Re: Obama II

2014-03-02 Thread Doug Pensinger
Actually,  bugs/design flaws caught during the design phase cost far less
than those discovered during the build.

Doug
GSV Prior Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance
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Re:

2014-03-02 Thread Doug Pensinger
Yea, what's the deal?  Anyone home?  Anyone read anything good/interesting?
 I recently listened to For Whom the Bell Tolls and am now listening to a
book called The Mongoliad, Greg Bear being one of several co-authors.  The
Hemingway was very stark and depressing and a bit obsessed with death but
very good all the same.  The Bear (et al) is an action packed thriller set
during the Mongolian invasion of Europe.  I'm also reading Incidents in the
Life of a Slave Girl  by Harriet Ann Jacobs which is interesting and a bit
of an eye opener.

Doug


On Wed, Mar 13, 2013 at 1:03 PM, Dan Minette danmine...@att.net wrote:

 Hi Debbi,

 I don't think you've been deleted.  But we've been real quiet.

 Dan M.


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Re: Electronic interface options

2011-09-20 Thread Doug Pensinger
Hmmm, don't know if there's an easier way, but I just read that G+ is open
to the public now; no invite necessary.

http://plus.google.com if you're interested.

Doug
I'm guessing this is a top post.  Sorry.

On Sep 20, 2011 2:09 PM, Warren Ockrassa war...@nightwares.com wrote:

Funny. Having seen this, I just searched you on g+ and added you to my Brin
circle!

I wonder if there's a way to streamline or transparentize the process.

• Warren • off console • w azkrmc.com • h nightwares.com •


On Sep 19, 2011, at 21:58, Doug Pensinger brig...@zo.com wrote:

 I have a
 Brin-l circle on G+...

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Re: Testing...

2011-09-19 Thread Doug Pensinger
Charlie wrote:

 Living In A Land Down Under

You better run, you better take cover.

Doug
Californication

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Re: Electronic interface options

2011-09-19 Thread Doug Pensinger
Personally, I like this format over FB, and maybe over G+ too.  The
fan sites have much less a sense of community than this list has (or
had).  I use Gmail and it automatically hides quoted text so that's
not a big issue (it also has the best spam filter  by far that I've
come across).

FB is good for friends and family and I've resisted the temptation to
compile as many friends as I can, even trimming the list a bit now and
then.  I turn all the game stuff off and I don't respond to pokes and
all that as I don't really see the point.

I think G+ is superior to FB but most of my FB friends haven't
transitioned there so I'm stuck with having to follow both.  I have a
Brin-l circle on G+ but I only have something like 9 people in it.
I'd be interested to know how many of you all are on G+ and in trying
that out as a possible successor to the mailing list, but, you know, I
really miss the good old days

Doug

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Re: ADMIN: Re: Delivery Status Notification (Failure), was Re: Night Owls Demand Equal Rights!

2011-09-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Me neither.

Hi Ticia, good to hear from you.

Doug

On Sun, Sep 18, 2011 at 5:05 PM, Matt Grimaldi matzeb...@yahoo.com wrote:
 I DON'T get such messages when sending on the list.
 -- Matt


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Spoilers?

2011-08-15 Thread Doug Pensinger
http://www.scientificamerican.com/podcast/episode.cfm?id=spoiling-the-ending-makes-for-a-bet-11-08-14WT.mc_id=SA_DD_20110815#comments

What do you think?  Should we forgo the spoiler alerts?

Doug

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Re: Brin-l Digest, Vol 29, Issue 8

2011-07-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Hi Jo Anne,

G+ is cool in that you can set up different circles of people and then
post to one, a few or all of them.  You can have a brin-l circle and
use it kind of like the email list since, at the click of a button you
can view just the brin-l (or family or friend etc) posts.

There are a few other differences from FB, but I haven't experimented
with any of them yet.

Doug

On Fri, Jul 22, 2011 at 2:03 PM, Jo Anne evens...@hevanet.com wrote:
 Hi Alex --

 Can you tell me why I'd want Google+?

 I just got a smart phone, and so far it's smarter than I am.  I had to set
 up a Google account for that.

 Thanks.

 Jo Anne
 evens...@hevanet.com




 On 7/22/11 11:00 AM, brin-l-requ...@mccmedia.com
 brin-l-requ...@mccmedia.com wrote:

 Send Brin-l mailing list submissions to
 brin-l@mccmedia.com

 To subscribe or unsubscribe via the World Wide Web, visit
 http://box535.bluehost.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l_mccmedia.com
 or, via email, send a message with subject or body 'help' to
 brin-l-requ...@mccmedia.com

 You can reach the person managing the list at
 brin-l-ow...@mccmedia.com

 When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific
 than Re: Contents of Brin-l digest...


 Today's Topics:

    1. google (Jon Louis Mann)
    2. Re: google (Alex Gogan)
    3. Re: google (Kevin O'Brien)


 --

 Message: 1
 Date: Thu, 21 Jul 2011 12:28:45 -0700 (PDT)
 From: Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.com
 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: google
 Message-ID:
 1311276525.21479.yahoomailclas...@web110014.mail.gq1.yahoo.com
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii

 me too...~)



 --

 Message: 2
 Date: Fri, 22 Jul 2011 08:07:47 +0100
 From: Alex Gogan a...@gogan.com
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: Re: google
 Message-ID: 4e2921c3.4060...@gogan.com
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed

 Hi Jon,

 No probs but you need to get a gmail email account which are free
 www.gmail.com and can send out the invite. If there are any others have
 some invites left.

 Also if any of you guys are interested in joining my circle just look
 out for me, alex.go...@gmail.com

 Regards


 On 21/07/2011 20:28, Jon Louis Mann wrote:
 me too...~)

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 --

 Message: 3
 Date: Fri, 22 Jul 2011 11:57:19 -0400
 From: Kevin O'Brien zwil...@zwilnik.com
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: Re: google
 Message-ID: 4e299ddf.3050...@zwilnik.com
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed

 On 7/22/2011 3:07 AM, Alex Gogan wrote:
 Hi Jon,

 No probs but you need to get a gmail email account which are free
 www.gmail.com and can send out the invite. If there are any others
 have some invites left.

 Also if any of you guys are interested in joining my circle just look
 out for me, alex.go...@gmail.com

 Regards

 If you have any left, my gmail account is ahuka5...@gmail.com.

 Thanks,




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Re: Google+

2011-07-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Hi Jo Anne.  Just go to your apps store on your smarter than me phone
(I've got one too) and type in G+

DB just friended me (or whatever you call it on +).  I'm glad _he's_
got a short memory.

Doug

On Fri, Jul 22, 2011 at 6:12 PM, Dave Land dml...@gmail.com wrote:
 On Jul 22, 2011, at 5:45 PM, Jo Anne wrote:

 evenstar5...@gmail.com

 Has been invited to Google+

 Dave


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Re: Facebook is evil

2010-12-08 Thread Doug Pensinger
Alberto wrote:

 Try replacing breastfeeding with something else, like
 Hammer and Sickle or cleft lip. They shouldn't be
 allowed to censor and criminalize something that is
 not criminal. If they want to censor images of people
 smoking marijuana, or images of children with guns
 (and I bet they don't attack those images with the
 fury they attack breastfeeding, but I may be wrong),
 then it's ok, but there's no ethical reason to criminalize
 breatfeeding.

How is different than, say, guidelines that discourage obscenities on
a mailing list?

Doug

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Re: WikiLeaks

2010-12-01 Thread Doug Pensinger
Jon wrote:

 Anyone with clearance to that level is
 personally responsible and signed an oath.
 23-year-old, Bradley Manning, a US army
 intelligence analyst, e-mailed former hacker,
 Adrian Lamo, bragging that he leaked the
 diplomatic cables to WikiLeaks, along with a
 highly classified video of U.S. forces killing
 unarmed civilians in Baghdad.  He is currently
 being held and charged with transferring
 classified national defense information to an
 unauthorized source. He faces court martial
 and up to 52 years in prison.
 Jon Mann

They teach you in the military that there are such things as illegal
orders. I would argue that there should also be illegal secrecy.
Keeping a war crime a secret would qualify.

Doug

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Wikileaks

2010-11-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
There seems to be overwhelming sentiment against Wikileaks' release of
confidential documents and I was wondering how people here (some of
whom may have read Brin's Transparent Society) felt about it.

I'm generally for transparency and haven't heard of anything yet that
is beyond mildly embarrassing to the U. S. government.  I do think
where the safety of our troops is concerned confidentially is
important, but that government secrets should have a relatively short
shelf life in all cases.

Doug

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Re: Underwater mortgages and the economy

2010-11-03 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:

 Well, the US did prosper from wars it has been in, but that's fairly unique.
 Germany didn't, France didn't.  The USSR didn't; the Cold War broke them.

Eventually, but they were our supposed equals for the better part of
forty years and one can easily imagine scenarios in which they
continued to prosper in at least some sense of the word.

 And, 'Nam hurt the US economy after a while.  We couldn't afford guns and
 butter as the saying went at the time.  Even those who argued it was a
 mangled but essential part of containment, it cost.

Global conflict, to reiterate.

 Finally, as more countries get nuclear weapons, the odds on any real
 conflict going nuclear increases.  For example, what would happen if Chinese
 territorial zones kept expanding and were enforced by China's navy?  Would
 the US honor treaties, and what would happen then?'

What would happen to our debt to China in the event of such a conflict?

