RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

John D. Giorgis wrote:

 At 03:11 PM 7/24/2003 -0500 Horn, John wrote:
 I don't know.  It is a scary proposition.  We cannot defeat 
 every terrorist
 in the world.  
 
 We cannot?   Then why is it that suicide bombing is almost unheard of
 almost everywhere in the world?  It doesn't strike me that 
 this problem is
 necessarily pervasive in humanity at all.

Which problem doesn't seem necessarily pervasive? The suicide bombers or
the terrorists? If you are talking about the former, then I can only be
grateful that the idea hasn't found *too* many takers outside the
mid-east. But if you are talking about terrorism as a whole, rather than
a small subset of terrorists, then the problem is pervasive enough all
over the world. In fact, it has been increasing continuously for the
last 6 odd decades. India alone has been suffering from terrorism for
more than two decades now.

To go back to the first question though, no, you cannot possibly
neutralise/kill every single terrorist in the world. There would always
be someone crazy enough to hate to that degree and resourceful enough to
access the weapons our species is so good at producing. What you *can*
do is make it hard for the nut-cases to get the public support and funds
they need to operate. 
And that is a life-long process. It is not something that would get over
in a year or two or even a decade or two. And if this war-time emergency
status continues within the US for that decade or two, with suspicion
directed towards a group of your own people, public resentments
simmering, chances are that you Merkins would be too busy with
home-grown terrorism to worry overly much about international terrorism.

 We cannot stop every rogue state that wants to build a nuke
 or a biological bomb.  
 
 I disagree with this as well.   With intelligence, the US 
 armed forces are
 likely to be able to launch successful preemptive strikes against any
 likely such rogue state for the next 100 years.

*chuckle*

What kind of intelligence? The kind that talked of the WMDs in Iraq or
the kind that alerted you to what the subcontinent was upto in the late
90s?

TWAT lacks many a thing and the list of missing essential items includes
realistic aims and objectives.

Ritu



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RE: The Case for a Marriage Ammendment to the Constitution

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

Jon Gabriel wrote:

 You deserve a medal for reading Ann Coulter on a  regular basis. :)
 
 LOL!  I didn't buy her books though.

Don't blame you - I was gifted one of her books years ago.

*shudder*

I had to make it disappearit was polluting the other books on my
shelf.

 She is just vile, isn't she.  :( 

I find her opinions vile and yes, she does seem somewhat strange.

 I'm waiting for her to come 
 out with a 
 book honoring Hitler and Goebbels for their tireless work at 
 population 
 control.  *sigh*  I wish anticoulter.com was still being 
 updated.  I miss 
 that site.

*L*

Unfortunately, I don't have to access any particular sites to read
praises of Hitler et al. The RSS idiots keep on extolling them every so
often

 Ritu, who spaces out Varsha Bhonsle's columns over weeks and months
 
 Thank you!  Until today I'd never heard of her.  Just spent 
 half an hour 
 reading her columns on rediff.com.  I don't agree with her 
 opinions and 
 conclusions about Muslims (in general, not just in India) but her 
 perspective is... interesting.  I *can* see why you wouldn't 
 want to read 
 them all at once though.

*chuckle*

She used to make me almost physically ill. Her prejudices are loathsome
[and she does have it in for the Muslims], her language and similies can
be vile, her attitude is needlessly confrontational...but every once in
a while she makes a good point. And besides, you need to know how the
other side thinks. 
She has a distrust of anyone who doesn't automatically condemn Muslims.
If you write in to comment on her articles [that sounds nicer than
criticise, doesn't it?], she actually makes you go through a her own
personal bs detector test before responding to what you have written

Methinks she and Ann Coulter would have a lot to talk about...

Ritu
GCU Common Interests


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Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Erik Reuter
On Tue, Jul 29, 2003 at 08:06:22PM -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

 --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  On Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  But that seems to be _your_ argument.  If we understand why they
  are angry at us and seek to act in such a way as to assuage their
  anger, they won't attack us any more.  What you _want_ the US to do
  anyways seems to accord precisely with this.
 
  Do you feel more comfortable (or safe) never asking this question?

 What question?  There isn't a question mark in the above statement.

I think he meant the question why do they hate us or something like
that. His implication is that you haven't thought about it because it
makes you uncomfortable. Sounds like he lives in the same world as
David.


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RE: Harry Potter 5 (no spoilers)

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

 Gautam Mukunda wrote:

 I have to admit that I _was_ a little surprised by who
 died.  I thought right up until the final battle that
 it would be Hagrid - and by the time the battle
 started I was too caught up in it to even remember
 that someonme was supposed to die.  I agree that it
 didn't, for some reason, have much emotional resonance
 for me either - not the death, anyways, although much
 else that Harry goes through does, often enough.

  SPOILERS!   SPOILERS!   SPOILERS!  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

I thought the choice of who would die became obvious soon into the book.
The character suddenly started displaying emotional imbalance, was
removed from action, every indication was given that Harry himself
preferred to keep this character at a distance...Rowling left no reason
for the continued existence of this character. If that didn't make it
obvious enough, there was that grating ploy, that pathos inducing gift,
accompanied by a portentous message. She had actually made it so obvious
that I would have been surprised had anyone else been killed. 

Ritu


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Re: Harry Potter 5 (not really spoiler free anymore)

2003-07-30 Thread TomFODW
 That's a good point I hadn't thought about.  Ambition is not, in and of 
 itself, an evil trait, and it is the one Slytherin most valued.  If you can 
 point those ambitious kids along the right path, you've got a better chance of 
 keeping them from the Dark Arts than you would if you sent them off on their 
 own.
 

The trait that Slytherin most valued was purebloodedness. Ambition was a 
distant second. 

As I said, Rowling tends to write her good guys much better, much more 
nuanced and variegated, than her bad guys, who all tend to have unitary motivations 
and never change. Draco Malfoy is the prime example, but most of her Slytherin 
students are the same: just plain scum. 

My problem with Snape is that he does not appear to have any negative 
feelings towards his own house, even though Slytherin house produces Death Eaters, 
whom he cannot stand. You'd think he would at least appear conflicted, even if 
he had to dissemble. He certainly never seems to be even trying to nudge them 
back away from the path of evil - which he should know better than anyone how 
tempting it is and how likely it is that some of the Slytherin students seem to 
be heading down it.



Tom Beck

www.prydonians.org
www.mercerjewishsingles.org

I always knew I'd see the first man on the Moon. I never dreamed I'd see the 
last. - Dr Jerry Pournelle
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Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
[I've been out of town.]

On 25 Jul 2003, John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote

QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in Africa.

 The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on this,
but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.

At this point, do you;
a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such strong
reservations about it?
b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts about?
c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to sources
our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British intelligence
services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in the
world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  

Your choice.   What do you do?

Misinformation has long been an issue.  Intelligence services try to
plant misinformation in an enemy's mind.  For example, in World War
II, the Allies set up a complete, fake army to fool the Germans into
thinking the attack in Normandy was a feint.

Moreover, as a practical matter, intelligence services often try to
plant misinformation through an ally, on the principle that such
information is harder to check.

Going back in time several generations, we can look at what done.
Suppose the British informed the US that they had acquired
significant quantities of intelligence about Stalin's efforts to
build and deploy nuclear weapons.

The US cannot `verify' the intelligence.

What does the US do?

I don't know the current procedures, but in the past, the US would
have told the British that there are suggestions that the intelligence
is misinformation.

Certainly, the US would not have called the British liars since the
British may have been fooled or their intelligence systems penetrated
(as indeed they were).

Nor would the US call the British incompetent since they are not.
The question is whether they have been fooled or corrupted into
thinking that misinformation is information.

Nor would the US ignore the British intelligence as questionable, but
would investigate it and only discount it if US sources suggested it
was misinformation.

Nor would the US believe a British intelligence report without
supporting evidence, since the US understands how difficult
intelligence gathering is.  Even if US officials believe that British
spies are better than US spies, the US officials know that sometimes
the British are misled, just as US spies are misled.  No one expects
perfection, especially in an area as murky as espionage.

-- 
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RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
[I've been out of town.]

