From: Jed Rothwell [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, September 05, 2008 9:26 AM To: vortex-L@eskimo.com Subject: RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
writings from some completely different person. I myself would disagree with 'that person' you've constructed as well. - Rick -Original Message- From: Stephen A. Lawrence [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, September 05, 2008 10:05 AM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Edmund Storms
-L@eskimo.com Subject: RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick Monteverde wrote: If that were true, weather forecasting computer programs would not work. You are correct. You've heard of Lorenz, of course. The programs only work for a very brief time before their results degrade to useless noise, so

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Rick Monteverde wrote: Never said there was no warming, I said we didn't do it and that we're not capable of doing anything practical to change it. Stephen, add your name to the list of those who choose to ignore the actual content of my posts Was I responding directly to you? Don't

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Rick Monteverde's message of Fri, 5 Sep 2008 10:25:43 -1000: Hi, [snip] The argument is whether there are anthropogenic causes to it. I say that the models are incapable of directing that conclusion because of their inherent shortcomings. [snip] I agree that the models are only models

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Nick Palmer
I sent a voice input reply on this topic without any checking, be warned, the grammar etc is rubbish (but the ideas and the picture are good if you can sort them out).

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Jed Rothwell
To summarize my point about chutzpah, Rick Monteverde wrote: Never said there was no warming, I said we didn't do it and that we're not capable of doing anything practical to change it. You can say this without irking me and other conventionally-minded, pocket-protector scientific type

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
: Stephen A. Lawrence [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, September 05, 2008 10:59 AM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick Monteverde wrote: Never said there was no warming, I said we didn't do it and that we're not capable of doing anything practical to change

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
to engage in. - Rick -Original Message- From: Edmund Storms [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, September 05, 2008 10:52 AM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Cc: Edmund Storms; vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless And you miss my point, Rick. My point is that it does not matter

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Jed Rothwell wrote [to Rick Monteverde]: ... as you and I agree it [global warming] is happening. The cause is the only question. Yes, you and Rick agree, and only argue over the cause. However, part of the reason I posted my comments about Alaska and Canada, and almost posted a snide

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
Jed: I am saying that both are based upon the same knowledge of atmospheric physics that knowledge is demonstrably impressive. When you say that the hypothesis cannot possibly be right and the experts ought to know better, I say that's chutzpah, it is insufferable, and it irks me! C'mon Jed,

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
-L@eskimo.com Subject: RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless To summarize my point about chutzpah, Rick Monteverde wrote: Never said there was no warming, I said we didn't do it and that we're not capable of doing anything practical to change it. You can say this without irking me and other conventionally-minded

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Rick Monteverde
] Sent: Friday, September 05, 2008 11:35 AM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless In reply to Rick Monteverde's message of Fri, 5 Sep 2008 10:25:43 -1000: Hi, [snip] The argument is whether there are anthropogenic causes to it. I say that the models are incapable of directing

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Jed Rothwell
Rick Monteverde [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I'm sure Jed doesn't care how many think CF is bunk, in terms that situation having any bearing on the nature of the evidence or the conclusions he has come to regarding the evidence. They can all be wrong, and in the case of CF we're pretty certain

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Rick Monteverde's message of Fri, 5 Sep 2008 12:45:00 -1000: Hi, [snip] Robin - Well and concisely put. I only take issue with #3 because of the assumptions that we should be trying to interfere with the situation, and that warming is necessarily a bad thing in the long run. Used

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-05 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Rick Monteverde wrote: I'm sorry, I'll respond from now on only when spoken to directly. My bad. Sorry if it sounded like I thought you shouldn't have replied; I wasn't trying to shush you! I was just saying those remarks were not directed specifically at what you said. It was nothing more

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Nick Palmer
There will be a new book on global warming coming out, provisionally titled What's the Worst that could Happen?. It's written by wonderingmind42 AKA Greg Craven, a school science teacher from Oregon. He did a 10 minute Youtube video that went viral called How it all ends

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Edmund Storms
The obvious problem with the argument of whether to do something about global warming always involves a basic error. The error is that if we try to do something, it will result in economic damage. Actually, if we invest in alternate energy, this will create jobs and keep more money in the

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Jed Rothwell
Edmund Storms wrote: The obvious problem with the argument of whether to do something about global warming always involves a basic error. The error is that if we try to do something, it will result in economic damage. Actually, if we invest in alternate energy, this will create jobs and keep

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Edmund Storms's message of Thu, 4 Sep 2008 09:08:25 -0600: Hi, [snip] The obvious problem with the argument of whether to do something about global warming always involves a basic error. The error is that if we try to do something, it will result in economic damage. [snip] It will

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Edmund Storms
Yes Robin, but why do the nonoil barons keep making this point? Ed On Sep 4, 2008, at 3:29 PM, Robin van Spaandonk wrote: In reply to Edmund Storms's message of Thu, 4 Sep 2008 09:08:25 -0600: Hi, [snip] The obvious problem with the argument of whether to do something about global