Doug

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Re: Underwater mortgages and the economy

2010-11-03 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:

Me: First, let me assure anyone reading this that I in no way advocate
war as a solution for anything, I'm just discussing the possible
consequences  of the State's current situation.

 Sure, if they invaded Europe in '79 and Carter wasn't willing to start
 Armageddon.  But, the military was a drain on their GDP, rising to 45% of it
 at the end. Look at the war surrogate, the race to the moon.  They weren't
 close.  I think they grew faster than the US for about 5 years.  Planned
 economies are OK for a while, but tend to get caught up in artificial goals.
 China has been the exception, but that's because we are in an era of no real
 disruptive innovationsand China doesn't have to adapt.  Why Japan is in
 a funk now is interestingsocially they couldn't make the obvious
 decisions.

The point is that after the war they had a large empire and access to
abundant resources.  Their subsequent mismanagement of those resources
does not negate the fact that they had the potential to prosper as a
result of the war.

 We'd probably repudiate it.  But, there's a much easier way to handle it.
 Get the deficit (not national debt) down, and put inflation up at 15%/year.
 After a decade, we'd owe them zilch.  That's one very unique thing about the
 US debt.  We owe dollars. We can, by one statement of the Fed, get rid of
 the debt.  It wouldn't matter if interest rates went up, fixed debt in
 inflationary times is good for the borrower, not the lender.

Do you really think that China would just let that happen?

 But, if it got to the point of not paying the debt due to conflict, it would
 probably get to WWIII.  China's nukes aren't that good, so we'd probably
 only lose LA, NY, Chicago, Houston, Washington, areas.  I'd guess we'd get
 by with less than 50 million killed.

I can imagine a scenario in which the likelihood that any of China's
nukes hit us is very low, but it would involve a preemptive strike of
some sort, defensive nukes, and a way of keeping other powers such as
Russia out of it.

Considering our power and ability to deliver it to their doorstep,
China has much more to fear from a nuclear conflict than we do, but
considering the rate at which they are catching up to us, this could
change.

There are other scenarios that lead to war as well.  The people
running the PRK are lunatics and they have nukes, though I wouldn't be
surprised if they blow themselves up before they blow anyone else up.
Then there is the Middle Eastern bag of worms especially when Iran
joins the N club.

 But, I'd also guess that would set back the economy a good bit.

At some point, it's set back so far already that it doesn't matter

 In general war is profitable to the victor if:

 1) The homeland isn't hit.
 2) They can make money off the conquered.

Well, trillions of dollars of debt disappearing overnight might be one
source of gain.  The fact that we'd have to ramp up our manufacturing
capability again would be another.  Another thing is that the current
atmosphere of internal divisiveness would be ameliorated.

Again I make these arguments as devil's advocate; please don't infer
that I favor war as any kind of solution for our problems.

I do imagine that there _are_ people that would make these kinds of
arguments seriously.

Doug

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Re: Underwater mortgages and the economy

2010-11-02 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Dan wrote:

 It is quite possible that we falter over the next two years, sliding back
 into depression.  One of the most depressing figures is that the average GDP
 growth rate for the last 30 years will result in unemployment increasing,
 since we need 3%/year growth to tread water.

Not what I meant, sorry, but I was sticking with your definition of
black swan as a solution to economic malaise.

War, global conflict, would be the most drastic solution.

Doug
history repeats

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Re: Underwater mortgages and the economy

2010-11-01 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan  wrote:

 So, we had a US economy that was really doing nothing, but lots of money
 looking for a US home...thus real estate, which the Risk Assessment Model
 said couldn't go down more than a couple %.

Add to that the (hundreds of?) billions of dollars of tax cuts Bush
gave to the wealthiest people in the nation who already had more money
than they knew what to do with.

 Third, to get out of this, the US needs a positive black swan to change all
 the rules again.  This will soak up investment capitol, with a real return
 on investment, because wealth will be created.  Until it comes, we're
 treading water.

Or a negative black swan, pardon me for pointing out what might happen.

The blackest of black swans.

Doug

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Re: Underwater mortgages and the economy (Dan Minette)

2010-11-01 Thread Doug Pensinger
Keith  wrote:

 Unfortunately I have no ideas about how to get this going, at least
 not in the US.  I think a rule change favoring longer term investments
 in physical plant will be needed before anyone will consider any such
 ideas.

It needs to be recognized as a matter of national security.
Unfortunately, it seems like the right wing would rather see the
country go down in flames than give Obama any kind of victory.

Doug
Sanity and/or Fear

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-17 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan Minette

 That's what makes the Tea Party so interesting.  They are actually small
 government believers.  I don't say I agree with them, I have strong
 differences with them, but their candidates do have a self-consistent
 message.  I think most folks at their rallies don't think through their
 viewpoints.

I have nothing but contempt for the tea party.  For all appearances
they are people with shrill voices and no real ideas and their leaders
and candidates are consummate idiots.  I suspect that a large
percentage of them are people that, not having voted or having any
particular interest in politics prior to, woke up on November 5, 2008
and were outraged when they found out that there was going to be a
n***er in the white house.

Well, they didn't do it in '08, and I'm still optimistic about this
year.

 I'm not.  Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight.com has been pretty good at analysis
 and they point to a Republican house and the Democratic lead in the Senate
 down to 52-48 as the average number.  He was within 2 electoral votes last
 time, he was a sabermetrics guru and his posts have the feel of good
 technical analysis.

 It's the economy, stupid, and this is the worst rebound from a recession
 since the Great Depression.  I think this is outside of either party's
 control; the best that can be done is to support something that will help
 over the next decade.  BTW, I think that California has just seen the tip of
 the iceberg with regards to its problems.  For example, why should someone
 build a new high tech enterprise in pricy San Jose instead of cheap
 Raleigh-Durham or Austin?

 California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
 another factor of before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
 can debate. :-)

Well I hope they don't move anymore businesses here because the
freeways are more crowded than they have ever been.   I wouldn't put
money on prices going down much more.  You can move a building to
Detroit.  Moving the talent and the silicon valley dynamic is another
question.

Doug

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Leftists should recognize the right has a valid
 argument about wasteful government spending.

I would argue that the right (the one that was in power anyway) was
the one doing all the wasteful spending.  The idea that the right is
fiscally conservative _in practice_ is a farce.  I'm not saying that
the left has it completely correct either, far from it, but if you
vote for the GOP because you want to curb wasteful spending, you're
barking up the wrong tree.


 They all are.  Fox Noise and talk radio have the
 left whipped.

Except for Jon Stewart, maybe.  The Daily Show kicks ass.

 Progressives  are maintaining
 parity on the internet blogs; not on the viral
 spams, though.

I miss the lively conversations we used to have here.

 the right-wingnuts are much better are swaying
 the electorate, however.

Well, they didn't do it in '08, and I'm still optimistic about this
year.   The way they're spinning it, unless the Republicans make huge
gains, they will have underperformed.  I think that there are signs
that many people in the center of the political spectrum are concerned
with giving a GOP that failed so miserably under Bush more power.

If the dems losses are moderate, the Republican's just say no
politics may be repudiated.

Doug
fingers crossed

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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-11 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for social 
 issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords more 
 people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated sites 
 work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.

As long as the moderator isn't a censor.

Doug
I(ttb)AMoaC

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Re: Is anybody home?

2010-10-05 Thread Doug Pensinger
Hello old friends, I'm still hangin'

Anybody reading a good book?

I'm struggling through Hamilton's book Pandora's Star and hoping that
Bank's new one will be in Kindle form soon.

Maybe I'll re-read Anathem

Doug

On Tue, Oct 5, 2010 at 5:16 PM,  kananda...@aol.com wrote:

 Finishing up a 3 year stint as profess association president (if Zim is
 still doing this, he has a heart of gold)
 Healthcare changes, legislatures without money threatening cuts even to
 folks with catastrophic injuries such as brain injuries/strokes, and a bit
 of embezzlement. feed my brain with science...

 Counting down, just a few weeks til I get a bit more breathing room and hope
 to get a new list of good books to read.  Start me a list please.  Got 2 of
 the newer Bears to read, but need about a few good sundiver/uplift type
 things... might just have to reread them.

 Dee




 In a message dated 10/5/2010 8:55:06 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time,
 char...@culturelist.org writes:

 On 05/10/2010, at 11:43 PM, Julia wrote:

 The list did NOT drop you.

 Not from enough altitude to hurt, anyway...

 I'm home, but will need to leave in less than 90 minutes to pick up a
 friend
 at the dentist.

 That's an odd place to pick up... Bars and art galleries more traditional,
 no? ;-)

 So how is everyone? I've just had an odd week of ups and downs - Sunday I
 got to ride 3 laps of the UCI world championship course on fully closed
 roads, which was fun. (And bloody steep - 22% hurts) But last night came
 down with migraine, so been hiding in a dark quiet place. Only just getting
 over it and still fuzzy. Bleugh.

 C.
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Re: First Pluto is not a planet, and now . . . .

2010-09-07 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Tue, Sep 7, 2010 at 12:44 AM, Euan Ritchie e...@ritchie.net.nz wrote:

 They also believe...

 ...that some cosmic jewish zombie, who is his own father, can make you
 live forever if you symbolicawy eat his flesh and telepathically tell
 him that you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force
 from your soul, that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was
 convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree.

 To quote a meme.

Makes the FSM sound downright believable, no?

Doug

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Tea Party Racism

2010-07-25 Thread Doug Pensinger
Is the Tea Party fundamentally racist?  Or is it just coincidental
that it formed as a black man was taking office?  For years,
Republicans were in office busting the budget and passing bills like
Medicare D which was completely unfunded and will cost us something
like $72 B a year.  Where was the outrage then?