On 25 Jul 2003, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote 

... -- intelligence to the president is supposed to be thoroughly
checked, not just for accuracy, but also for spin and such.  I
can't say much about who the reviewing parties are, or how many
people are involved 

But it clearly indicates that under this administration, the
system failed to operate the way it nearly always has.

Perhaps with the media abandoning objectivity and accuracy, most
people simply don't realize that the U.S. intelligence system
still strives for it, so they don't realize what a fundamental
problem this reflects.

Nick is right.  This is very serious.

Suppose the Bush Administration are good guys, as some believe:

  * then they cannot do a good job if they receive inaccurate information

Suppose the Bush Administration are bad guys, as some believe, who
however, are not Benedict Arnolds (he was a famous traitor to the US
during its war for independence):

  * then they cannot do a patriotic job if they receive inaccurate
information

From the point of view of US citizens, many would say that the best
hope is that the President lied in his State of the Union message, not
that he or the system was incompetent.

-- 
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RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Horn, John
 From: John D. Giorgis [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 By the way - of the recent developments in the nuclear programs of
the
 DPRK, India, Pakistan, Iran, and Iraq over the past 15 years 
 - how many
 occurred with the knowledge of US intelligence sources?   
 
 I'll give you a hint - the answer is a very round number 
 so I wouldnt
 count on being able to know when a successful test is 
 imminent if that is your plan.

Wait a minute.  In another thread, you said to me that the United
States would be able to stop every country that wanted to develop
nuclear and biological weapons for the next 100 years.  Yet here you
admit that we have done a miserable job of determining that.  And,
in fact, we probably can't stop every rogue country from developing
these weapons.

So which one is it?

 - jmh
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RE: Empire Of Lies

2003-07-30 Thread Horn, John
 From: Gautam Mukunda [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 Franks is, I think, a choice that might surprise
 people a little bit.  I'm quite serious, though. 
 Tommy Franks, as leader of CENTCOM, led the liberation
 of two countries at a cost of less than 500 allied
 lives.  Where the Soviet Union and Iran were unable to
 make progress with years of effort, he won in weeks. 
 In Afghanistan he smashed the Taliban using
 unconventional special forces tactics where the USSR
 failed completely.  In Iraq he used a battle plan so
 daring that Patton himself would have quailed at it -
 and won a victory that _Dissent_, a leftist magazine,
 said can be compared only to Agincourt, and probably
 not even there.  If that sort of performance, not once
 but _twice_, doesn't get you on the roster of
 America's greatest generals, what does?

OK.  I'm going to tread where I shouldn't because this is an area
where my knowledge is sketchy at best but...

My first thought when reading the above is is the war in either
Afghanistan or Iraq really OVER?  Sure we've said it is over but
there's still a lot of fighting going on and bad guys out there.  If
I recall correctly (and I might not), the Soviets had great success
in the invasion of Afghanistan early on.  But it was when they
installed their puppet government that they failed.  They couldn't
pacify the people and make the government stick.  We haven't exactly
done a stellar job there in Afghanistan or Iraq.  It is still early,
in both cases, especially in Iraq, but only time will tell how we do
at nation-building.  The Talliban are still out there; a USSR style
failure could still happen.  Unlikely, and I certainly hope it
doesn't, but possible.

  - jmh
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Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Ray Ludenia
John D. Giorgis wrote:

 And despite you snide remarks about '''fluffing up, there is nothing
 fluffed up about calling Japan and Australia major players in foreign
 affairs. two glaring omissions from Bob's list.

Australia a major player in foreign affairs??? Do you perhaps say this
because we are loyal lapdogs to the US and so you think this lends
credibility to your views, or would you still say this if we opposed the
liberation of Iraq?

Australia is currently leading a small force to remedy a breakdown in law
and order in the Solomon Islands, but at the invitation of the government.
This to us is a fairly large undertaking, but on the world scale rather
minor. Sounds similar to the requests the US has received to go into
Liberia. 

Regards, Ray.

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Lying and competence

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
As a general rule, as far as I can see, not many Americans are
bothered by a President who lies on topics of foreign policy.  The
practice is expected.

But at the same time, a President and his administration are also
expected to have a competent strategy.  The lies are supposed to
advance the strategy.

President Bush has a problem:  more and more people are wondering
whether he and his administration have a competent strategy.

In particular, in early May President Bush said that the asymmetrical
war in Iraq was over.  But that turns out not to be the case.  A small
number of US soldiers are killed nearly every day: the fighting will
not bring a US military defeat but might bring a US political defeat.

Look at it like a general who considers his enemy:

The then Iraqi government, as well as those who fund other anti-US
forces, looked at history:

* the US and the USSR won World War II, a conventional war

* the US lost and withdrew from the territories of
  three non-conventional conflicts, 

  -- Vietnam under Presidents Nixon and Ford

  -- the Lebanon under President Reagan

  -- Somalia under President Clinton

The first conclusion is:  do not fight the US in a conventional
war; you will lose.  Fight the US in a non-conventional war; you
may win.

The second conclusion is: do not attack conventional US military
targets, unless they are easy.  If they are hard you may lose.  If
they are easy, like a housing block in Saudi Arabia, or a ship
which you may approach without trouble, then you may attack.

The third conclusion is:  attack in such a way that you aid your
friends and harm your enemies.

The fourth conclusion is:  change the opinion of US political
leaders and their supporters, as with the Nixon, Ford, Reagan, and
Clinton administrations.

These suggest that in Iraq, the enemies of the US planned to carry out
an asymmetrical war in which 

1. They avoid much of a conventional war with the US.

2. They avoid all but easy US military targets, or let stooges
   make the attacks and get killed by the Americans.

3. Among their current goals, through sabotage, hurt those Sunnis
   whom they do not like, hurt (by destroying electric power
   pylons) the Shiites and Kurds whom they oppose, and arrange
   that much of the sabotage occurs via looting, such as stealing
   metal from power lines, so that their friends benefit.

4. Persuade decision makers in the US to pull out of Iraq within
   the next 10 or 20 years without leaving a government behind it
   that is as harmless to US interests as West European
   governments 10 or 20 years after World War II.

As Gautam pointed out, the ability of US forces 

... to adapt and learn a new strategy has been nothing short of
astonishing.

which is true.

Unfortunately, as Gautam's statement indicates, since the middle of
April, US forces have had to adapt and learn, rather than adopt a
`Plan B'.  I expect US forces to adapt and learn quickly -- that is
what the new `lessons learned' programs are all about.  Morever, I
have learned that some US generals even suggested that the US would
need a large Iraqi occupation force, which indicates they were wise
ahead of time.

The problem is that the Bush Administration does not give the
impression that it is fostering and protecting `lessons learned'
people or encouraging people with foresight to write `Plans B, C, and
D'.

For example, in May, the US government hoped Chalabi would take over
the Iraqi occupational government.  But it turned out that various
important Iraqis disliked him and considered him too corrupt.  So the
US had to design a second occupational government.  The new Iraqi
Governing Council looks fine to me, but the problem is that it took so
long -- it took weeks -- for the US to install it.  The US adapted and
learned; it did not have a `Plan B' ready to adopt in May.

So the question becomes one of political perception:  is the Bush
Administration perceived as one that can competently carry out the job
it has undertaken?  Can it pull together a coalition in the US that
will last at least a generation?

-- 
Robert J. Chassell Rattlesnake Enterprises
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Lying and competence

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
[I've been out of town.]

As a general rule, as far as I can see, not many Americans are
bothered by a President who lies on topics of foreign policy.  The
practice is expected.

But at the same time, a President and his administration are also
expected to have a competent strategy.  The lies are supposed to
advance the strategy.

President Bush has a problem:  more and more people are wondering
whether he and his administration have a competent strategy.

In particular, in early May President Bush said that the asymmetrical
war in Iraq was over.  But that turns out not to be the case.  A small
number of US soldiers are killed nearly every day: the fighting will
not bring a US military defeat but might bring a US political defeat.

Look at it like a general who considers his enemy:

The then Iraqi government, as well as those who fund other anti-US
forces, looked at history:

* the US and the USSR won World War II, a conventional war

* the US lost and withdrew from the territories of
  three non-conventional conflicts, 

  -- Vietnam under Presidents Nixon and Ford

  -- the Lebanon under President Reagan

  -- Somalia under President Clinton

The first conclusion is:  do not fight the US in a conventional
war; you will lose.  Fight the US in a non-conventional war; you
may win.

