Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Horse shit. You didn't change your views in those few days based upon news. You changed it based upon your interactions here, during a time at which there was no news. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:36 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > We both used Intrade, Kevin. This is how it works. > > Changing new

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Put that back to 43%: Mr. Darden earned an MRP in environmental planning from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,* a JD from Yale Law School* and a BA from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where he was a Morehead Scholar. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:22 PM, Blaze Spinna

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

We both used Intrade, Kevin. This is how it works. Changing news requires updating your priors constantly. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:32 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > Yeah, right. You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then > quickly pull back. You're the one disconnected to reality

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Yeah, right. You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then quickly pull back. You're the one disconnected to reality. I wouldn't care except for the fact that you took money off the table. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:30 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Kevin, you're very very confused abou

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Correction, make that 41%. It's not Cherokee but rather Tom Darden (investor, co founder of Cherokee) and Mr. Vaughn (senior analyst at Cherokee, BA Economics) who are the players here. It'd be good to find out who those other investors are. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:35 PM, Blaze Spinnaker w

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Increasing the probability to 44% on the basis of Cherokee PR release. Big big BIG news. Now this is no longer about Rossi, but about Cherokee. I know you guys think I'm a git for my doubt, but hey, my model is wy ahead of the curve than the vast majority of the investing universe.XOM i

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Kevin, you're very very confused about reality. I tend to avoid discussions with such people. On Thu, Jan 23, 2014 at 4:34 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > > STMicro has nothing to do with Rossi. > Cherokee stuff is all rumor, but at least it has something to do with > Rossi. > 3rd party reports i

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

rn? > > Dave > > > > -Original Message- > From: Blaze Spinnaker > To: vortex-l > Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 3:39 pm > Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to > 35% > > Increasing the probability back to 35% based on t

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

STMicro has nothing to do with Rossi. Cherokee stuff is all rumor, but at least it has something to do with Rossi. 3rd party reports in March -- he's been saying that all along, so why does this suddenly mean an increase of 2%? Defkalion has nothing to do with Rossi. As has been stated upthread, B

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Yes, for those who don't have an opinion, that's true you're very right, they probably don't have an opinion. On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 9:02 PM, Eric Walker wrote: > On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 1:33 PM, Blaze Spinnaker > wrote: > > >> But the reality is 99% of the scientific world probably thinks I'

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 1:33 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > But the reality is 99% of the scientific world probably thinks I'm a total > crank for putting that much faith into Rossi. > If not that, they would surely think you're a crank for being on this list. Personally, I suspect it is closer t

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

>>> >>>> But the reality is 99% of the scientific world probably thinks I'm a >>>> total crank for putting that much faith into Rossi. >>>> >>>> >>>> On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 1:31 PM, David Roberson wrote: >>>> >&

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > I have a history of successfully making such 'arbitrary' assessments based > on speculation / gossip / rumours / second hand information .. generally by > measuring the credibility of the individuals that I gather such information > from. > That sounds like an intuitive

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

>>> At this point I would have to be shown iron clad evidence that the >>>> ECAT does not generate additional heat beyond what is used for drive. That >>>> would have to fall into the upper 90's. >>>> >>>> Dave >>>> >>>>

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

to be shown iron clad evidence that the ECAT >>> does not generate additional heat beyond what is used for drive. That >>> would have to fall into the upper 90's. >>> >>> Dave >>> >>> >>> >>> -Original Message- >>> From: Blaze Spinna

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

at is used for drive. That >> would have to fall into the upper 90's. >> >> Dave >> >> >> >> -Original Message- >> From: Blaze Spinnaker >> To: vortex-l >> Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 4:24 pm >> Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

6, 2014 4:24 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% So, Dave, I guess you're at .. what? 95%? 90%? On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 12:54 PM, David Roberson wrote: John, it does seem rather arbitrary how his game works and hopefully he can help me understa

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 4:24 pm > Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to > 35% > > So, Dave, I guess you're at .. what? 95%? 90%? > > > On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 12:54 PM, David Roberson wrote: > >> John, it does seem rather arbitrary

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

24 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% So, Dave, I guess you're at .. what? 95%? 90%? On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 12:54 PM, David Roberson wrote: John, it does seem rather arbitrary how his game works and hopefully he can help me understand

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

; Dave >>> >>> >>> >>> -Original Message- >>> From: Foks0904 . >>> To: vortex-l >>> Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 3:48 pm >>> Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to >>> 35% >>

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

; Dave >> >> >> >> -Original Message----- >> From: Foks0904 . >> To: vortex-l >> Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 3:48 pm >> Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to >> 35% >> >> Increasing the probabi

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > The next indie report on the ecat should be an interesting inflection > report. > Okay, indie means "independent." As in an indie movie festival. That took me a while to translate from rad-speak to stan-Eng. - Jed

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

hem to be placed in > common usage. There has been more than enough evidence already > demonstrated. > > Dave > > > > -Original Message- > From: Foks0904 . > To: vortex-l > Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 3:48 pm > Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi b

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

s0904 . To: vortex-l Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 3:48 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% Increasing the probability back to 35% based on the latest news coming out of BLP and McKubre. Yesterday you were complaining about how stupid BLP and McKubre/Brilloui