Doug

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Re: Having kids makes some people fulfilled

2010-07-08 Thread Doug Pensinger
I've got two grown kids (30 and 32) and two grandkids (5,3) and while
there were moments of profound unhappiness and extreme distress during
their upbringing, nothing in my life even comes close to the sense of
fulfillment and accomplishment I get from having raised them.

From the article:

About twenty years ago, Tom Gilovich, a psychologist at Cornell, made
a striking contribution to the field of psychology, showing that
people are far more apt to regret things they haven’t done than things
they have. In one instance, he followed up on the men and women from
the Terman study, the famous collection of high-IQ students from
California who were singled out in 1921 for a life of greatness. Not
one told him of regretting having children, but ten told him they
regretted not having a family.

No regrets.

Doug

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Re: Archives

2010-07-03 Thread Doug Pensinger
Jeroen wrote:

 Why do you ask, Doug? Planning on a second attempt at building a List
 Archive?


No, just interested in reading some of the old threads.

Doug

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Archives

2010-06-13 Thread Doug Pensinger
Nick; are the archives accessed from the list page all that are available?

Doug

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Re: On Listmail

2010-05-04 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Dan Minette  wrote:

 Well, I'm just pointing out that the California wants to protect the whole
 coast but has been happy driving cars with gas refined near Houston from
 offshore GOM.  Why is the GOM shoreline so much lower in value the
 California shoreline?  And, if you stop offshore drilling, you are left with
 fields deep in their decline.  If you exclude the Alaska Wildlife Refuge and
 offshore, you're down 75% in recoverable oil.  Basically, we'll be importing
 90% of our oil.

Tax, conserve, find alternatives and leave the oil in the ground.
Here and elsewhere.

If only we'd listened to Jimmy Carter.

In any case, thanks for the info in your earlier post about possible
causes; interesting stuff.  One thing; you can speculate about this
being a black swan,  but there's no real way to confirm that.  Even if
this kind of thing happens only a couple of times a century, that's
way too often.

Doug

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Re: A Link for Dan

2010-05-02 Thread Doug Pensinger
My mistake.  Posted on a fan page for Niel Stephenson.  Stephenson has
no facebook presence.

Doug

On Sat, May 1, 2010 at 7:20 PM, Doug Pensinger brig...@zo.com wrote:
 Posted to Facebook by Niel Stephenson

 http://www.smbc-comics.com/index.php?db=comicsid=1868

 Doug


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Re: On Listmail

2010-05-02 Thread Doug Pensinger
Hi Dan, I'm glad to see you're still around and that you've escaped Houston.

 You  wrote:

 Doug, as shocking and horrendous as the accident was, (the entire bottom
 casing was blown up miles by the gas pressure) I am no fan of NIMBY.  If you
 want to stop drilling for oil, then California should stop using fossil
 fuels, not let others take all the risks for them.

It's not really not NIMBY, it's not on my pristine coast.  If the oil
were in the Mojave or if they found more in the central valley,it
would be different.

You used to argue that off shore drilling was safe, an argument that,
as you have noted, has quite literally been blown out of the water.
Drilling in a protected shore would be no different than drilling in
Yosemite or Yellowstone.

If anything good is to come out of this disaster, its that we'll be
taking a closer look at offshore drilling, and that nobody will even
be suggesting that we rape the California coast for a few buckets of
oil.

Beyond that, you're right, we should stop using fossil fuels as
quickly as is practicable.  I favor large state and federal taxes on
gas and oil to subsidize research and development on alternatives and
the development of mass transit.  Maybe in light of this debacle a few
more people will see it my way.

Doug
Not in Anyone's Back Yard maru

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A Link for Dan

2010-05-01 Thread Doug Pensinger
Posted to Facebook by Niel Stephenson

http://www.smbc-comics.com/index.php?db=comicsid=1868

Doug

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Re: On Listmail

2010-04-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
Alberto wrote:

 Yes and no. I seldom check my e-mails these days, and I spend most
 of my free internet time in wikis.

Hey Alberto, how are you?  I heard you had a little rainstorm down
there a few weeks ago; what was it 21 inches?

What wikis?

Doug

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Re: On Listmail

2010-04-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Alberto wrote:

 I hate inches :-(

  Oops, sorry.  Over 50 cm then?

Doug
Short for communist, I think 8^)

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Oil Rigs

2010-04-28 Thread Doug Pensinger
So Dan,. are you still here?  Do you still want to talk me into
putting rigs off of Big Sur?

Doug

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On Listmail

2010-04-28 Thread Doug Pensinger
Ahem.  Hello?  Anyone here?

I'm kind of curious about what happened to the volume of mail in
groups like Brin-L and the Culture list.  I have an idea that at
first, several years ago now, the emergence of blogging sucked a lot
of people away from list mail.  And now social networking sites have
all but killed them.  I could be wrong, I only belong to the two
lists.  There may be lists that are thriving, but I'm guessing that
most of them have seen a serious decline in traffic.

Its a shame really because I think that lists are a much better forum
for the exchange of ideas than either personal blogs or Facebook type
forums.  Blogs seem far to solipsistic to me;  Here's what I think,
you can comment if you'd like but I can delete your comments or block
you if I don't like what you say and what are you doing here anyway if
you don't agree with me.  I know that that's a generalization, but I
think that in general, blogs discourage discussion and debate.

Facebook is the only social network I frequent and while I think it's
great and has its place, it's a terrible forum for any kind of serious
 political debate.  For one thing, many of the people you know
intimately are probably there, and if they are people you wouldn't
want to debate at the dinner table (because you don't want to promote
discord) then you probably don't want to get into it with them on
Facebook either.  And really, that's not what Facebook is for anyway,
its more of a hey look at these pictures of my kids or hey isn't this
a funny video or (for some) hey I just trimmed my toenails kind of
place.

Not that that has stopped me from expressing my opinion there now and then. 8^)

In any case, poor old Brin-l seems to be as dead as a door nail, and I
think that that's a shame.

Is anyone out there?

Doug

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Re: On Listmail

2010-04-28 Thread Doug Pensinger
Bruce wrote:


 Facebook is a pretty terrible forum for almost anything serious.  I've never
 seen a site that seems to discourage any kind of in depth discussion so
 effectively by design.  The notes feature is the closest thing it has to
 an actual writing-based feature, and even that is hidden away from the main
 page out of sight and only quoted there in brief snippets.

 Not that that has stopped me from expressing my opinion there now and
 then. 8^)

 Nor has it stopped me. :D

I've never even tried to use the notes thing, AFAIK.  I just post
something political and hope for the best.

Doug

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Re: On Listmail

2010-04-28 Thread Doug Pensinger
John wrote:

 I agree with most of what you say, but I just haven't felt like
 starting any discussions on this list recently. The two main things
 that I have previously been interested in discussing here are SF and
 politics. From my point of view, the current political situation in
 the US is a disaster and just too depressing to even think about.

So I take it you're not behind Obama's Wall St. reforms...

One interesting thing, apropos to the list, has been the prevalence of
the term transparency.  I'll bet DB gets a chubby every time he hears
Obama use it.

The thing that bothers me the most is that purveyors of propaganda
(Fox) are so influential.

 As for science fiction, it seems to me that there has been little good
 science fiction coming out lately. If only David Brin would write a
 book about Tom Orley and the skiff, that would be fun to discuss here.

 I normally do not read much fantasy, but with the dearth of science
 fiction coming out I have been reading some fantasy novels. I recently
 finished The Desert Spear by Peter V. Brett. That is the sequel to
 The Warded Man (aka The Painted Man), which is the first book in
 the series. I'm really enjoying the series so far. Peter really knows
 how to build a fantasy world and tell a story. And the characters are
 great, Unfortunately, the next book is not due out until 2012.

Maybe we've already had this discussion, but have you read Banks' Transition?

I like history too, so I've been reading a history of the American
Revolution and Hume's history of England.

For pure pleasure (and because a complete works collection for my
Kindle was dirt cheap) I recently re-read Tom Sawyer and Huck Finn.  I
also bought Dune as I haven't read that in probably 30 years, and a
collection of Mil Blogs from the Sandbox
http://gocomics.typepad.com/the_sandbox/

Doug

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The Story of Stuff

2010-03-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Anyone else seen this?

http://www.storyofstuff.com/

Doug

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Re: Social solutions rather than engineering ones

2010-02-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dave  wrote:

 Trent has opined similarly in the past, with a tone that says that a
 significant human die-off is perfectly acceptable to him. On at least
 one occasion, I believe he was invited to go first. I am of neither the
 opinion that such a die-off is acceptable nor that he should be first in
 line.

I haven't figured him out yet and it is possible that he is
indecipherable, but I'm pretty sure that Trent's enigmatic posts
aren't always what you think they might be.

Doug

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Re: Unsolvable and beyond compromise.

2010-02-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Trent wrote:

 Republicans would have to be suicidal idiots to play ball with Obama and
 the Democrats on health care reform.   They all involve increased
 interference by the Federal Government in the health care market, which
 is a cultural no-no in America.  (Leaving people uninsured is also a
 no-no.  Basically, health care reform runs afoul  deeply held
 contradictory cultural values.  It is not a problem for which there is a
 satisfactory political compromise.)

Hopefully their intransigence will backfire.

Doug

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Re: Br?n on global warming

2010-02-17 Thread Doug Pensinger
Alberto  wrote:


 Probably not, we are very stupid when it comes down to the math
 used in astrodynamics, chemistry or economy.