The second conclusion is: do not attack conventional US military
targets, unless they are easy.  If they are hard you may lose.  If
they are easy, like a housing block in Saudi Arabia, or a ship
which you may approach without trouble, then you may attack.

The third conclusion is:  attack in such a way that you aid your
friends and harm your enemies.

The fourth conclusion is:  change the opinion of US political
leaders and their supporters, as with the Nixon, Ford, Reagan, and
Clinton administrations.

These suggest that in Iraq, the enemies of the US planned to carry out
an asymmetrical war in which 

1. They avoid much of a conventional war with the US.

2. They avoid all but easy US military targets, or let stooges
   make the attacks and get killed by the Americans.

3. Among their current goals, through sabotage, hurt those Sunnis
   whom they do not like, hurt (by destroying electric power
   pylons) the Shiites and Kurds whom they oppose, and arrange
   that much of the sabotage occurs via looting, such as stealing
   metal from power lines, so that their friends benefit.

4. Persuade decision makers in the US to pull out of Iraq within
   the next 10 or 20 years without leaving a government behind it
   that is as harmless to US interests as West European
   governments 10 or 20 years after World War II.

As Gautam pointed out, the ability of US forces 

... to adapt and learn a new strategy has been nothing short of
astonishing.

which is true.

Unfortunately, as Gautam's statement indicates, since the middle of
April, US forces have had to adapt and learn, rather than adopt a
`Plan B'.  I expect US forces to adapt and learn quickly -- that is
what the new `lessons learned' programs are all about.  Morever, I
have learned that some US generals even suggested that the US would
need a large Iraqi occupation force, which indicates they were wise
ahead of time.

The problem is that the Bush Administration does not give the
impression that it is fostering and protecting `lessons learned'
people or encouraging people with foresight to write `Plans B, C, and
D'.

For example, in May, the US government hoped Chalabi would take over
the Iraqi occupational government.  But it turned out that various
important Iraqis disliked him and considered him too corrupt.  So the
US had to design a second occupational government.  The new Iraqi
Governing Council looks fine to me, but the problem is that it took so
long -- it took weeks -- for the US to install it.  Honorable, brave
and patriotic Americans adapted and learned; but they had no `Plan B'
ready to adopt in May.

So the question becomes one of political perception:  is the Bush
Administration perceived as one that can competently carry out the job
it has undertaken?  Can it pull together a coalition in the US that
will last at least a generation?

-- 
Robert J. Chassell Rattlesnake Enterprises
http://www.rattlesnake.com  GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.teak.cc [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Lying and competence

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
[I've been out of town.]

On 24 Jul 2003, Jon Gabriel [EMAIL PROTECTED] said

Honorable, brave men would have attacked military targets 

This does not follow.  After all, the goal in war is to gain an unfair
advantage: to win, not to lose.  Honorable, brave men do not intend
to bring defeat on themselves and their supporters.

An enemy decision maker could well figure that in asymmetrical
warfare, an attack on a highly symbolic target that kills civilians
would would more likely bring victory to him than an attack on an
enemy military.  (I don't think the Pentagon was the primary target of
the third airplane.)

However, I do think the decision makers in Al Qaeda made a mistake
from their point of view.  The US had a choice of two responses to the
attack on the World Trade Center.  It could flee or fight.  It could
withdraw from the Holy Land (i.e., from the land of the two holy
cities, Arabia), as it had done from Vietnam, the Lebanon, and Somalia
when faced with asymmetrical, symbollically managed warfare, or it
could fight.

The attack resulted in the US fighting rather than retreating.

(Also, Caleb Carr has argued that terrorism always fails in the long
run, since the terrorized may surrender for a moment, but continue
bitter.  The Lessons of Terror, Caleb Carr, Random House, 2003)


The question is whether the next stage of US fighting will be done
competently.

One problem the Bush Administration faces is that to fight a war that
involves long times between publically visible action it must organize
its support through words.  It must be able to say that intelligence
indicates that the US government should spend money in Africa that
would otherwise not be borrowed.  Ideally the Bush Administration will
be believed when it says that; but even if it is not believed, the
Bush Administration must be perceived as borrowing and spending that
money competently.

In the past, Al Qaeda has often waited two years or more between
attacks.  This is a long time for Americans.  Indeed, I have heard
some Americans wonder whether Al Qaeda still has forces left since it
has not undertaken a symbollically significant attack against the US
in the last 23 months.

There are two issues here:

  * First, the Bush Administration has often said that Al Qaeda is
dangerous.  Will Americans continue to believe the Bush
Administration?  Or will they disbelieve and then be surprised if
another attack occurs?

As I said, I don't think that many Americans are bothered by a
President who lies on topics of foreign policy.  However, if
Americans stop believing in a President altogether, they may
ignore even truths.

  * Second, Bush Administration attention to Al Qaeda must please its
backers and `semi-neutral supporters' since it suggests that Al
Qaeda is as important as they hope.  Al Qaeda is fighting an
asymmetrical war; that is why it attacks symbolic targets and
kills civilians instead of attacking the kinds of military targets
that might lose it the war.

Because of this attention by the Bush Administration, Al Qaeda has
not had to make a recent attack in order to carry its symbolic
message to its supporters and enemies.

(However, from their point of view, I do think Al Qaeda will need
to make another symbolically important attack within a year, and
perhaps within a few months, to avoid being judged defunct.  They
can depend on people believing the Bush Administration only so
long.)

-- 
Robert J. Chassell Rattlesnake Enterprises
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Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
Do we issolate people with the flu or AIDS to prevent these
deseases from spreading?  No.

Actually, we sometimes do, although not for AIDS.  It is called
`quarantine'.

As far as I know, quarantine has not yet been misused for political
purposes.  A legally similar process, incarceration in a mental
hospital, has been misused.

-- 
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Re: Harry Potter 5 (not really spoiler free anymore)

2003-07-30 Thread Reggie Bautista
Jim wrote, re: Snape:
Keeping up appearances, I imagine.  He uses Occlumency to hide his
true feelings from Voldermort, and favors Slytherin to demonstrate
his continuing loyalty.  Or at least that is my theory.
I replied:
Keep your friends close and your enemies closer?  I  hadn't thought
about that.
Jim responeded:
That's not really how I thought of it, Reggie.  I was looking at it more 
from a standpoint of what if that little prat Malfoy tells Daddy that Snape 
is acting funny?  It could draw suspicion.
Ah, ok, that makes sense to me.

And it may be that he really doesn't see the problems with the
students in Slytherin (or with most of them, anyway);
Also, maybe Snape feels that Slytherin is a valid choice of house
(as Dumbledore must also feel, since he hasn't gotten rid of
Slytherin house), and why not have some loyalty to your own house?
That's probably also part of it.  And of course sticking it to Harry and 
the Gryffindors is always a big bonus, I'm sure.
I really like the twist that Harry's dad was not exactly a likeable guy, at 
least with regard to how he treated Snape.  It finally explains Snape's 
attitude toward Harry, which I always thought was a little weird given that 
Snape was supposed to be one of the good guys.

Harry got a lot of rude awakenings in this novel, finding out about how his 
dad and Sirius used to act, losing Sirius, Dumbledore acting in ways he 
didn't expect (although with a nice turnaround when they tried to arrest 
him), learning (or not learning) how girls act and react when they like 
someone, etc.

Reggie Bautista

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Re: Harry Potter 5 (no spoilers)

2003-07-30 Thread Reggie Bautista
Jim (I think) wrote:
Of course, I'm about the only person who liked Luna Lovegood among people 
I;ve talked to, so what do I know?  :)
Jon replied:
I like Looney too. :)
Me Too (tm)!

Reggie Bautista
No Value Added Maru
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tech help

2003-07-30 Thread Kevin Tarr
Is there a header tag to mark special subjects? I thought there was, but 
cannot think of it.

I want to know of any tools that can capture ActiveX commands or hidden 
JavaScript. It's nothing bad, and I won't use it myself, but I want to see 
how someone is doing what they are doing with a web page.

I can do the view source thing, but that isn't where it's at. The web page 
I view, when I click a spot it does something then goes back to the same 
page again. I want to capture what happens between the loads.