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Edmund Storms's message of Thu, 4 Sep 2008 15:37:43 -0600: Hi, [snip] Yes Robin, but why do the nonoil barons keep making this point? Are you really sure that those who keep making the point are not influenced by the oil barons? Regards, Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Edmund Storms
Good point Robin. Perhaps we should turn this around and use this as a criteria of who is influenced by the oil barons. For example, Obama made the point that development of alternate energy would put people to work. Using this criteria, Obama is apparently not under their influence. Ed

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Rick Monteverde
PROTECTED] Cc: Edmund Storms Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick, I ask you where you get your information and why does the claim for global warming causes such an emotional reaction? The world is clearly warming. The only issue is how much of this warming is caused by burning fossil fuels. Regardless

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Edmund Storms
: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick, I ask you where you get your information and why does the claim for global warming causes such an emotional reaction? The world is clearly warming. The only issue is how much of this warming is caused by burning fossil fuels. Regardless of the answer

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-04 Thread Rick Monteverde
, September 04, 2008 1:49 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Cc: Edmund Storms; vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless Rick, you don't need computer models. All you need is the fact ice is melting everywhere. In addition, the plants are moving up the mountains to cooler regions. The average

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-03 Thread Nick Palmer
Nick, I think we can see that the deteriorating financial situation in Britain could create irrational behavior there as well. However, is it focused on religion being the solution as it is in the US? Do the Brits expect God to save them from their poor decisions? Ed Umm, tricky question.

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-03 Thread Jones Beene
--- On Wed, 9/3/08, Taylor J. Smith [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: From: Taylor J. Smith [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [Vo]:Sunspotless To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2008, 5:05 AM Jones Beene on 2 Sep 2008 wrote: ``One interesting point which I am surprised is not often

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-03 Thread Brian Prothro
At the risk of having not followed this discussion thread too closely, this issue could bend to another perspective, that of specific effects of carbon build up and not the global and more vague nut that's so hard to pin down. Chemical oceanographers Ken Caldeira and Long Cao presented a paper in

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-03 Thread Jones Beene
... apologies for previous null-posting . I am sensing the rumblings of some kind of email software revolt... Jack, Thanks for the update and particularly the strange message of Bill Arnold . Do you have a url for his paper? I cannot find it in a quick goggling. Common name. It is bizarre

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Jones Beene
One interesting point which I am surprised is not often mentioned in this polarized debate: Blow up the third chart on Michael's cited reference, and contemplate the full implication of the Maunder Minimum and the so-called little ice age ... ... and the likelihood that we could be on the brink

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Edmund Storms
On Sep 2, 2008, at 3:07 PM, Jones Beene wrote: snip If flat earth is too extreme, even for biblical literalists; but creationism is OK to teach, then I would like to ask the various candidates who might support 'creationism,' although there is only one of that persuation, where do you draw

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Jones Beene's message of Tue, 2 Sep 2008 14:07:51 -0700 (PDT): Hi, [snip] Is there enough of a small asymmetry in macro magnetic effects, such that one pole can be slightly hotter than the other due to solar wind; and could that dynamic enter into the ice mass situation ?? As

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Edmund Storms's message of Tue, 2 Sep 2008 15:32:23 -0600: Hi, [snip] behavior of the stock market and the government. The bigger question, is what does an individual do to protect themselves from this growing irrationally? [snip] Rational behaviour is a luxury. Irrational

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to Jones Beene's message of Tue, 2 Sep 2008 10:25:15 -0700 (PDT): Hi, [snip] The bigger question for the rest of us - what is the true situation? -- and the true unpoliticized risk of this situation? -- i.e. IF both Algore AND also his critics are partly correct in that yes, humans are

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Edmund Storms
On Sep 2, 2008, at 3:41 PM, Robin van Spaandonk wrote: In reply to Edmund Storms's message of Tue, 2 Sep 2008 15:32:23 -0600: Hi, [snip] behavior of the stock market and the government. The bigger question, is what does an individual do to protect themselves from this growing

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Nick Palmer
Ed wrote: The problem is to determine what fraction of the population is not rational. I submit that the answer to such a question would help reveal the fraction of rational individuals that are present in a society. Apparently, according to my analysis, the level of rationally is decreasing in

RE: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread Rick Monteverde
Sounds scary. But why are sea ice levels still reported to be so low in the arctic if it's getting colder? Why is NOAA saying this July was the 9th warmest globally on record? http://www.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080815_ncdc.html What do sunspots have to do with global climate? Noctilucent clouds

Re: [Vo]:Sunspotless

2008-09-02 Thread R C Macaulay
Howdy Jones, Now look what you've done.. trashed the world's oldest scientific organization... the Flat Earth Society. These people have proof the earth is flat and they'll send you the proof if you'd send in your membership dues. Richard