 Alberto Monteiro

Or very sarcastic.

Doug

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Re: Platform for gathering memories?

2010-01-08 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Fri, Jan 8, 2010 at 11:46 AM, Dave Land dml...@gmail.com wrote:
 On Jan 8, 2010, at 2:50 AM, Alberto Monteiro wrote:

 Wikipedia once began a project dedicated to the memories of the
 victims of 9/11, but latter the scope was changed to include
 the memories of everyone. I guess the project is still not active,
 after 6 years of useless discussions:

 http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikipeople

 After a couple of weeks, when you get trolls marking the pages
 for deletion because our loved ones are not sufficiently notable?

 Dave

 Tragedy of the Commons Maru


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Re: The worst

2010-01-04 Thread Doug Pensinger
Nick,

I'm so sorry to hear of your loss.  My condolences to you and your family.

Doug

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Re: Avatar

2009-12-26 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Ronn! wrote:

 Complete article:

 Op-Ed Columnist - Heaven and Nature - NYTimes.com -
 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/21/opinion/21douthat1.html
 http://tinyurl.com/ye43c8x

He concludes:

Religion exists, in part, precisely because humans aren’t at home
amid these cruel rhythms. We stand half inside the natural world and
half outside it. We’re beasts with self-consciousness, predators with
ethics, mortal creatures who yearn for immortality.

This is an agonized position, and if there’s no escape upward — or no
God to take on flesh and come among us, as the Christmas story has it
— a deeply tragic one.

Pantheism offers a different sort of solution: a downward exit, an
abandonment of our tragic self-consciousness, a re-merger with the
natural world our ancestors half-escaped millennia ago.

But except as dust and ashes, Nature cannot take us back.

I see it a bit differently.  We stand half outside the natural world
and half inside it because, in part, of religion.  Intelligent humans
found that they could use their intelligence to manipulate and control
other humans including the more traditional leaders, those who  used
their strength and size to their advantage.  The race began to select
for intelligence and voila, here we are.

And I further disagree that there is no escape upward.  You survive;
your DNA survives when you reproduce and further if you do a good job
of parenting, your ideals are perpetuated.

I don't know about pantheism, but I see a balance with nature as vital
to our survival and perpetuation.  We may conquer nature here on
earth, we may even go on to conquer nature on numerous planets but we
will never, ever have the wherewithal to conquer all of the natural
universe.

What always bugs me about religion is how it seems to excuse the rape
and destruction of the natural world that they believe that their god
gave to them as a precious gift.  Imagine spending hours of your time
and the depths of your soul to create something for someone and then
seeing that person trash your creation with little regard for what
went into it.

So while I don't believe that there is any place where I can stick my
pigtail into a magic tree and awaken gaia, I think we have much to
learn from nature, I have a tremendous appreciation for the geological
and biological creations nature has taken millions of years to
construct, and I think it is tremendously important to take care of
our environment for our own sake.

Doug

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Avatar

2009-12-21 Thread Doug Pensinger
I saw Avatar last night in the Imax/3D format.  It was by far the most
awesome audio/visual experience I've ever had.  The story was fair to
good, but the eye candy was spectacular.  I wouldn't have thought I
could get vertigo while sitting in a comfortable arm chair.  Cool; see
it and pay the extra for Imax.

Doug

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Re: List of The 50 Best Inventions of 2009

2009-11-19 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Bruce Bostwick wrote:

 Not as tall an order as it might sound, using something like VASIMR which
 has an Isp of up to 5000 s.  Once you get out of the atmosphere, a higher
 efficiency engine system can spread out the delta-V across a fairly large
 period of time, and with enough engines and enough energy (some of which,
 for part of the mission at least, can come from PV panels), I think it would
 be within reach to bring us a suitable size asteroid.

How about the way they did it in Heart of the Comet?

Doug

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Google Wave

2009-11-01 Thread Doug Pensinger
So???  I tried signing up via their website but haven't heard
anything.  What's the scoop?

Doug

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Re: The thread about the thread Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-10-25 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Julia wrote:

 It's amazing what you find needs doing when you finally have all your kids
 in school for a full day for the first time ever.  I might have most of it
 done by the time school gets out in early June!

I've heard the same thing about retirement; my brother-in-law and his
brother, both firefighters, retired this past year and both of them
say they've never been busier.

That's the kind of busy I need...

Good to hear from you all that haven't posted much, maybe we can get a
rip roaring discussion going.  Anybody over hear read Banks' new one?

Doug

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Re: The thread about the thread Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-10-25 Thread Doug Pensinger
Debbi wrote:

 Hey, guess who's posting from home for the first time?
 (I did have some serious help getting stuff hooked up, and I still hate this 
 laptop's 'finger mouse.' -- hmm, hadn't thought of what that conjures up, but 
 it's entirely apt...)

Congrats on the new job, and on getting your own rig.  I'm sure you're
not going to miss having to go to the library all the time.  I would
suggest a usb mouse.  You don't want to know what I call those things.

Doug

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Cool Map

2009-10-20 Thread Doug Pensinger
50 years of space exploration

http://books.nationalgeographic.com/map/map-day/index

Doug

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Re: Google Wave

2009-10-14 Thread Doug Pensinger
Looks cool, count me in please.  Use brig...@zo.com

Thanks,

Doug

On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 2:07 PM, Wayne Eddy we...@bigpond.net.au wrote:
 Hi all, I just got access to Google Wave, and I was wondering if there was
 anyone on the list who might be interested in helping my try it out by
 joining a discussion about the future?

 Regards,

 Wayne Eddy

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Re: What's to read?

2009-09-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Pat wrote:

  I have a Sony 505. The books on my reader are on my reader and on my
 desktop, not on my account on someone else's server. If anyone wants to
 delete them [think 1984] or whatever, they have to physically steal my
 reader and then delete the book. I own them outright. Nobody else has any
 rights in the copies I own except, in this state, if I had a legally married
 spouse. (Community property state).

 No one gonna take my 505 away 


That's nice, but if I was a best selling author I think I'd be pretty
reluctant to sell my book that way for fear that someone would make copies
and give them away a la mp3 file sharing.  And unlike musicians, authors
aren't likely to make a lot of money on tour so once their book is being
distributed for free, they're SOL.

Other than the ownership factor, how do you like your reader so far?

Doug
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Re: What's to read?

2009-09-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:

 But hopefully none of that is necessary in the future. I just want to see
 the book selection increase. It still boggles my mind why so few books
 released before the Kindle, but in the last 30 years or so, have come out in
 Kindle or other e-book formats. Someone must have a digital copy of the book
 text somewhere, and it is trivial to convert it to the Kindle or ebook
 formats. It seems like free money for someone.

 By the way, have you investigated how the book selection compares for Kindle
 vs. your Sony 505? Particularly with science fiction titles?

 I'm still waiting for Brin to release the various Startide books on Kindle.

I think the reason you're still waiting for Brin's books is also the
answer to you're question about the number of titles available.
They're probably negotiating with a lot of authors for the rights or
dealing with copyright issues.  After the 1984 debacle I'm sure
they're being very careful about what they make available.

In the meanwhile there's a lot of stuff already available that I want
to read, so I'm not to worried about it yet.  Also, you've probably
noticed that you can prompt publishers to release their titles from
the Amazon page.  On the left hand side of the page theres a little
dialog box entitled Tell the Publisher etc.  Here's one you all can
help me out on 8^)

http://www.amazon.com/Consider-Phlebas-Iain-M-Banks/dp/031600538X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8s=booksqid=1253600088sr=8-1

Doug

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Re: Wife's suggestion!

2009-09-22 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dave  wrote:

 Amen, brother! I think that the harsh immune response from some quarters
 to the merest mention of religion is a symptom of our general inability to
 be generous, kind, civil, open and _listening_.

Yes but, calling the U.S. a Christian nation is a little beyond the
merest mention.  That said, I agree with the tenor of the message
forwarded by Chris.  I've been disturbed enough by the hate speech
from the right; Beck, Limbaugh et al, that I've considered taking some
sort of action to express my displeasure.  This is the only
constructive thing I've found so far:

http://colorofchange.org/

If anyone knows of any similar campaigns I'd be interested in checking them out.

Doug

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What's to read?

2009-09-21 Thread Doug Pensinger
I just finished reading a bio of the Sun King, Louis XIV of France.  I
was inspired to read it after having read The Three Musketeers which
actually took place during the reign of 14's father (maybe) Louis XIII
and by Stephenson's Baroque Cycle which I actually finished a few
years ago.

TTM was a surprisingly good read.  I didn't understand (maybe detect
is a better word) the humor at first.  I practically gave up on the
book when the musketeers proved to be such bumbling idiots that they
almost got themselves and d'Artagnan caught and killed, but once I
understood that the character flaws of these most contemptible heroes
was actually a large part of the story I began to enjoy the book.

The bio was somewhat cursory, but that's what I was looking for anyway
(and what should I expect for a dollar?)  Louis XIV was an interesting
character and held the throne for 72 years; longer than any other
European monarch.  That he was a despot, a war monger and genocidal
(see the Revocation of the Edict of Nantes) was offset by his
centralization of power in France, the sophistication and innovation
of his court.  Interesting stuff.

Next is a History of England by Scottish philosopher David Hume and
Bank's new non-culture S.F. novel, Transition.

What has everyone else been reading?