Sorry I can't explain it better.

Kevin T. - VRWC
Off to work, late again
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Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, July 30, 2003 7:01 AM
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words


 At 12:18 AM 7/30/2003 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
  Actually, Bush *did* do that, and Britain said that they completely
stand
  by their intelligence with the highest degree of confidence.
 
 Which British?  The worker bees, or top management.

 So, your position is that if you had been running the Bush Administration
 in this situation, you would have gone over Tony Blair's head and
directly
 to the underlings?

 Uh, its a nice thought, but it strikes me as impractical.

No, that's not what I said.  I said, that the reasonable thing was to have
consultations between the intelligence experts.  I know that, before
Afganistan, the US  presented its evidence to NATO members intelligence
communities.  Even without revealing sources, it would make sense for the
US and GB security folks to cross check each other's work.

As administration officials and supporters are now saying, intelligence is
a murkey business.  The words have learned deny the murkeyness. They
should only be used when reasonable knowledgeable people concur on the
certainty of the statement.  Given the fact that people in the British
intelligence have indicated that Blair overstated their case and the fact
that people in the US intelligence have indicated that Bush did; the most
logical conclusion is that Bush and Blair, together, got more certainity
out of the intelligence than was there in the first place.

 But, it definately appears that their assessment of the WMD was wrong.
It
 is hard to imagine hundreds of tons of deliverables, 45 minutes away
from
 delivery that were quickly hidden or taken into Syria without us being
able
 to trace them.

 Which is information that was not available to Bush at the time.

But, the information that was available to Bush was much more sketchy than
he let the American people know.

 My suggestion for the proper action for Bush
 seems clear to me.

 Is that suggestiong to admit any information for which there is
uncertainty?

No, to acknowedge that because you know something is true in your heart, it
doesn't mean that you have conclusive evidence.  Indeed, we can see Bush
origionally using words that properly reflect the uncertainty of the
intelligence and then switching language as he felt the need to make a
stronger case.

The leaders of democracies are in a position where they have access to
information that cannot be made available to everyone.  They have a
tremendous responsibility, when they summarize the information, to do it as
well as they can.  Overruling their own folks to make unwarrented
statements of certainty is not living up to that responsibility.  Bush
misrepresented the intelligence he had and it came to bite him when the
reality appeard to be at the lower end of the range of possibilities.

In short, if he used words like the British have received information that
leads us to believe that Hussein be trying to obtain uranium in Africa.
then it would have been OK.  But, that doesn't have the punch that the
White House felt it needed. So, he overruled people in order to get the
wording he needed.



Dan M.



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Weekly Chat Remonder

2003-07-30 Thread Steve Sloan II
This is just a quick reminder that the Wednesday Brin-L
chat is scheduled for 3 PM Eastern/2 PM Central time in
the US, or 7 PM Greenwich time, so it started a little
over three hours ago. There will probably be somebody there
to talk to for at least eight hours after the start time.
See my instruction page for help getting there:
http://www.brin-l.org/brinmud.html
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Brin-L list pages .. http://www.brin-l.org
Chmeee's 3D Objects  http://www.sloan3d.com/chmeee
3D and Drawing Galleries .. http://www.sloansteady.com
Software  Science Fiction, Science, and Computer Links
Science fiction scans . http://www.sloan3d.com
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The seven habits of highly ineffective societies

2003-07-30 Thread Chad Cooper
This paper was written 5 years ago 

The Seven Factors 
These key failure factors are: 
Restrictions on the free flow of information. 
The subjugation of women. 
Inability to accept responsibility for individual or collective failure. 
The extended family or clan as the basic unit of social organization. 
Domination by a restrictive religion. 
A low valuation of education. 
Low prestige assigned to work.  
 

http://denbeste.nu/external/Peters01.html


The best quote IMHO:

The failure is greater where the avoidance of responsibility is greater. In
the Middle East and Southwest Asia, oil money has masked cultural, social,
technical, and structural failure for decades. While the military failure of
the regional states has been obvious, consistent, and undeniable, the locals
sense--even when they do not fully understand--their noncompetitive status
in other spheres as well. It is hateful and disorienting to them. Only the
twin blessings of Israel and the United States, upon whom Arabs and Persians
can blame even their most egregious ineptitudes, enable a fly-specked
pretense of cultural viability. 


Nerd From Hell

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Re: TI interpreation of QM

2003-07-30 Thread Robert Seeberger

- Original Message - 
From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, July 30, 2003 9:28 AM
Subject: Re: TI interpreation of QM



 - Original Message -
 From: Robert Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Sunday, July 27, 2003 10:55 AM
 Subject: Re: TI interpreation of QM



  What I have a hard time understanding is the (real long term) problem
 with
  backwards in time signals.
  I see it repeated that you cannot violate causality, but most of the
  examples I've seen given (perhaps they were oversimplifications) seem to
  illustrate what amounts to an optical illusion. (In discussions about
 FTL)

 The TI interpreation has real, not illusionary signals coming back from
the
 effect to the cause.  In principal, these can span billions of years.

Yeah, I understood that the first time actually. What I was trying to convey
was that I question the validity of the absolutely no violations of
causality axiom , at least the way it has been presented to me in the past.

The example that I find offensive goes something like this:
Locations A, B, and C are seperated by great distances. C is much closer to
B than it is to A. At C, there is an observer watching events at both A and
B. At A, an FTL ship leaves heading for B. Observer at C sees the ship
arrive at B, and only later sees it leave A.
This is supposed to be a violation of causality.

I don't see how it could be. Its just an optical illusion since events for
the ship follow the normal linear progress of time (exempting local
relativistic effects).
Its possible that this is supposed to be a metaphor for some other type of
event, but it was never presented to me this way. It was presented as
evidence of why FTL is impossible. FTL may be impossible, but not for this
reason I don't think.

So when I see causality being invoked, I look for an opportunity to find
real reasons why causality must necessarily be preserved.


  I understand the principle that states that cause cannot precede effect.
  *That* is quite easy to understand.
  And I seem to recall that there is some axiom that says there are no
  privileged frames or points of view.
 
  But couldn't it be that backwards in time signals are part of an
  underlying backbone or framework that underlies reality, normally
  unobservable?

 It could.  But, the problem with that is, if you allow real,
unobservables,
 with no addition to the predictive power of the theory, then you open
 things way up.

Is that necessarily a bad thing? Has it never occured in the past as part of
a workable theory?
Just a history question mind you! G

 As I said before, with that sort of latitude one could
 resurrect the aether.  Indeed, with that type of latitude, I could
generate
 a geocentric universe.


That would falsify the theory wouldn't it?



  And that, like in most of the QM I have read, observation would change
 those signals, therefore they would be inaccessible?

 Not really.  The signals have to be hidden, or else we would see
violations
 of otherwise well verified laws of physics.

  I guess my real question is why cant there be a channel for backwards
in
  time signals?

 There could be. There also could be a lot of other things. One thing that
 typically identified realists is that they were loath to accept unseen
 things that had no visible tracks. Part of the theory of these hidden
 variables is that they had to forever remain hidden.


That makes sense since observation would by itself change the signals.
That sort of reminds me of some things I've read concerning Anthropic
Principles.



  And I suppose my proposal is if the simpler explanations have not
 worked,  perhaps trying a higher level of complexity might.

 But, the simpler approach worked.

So, is TI a dead issue?


 Detailed predictions have been verified,
 to many significant figures.  So, why add metaphysical baggage?

Understandable.


  I really wish I had a greater understanding of QM and how it differs
from
  relativistic theory.

 I can repost some of my several years old discussions of spacelike
 correlations, if there is an interest.


That would be nice.
My knowledge of physics resolves to related and isolated factoids.
There are plenty of fundamentals that I am missing.
I just gather them up as I go.

xponent
Ignorant But Interested Maru
rob


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Re: Harry Potter 5 (no spoilers)

2003-07-30 Thread Russell Chapman


Tom Beck wrote:

In general, I think, Rowling does much better with her good guys 
than with her villains.

A lot of this is simply the context the books are written in - it is 
entirely from Harry's perspective. I can't think of any narration that 
occurs outside Harry's observation, and Harry only associates himself 
with the good guys. Draco, Dolores, Lucius et al probably have quite 
interesting multi-dimensional lives, but Harry never sees any of that 
because of his limited contact with them, whereas he has deep and 
meaningful discussions with the good guys on a regular basis.

