Re: Meltdown

2008-09-24 Thread Gautam Mukunda


- Original Message 
From: Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al)  Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Wednesday, September 24, 2008 8:19:12 AM
Subject: Re: Meltdown


On 24/09/2008, at 2:34 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

 Me:
 Ah yes, because I'm definitely running for office right now.  Come  
 on, this is just tiresome.  At least try to have a simple discussion  
 without accusing everyone of bad faith.

Yeah. Discussions can get heated, and occasionally blow up, with  
people you've been talking to for a long time, but to be consistently  
rude to people you don't know at all is a different thing entirely.

Hello Gautam. Long Time No See. I seem to recall we were having a bit  
of an argument last time we spoke. Ah well, that was 5 years ago. Peace.

Charlie.
Older, More Travelled And More Tolerant Maru

Hi Charlie.  Yeah, I'm sorry about that.  I've thought about it occasionally in 
the intervening period.  I guess I'm older too.

I'm willing to bet I'm no longer the youngest list member though :-)

GM



  
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Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda


 Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



- Original Message 
From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al)  Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 6:52:33 PM
Subject: Re: Meltdown

Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 That's
 what the interest rate measures...the willingness of folks to buy GE notes.

Gee, really? It couldn't possibly be just a little more complicated than that?

Me:
Well then, what do you think it measures?  For a first approximation analysis, 
that's a pretty good assessment of what it measures.  There are more factors, 
but in the short-term money market, not that many, really.  These are usually 
very short-term unsecured notes (1 day, I believe, in this case).  The only way 
to lose money is if the company defaults _tomorrow_.  Most companies, btw, rely 
on this sort of very short-term financing, and every company relies on it 
indirectly, because even if you don't (and the odds are really, really high 
that your company does) your customers surely do.

  A rational
 market wouldn't change GE's interest rate that quickly

Again, really? Either you are stating a tautology, or you have no way of 
knowing whether the change was reasonable.

Me:
Well, he can't state it to a certainty, but I think you need to provide an 
alternative explanation here.  We had enormous market events followed 
immediately by a pretty-much unprecedented increase in money market interest 
rates, paired (presumably not coincidentally) by a massive flight of investors 
from the money markets - massive defined as hundreds of billions of dollars.  
This flight was particularly odd given that _no person_ lost money in such 
investments.  Fidelity, which would up its fund, covered its responsibilities 
and made up the money the fund had lost out of internal funds (and good for 
them too!).  While such a massive movement of capital might be rational, it's 
stretching the Efficient Markets hypothesis _way_ past its breaking point to 
argue that this is so, and in particular ignores everything we know about 
behavioral finance.  It also ignores everything any practitioner could tell you.

 BTW, in saying this, I'm arguing that there is a problem that is not
 inherently related to the government, but originated with market players who
 build bubbles and panic,

How profound. Maybe you should write it up as a paper and submit it to
an economics journal. Surely you are the first to realize this!

Me:
OK, this is just rude.  Are you a professional economist?

 In a sense, the problem is not that there is a housing bubble in some areas
 of the country.  It's the timing of the market response, and the irrational
 extension of it.

Sure, the government was largely responsible for creating a huge home price
bubble and encouraging a bunch of bad loans to con-artists and people who
had no business getting the loans, but that is not the problem. The problem
is that the market finally began adjusting the price towards fundamental 
values. Right. Good point.

Me:
I would say this is an opinion without a lot of evidentiary support.  The 
government was not largely responsible for the run-up in home prices.  It 
certainly didn't help - it was at least partly responsible.  But there are many 
other actors involved.  A conservative should understand the limits of the 
power of the government!  Even if this were the case, the actions of the 
government were known and transparent.  They do not - and cannot - explain the 
decision by AIG to take on $42BB in unhedged risk on credit-default swaps 
structured based on subprime mortgages.  That's a purely private failure.  The 
government made many mistakes in this case, but it's simply impossible to argue 
that it is solely, or even primarily, responsible for the decision by major 
financial institutions to (functionally) go massively long on sub-prime 
mortgages.  The obvious support for that argument, btw, is that at least two 
major players in the financial markets -
 JPMorganChase (run by Jamie Dimon) and Goldman Sachs (run by Lloyd Blankfein) 
didn't.  If the government were responsible, you'd have to explain why they 
were immune to pressure.  Instead they - brilliantly - handled this potential 
crisis exactly right.  And thank goodness, too, if Dimon hadn't called this one 
I think we'd be completely screwed.  There's a difference between the position 
markets are usually the best way to allocate capital and markets are always 
right.  I can't think of any economist who would agree with the latter 
statement.

 This is a personal example of the irrationality of the market that I'm
 talking about.  

Right, blame the market for adjusting values to where they should be, not
the government for being largely responsible for putting values out of whack.
That's the ticket.

Me:
The government certainly did some things that were very foolish.  But I'm 
curious as to what, exactly, you think

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
- Original Message 

From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al)  Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 8:48:12 PM
Subject: Re: Meltdown

Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 From: John Williams 

 Gee, really? It couldn't possibly be just a little more complicated than that?
 
 Me:
  There are more factors, 

Yes, that is what I was referring to.

 but in the short-term money market, not that many, really.