BTW, I can't recommend the Kindle enough.  The interface is great, the
wireless feature gives you access to all sorts of stuff much of which
is free or very reasonably priced, you can download magazines,
newspapers and blogs and you can even send personal documents to it
via email for a small fee (I paid 15 cents for a 10 or 12 page
document).  It has a built in dictionary; just move the cursor in
front of the word you want defined and the definition appears at the
bottom of the screen.  You can annotate text and there's a search
function and you can change the font size.  I bought a flip-over cover
(not the one sold by Amazon) that allows me to set the reader down and
read hands free.  It's much easier to read than a regular book -
especially a hardback.  The $300 price tag was a bit steep.  I wasn't
sure I wanted one, especially at that price, but I'm very happy with
it now.

Doug

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Re: The thread about the thread Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-13 Thread Doug Pensinger
Ray wrote:

 The change of seasons is not as obvious here as it seemed to be in the
 States as we toured around last year. We don't go from ridiculous negative
 temperatures to extreme heat as for example in Colorado. It's gradually
 getting warmer now (the low 20s C) and it looks like we might be expecting
 another horror bushfire season. Melbourne's dams are still below 30% full
 after 12 years of drought.

We're having a bit of a drought here in California as well, but
nothing like what you're experiencing.  Of course we experience nasty
wildfires every year too.


 Um, I'd like my health care to be unnecessary!

If only...

 If you mean do I like Australia's system?, then overall, I'd say yes.
 There is universal health coverage under the government mandated Medicare
 system, and as well as that, many people also to take out private health
 cover (which is subsidised by a 30% gov  contribution). I won't go into
 detail here, but I encourage those on both sides of the debate to perhaps
 check out:
 http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/healthsystem-overview-1-Introduction
 or http://tinyurl.com/qppnmu

This seems like a very reasonable system.  Its obvious that there
_must_ be some large degree of subsidy by the government because
insurance companies can't make money insuring low and no income
people.

 Being a government site, it perhaps paints too rosy a picture, but it does
 give the outline of the system.

 From discussions with many people during our US trip last year, it was
 amazing to us what a worry it was to US citizens about how to pay for their
 health care. Some of the premiums discussed were to our ears, unbelievable.
 Relying so much on employer-sponsored health benefits seems to me a strange
 system. The employed surely are far more able to pay for their own health
 coverage than the unemployed. Here in Australia, at least everyone is
 entitled to basic care, usually with little copayment required. It obviously
 does help if you can afford to take out private health insurance was well,
 as it increases the range of choices you have for treatment.

The system here is a mess, a complicated mess.  I agree that employee
sponsored care is not the best approach, but how do you change it?
The reform measures they're working on now are a strange amalgamation
of public and private systems, but hopefully it will eventually lead
to a system similar to yours.

Doug

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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-13 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams wrote:

 Actually, the source of the article is the author, James V. DeLong.
 The publisher is The American, and the owner of the publisher is the
 American Enterprise Institute.

The latter being one of the driving forces behind the failed
conservative revolution and the miserable failure that was the W.
Bush administration.  DeLong's resume is impressive, but the fact that
his article appears in the AEI rag is a strike against it.

 If you want to figure out how expensive health care should be, looking at
 other systems around the world should at least give a ballpark idea as
 to what we should be paying.

 In what sense should be? I don't see why I should choose something
 just because someone else has. I should be able to make my own choices
 as to what benefits me the most. Which is one of the points DeLong was
 making:

It's not just because someone else has it, it's because it works and
it doesn't cost nearly as much.  Looking at other country's health
insurance is like comparison shopping; there are dozens of them that
do as well or better than we do on overall quality while paying a good
deal less than we do.

 One way to accomplish this is for American companies who develop
 useful new techniques to profit by selling related goods or services
 throughout the world.

 Personally, I think that a system that places an emphasis on
 boner drugs, reformulation of proven drugs and anti-depressants that
 don't work is in need of an overhaul in and of itself.

 I don't have a problem with any of those drugs being sold to people
 who want to buy them. Just because I don't want to buy them (at the
 moment), does not mean that others should be unable to buy them. We
 should all have the choice to buy any of those drugs, and as many more
 as people can think up. Diversity is good.

I don't have a problem with the drugs, I have a problem with the
priorities.  Big pharma concentrates on those drugs that can make them
the most money rather than those that are deemed most necessary.
Sometimes those interests coincide, many times they do not.  It's a
glaring flaw in the free market system.

 Finally, if the proposed reforms are really what we need to fix the
 system, why weren't they implemented when they had the ear of the
 president and a cooperative congress?

 Who is they?

They referred to the proposed reforms and what I meant was that AEI
and the rest of the neocons and the Bush administration had ample
opportunity to address these problems when their guy and their
congress was in power.  As for JVD's one paragraph proposal of reforms
it didn't even begin to address some of the most glaring problems such
as how to cover the 50 million people that have no coverage.  His
proposals are vague and generally not very helpful.  Take the first
one; a phaseout of employment-based health insurance in favor of
other policies  Great, phase 'em out.  I agree with that and said as
much in a different post, but how do we phase them out?  What other
policies will we employ?The high deductible thing is just dumb.
If people have high deductibles they will avoid being seen and what
ever is wrong with them will probably get worse and cost more to
treat.  Instead, they should lower rates if a person gets regular
checkups and encourage them to come in in cases where early treatment
could prevent complications.

In any case, I was less than impressed with the article.

Doug

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Re: From CNN: Democratic leaders in Congress soften on public option

2009-09-13 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams  wrote:

 [1] I know that reformers claim the government option would not be
 subsidized, but I find that extremely hard to believe. I'm afraid it
 would end up sucking down taxpayer money quite soon.

Who's paying for the uninsured right now?  Are we just telling them
they are SOL and sending them home?

Doug

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Re: The thread about the thread Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-12 Thread Doug Pensinger
Ray wrote:


 I fail to see what difference it makes how often I am involved. Surely this
 should be the case with or without my participation!

Hi Ray, glad to see you're still hanging out.  Are you ready for
spring, or does it make that much of a difference?

I know you were kidding, but as far as how often you're involved, I
think it makes a big difference.  The list is a better place when we
get opinions from a myriad of sources and a myriad of opinions IMO.
Anybody who was on the list before 6/00 knows what an interesting,
vibrant community it was and what made it most interesting to me was
the diversity.

So how do you like your health care?

Doug

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Re: From CNN: Democratic leaders in Congress soften on public option

2009-09-12 Thread Doug Pensinger
Ronn!  wrote:

 God bless America,
 Land that I love!
 Stand beside her, and guide her
 Thru the night with a light from above.

Or, as someone I know once sang it, from a bulb

Doug

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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-12 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams  wrote:

 They changed the link. Here is the new one:

 http://american.com/archive/2009/august/maybe-we-should-spend-more-on-healthcare

Yikes.  Let's first look at the source of the article, The American
Enterprise Institute.  Described in Wiki as some of the leading
architects of the second Bush administration's public policy.  Now
there's an endorsement!

Second except for the determination that health care currently isn't
the same as it used to be (duh) the article itself is all spin.  If
you want to figure out how expensive health care should be, looking at
other systems around the world should at least give a ballpark idea as
to what we should be paying.  And if we're doing the lions share of
the innovation when it comes to medical research, then maybe we need
to figure out how to get the rest of the world that benefits just as
much as we do (if not more) rather than sticking with the current
formula.  Personally, I think that a system that places an emphasis on
boner drugs, reformulation of proven drugs and anti-depressants that
don't work is in need of an overhaul in and of itself.

Finally, if the proposed reforms are really what we need to fix the
system, why weren't they implemented when they had the ear of the
president and a cooperative congress?  All we got was an abortion of a
drug bill.

You'd have to be _on drugs_ to be listening seriously to anything
these guys are saying.

Doug

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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Thu, Sep 3, 2009 at 8:23 AM, John Williamsjwilliams4...@gmail.com wrote:
 DeLong (the other one) on health care costs and health insurance reform.

 http://american.com/archive/2009/maybe-we-should-spend-more-on-healthcare

 | So what should be done about healthcare costs? Many things, including
 | a phaseout of employment-based health insurance in favor of other
 | policies; elimination of mandates that require insurance coverage
 | of designated procedures; availability of programs that combine
 | health savings accounts with catastrophe insurance; availability of
 | policies across state lines; reform of the tort system; reform of cost
 | accounting procedures that create dysfunctional incentives for industry
 | participants; availability of high deductibles so that insurance can be
 | insurance rather than socialized medicine; a second look at our policy
 | of forcing the young to subsidize the geezers, who are after all the
 | wealthiest segment of the population, and who can afford to spend more
 | on healthcare because other demands on their income are less.

 | It is a long list. Take care of these reforms and total spending
 | will take care of itself. Spending may become higher or lower—who
 | knows?—but it will better represent a reasonable assessment of value
 | for money. These reforms will also forestall the most worrisome aspect
 | of the current “spend too much” panic: the urge to cut costs at the
 | expense of the future.

The link was broken for me, but from what you quoted above it seems
we'd all need 2 or three insurance policies, a medical account and
state and federal income tax deductions.  And since insurance
companies are worried about making money for themselves, not the
health of their customers, you can bet we'll probably need a lawyer to
keep them honest.  Then we'll need an accountant to help keep track of
it all.

Why would we do all that crap when we can jealously look at other
countries and say Damn, why don't we do something like that.  It
costs less and it works better???

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-09-01 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams  wrote:

 Can some complex systems be analyzed by comparison to a more simple
 system? Sure, there are plenty of examples, although most of them are
 in the physical sciences rather than the social sciences. Asimov's
 psychohistory made a great story, but it does not work in practice.
 There are precious little useful predictions coming out of economics.