Cheers
Russell C.
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Re: TI interpreation of QM

2003-07-30 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: Robert Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, July 30, 2003 5:59 PM
Subject: Re: TI interpreation of QM




 The example that I find offensive goes something like this:
 Locations A, B, and C are seperated by great distances. C is much closer
to
 B than it is to A. At C, there is an observer watching events at both A
and
 B. At A, an FTL ship leaves heading for B. Observer at C sees the ship
 arrive at B, and only later sees it leave A.

 This is supposed to be a violation of causality.

That's not the problem. If two points are spacelike, then there will be a
reference frame in which they are simultaneous, many reference frames in
which A is before B, and many reference frames in which B is before A.
With FTL signals , one can send a signal from  from A to B to C, and find
that C is timelike with respect to A, and is before A.  In other words, a
transmitter can send a FTL signal to a receiver/transmitter pair, which
sends another FTL signal to a receiver attached to explosives surrounding
the origional transmitter.  This allows the transmitter to be blown up via
a signal that was sent after it was blown up...but since it was blown up,
the signal wasn't sent, so the transmitter was blown up, so the signal
wasn't sent...etc.



 I don't see how it could be. Its just an optical illusion since events
for
 the ship follow the normal linear progress of time (exempting local
 relativistic effects).

You have to remember that all reference frames are equally valid in SR.  A
spaceship traveling at .99c with respect to the earth would see time slow
on the earth; as we would see time slow on the spaceship.

 So when I see causality being invoked, I look for an opportunity to find
 real reasons why causality must necessarily be preserved.

I hope my example helped.  There is another way that involves rotations
with analytical geometry.  Put all space axis where the x axis usually
goes, and time where the y axis usually goes.  Changes in velocity are
represented by a rotation in coordinate systems.  So, time

 
   I understand the principle that states that cause cannot precede
effect.
   *That* is quite easy to understand.
   And I seem to recall that there is some axiom that says there are no
   privileged frames or points of view.
  
   But couldn't it be that backwards in time signals are part of an
   underlying backbone or framework that underlies reality, normally
   unobservable?
 
  It could.  But, the problem with that is, if you allow real,
 unobservables,
  with no addition to the predictive power of the theory, then you open
  things way up.

 Is that necessarily a bad thing?

Yes.  One could have a zillion models, and no way to distinguish between
them.

Has it never occured in the past as part of
 a workable theory?

No.  Workable new theories have different preditions for experiments than
the older theories.

 Just a history question mind you! G



  As I said before, with that sort of latitude one could
  resurrect the aether.  Indeed, with that type of latitude, I could
 generate
  a geocentric universe.
 

 That would falsify the theory wouldn't it?

Not really.  Its straightforward to have a coordinate system that rotates
with the earth.  One would just have to look at the terms that came from
the traslation from an inertia coordinate system to a rotating coordinate
system.

Let me give a simple example of this.  We know that centrifical force is a
fictional force.  I could make it a real force, but add complications.
Lets assume that a system rotating with the earth were called fixed. A real
centrifical force would be defined. When one rotated in one direction it
would keep on increasing.  When one rotated in the other, the force would
decrease to zero, and then start increasing again.

Obviously, this is complicated, but if one is allowed to introduce real
complications with no additonal predictive value, than one
 

 That makes sense since observation would by itself change the signals.
 That sort of reminds me of some things I've read concerning Anthropic
 Principles.

Its more complicated than that.  Simply assuming that unseen values exist
apart from observation, and assuming that the know laws of physics are not
secretly violated, one gets the wrong answer.

 
   And I suppose my proposal is if the simpler explanations have not
  worked,  perhaps trying a higher level of complexity might.
 
  But, the simpler approach worked.

 So, is TI a dead issue?

For the most part.  MWI tends to have more support, but I'm not sure how
many folks really believe in the infinity of Robs and Dans being created
every annosecond.

  Detailed predictions have been verified,
  to many significant figures.  So, why add metaphysical baggage?

 Understandable.

 
   I really wish I had a greater understanding of QM and how it differs
 from
   relativistic theory.
 
  I can repost some of my several years old discussions of 

Re: Science and knowledge of equines

2003-07-30 Thread Deborah Harrell
--- Jon Gabriel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 From: Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 --- Jon Gabriel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   From: Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED]

snip
   Someone must have trai- er, taught you well. 
;}

   Aye.  I also have a strong self-preservation
   instinct.  :-D

   Lead Mare Maru
   Frauliching Through Feilds Of Fowlers Maru  :)

   Ah, Fraulein!  Holstein, Hannoverian or
 Oldenburg?  ;)

 Ooh! Bonus points!!!  :D
 
 Ha! :)  I've forgotten a lot!
 
 And you didn't say Schleswiger Heavy Draft, which
 does *not* earn extra points, but does confirm your
 training...  ;)

snip
 ...I used to be obsessed with horses
 when I was a kid and started riding at a very young
 age

Check!!! re: obsession, but didn't get to start really
riding until I was an adult.  Worth the wait! 
(Although I'll never be a jumper - if I'd started as a
kid I might have had a chance, but I was a dreadful
klutz; now I'm merely *slightly* klutzy. ;} )

 P.S. Oldenburg-Arab cross...the ones I've met are
 neat!
 
 Very cool! :)  Have you found anything that stands
 out about their personalities?  Just curious. 

The few I've dealt with have charming personalities, a
mix of Arab firespirit and warmblood calm -
inquisitive without being 'spooky';  they are very
versatile WRT usage (hunter, dressage, trail etc.) and
are quite handsome animals.  Here is a local fellow:
http://www.manganarabians.com/gallery.html

I understand that they are popular in Europe, and
'Arabian sporthorses' are becoming more popular in the
US as they are smaller than many warmbloods (which
tend to be over 16-and-a-half hands), and are more
'responsive' in the people-oriented sense.  Because
more and more women are getting into riding, a smaller
horse might be better suited - frex I'm only 5'4 and
I look rather silly on a 17-and-a-half hand horse! -
and most women really want a 'relationship' with a
horse rather than a push-button automaton type (IOW
difference between a companion vs. a pure working
animal).  Of course, as this article points out,
Arabian ancestry is found in most warmbloods anyway,
via Thoroughbred in-crosses if not directly.
http://www.superiorarabianheritage.com/cross/cross.htm
This 2002 article from _Dressage Today_ has pix, but
the tiny font is rather hard on the eyes:
http://www.fancierfarm.com/generic63.html

Other Arab 'sporthorse' crosses becoming more popular
include Andalusian, Freisian, Hanoverian, Lippizzan,
Trahkener, Percheron (yup!) and other draft breeds. 
(Anglo-Arabs (part Thoroughbred), 'National Show
Horses' (part Saddlebred), Morabs (part-Morgan) and
Quarabs (part Quarter Horse) are already
well-established crosses, though not all are
'sporthorses'.)

Debbi
Ask A Simple Question, Get A Lengthy Answer Maru  ;)

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Re: [Listref] Near-death experiences (NDE)

2003-07-30 Thread Deborah Harrell
--- Robert J. Chassell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED] commented
 on some Near-death experiences (NDE) that they are
 
 Vehhh-rrrhy Interesting - But Not-Proof
 
 which I agree with.  But the reports are suggestive,
 aren't they?

grin  As I said - very interesting.  And not yet
well-researched enough (although I shudder to think of
what near-death studies *have* been done by some of
the monstrous so-called doctors of some WWII
enemies...horrible grimace).  I think the accurate
knowledge/memories of where people/objects in the
room-of-clinical-death were is the most fascinating
(and inexplicable), from a hunh?? standpoint.
 
 Most of the controversy comes from the definition of
 the word `death'
 which is ... unconsciousness caused by insufficient
 blood supply to
 the brain.  Under such circumstances brain is still
 alive because
 non-moving blood has some oxygen left in it; and in
 any case, brain
 cells without oxygen taken some time to die (but not
 very long).  Such
 a person, is not dead as we think normally of death.
 That is why `death' is prefixed by the term
`clinically'.
 
