Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:35:10AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: Is not the SSA “the idea that you should reason as if you were a random sample form the set of all observers . Yes. I do seem to be rehashing some of Mallah’s argument (http://www.higgo.com/qti/Mallah.htm ) but even in

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:22:23AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: My point is that “the whole human history timeline” assumes the Newtonian (Laplacean Demon) idea that all events are observable by some hypothetical entity that is exterior to the universe (aka God). Do I need to knock

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 3:40 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:22:23AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: My point is that “the whole human history timeline” assumes the

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 3:32 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:35:10AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: Is not the SSA “the idea that you should reason as if you were

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 05:58, meekerdb wrote: On 5/8/2011 7:53 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: I think that the ‘Surprise 20 Questions’ idea that John Wheeler considered in his famous ‘It from Bit’ paper might be more appropriate. Any OM that is a possible continuance of another OM must

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 04:53, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Russell, Did you see the rest of that post? How does my sketch (replicated here) work out as a probability? “ My parents lived in a certain area when this body that I associate with was born, their respective parents lived

Re: Animal consciousness and self-consciousness (was Re: Self-aware = Consciousness?)

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 07 May 2011, at 19:36, meekerdb wrote: On 5/7/2011 8:19 AM, John Mikes wrote: Thanks, Russell, I am gladly standing corrected about our fellow smart animals. HOWEVER: We speak about a self-awareness as we, humans identify it in our human terms and views. Maybe other animals have

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 03:44:48AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: But surely you can see that this “linear human history” is one that can only be defined from the assumption that “all human history” can be determined. That’s the rub, it assumes the ability to know something that requires the

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Bruno, Could you elaborate more on your statement? One reason that the world is not thought to be Newtonian is that in a Newtonian universe our atoms would not be stable. Max Planck was driven to postulate his constant because Newtonian physics predicts an ultraviolet catastrophe for

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Dear Bruno, But this is problematic since dreams are 3p describable by the diary method, in that I usually have some memory of what I was dreaming once I awake that I can encode in using symbols for communications to others. It could be that the reported difficulty of becoming aware of the

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, Could you point me toward some discussion of the method to relativize the argument? Onward! Stephen From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 5:35 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 03:44:48AM

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 13:35, Stephen Paul King wrote: Dear Bruno, But this is problematic since dreams are 3p describable by the diary method, A part of it only. You can write I am conscious, but that is not a communication, at least in the strong sense of persuading some others.

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Bruno, From: Bruno Marchal Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 8:57 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 09 May 2011, at 13:35, Stephen Paul King wrote: Dear Bruno, But this is problematic since dreams are 3p describable by the diary

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 13:20, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Bruno, Could you elaborate more on your statement? One reason that the world is not thought to be Newtonian is that in a Newtonian universe our atoms would not be stable. Max Planck was driven to postulate his constant because

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/8/2011 10:22 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Bent, *From:* meekerdb mailto:meeke...@verizon.net *Sent:* Monday, May 09, 2011 12:31 AM *To:* everything-list@googlegroups.com mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com *Subject:* Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 9:19 PM, Stephen

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/9/2011 5:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: in that I usually have some memory of what I was dreaming once I awake that I can encode in using symbols for communications to others. It could be that the reported difficulty of becoming aware of the truth that one is dreaming, while one is in fact

Re: Animal consciousness and self-consciousness (was Re: Self-aware = Consciousness?)

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/9/2011 1:34 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: On 07 May 2011, at 19:36, meekerdb wrote: On 5/7/2011 8:19 AM, John Mikes wrote: Thanks, Russell, I am gladly standing corrected about our fellow smart animals. HOWEVER: We speak about a self-awareness as we, humans identify it in our human terms

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 18:21, meekerdb wrote: On 5/9/2011 5:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: in that I usually have some memory of what I was dreaming once I awake that I can encode in using symbols for communications to others. It could be that the reported difficulty of becoming aware of the

Re: Animal consciousness and self-consciousness (was Re: Self-aware = Consciousness?)

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 18:57, meekerdb wrote: On 5/9/2011 1:34 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: On 07 May 2011, at 19:36, meekerdb wrote: On 5/7/2011 8:19 AM, John Mikes wrote: Thanks, Russell, I am gladly standing corrected about our fellow smart animals. HOWEVER: We speak about a self-awareness as

Re: Animal consciousness and self-consciousness (was Re: Self-aware = Consciousness?)

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/9/2011 11:00 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: On 09 May 2011, at 18:57, meekerdb wrote: On 5/9/2011 1:34 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: On 07 May 2011, at 19:36, meekerdb wrote: On 5/7/2011 8:19 AM, John Mikes wrote: Thanks, Russell, I am gladly standing corrected about our fellow smart animals.

Re: Animal consciousness and self-consciousness (was Re: Self-aware = Consciousness?)

2011-05-09 Thread John Mikes
A stimulating discussion, indeed. I side with Brent in most of his remarks and question SOME of Bruno's in my 'unfounded' agnostic worldview of 'some' complexity of unrestricted everything - beyond our capabilities to grasp. Which IMO does not agree with Bruno's * I don't think this hard

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 09:17:38AM -0700, meekerdb wrote: Having an experience includes experiencing duration and sequence. Russell posited that the OM could be defined as the “state of a machine” in http://www.mail-archive.com/everything-list@googlegroups.com/msg14307.html Why would

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
You could try looking at the everything list thread Causation, indexical facts self sampling from the 1999, which raised issues to do with the SSA and MWI. But its not discussed in detail, (or at least there's less detail there than I remember :). Nick Bostrom's thesis discusses some of the

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Brent, From: meekerdb Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 12:17 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 10:22 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Bent, From: meekerdb Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 12:31 AM To:

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, Right! The OM would be the lower bound on a duration spanning any experience. Onward! Stephen From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 5:57 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 09:17:38AM

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/9/2011 3:22 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Brent, *From:* meekerdb mailto:meeke...@verizon.net *Sent:* Monday, May 09, 2011 12:17 PM *To:* everything-list@googlegroups.com mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com *Subject:* Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 10:22 PM, Stephen