Do you mean predictions in the historical sense?

Doug
Kidding, just kidding...

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams  wrote:

 So now you implicitly claim not only to be able to predict what would
 happen if the government did not intervene immediately after the
 various investment bank problems, but also what would have happened
 many months after that under the influence of unknown intervention
 efforts. Since distinguished economists have repeatedly failed to
 predict much simpler things on shorter time scales, I find your claim
 highly dubious.

You probably know this, but a prediction is knowing something before
it happens, not extrapolating what would have happened after the fact.
 In a baseball game, if an error is made on a play that would have
ended an inning and a number of runs are scored afterwards, its not
much of a stretch to say that if the error had not occurred, the runs
wouldn't have scored. It is certainly not a prediction.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams wrote:

 Taking a complicated situation and equating it to a simple one, and
 then assuming that what holds for the simple situation holds for the
 complex one, is likely to lead to incorrect information, flawed
 decisions, and overconfidence in one's ability to predict the
 evolution of the complicated situation.

Is the complicated situation the misuse of the word predict? That's
what the analogy was intended to illustrate.

Beyond that, an analogy is intended to be a simplified version of the
subject in order that the reader better understand what the writer is
trying to convey.  Thus if I say The building is shaped like an
inverted cone.  the reader gets an immediate picture of what I am
trying to convey.  I'm not trying to say that the cone is the same as
the building, only that they have similarities in shape.

Doug

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Re: Posted in a workcube

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
rob  wrote:
 I will not brew Decaf.
 Decaf is the mind-killer.
 Decaf brings the little sleep
 that leads to total oblivion.
 I will embrace my caffeine.
 I will brew my beverages and
 let them... flow through me,
 and when they are gone,
 I will remain...alert

wtf are you doing in a workcube on a Sunday evening???  Where are your
priorities, man?

Doug
vacuum, mow the lawn, build a step, walk the dog, move furniture, cook
dinner and empty the trash maru

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:
 I origionally just hit reply to while multitaking and the returned it just
 to John.  I'm sorry that it didn't go to the list, but I'm using my
 portable which does not have my main sorter.  BTW, the below is not
 intended as a flame, but an accurate statement of what the posts indicate
 to me.  I have never ever heard anyone who I know had sucessfully adressed
 very complex issues say or write what John writes about complex issues. It
 is possible that I have read such a disbelief in Murphy's laws in the last
 15 or so years on line, but I don't recall.


You are very very quite about yourself, but your posts indicate someone who
has never had to properly simplify a complex situation in order to succeed.
I don't think I've corresponded with anyone who writes as though they
believe that Murphy's laws never apply to complex systems, and that humans
can do nothing but make things worse.  Your posts make the antagoist of
Earth a look protechnical. :-)

 It's funny that some of his posts have brin-l as the main return and some
 don't.  Finally, I'm sorry if folks, like John, are offended that I spare
 time writing to this list in between real work.

I'm offended that you don't proof your posts!  Quite for quiet (I
think), antigoist for antagonist (I think) and spare for spend (I
think).  I guess I should just be happy that you didn't truncate half
a paragraph!!

I kid you, I'm not offended in the least.  And I know what you meant. 8^)

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams wrote:

 In which case, the analogy is useless for drawing conclusions, unless
 you first list every similarity and difference to the actual
 situation. In which case, why not discuss the actual situation instead
 of absurd burning building or sports analogies?

 As for meaning of the word predict, I'm not interested in a discussion.

How ironic is it that someone who claims to be such a libertarian is
so adamant about restricting my rhetorical style!

Its kind of like a prostitute lecturing people about chastity.

Oops, there I go again...

Doug

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Re: Posted in a workcube

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
Julia wrote:

 Reply:

 You can get that on a t-shirt.  I gave such a t-shirt to my brother-in-law.
 (His caffeine addiction is legendary.  In fact, the first time I met him,
 the biggest impression he made on me was with the concoction he was using to
 stay awake for an all-nighter -- double-strength coffee with some instant
 thrown in for good measure, with 2 or 3 teabags soaking in the mess, in an
 insulated mug that was at least 20 oz., might have been more like 32, even.
 And the caffeine addiction was mentioned by a number of people who stood up
 to say things about him and my sister at their wedding reception.)

oh.  Now you see I thought he made that up and was posting it from a
workcube.  I even thought about spending some time on a poetic reply
(too lazy).

Silly me.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-30 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams wrote:
 On Sun, Aug 30, 2009 at 7:53 PM, Doug Pensingerbrig...@zo.com wrote:

 How ironic is it that someone who claims to be such a libertarian is
 so adamant about restricting my rhetorical style!

 When did I claim to be a libertarian?

Perhaps you did not, I apologize if I mis-characterized you but you
certainly espouse their ideals.

 And why exactly am I obligated to discuss something with you that I do
 not want to?

You are most definitely not obligated to talk about anything at all. I
 was talking about your bitching about my use of analogy.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:

 I think I understood your point. Mine was that economists are not
 really experts in any useful knowledge. They cannot predict the course
 of the economy any better than non-economists.

 Also, I dispute your claim that the vast majority of economist are in
 favor of throwing money at the situation. Here are hundreds of
 economists who disagree with that approach:

Apparently you not only misunderstand my point, you've lost track of
the argument.  I said the vast majority of economists said that there
was a huge problem  I'm pretty sure there was nothing in there about
throwing money at the problem.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
 John  wrote:

 And? Is there more to what you are saying?


In your initial post in this thread, particularly in the last
paragraph, you seemed to be belittling the idea that we are in the
midst of a major economic crisis.  That's what I was responding to.
Perhaps I was mistaken.

In any case, I would agree that while most economists probably felt
that some type of bailout was advisable, saying that the vast majority
of them did would be an overstatement.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
John wrote:

 So, it was a one-two punch. Make the situation sound unimaginably bad,
 and then persuade people that he saved them from disaster.

Or you could make it sound like the situation was overblown and
convince people that they were just trying to make heroes of
themselves.

I find it extremely difficult to believe that his primary motivation
in all this is to make himself look good.

Doug

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Re: What are Bill Maher's beliefs?

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
Charlie  wrote:

 Yes - it's the simple principle that not everyone is rational about
 everything in their lives. In Maher's case, he has a mammoth blind spot on
 biomedical science. I don't think it's irredemable in his case.

Did anyone see the show last night?  He interviewed Jay-Z and Bill
Moyers.  Moyers was very eloquent on health care.

Here are some quotes:
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2009/08/29/moyers/index.html

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:

 The point is, because of his actions, we do not know and cannot know.
 Considering the vast amounts of other people's money that he has spent
 and the great moral hazard that he has created, the responsible thing
 to have done would have been to have carefully studied the situation,
 looking at what would actually happen, while simultaneously preparing
 contingency plans it case intervention was deemed necessary after
 careful study.

I have to go back to the burning building analogy.  If you sit there
and study the situation for a while, in all likelihood the window of
opportunity to actually prevent the disaster will pass before you
determine what it is you think might work.

In any case, since you have no faith in economists, who would you have
study the situation?

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:
   I wrote:

 I have to go back to the burning building analogy.

 Which, as I already explained, is a useless analogy and not worth
 further comment.

Because it renders your whole speculative argument moot?  Your so
called explanation was:

It would also be silly to think the US economy is even in the same
ballpark of being understood as a burning building.

So we are to assume on your say so that economic emergencies do not exist?

 In any case, since you have no faith in economists, who would you have
 study the situation?

 Everyone who wishes to.

Now there is a useless answer.  How is this everyone who wishes to
supposed to do anything about the situation if and when they figure
out what to do?   Are they a committee?  The Everyone Who Wishes To
committee?  Would we give them a commission and an annual budget?

Yikes.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:

 You seem to be worried about damage that might have happened if the
 government had not intervened without allowing enough time for the
 situation to play out and be well understood. I do not deny that it is
 possible that there could be some cost from not intervening swiftly.
 But my point is that we do not know what that cost is, because it was
 never observed, and predictions of economists in these sorts of
 situations are unreliable.

 In contrast, we know very well the vast costs of the government
 intervention. Many hundreds of billions of dollars spent, trillions of
 dollars pledged, and a huge moral hazard that will make such problems
 more likely to occur in the future.

 So we have a vast cost, and we have no idea what the benefits were
 that were bought with that cost. I, for one, demand more proof that my
 money is being used wisely.

I think it's disingenuous to say that we had no idea what would have
happened. Many more banks would have failed, and the stock market
would have crashed much harder than it did. And we do have a precedent
for that kind of hard crash in the great depression.  I don't really
care if banks or even car companys fail if the damage was limited to
those institutions, but the people that are really going to suffer are
those that loose their 401K or other retirement savings, or their
house, or their job or all of it.  As it is there was a huge amount of
damage done to these people's future.  Had they allowed these
institutions to fail, I'm absolutely certain that the economic
situation would be far worse.

The thing is, I think that at some point it becomes a crisis of
confidence more than a purely economic crisis and once you reach that
point I think you can count on a prolonged depression.  I'm not
absolutely sure that we aren't beyond the tipping point now.

So while I'm not sure that the initial bailout and the follow up
stimulus package were the perfect solutions, I'm pretty confident that
had we waited for the Everyone Who Wishes To committee to come back
with their well crafted solution, it would have been far too late to
be effective.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-29 Thread Doug Pensinger
Rob  wrote:

 Is anyone else seeing medical related construction on this scale in their 
 area?