 ...Blackmore says science can also explain
those tunnels: Electrical brain scans show that in
our
 last moments, as the brain is deprived of oxygen,
 cells fire frantically and at random in the part of
 the brain which govern vision.
 
 Now, imagine that you've got lots and lots of
 cells firing in the middle, towards fewer at the
outside, what's it going to look like? Bright light
in
 the middle fading off towards dark at the outside,
http://abcnews.go.com/sections/GMA/DrJohnson/GMA020108Near_death_experiences.html
 
 grin Of course, that means you must imagine
 that instead of the
 documented *random* neuron firing, you are
 positing *coordinated* neuron firing...
 
 Right.  Blackmore is saying that outer cells stop
 firing before inner cells.

Yes - but that isn't the same as the *known random*
firing pattern! 
 
 In my own near-drowning, I saw sparkly lights
 against a dark-grey
 background, which is consistant with a
 random-fire pattern
 
 which suggests that you were not as nearly dead as
 some of the others.  This was fortunate for you... 

:)  No kidding!  I certainly didn't have a calm
peaceful moment either - more like I'm going to ruin
everyone's vacation if I die here!  with a few
expletives and other scrambled thoughts deleted...

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrievedb=PubMedlist_uids=11755611dopt=Abstract
 
 ...We do not know why so few cardiac patients
 report NDE after
 CPR, although age plays a part. With a purely
 physiological
 explanation such as cerebral anoxia for the
 experience, most
 patients who have been clinically dead should
 report one.
 
 Alternatively, humans have different responses to a
 shortage of oxygen
 in the brain.  It is already known that humans have
 different reponses to other events.

And perhaps those who experience these more 'mystical'
NDEs have other variables in common that we haven't
noticed or discovered yet. 
 
 As you say, this is very interesting.  But
 Blackmore's work and your
 near-drowning certainly does fit a `losing oxygen'
 model of cells' behavior rather than anything else.

Yes, although I think that Blackmore, by positing a
more-coordinated firing pattern rather than the
documented random one, is finessing the current data a
bit.

Debbi
who actually would have liked to have had such a
'mystical' experience, but in my several brushes with
the 'Shadow,' I probably wasn't clinically dead -
although I wasn't breathing for a few moments in at
least two, according to eyewitnesses

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Re: The seven habits of highly ineffective societies

2003-07-30 Thread Jan Coffey
There are dangers there. Take these seven factors and turn them around. Some
of them will not sound so pleasing once you get under the surface and down to
the WHY the Lt. Cln. addresses.

A highly effective society could also emplode with tyrany.

What kind of life are we willing to have where we work all the time and never
play. 

What happens when those at the top realize that they can tap and use these 7
failures to their advantage? What happens when all of the -real work- is
farmed out to Indea, China, and Mexico?

Where will the middle income family be to buy all those electronics and
software? If all tangible goods are produced in other countries, how will the
Americans afford to buy all that stuff?

They Won't but that wont matter to the most wealthy becouse they don't care
who buys the goods, just as long as someone does.

You may complain and contradict this by saying that it is just like the issue
with women entering the workforce. I agree that any subjugation of any group
is wrong. And on principle I agree that women should be, and inherently are,
equal.

However, the emergant property is very troubeling. I do not wish to be 70 and
working long hours every day. What kind of life is it where you get out of
bed go to work, leave work, come home and go directly to bed? Many do that
now, and are proud of it. They are nothing but drones doing the bidding of
those who spend most of their day on the gulf course. I look at it and one
word comes to mind. That word is slavery.

No thanks! That is NOT Life or Librity, and certainly NOT the persuit of
happyness.

And due to the very fact taht education in these other places simply is not
what it is in the US, you get a lower quality product. You get product that
fall apart, or do not work as designed. Or worse only product that has a
complexity low enough to be built in a waterfall fasion rather than thought
through and perfected.

While I personaly agree with the Cln. on every one of the 7 points, the
underlying issue (the 8th habit) is much much more troubeling.

The 8th habit is [ Intrest by society for the individual to maintain a high
quality of life.].

--- Chad Cooper [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 This paper was written 5 years ago 
 
 The Seven Factors 
 These key failure factors are: 
 Restrictions on the free flow of information. 
 The subjugation of women. 
 Inability to accept responsibility for individual or collective failure. 
 The extended family or clan as the basic unit of social organization. 
 Domination by a restrictive religion. 
 A low valuation of education. 
 Low prestige assigned to work.  
  
 
 http://denbeste.nu/external/Peters01.html
 
 
 The best quote IMHO:
 
 The failure is greater where the avoidance of responsibility is greater.
 In
 the Middle East and Southwest Asia, oil money has masked cultural, social,
 technical, and structural failure for decades. While the military failure
 of
 the regional states has been obvious, consistent, and undeniable, the
 locals
 sense--even when they do not fully understand--their noncompetitive status
 in other spheres as well. It is hateful and disorienting to them. Only the
 twin blessings of Israel and the United States, upon whom Arabs and
 Persians
 can blame even their most egregious ineptitudes, enable a fly-specked
 pretense of cultural viability. 
 
 
 Nerd From Hell
 
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=
_
   Jan William Coffey
_

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Re: The seven habits of highly ineffective societies

2003-07-30 Thread Julia Thompson
Jan Coffey wrote:

 However, the emergant property is very troubeling. I do not wish to be 70 and
 working long hours every day. What kind of life is it where you get out of
 bed go to work, leave work, come home and go directly to bed? Many do that
 now, and are proud of it. They are nothing but drones doing the bidding of
 those who spend most of their day on the gulf course. I look at it and one
 word comes to mind. That word is slavery.

Depends on the individual and the work.  I can cite one case that's
probably *extremely* out of the ordinary where a 70-year-old, laid off
and eligible for a pension, took the pension and spent the next 10
months trying to find *another* job in his field, and didn't admit he
was probably never going to have such a job again until near the end of
those 10 months.  (And it's not as if he couldn't have afforded to
retire 10 years earlier.)

Julia
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Re: The seven habits of highly ineffective societies

2003-07-30 Thread TomFODW
 Restrictions on the free flow of information.
 The subjugation of women.
 Inability to accept responsibility for individual or collective failure.
 The extended family or clan as the basic unit of social organization.
 Domination by a restrictive religion.
 A low valuation of education.
 Low prestige assigned to work. 
 

I'm afraid I can see some of these factors beginning to affect the USA (not 
all).



Tom Beck

www.prydonians.org
www.mercerjewishsingles.org

I always knew I'd see the first man on the Moon. I never dreamed I'd see the 
last. - Dr Jerry Pournelle
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Lance!

2003-07-30 Thread TomFODW
Considering the level of interest shown in the Tour de France when it 
started, I'm surprised to see little or no mention of the fact, now that it's over, 
that Lance Armstrong won his fifth in a row. This one was more stirring than 
the previous 4, as his triumph was in doubt until the next-to-last day. He was 
used to blowing his competition away, and he just could not do so this year. I 
wouldn't be surprised if he savors this one the most, as it was his 
hardest-earned (except, perhaps, for his first, considering he was just coming off his 
miraculous recovery from cancer back then).





Tom Beck

www.prydonians.org
www.mercerjewishsingles.org

I always knew I'd see the first man on the Moon. I never dreamed I'd see the 
last. - Dr Jerry Pournelle
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Re: Lance!

2003-07-30 Thread Julia Thompson
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 Considering the level of interest shown in the Tour de France when it
 started, I'm surprised to see little or no mention of the fact, now that it's over,
 that Lance Armstrong won his fifth in a row. This one was more stirring than
 the previous 4, as his triumph was in doubt until the next-to-last day. He was
 used to blowing his competition away, and he just could not do so this year. I
 wouldn't be surprised if he savors this one the most, as it was his
 hardest-earned (except, perhaps, for his first, considering he was just coming off 
 his
 miraculous recovery from cancer back then).

I was busy e-mailing back and forth with Kevin about it all, and one of
my friends was calling me every day about that day's stage, except on
the rest days.  (Then she'd call me about baseball games.)  Kinda weird
now, she hasn't called me in a few days.  :)

I've also been soaking up everything the Austin paper has published on
it.  He went to a conference on cancer after he won the Tour, did anyone
else know that?  He made some kind of crack about how he wouldn't be
talking much, due to the hard time his 200 friends had given him in the
last 3 weeks.  :)

Anyone besides me read _It's Not About the Bike_?