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

that LENR exists earlier at 31%, how would they cash in now and make their 4% return? Dave -Original Message- From: Blaze Spinnaker To: vortex-l Sent: Thu, Jan 16, 2014 3:39 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% Increasing the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Increasing the probability back to 35% based on the latest news coming out of BLP and McKubre. Yesterday you were complaining about how stupid BLP and McKubre/Brillouin are and how "annoying" they were behaving. Now you see value in these reports, why? And you associate them with Rossi, why? You'

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Increasing the probability back to 35% based on the latest news coming out of BLP and McKubre. Hopefully we'll see some more encouraging things soon. The next indie report on the ecat should be an interesting inflection report. On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 7:52 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Fulvio ,

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Blaze Spinnaker wrote: "He hopes to launch another cold fusion project at Texas Tech." > > That and 25 cents will probably get you an apple from the grocery store. > You have made a speculative guess about Duncan's mindset. You say he has "bailed" on cold fusion. I am sure you have not spoken w

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

What does real mean? Does it mean LENR is physically possible, does it mean Rossi will commercialize LENR, does it mean DGT will commercialize LENR...I could go on with another 100 variations of "what does it mean?". If the event that the odds are meant to describe is not defined in detail to the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Anyways. I have a long history of success in predicting future events on Intrade, as well as a methodology that has worked out well. It's not particularly difficult, it's just that few people bother to try. I'm pretty sure if more people here (especially those who are reality based versus fait

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

"He hopes to launch another cold fusion project at Texas Tech." That and 25 cents will probably get you an apple from the grocery store. On Tue, Jan 7, 2014 at 6:48 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > > >> I don't see Duncan as a big deal, more of a failure from an individual

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > I don't see Duncan as a big deal, more of a failure from an individual > point of view. He bailed on LENR and the big donation, that really speaks > more about him than LENR itself. > No, he did not. That is not what he says. He hopes to launch another cold fusion proj

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

I've worked with Gambling Industry people. It has never ended well. Hopefully it's not the case with Rossi. On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 10:27 PM, Lennart Thornros wrote: > Hello Blazoe, I did not understand all you said. I do believe we have > similar opinions. Hower, I believe you have the partner

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Hello Blazoe, I did not understand all you said. I do believe we have similar opinions. Hower, I believe you have the partners yo deserve. If gaming industry are interested then you know the chances are better than 60 to 70 %. Now, identify other people more seriious which can benefit from LENR. No

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Fair points. Note that I am more mostly referring to Rossi and that LENR+ is currently available in some secret lab somewhere. It's worth noting that much like most people here I generally believe in LENR itself and I am fairly optimistic that LENR+ might be possible at some point, even if in the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

On Tue, Jan 7, 2014 at 4:56 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Porn and Gambling are pretty much equivalent, moral wise. > Porn has good sides, both demystifying the human body and sexuality and providing a source of sexual outlet when otherwise there might be few good options. The human body is not a sh

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

The quote from Huff is suppose to be: Most people will miss their GUESS by 15 minutes or more . . . The operative word here is "guess." Mr. Spinnaker's numbers are a guess. I recommend this little book by Huff. It is only 142 pages long including cute illustrations. Little books are sometimes g

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

83.7% of statistics are made up on the spur of the moment.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 2:32 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > Jones Beene wrote: > > >> If so, then the ARPA-E inclusion of LENR for funding should add something >> positive, and the Defkalion departure from Canada should detract. >> > > Did they depart from Canada? I thought they just moved to a new of

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

I meant to say: > Robert Duncan moving from Missouri to Texas A&M could go either way, no? >> > > He told me, "this will be good news for cold fusion." I guess that means > he is hoping to spread the . . . > MEANT: I guess that means he is hoping to spread the Gospel of St. Martin even unto t

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Jones Beene wrote: > If so, then the ARPA-E inclusion of LENR for funding should add something > positive, and the Defkalion departure from Canada should detract. > Did they depart from Canada? I thought they just moved to a new office. On the other hand, I have heard through the grapevine the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Does that imply LENR is a gamble? On Monday, January 6, 2014, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Fulvio , the tech Director & R.D. at Leonardo Corporation MIAMI - FL - USA > previous job was: > > " Frelance > Consultant

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Fulvio , the tech Director & R.D. at Leonardo Corporation MIAMI - FL - USA previous job was: "Frelance ConsultantEuropean Gaming and Gambling Tech Market

RE: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

From: Blaze Spinnaker This is based on * STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%) * Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%) * Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%) * Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%) Ne

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

I've worked with people in the Gambling industry, an industry which is very predatorial and with very few scruples. I had several opportunities to get involved but didn't because I couldn't live with myself if I did. Not to mention all the people I'd be working with were icky++ Porn and Gambling

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

Blaze Spinnaker wrote: This is based on > >- STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%) >- Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%) > > Where did these numbers come from? 4.5% and 2.5% of what? - Jed

[Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

This is based on - STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%) - Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%) - Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%) - Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%) News seems to be coming in fairly rapidly at this point. Could be updating this prob

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