Not here.  They've actually closed a few hospitals around here even
though the population continues to increase.  I guess Kaiser has built
a few hospitals, but nothing on the scale you're talking about.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-25 Thread Doug Pensinger
John Williams wrote:

 Maybe (I don't think so, but no matter). More importantly,  I think
 the thread of thought has been lost here. The point is, would
 non-fireman do that if the firemen decided to wait and observe, as
 Doug suggested?

My point was that we look to our experts in a crisis.  If our experts
lay out a course of action for us and we demure, its on our heads
weather it be a burnt building or a burnt economy.

You'e stated that the vast majority of economists do no better than
average at investing.  First, can you substantiate that statement?
Second, what does that really have to do with the financial crisis?

John wrote earlier:

Each to his own.

OK, I pick Warren Buffet, second richest man in the world who termed
the present crisis as an economic pearl harbor.

Doug

OK, how about

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-24 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Sun, Aug 23, 2009 at 7:52 PM, John Williamsjwilliams4...@gmail.com wrote:

 If he predicts a recovery every year, he may get lucky and be right
 sometime! Well, if he didn't permanently injure his hand patting
 himself on the back in his speech last Friday...Hey, look at me, I
 prevented another Great Depression! Reminds me of television's _Lost_
 -- entering the numbers into the computer, you can always say you were
 preventing the destruction of the world by your actions, as long as
 you scare people enough about what could happen that they don't ask
 for credible proof that it actually would happen without your actions.

If he was the only one saying that there was a problem you might have
a point, but as the vast majority of economists said that there was a
huge problem, it just sounds like sour grapes.

Doug

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Re: Ben Bernanke, fearless leader

2009-08-24 Thread Doug Pensinger
 John Williams wrote:

 Economists are no better at predicting the future than anyone else.
 How many economists do you know that got rich investing? The vast
 majority of economists do no better than average at investing.

 Of course economists like to persuade others that they can predict the
 future better than non-economists, and then to claim that they can fix
 things when they go wrong. That makes them look good, feel good, like
 they are vitally needed and are helping people. More importantly, they
 get more prestigious jobs by  persuading others that they have the
 magic touch.

Who would you have us listen to then?

 If economists were so capable of making things better, then the
 reasonable and scientific thing to do would have been to not act
 immediately, to observe scientifically, to see if things were really
 going as bad as some claimed. If they had done that, then there would
 be evidence whether their predictions of doom were true, and then the
 politicians and economists could spring into action and fix things.
 The problem is, if they did that, people would realize that
 economists' predictions are no better than a coin-flip. Why risk their
 reputation on that?

Maybe firefighters, upon arriving at a structure fire should observe
scientifically to see if things were really burning as quickly as they
seemed.

Then again, maybe not.

Doug

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Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market

2009-08-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Richard  wrote:


  A few people have been removed, a couple of them long term listees and one
 was a moderator here. We definitely are not queasy when it comes to pulling
 the pin.


 I'm definitely queasy about it, but I guess I'm not part of we.


I'm queasy as well.  To my knowledge the only people kicked off of the list
by the moderators had threatened violence against other list members.

At the risk of pissing people that I've known and respected for some time,
I'd like to say that I really don't think that JW has been very offensive
and the debate he has spurred has often been interesting and informative.
 You all _know_ I don't agree with most of what he has to say, but I think
he has every right to express himself as long as he behaves in
a relatively civilized manner.

Has he been arrogant at times?  Maybe, but that sort of thing is difficult
to judge via email.  One can often sound arrogant or diffident or whiny and
not really mean to.   But if arrogance was the criteria by which we judged
people for their on list fitness, how long would JDG have lasted?   And as
much as I disagreed vehemently with that other John, I miss not having him
here to spar with.

Please, lets get back to the health care debate and quit with the personal
stuff.

Doug
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Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market

2009-08-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Jim  wrote:


 The passive-agressive posts, though? I don't mind admitting that kind of
 stuff gets under my skin.

 Jim
 Admitting weakness maru


Now see, I guess I don't understand what passive-aggressive means because I
would think that his confrontational, sometimes sarcastic style has any
passivity to it.  Wiki describes P-A as passive sometimes obstructionist
resistance to following through with expectations in interpersonal or
occupational situations and says It can manifest itself as learned
helplessness, procrastination, stubbornness, resentment, sullenness or
deliberate/repeated failure to accomplish requested tasks for which one is
(often explicitly) responsible.  I'm not sure how that (or anything else in
the article) applies.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passive–aggressive_behaviorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passive%E2%80%93aggressive_behavior

BTW, apologies to JW for this behind-the-back-in-front-of-your-face
discussion.  (Is that P-A?)

Doug
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Re: Passive-Agressive posting (was Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market)

2009-08-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Rob wrote:

Bruce wrote:

 (Type mismatch error: expected boolean value but found string 'cake'.
 Input not parsed.)

 The cake is a lie?

Apparently the cake is neither true nor false.

Doug

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Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market

2009-08-17 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Mon, Aug 17, 2009 at 11:36 AM, John Williams jwilliams4...@gmail.comwrote:

 It is interesting what some people find rude which does not seem rude
 to others. I suspect that a neutral observer would look at my posts
 during the last few weeks and judge that they are not at all rude. I
 have been asking some uncomfortable questions, but not making any
 obviously rude remarks.

 The interesting thing is that the data do not support the claim that
 my posts make people less likely to communicate here. Rather, just the
 opposite. If you look at the volume of non-JW posts as a function of
 JW-posts to this list, there is a remarkably large positive
 correlation.

 Anyone listen to Bill Maher? I disagree with a lot of what he says,
 but he is entertaining. He speaks his mind, and is not afraid to
 discuss uncomfortable issues. I have never found him rude, but I
 suspect others may have a different opinion. To each his own. Here's
 an example of an uncomfortable issue that he discusses:


 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-maher/new-rule-smart-president_b_253996.html


He can be a little rude at times, but I watch him every week and probably
agree with him more often than you.

On the Americans are stupid issue, I would agree somewhat, but I would use
the terms ignorant and/or intellectualy lazy rather than stupid.

Have you seen Religulous?

Doug
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Re: Brin-:L the 2nd decade

2009-08-17 Thread Doug Pensinger
Trent Shipley  wrote:

  We know each other and know each
  other's positions.

 What about those of us who try not to have positions?


Don't worry Trent, you are as ambiguous as ever. 8^)

Doug
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Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market

2009-08-16 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan  wrote:


 One thing to remember about experimentation:  99.99% of experiments fail;



What's the criteria for success?  An experimental form of governance (or
some aspect of governance) may not yield a completely successful law or
system of laws, but I'm relatively certain that important knowledge can be
gleaned from any well designed experiment forming the basis for further
experimentation and eventually a more successful law or system.


 they do not achieve the goals they set out to achieve.  In physics,
 theorists have come up with tens if not hundreds of thousands of wrong
 theories.  Shelly Glashow, who I mentioned, said he came up with 5 new
 theories per day.  Only one of his really paid off...and it paid off big.
 Most experiments in physics don’t find the new and exciting thing they are
 looking for; they just find that the 2 sigma signal they spent 2 years
 getting more data on disappear.


I'm not sure physics experiments where there is generally one right answer
and thousands of wrong ones are comparable to social experiments where there
is seldom one correct answer and often many acceptable solutions to a
problem.  Furthermore, a correct answer in physics will remain correct
whereas a social system is always fluctuating not only from year to year but
from one location to the next.

Economic studies have shown that, for average entrepreneurs, the business
 ends up failing and costing money. We are fortunate that we have these
 folks, because every once in a while they come up with something that
 _really_ benefits everyone.  But, even averaging the winners in, the
 average person taking a risk on a new business loses money.


Am I wrong in guessing that very few new businesses are experimental


 Finally, we do have experimentation in government.  California and Texas
 have very different governments; and very different sets of problems.
 California is wining the race down to failure, it seems.because Texas
 doesn't have much of a housing problem and is not about to go bankrupt.


I don't think that this is an experiment in any useful sense of the word.


 You may argue that these are minimalistic changes; and they are.


I would argue that they are apples and oranges.

Doug
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Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market

2009-08-16 Thread Doug Pensinger
Charlie  wrote:


 I do occasionally blow up. Once when I was accused of racism, once when a
 private discussion I'd had with someone was forwarded to the list, and ISTR
 Nick and I talking completely at cross-purposes. I was really annoyed on
 Friday night, partly 'cause I'd got home after drinking with a couple of
 friends in the pub, and an acquaintance of one of them was spouting
 anti-vaccination lunacy. And when I asked a couple of simple questions, I
 received the reply Oh, so you're science. That figures.


There's no arguing with simpletons like that.  And we seem to have more nut
cases than ever before.  Birthers???  Ay Yi Yi.

Doug
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Re: Kindle's Orwellian moment continues . . .

2009-08-02 Thread Doug Pensinger
Ronn!  wrote:

Inevitable . . .


 http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/technology/2009/07/highlights-from-the-1984-lawsuit-against-amazon.html

 or

 http://tinyurl.com/nlthah


More on this including an apology from Amazon's CEO:


http://www.betanews.com/article/Bezos-says-Kindle-1984-deletions-were-stupid-doesnt-say-how-Amazon-will-solve-illegal-book-problem/1248388364
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Re: Torchwood: Children of Earth

2009-07-26 Thread Doug Pensinger
On John Williams wrote:


 Better Off Ted is the best new comedy I've seen in a long time. I
 particularly enjoy the Veridian Dynamics commercials. My favorite
 episode was the one where they installed new sensors for detecting if
 people were in the room, and they could not detect black people, so
 they had to hire minimum-wage white guys to follow the black guys
 around the building.