Julia
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Re: The seven habits of highly ineffective societies

2003-07-30 Thread Jan Coffey


--- Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Jan Coffey wrote:
 
  However, the emergant property is very troubeling. I do not wish to be 70
 and
  working long hours every day. What kind of life is it where you get out
 of
  bed go to work, leave work, come home and go directly to bed? Many do
 that
  now, and are proud of it. They are nothing but drones doing the bidding
 of
  those who spend most of their day on the gulf course. I look at it and
 one
  word comes to mind. That word is slavery.
 
 Depends on the individual and the work.  I can cite one case that's
 probably *extremely* out of the ordinary where a 70-year-old, laid off
 and eligible for a pension, took the pension and spent the next 10
 months trying to find *another* job in his field, and didn't admit he
 was probably never going to have such a job again until near the end of
 those 10 months.  (And it's not as if he couldn't have afforded to
 retire 10 years earlier.)
 
   Julia

You misunderstand me. That's not what I am talking about. I would love to be
working and productive at 70. However, I don't want to be unemployed becouse
I cost more than some shlup in Indea who will work 80 hours a week for 1/4
the cost. And what is more, I don't want to work 80 hours a week. I would,
after all, like to be alive so that I can be working and productive at 70.

How about you?

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=
_
   Jan William Coffey
_

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Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/29/2003 10:57:56 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Actually, Bush *did* do that, and Britain said that they completely stand
 by their intelligence with the highest degree of confidence.   
 
Oh I get it; it went like this. Bush- Do you guys have information about uraniums 
sales to Sadaam in Africa?
British - Yes we have evidence of that. 
Bush - Well this is really important because this is the SOU address afterall and my 
intelligence folks are dubious about this information
British - Oh, I see you want proof
Bush - Yes
British - No problem. We are really really really sure that Sadaam did this
Bush - Wow! three reallies. That is amazing. I can go to the american public in total 
confidence. Wait till I tell our intelligence guys that you are really really really 
sure.

What he needed was evidence not assurances. (Really)

There is my shot. Where is the British evidence?
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Re: The seven habits of highly ineffective societies

2003-07-30 Thread Jan Coffey

--- Jan Coffey [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 --- Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Jan Coffey wrote:
  
   However, the emergant property is very troubeling. I do not wish to be
 70
  and
   working long hours every day. What kind of life is it where you get out
  of
   bed go to work, leave work, come home and go directly to bed? Many do
  that
   now, and are proud of it. They are nothing but drones doing the bidding
  of
   those who spend most of their day on the gulf course. I look at it and
  one
   word comes to mind. That word is slavery.
  
  Depends on the individual and the work.  I can cite one case that's
  probably *extremely* out of the ordinary where a 70-year-old, laid off
  and eligible for a pension, took the pension and spent the next 10
  months trying to find *another* job in his field, and didn't admit he
  was probably never going to have such a job again until near the end of
  those 10 months.  (And it's not as if he couldn't have afforded to
  retire 10 years earlier.)
  
  Julia
 
 You misunderstand me. That's not what I am talking about. I would love to
 be
 working and productive at 70. However, I don't want to be unemployed
 becouse
 I cost more than some shlup in Indea who will work 80 hours a week for 1/4
 the cost. And what is more, I don't want to work 80 hours a week. I would,
 after all, like to be alive so that I can be working and productive at 70.
 
 How about you?
 

And before anyone misunderstands me, -NO- I don't want the poor Indean
national to have to work 80 hours a week for 1/4 the pay eaither. And -YES- I
would like him to be as gainfully employed as me. 

It's not about US verses Them. It is about keeping US jobs in the US and
about rewarding loyal citizens for that citizenship and productivity which
has made us greate. If you want one world governemnt then fine, but that
should mean that they (that all) should get all the protections we in the us
are having taken away from us daily. Until there is a world government
Corporations who got where they are through the work of the US citizen should
not then be allowed to take those Jobs elsewhere. They recieve tax breakes
specificaly becouse they are expected to use those tax breaks to create more
jobs here in the US. If instead they create those jobs in other countries,
then they are steeling from the US taxpayer.



=
_
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_

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Re: Lance!

2003-07-30 Thread Kevin Tarr
At 09:41 PM 7/30/2003 -0400, you wrote:
Considering the level of interest shown in the Tour de France when it
started, I'm surprised to see little or no mention of the fact, now that 
it's over,
that Lance Armstrong won his fifth in a row. This one was more stirring than
the previous 4, as his triumph was in doubt until the next-to-last day. He 
was
used to blowing his competition away, and he just could not do so this 
year. I
wouldn't be surprised if he savors this one the most, as it was his
hardest-earned (except, perhaps, for his first, considering he was just 
coming off his
miraculous recovery from cancer back then).

Tom Beck
There didn't seem to be much interest here, I thought. I watched the 
penultimate stage live, postponing a bike ride of my own until I saw the 
result. Then I recorded the same stage while I was work, just to see if I 
missed anything. I treid to record the final day, but messed something up.

I did breathe relief when the outcome was known, and breathlessly watched 
stage 13, pumping my own fist when Armstrong came around the corner so 
quickly after Ullrich got second on the final climb, Lance keeping the 
yellow jersey.

But I'm not one of 'those' fans. The only time I'll flip out is watching 
the Yanks, or PSU. So Lance won. Yahoo. I went for a bike ride and drank 
beer that night, but I would have done that if he came in second.

I am glad he won the way he did. He said the same thing, but five straight 
of anything is great. So many bad things happened, the wrecks, his cold. 
But he survived.

Can anyone believe the sportsmanship shown when he wrecked the second time? 
I have not heard anyone say that Lance didn't show the same sportsmanship 
when Beloki crashed, but it was near the end going downhill. If Beloki was 
okay, he'd have only lost a minute at the most, if that. But I'm sure Lance 
knew, from his team radio, the he was seriously hurt.

Kevin T. - VRWC
On Monday Letterman had a guy ride from backstage, down the stairs, up the 
isle and out the back door. He was wearing sunglasses, a helmet, postal 
shorts and the postal yellow jersey. While the guy had biker legs, he was 
also fatter then me. It was pretty funny. Dave kept saying, Yes, that was 
Lance. He couldn't stop.

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Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 10:15 PM 7/30/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
There is my shot. Where is the British evidence?

As is usual in the intelligence business, the British said that they can't
reveal their sources so as to preserve their leads.   

Now what?

JDG - Choose, Bob.
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   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
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Life and Death

2003-07-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
Three weeks ago, for my birthday, my wife and kids got me a little 
yellow sided conure (a small, new world parrot).  At about 12 weeks old 
she isn't quite full grown yet.  She was hand raised, and is 
affectionate, mischievous, curious, and altogether endearing.  As I 
write this she is sitting on my shoulder, nibbling gently on my cheek. 
She'll eat from my hands, relax on her back while I scratch her neck, or 
crawl inside my shirt and stick her head out the collar.  When she's 
tired, she'll fall asleep in my hands.

But also as I write, my 13 year old dog Lucky lies in a cage at the Vet 
hospital, breathing hard from the fluid collected in her lungs, barely 
able to stand or walk, and low in spirit.  The Vet says she may have 
pneumonia - or cancer in her lungs - the xray is inconclusive.  Lucky 
has always been a doll.  We adopted her from the shelter when she was 6 
weeks old.  She and her litter mates were left on a corner in a box, and 
might have been destroyed without even getting a chance at adoption if 
we hadn't spotted them.  She always hated being left alone, and I'm 
agonizing over the idea of her staying at the clinic by herself, 
receiving the intravenous fluids and antibiotics we hope will restore 
her to health.  If she has cancer I just want to bring her home and hold 
her for a few hours before she passes.  She's been such a good dog - 
smart, affectionate, playful...

So new life and the awful specter of death.  Does one offset the other? 
 I wish I never had to find out.

Doug



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RE: Lance!

2003-07-30 Thread Jon Gabriel
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On
 Behalf Of Julia Thompson
 Sent: Wednesday, July 30, 2003 10:02 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Lance!
 
