Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:35:10AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: Is not the SSA “the idea that you should reason as if you were a random sample form the set of all observers . Yes. I do seem to be rehashing some of Mallah’s argument (http://www.higgo.com/qti/Mallah.htm ) but even in

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:22:23AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: My point is that “the whole human history timeline” assumes the Newtonian (Laplacean Demon) idea that all events are observable by some hypothetical entity that is exterior to the universe (aka God). Do I need to knock

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 3:40 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:22:23AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: My point is that “the whole human history timeline” assumes

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 3:32 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 01:35:10AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: Is not the SSA “the idea that you should reason as if you were

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 05:58, meekerdb wrote: On 5/8/2011 7:53 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: I think that the ‘Surprise 20 Questions’ idea that John Wheeler considered in his famous ‘It from Bit’ paper might be more appropriate. Any OM that is a possible continuance of another OM must

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
plus the computational intractability of simulating arbitrarily precisely physical systems are some of the reasons. Onward! Stephen From: Russell Standish Sent: Sunday, May 08, 2011 6:27 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Sat, May 07

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 03:44:48AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: But surely you can see that this “linear human history” is one that can only be defined from the assumption that “all human history” can be determined. That’s the rub, it assumes the ability to know something that requires the

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
for the electromagnetic radiation emitted by a hot object. Onward, Stephen From: Bruno Marchal Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 4:11 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 09 May 2011, at 05:58, meekerdb wrote: On 5/8/2011 7:53 PM, Stephen Paul

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
: Monday, May 09, 2011 4:15 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 09 May 2011, at 04:53, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Russell, Did you see the rest of that post? How does my sketch (replicated here) work out as a probability

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, Could you point me toward some discussion of the method to relativize the argument? Onward! Stephen From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 5:35 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 03:44:48AM

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
. The hypostases Bp Dp (or Bp Dt) does obey a kind of quantum logic, which might make the first person (plural) white rabbits vanishing away. Bruno From: Bruno Marchal Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 4:15 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 09 May

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Bruno, From: Bruno Marchal Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 8:57 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 09 May 2011, at 13:35, Stephen Paul King wrote: Dear Bruno, But this is problematic since dreams are 3p describable by the diary

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 13:20, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Bruno, Could you elaborate more on your statement? One reason that the world is not thought to be Newtonian is that in a Newtonian universe our atoms would not be stable. Max Planck was driven to postulate his constant because

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/8/2011 10:22 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Bent, *From:* meekerdb mailto:meeke...@verizon.net *Sent:* Monday, May 09, 2011 12:31 AM *To:* everything-list@googlegroups.com mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com *Subject:* Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 9:19 PM, Stephen

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/9/2011 5:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: in that I usually have some memory of what I was dreaming once I awake that I can encode in using symbols for communications to others. It could be that the reported difficulty of becoming aware of the truth that one is dreaming, while one is in fact

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 May 2011, at 18:21, meekerdb wrote: On 5/9/2011 5:57 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote: in that I usually have some memory of what I was dreaming once I awake that I can encode in using symbols for communications to others. It could be that the reported difficulty of becoming aware of the

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 09:17:38AM -0700, meekerdb wrote: Having an experience includes experiencing duration and sequence. Russell posited that the OM could be defined as the “state of a machine” in http://www.mail-archive.com/everything-list@googlegroups.com/msg14307.html Why would

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Russell Standish
: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 03:44:48AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: But surely you can see that this “linear human history” is one that can only be defined from the assumption that “all human history” can be determined. That’s the rub, it assumes the ability

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Brent, From: meekerdb Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 12:17 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 10:22 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Bent, From: meekerdb Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 12:31 AM To: everything-list

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, Right! The OM would be the lower bound on a duration spanning any experience. Onward! Stephen From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 5:57 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 09:17:38AM -0700

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-09 Thread meekerdb
On 5/9/2011 3:22 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Brent, *From:* meekerdb mailto:meeke...@verizon.net *Sent:* Monday, May 09, 2011 12:17 PM *To:* everything-list@googlegroups.com mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com *Subject:* Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 10:22 PM, Stephen

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-08 Thread Russell Standish
On Sat, May 07, 2011 at 12:57:25AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: HI Russell, I don’t get it! Surely you can see that the original doomsday argument does not depend on details of who your parents might be? Cheers --

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-08 Thread meekerdb
On 5/8/2011 7:53 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: I think that the ‘Surprise 20 Questions’ idea that John Wheeler considered in his famous ‘It from Bit’ paper might be more appropriate. Any OM that is a possible continuance of another OM must not contain information that is inconsistent with

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis (errata)

2011-05-08 Thread Stephen Paul King
errata. damn spell checker... From: Stephen Paul King Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 12:19 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis Hi Brent, No, the Newtonian case would be such that the logical non-contradiction requirement would be trivial

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-08 Thread Russell Standish
On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 12:19:28AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: My argument is that the traditional notion of a measure does not apply because we cannot assume the simultaneous co-reliability of OMs, thus the DA is an artifact of misapplied statistics. The traditional DA does not

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-08 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Bent, From: meekerdb Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 12:31 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On 5/8/2011 9:19 PM, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Brent, No, the Newtonian case would be such that the logical non-contradiction requirement

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-08 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Russell, ** From: Russell Standish Sent: Monday, May 09, 2011 1:03 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Mon, May 09, 2011 at 12:19:28AM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: My argument is that the traditional notion of a measure does

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-06 Thread Russell Standish
On Thu, May 05, 2011 at 08:32:02PM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Folks, I have been thinking hard about the Doomsday Argument and a question struck me. Why does it seems that genomic heredity does not seem to play any role in the determination of what body, location, etc. one

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-06 Thread Stephen Paul King
Dear Russell, From: Russell Standish Sent: Friday, May 06, 2011 7:27 AM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Thu, May 05, 2011 at 08:32:02PM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: Hi Folks, I have been thinking hard about the Doomsday Argument

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-06 Thread Quentin Anciaux
2011/5/6 Stephen Paul King stephe...@charter.net Dear Russell, *From:* Russell Standish li...@hpcoders.com.au *Sent:* Friday, May 06, 2011 7:27 AM *To:* everything-list@googlegroups.com *Subject:* Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Thu, May 05, 2011 at 08:32:02PM -0400, Stephen

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-06 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Quentin, I seem to need to read up on the prior discussion! I’ll look for the wiki article. Onward! Stephen From: Quentin Anciaux Sent: Friday, May 06, 2011 5:52 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis 2011/5/6 Stephen Paul King stephe

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-06 Thread Russell Standish
On Fri, May 06, 2011 at 04:33:04PM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: [SPK] My physical body has myopia and certain other physical characteristics that are consistent with some finite set of possible parents. My daughter has similar physical characteristics, as well as artistic ability that

Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-06 Thread Stephen Paul King
HI Russell, I don’t get it! From: Russell Standish Sent: Friday, May 06, 2011 8:52 PM To: everything-list@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: Against the Doomsday hypothesis On Fri, May 06, 2011 at 04:33:04PM -0400, Stephen Paul King wrote: [SPK] My physical body has myopia

Against the Doomsday hypothesis

2011-05-05 Thread Stephen Paul King
Hi Folks, I have been thinking hard about the Doomsday Argument and a question struck me. Why does it seems that genomic heredity does not seem to play any role in the determination of what body, location, etc. one discovers one’s 1p (subjective sense of self in the world) to exist in.