On Tue, Jul 7, 2015 Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote: >> > > that's a pretty dull thought experiment. if everything in the universe > will get a cup of coffee then it doesn't matter what the referent to "you" > is because whatever it is he she or it will get some coffee. What's your > point? >
> > If you agree that P(experience of getting a cup of coffee soon") = 1, > If everything and everyone will get coffee then obviously I will get coffee too regardless of what "I" means. And I still don't see your point. > > > then you have to agree that > > P(experience of opening the door and writing W or opening the door and > writing M in a personal diary) = 1, > Or? Is that a exclusive or? If it's a OR gate then P=1. If it's a XOR gate then P=0. > > > and that > > P(experience of writing "W and M" in a personal diary) = 0. > Nonsense. I can show you the diaries proving that the Helsinki Man did write "I see Moscow" AND did write "I see Washington". > > > > you can predict in advance that after pushing the button, you are in front > of *one* door, and that behind that door there is *one* precise city, and > that you have no clue which one it could be. > Maybe that's what you would predict only you know that, but I know for a fact that's not what I would predict. I would say "I the Helsinki Man predict that I will see Moscow AND Washington" ; and events would later prove that the prediction was correct. Not that predictions, good bad or mediocre, have anything to do with the nature of personal identity or consciousness. John K Clark -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.