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  Considering the level of interest shown in the Tour de France when
it
  started, I'm surprised to see little or no mention of the fact, now
that
 it's over,
  that Lance Armstrong won his fifth in a row. This one was more
stirring
 than
  the previous 4, as his triumph was in doubt until the next-to-last
day.
 He was
  used to blowing his competition away, and he just could not do so
this
 year. I
  wouldn't be surprised if he savors this one the most, as it was his
  hardest-earned (except, perhaps, for his first, considering he was
just
 coming off his
  miraculous recovery from cancer back then).
 
 I was busy e-mailing back and forth with Kevin about it all, and one
of
 my friends was calling me every day about that day's stage, except on
 the rest days.  (Then she'd call me about baseball games.)  Kinda
weird
 now, she hasn't called me in a few days.  :)
 
 I've also been soaking up everything the Austin paper has published on
 it.  He went to a conference on cancer after he won the Tour, did
anyone
 else know that?  He made some kind of crack about how he wouldn't be
 talking much, due to the hard time his 200 friends had given him in
the
 last 3 weeks.  :)

Almost every radio show, tv show and article I've read has included his
accomplishment (5 straight wins) as something of a footnote.  They
didn't forget to mention it but didn't make a big deal out of it either.


 
 Anyone besides me read _It's Not About the Bike_?
 

It's sitting on my 'to read shelf', which means I'll probably get to it
around 2006. ;)

Did anyone else catch his Nike ad?  It only ran every 5 minutes during
the coverage. ;)  Awesome!

Jon
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Re: Life and Death

2003-07-30 Thread Julia Thompson
Doug Pensinger wrote:
 
 Three weeks ago, for my birthday, my wife and kids got me a little
 yellow sided conure (a small, new world parrot).  At about 12 weeks old
 she isn't quite full grown yet.  She was hand raised, and is
 affectionate, mischievous, curious, and altogether endearing.  As I
 write this she is sitting on my shoulder, nibbling gently on my cheek.
 She'll eat from my hands, relax on her back while I scratch her neck, or
 crawl inside my shirt and stick her head out the collar.  When she's
 tired, she'll fall asleep in my hands.
 
 But also as I write, my 13 year old dog Lucky lies in a cage at the Vet
 hospital, breathing hard from the fluid collected in her lungs, barely
 able to stand or walk, and low in spirit.  The Vet says she may have
 pneumonia - or cancer in her lungs - the xray is inconclusive.  Lucky
 has always been a doll.  We adopted her from the shelter when she was 6
 weeks old.  She and her litter mates were left on a corner in a box, and
 might have been destroyed without even getting a chance at adoption if
 we hadn't spotted them.  She always hated being left alone, and I'm
 agonizing over the idea of her staying at the clinic by herself,
 receiving the intravenous fluids and antibiotics we hope will restore
 her to health.  If she has cancer I just want to bring her home and hold
 her for a few hours before she passes.  She's been such a good dog -
 smart, affectionate, playful...
 
 So new life and the awful specter of death.  Does one offset the other?
   I wish I never had to find out.

I don't know.

In June, when we knew I was carrying twins, my parents-in-law came for a
short visit.  (With them, anything less than a week is short.  Too
short, if you ask me.)  We discussed the possibility of my needing bed
rest at some point to try to help prevent premature delivery.  They
assured us they could be here within 3 days of our hollering that we
needed their help for that.

Then my father-in-law went to the doctor about a lump.  The doctor set
him up with a surgeon, who removed it.  Test results said it was some
sort of neuroendicrine cancer.  He saw an oncologist today, will have
all sorts of tests run Monday afternoon, and will see the oncologist
again next Wednesday and the oncologist will know just what's going on
with him.

Needless to say, my parents-in-law aren't available for helping out
anytime soon.  So when it got bad for me a couple of weeks ago (when all
we knew was neuroendicrine cancer and that the Really Good Oncologist
hadn't had an opening before July 30), Dan called *my* mom.  Of course,
she's not the one I spent 2 weeks in May whipping into shape.  :)   (My
parents-in-law came for a longer visit then, and it was nice to have
them here.)  She *is* being helpful, and we're easing her into various
responsibilities a bit at a time. 

So, in the back of my head, I'm wondering if there's a possibility that
my father-in-law just isn't going to ever get to see these two new
grandchildren in person.  And that saddens me greatly.  But we're most
worried about my mother-in-law; I think my father-in-law can handle his
own death a lot more easily than she can.

Julia

hoping that both of Dan's parents will be able to come for Thanksgiving,
and *desperately* hoping that one of his relatives in Austin will be
hosting Thanksgiving, because I just can't do it, not even if everyone
else brings all the food, not *this* year, and I don't want to have to
go to Houston for it
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Re: Lance!

2003-07-30 Thread Julia Thompson
Jon Gabriel wrote:

 Did anyone else catch his Nike ad?  It only ran every 5 minutes during
 the coverage. ;)  Awesome!

I just noticed the Subaru ad, myself.

Julia
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RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

 John D. Giorgis wrote:

 I'm not sure what you are getting at here.  Terrorism has existed
 for recorded history.  Don't forget that when they win, terrorists
 are called freedom fighters or revolutionaries.
 
 I disagree with this.   Suicide bombings, hijackings, 
 Oklahoma City-style
 bombings, etc. all strike me as fairly modern inventions.  

I think his point is that these tactics have been used for ages to
express political grievances and attempt a change in policy: attacks on
non-combatants, disruption of servics, destruction of public property.
And that the way the same are perceived differs from group to group.
The Mughals considered the Marathas as terrorists, a lot of people
thought they were freedom fighters. Chandrashekhar Azad and Bhagat Singh
were terrorists to the British but we Indians called them
revolutionaries then and martyrs today.

The last 6 decades or so have seen a change in the nature of terrorism
though - the targets are almost invariably non-combatants and modern
technology grants them greater capabilities of destruction.

 I firmly believe that the next 100 years are a crucial 
 opportunity to make
 the world safe for democracy, as technology gives rogue 
 states ever greater
 potential for destruction.  Now is the time to do something about it,
 before it is too late.

The next x number of years have been crucial ever since the first atomic
bomb exploded. And it is always going to be this way. What you say above
is comfortable and laudable, but how do you propose to go about
implementing it?
Who defines rogue states? How do you ensure that they don't develop
weapons? What do you do when each rogue state denies your claims and
assertions? What organisations and instruments are you going to use to
keep a check on what the rogue states are doing? How many pre-emptive
wars are you willing to fight? And how many of these wars do you plan to
fight in face of international opposition? How do you grade the two
menaces of terrorism and rogue states in terms of danger and lethality?
The last question is especially important as every pre-emptive war
fought to contain a rogue state and make the world safer for democracy
would also increase the support for terrorism. At least it will if the
US government continues with its current modus operandi.

Ritu


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RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

Gautam Mukunda wrote:

  Bush
 _used_ the sympathy 9/11 generated to make possible
 something that would not have been possible without it
 - the removal of Saddam Hussein, something that was
 clearly not in the interest of anyone in the region or
 in Europe (save England). 

I completely agree with the above statement. What I have never been able
to understand, though, is just whom this war *was* in interest of, other
than the Iraqi people that is [and that too when and if the
reconstruction is successful]. If any American or British interests were
supposed to have been served by this war or if they have indeed been
served by this war, I find myself unable to identify them and reconcile
the same with the way this war has been conducted.

 His ability to do that was
 diplomatic skill of the highest order.

I disagree here. Imho, the diplomatic skill exhibited by the Bush
administration was pitiful. Since the fall of the USSR, the US has been
the sole super-power in the world. It was a bare fact, everyone knew it.
Post 9/11, you guys had more sympathy and support than you have ever
enjoyed globally. Bush not only used it to oust Saddam, the way this war
was conducted, he almost used all of it up. That is a failure of
diplomacy, not a demonstration of diplomatic skill. The US didn't really
need anybody's help and the administration was willing to go in alone if
need be. Then where was the need to offend, threaten, insult and
denigrate other countries and institutions?

I honestly see no evidence of diplomatic skill. What I see is a wasteful
squandering of good will and old alliances, for a dubious and uncertain
end.
Now I don't mind it in the least. I am not American and I am definitely
not a supporter of the notion of Pax Americana. But I would have thought
the Americans would mind, at least those who *do* believe in this idea. 

Ritu


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