Just watched it.  Hilarious!  Thanks...

Doug
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The Poop on the Kindle

2009-07-25 Thread Doug Pensinger
So who has a Kindle (I know someone mentioned them before), how do you like
it and what do you read on it?
I just got one today and am attempting to download the NY Times (free 14 day
trial) right now.  It seems like it's taking a long time...

Doug
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Re: The Poop on the Kindle

2009-07-25 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:


 I have a Kindle DX. I'm pleased with the display size and contrast. I
 am less than pleased at the navigation, which is klunky, but I knew
 that before I bought it.

 I don't read any newspapers on it, since I tend to get my news from
 the web with a computer. I read mostly fiction on it. My library of
 paper books takes up a lot of space, and I wanted to reduce its size,
 or at least stop its growth. Unfortunately, few of the science fiction
 books in my library are available in Kindle format, less than 1 in 5.
 Fortunately, most new releases come out in Kindle now, but often
 delayed some time after the hard cover is released.

 I'm not sure why your download is taking a long time, unless it is a
 problem with the NYT system. When I download books over the cell
 network (Whispernet), it generally only takes a few seconds, never
 more than a minute. My Kindle is able to get a 3G connection with 4 or
 5 bars in my home. Does yours have a similar signal?


They talked about the whispernet in the instructions I've read so far, but I
didn't realize exactly what it was.  Before I got the thing I assumed that
downloading was via the computer/net.  Silly me.  I just downloaded a book
and it seemed to load pretty quickly.

Is there any free content?  The instructions said there was some sort of pdf
translation software but implied that it wasn't free and that it didn't
always work right.  It also said something about being able to load your own
documents.

Doug
RTFM maru
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path-dependence

2009-07-19 Thread Doug Pensinger
JDG posted this article on Facebook, very apropos to our discussion.

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/01/26/090126fa_fact_gawande?currentPage=all
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/01/26/090126fa_fact_gawande?currentPage=all
Doug
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Re: Why not discuss the topic?

2009-07-19 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Sat, Jul 18, 2009 at 1:09 AM, John Williams jwilliams4...@gmail.comwrote:

 On Sat, Jul 18, 2009 at 12:44 AM, Doug Pensingerbrig...@zo.com wrote:

  If regulations and restrictions have such a detrimental effect then why
 do
  other, more restrictive nations have much more efficient and effective
  health care systems?

 That is a complicated subject, and I do not believe I claimed that
 there is a large detrimental effect on costs, but in the spirit of
 your one sentence question, I will give a once sentence reply:


Many apologies for being able to make my point without being long winded.

Many
 countries ration health care more than the US, thus restricting their
 people to less health care than people in the US, and by not allowing
 people to choose low- effectiveness care paid for by other people,
 they reduce overall spending without significantly reducing certain
 metrics of effectiveness (NOT including customer satisfaction, though)


 Ha, you sound like a politician John.  But how much less health care can
there be in these universal systems considering some 16% of our country
isn't covered at all?  And are you saying that customer satisfaction is
better in the U.S. because I'd have to call you on that one too.

Doug
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Re: Why not discuss the topic?

2009-07-19 Thread Doug Pensinger
John wrote:

Limiting myself to the US, and just listing a few incidents that come to
 mind:

 Indian Removal Act
 Legal slavery
 Jim Crow laws
 Coverture
 Japanese American internment
 Joseph McCarthy
 Richard Nixon


Are we waiting for historical perspective to add Bush/Cheney to that list?

Doug
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Re: WeChooseTheMoon

2009-07-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:

I think I see a communication problem here. You talk of the free
 market as if it were a thing, like a replicator on Star Trek that
 provides food. When I talk of a free market, I mean the state of not
 restricting or coercing people in their choices to freely interact
 with each other. Freedom to choose as one wishes without being told
 what to do by others.


No, there is no communication problem.  In its most basic definition, a free
market is a market that is free from government intervention.  What has
become painfully obvious in recent years is that as the market frees itself
from governemental constraints, those in a position to manipulate it for
their own benefit do so without regard for the greater good.

In the case of health care, we have the free marketeers lobbying against any
kind of government alternative to private insurance, but offering no
substantial improvement over the status quo.   The private health care
companies wish to continue to 1. not insure anyone that can not pay their
hefty premiums and co-pays 2.Pay as little as possible for people that _are_
insured and  get sick  3. get the government to pay for  as much of their
costs as they can get away with and 4. make as much money as possible.  The
result being the f**ked up system we have today wherein we pay by far  the
most per capita and don't get the best care and don't even cover a huge
segment of the population.


 So, to explore your question, there are non-coercive institutions that
 provide services and do not make a profit. They are usually called,
 aptly enough, non-profit corporations, or charities. People freely
 choose to support certain institutions which, in their judgment,
 provide a vital benefit to society.


If non-profits and charities are such wonderful solutions, why do we still
have such a massive problem?


To get back on topic, if Americans had not been forced to pay to land
 people on the moon (or something else) but had instead decided where
 to spend their money themselves, undoubtedly some fraction of the
 spending would have gone to various charitable causes. If landing
 people on the moon were important enough to enough people, it could
 have been done by a non-profit (or profit) organization or
 organizations. But I think the fact is that landing people on the moon
 is not important enough to enough people. It mostly just appeals to a
 small number of special interests and looks good on a politicians
 record.



Your pretext; that we were forced to pay for the Apollo program
is fallacious.  We elected the leaders that conceived of the program and
re-elected the leaders that pledged to continue it.  I have little doubt
that if you polled the world about man's greatest achievements,
the Apollo program would rank at or near the top of the survey.  If you
asked the people of this country today if Apollo was worth the money, well,
here's the poll:
[
http://www.gallup.com/poll/121736/Majority-Americans-Say-Space-Program-Costs-Justified.aspx
]

I laud charitable organizations and the good work they do, but the idea that
they could have an impact on problems such as health care is even a greater
fallacy.  We're an extremely rich nation and have been for quite some time,
but when it comes to spending a grand on a new plasma TV or giving the money
to charity, guess what we do most of the time.  We give money to charity
when it gives us a good tax break mostly.  This is not to say that there are
individuals that are extremely charitable, rich and poor alike. There are
many people that give of themselves, but this generosity is not pervasive
enough to make a dent in our larger problems.

Doug
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Re: Why not discuss the topic?

2009-07-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
John  wrote:

No, it was not. The myriad government restrictions have a significant
 effect on costs.


If regulations and restrictions have such a detrimental effect then why do
other, more restrictive nations have much more efficient and effective
health care systems?

Doug
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Re: WeChooseTheMoon

2009-07-18 Thread Doug Pensinger


 Which is to say that you believe you know better how people should
 spend their money than they do themselves. That people need to have
 their money confiscated and spent by the intellectual elite since
 otherwise people would spend it on a bunch of crap.


No, what I believe is that regarding matters that effect a group of people
we often make better, more responsible choices when we act as a group rather
than as an individual.  We are inherently selfish, but we understand that
selflessness is both more noble and more beneficial to the whole.  Acting as
individuals we will tend towards selfishness; as a group, less so.

That said, individuality and indeed selfishness have attributes that the
group can't always compete with.  Competitiveness sparks innovation and
motivates people to work hard and they should and do expect to reap the
benefits of their labors.

The trick is to balance the two by allowing our competitive nature to
flourish while not allowing our baser nature to take paths that will be
detrimental in the long run.

I think that while without our individual attributes we wouldn't have come
so far so fast, but that without the group we would sill have claws or
hooves.

Doug
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Re: Whatcha reading? (was Re: In despair for the state of SF)

2009-07-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Kevin wrote:



 Consider Phlebas first, right Charlie? 8^)

 That was the first (and so far only) Banks book I have tried. I got about
 half-way before I gave up.

 Regards,

 --
 Kevin B. O'Brien TANSTAAFL
 zwil...@zwilnik.com  Linux User #333216

 I don't want to achieve immortality through my work. I want to achieve it
 through not dying. -- Woody Allen


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Re: Whatcha reading? (was Re: In despair for the state of SF)

2009-07-18 Thread Doug Pensinger
Kevin  wrote:

 I wrote:


 Consider Phlebas first, right Charlie? 8^)




  That was the first (and so far only) Banks book I have tried. I got about
 half-way before I gave up.


 Hey, to each his own.  CP is one of my favorite books, period, but if we
all liked the same stuff the world would be a pretty boaring place.

What specifically didn't you like?

Doug
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Re: WeChooseTheMoon

2009-07-17 Thread Doug Pensinger
John wrote:

 On Thu, Jul 16, 2009 at 8:58 PM, Doug Pensingerbrig...@zo.com wrote:

  Absolutely not, but isn't that how the free market works; the people with
  money/power decide what's in the best interest of the people they
 control?

 People they control? Huh? Politicians and regulators control people.
 Free market allows people to choose for themselves.


So if there was some vital benefit to society and it couldn't be provided
without a financial loss, how would the free market provide it?



  Then we have the ringing success of the U.S. health care system to tell
 us
  how well the free market works for sick people.

 The US health care system is not a free market. Medicare and Medicaid
 make up more than 50% of US health care spending, so the majority of
 the US health care system is government controlled.


And why isn't it a free market?  What is the free market mechanism that
provides _all_ of the citizens of one of the the worlds wealthiest nations
with health care?

Doug
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