Surely the laws of supply and demand still hold? In other words, if
the supply of money to be lent (in aggregate) goes down, then the
price (interest rate) will have upward pressure.

Me:
Yes, but again, it's a circular problem.  Why did the supply go down?  Because 
people were afraid of losing money in the money markets (even though _no one 
had_).  So there was a stampede for the exits.  Fine, but when there's a 
stampede lots of people get trampled.  Was the risk of defaults across the 
market so large that _GE_ was at a higher risk of default?  Obviously not.  But 
such a stampede could cause lots of otherwise fine companies to go under, which 
would cause still more companies to go under, and so on, until finally the only 
things left would be companies like, well, GE and Microsoft and Pfizer.  We 
know what financial collapses look like.  They look like 25% unemployment rates 
and a decade of disaster.  It's hard to imagine _anything_ worth the risk of 
going through that when interventions can prevent it.

  We had enormous market events followed 
 immediately by a pretty-much unprecedented increase in money market interest 
 rates, paired (presumably not coincidentally) by a massive flight of 
 investors 
 from the money markets

Several large firms were in imminent danger of failing. I would pull my money 
out,
too, if I thought I might lose it or it might get tied up in a bankruptcy.

Me:
Sure, that's fine.  The problem is that when everyone does it these actions can 
_cause_ a bankruptcy that will not otherwise occurred.  This is a standard 
collective action problem.  You have described exactly the mechanics behind a 
back run.  If there's a run on the bank, you want to be first in line.  But 
since everyone wants to be first in line, you can get runs on banks for no 
reason at all.  That's not a market functioning perfectly, and if you can 
prevent it, you should.  That's what the FDIC is for, and here we had a similar 
problem.

 This flight was particularly odd given that _no person_ lost money in such 
 investments.

Do you wait until you have been in an accident to put on your seat belt?

Me:
No, but _putting on my seat belt cannot cause an accident_.  This is the 
fundamental problem with your analogy.

 JPMorganChase (run by Jamie Dimon) and Goldman Sachs (run by Lloyd Blankfein) 
 didn't.  If the government were responsible, you'd have to explain why they 
 were 
 immune to pressure.  Instead they - brilliantly - handled this potential 
 crisis 
 exactly right. 

Which would be great if the government didn't interfere. The strong companies 
that
made good decisions would survive, and the others would fail. But instead we 
have
the government bailing out the bad companies.

Me:
Well, we don't yet know.  _But_.  If the run on the money markets had 
continued, we would have seen strong companies go under.  Like, for example, 
Goldman, which probably was in some danger for a while there.  That's what 
contagion means.  You have people who didn't do anything wrong going under.  
The only financial institution which I have really high confidence in right now 
is JPMorganChase, and even they're not invulnerable.

 For example, we had a series of events occurring.  We saw the 
 mark-to-market value of financial instruments constructed based on subprime 
 mortgages drop to near zero.  Functionally that explains the collapse of 
 Lehman 
 and AIG.  Although the value of these instruments is presumably substantially 
 lower than their purchasers thought they were, a true value of zero is 
 implausible at best (absent strange
 leverage constructions _unviersal across the instruments_ this would imply a 
 default rate on subprime mortgages of nearly 100%, which is clearly not going 
 to 
 happen).  This collapse forced Lehman to declare bankruptcy while it was 
 technically still solvent - an unprecedented event, so far as I know.

As I mentioned in another post, there is a practical definition of solvency and 
a
technical definition. The market seems to follow the practical one. Extreme 
leverage necessitates a probabilistic definition of solvency.

Me:
That's fine, but I don't think you've thought through the implications of such 
a definition in a period of extreme ambiguity.  You can have situations where 
_no one knows_ if you're solvent or not.  If that's true, and people have 
suddenly ramped up their risk aversion, then companies that are, in fact, 
solvent can be rendered insolvent simply by the existence of these concerns

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
- Original Message 

From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al)  Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Tuesday, September 23, 2008 11:16:58 PM
Subject: Re: Meltdown

Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 But 
 such a stampede could cause lots of otherwise fine companies to go under, 
 which 
 would cause still more companies to go under, and so on,

 It's hard to imagine _anything_ worth the risk of going 
 through that when interventions can prevent it.

So, you imagine a problem, make it plenty scary, then imagine a solution, 
and say that a few people can magically do it. It is a good thing you guys
are so much smarter than the rest of us dumb market peons, what would 
we do without you? 

You may not be a politician, but you have the mindset down perfectly.

Let me try one. My god, there are thousands of asteroids in the solar system and
one could slam into earth at any time. Billions would die! Mass hysteria! Dogs 
and
cats, living together! But I have a PLAN! I can save us all! Just give me $700B
and I will avert the disaster! Whadya say?

Me:
Well, I say I'd go to astronomers, and astrophysicists, and aerospace 
engineers.  And I'd find the best ones in the world.  I'd ask them - what's the 
risk of this happening?  What's the best way to prevent it?  How much would it 
cost?  Then I'd decide if that was worth the risk.  What would you do?  Judging 
by your feelings about finance, none of those people would be worth consulting. 
 Are you, by some chance, one of the best astronomers, astrophysicists, or 
aerospace engineers in the world?  Is there some reason I should believe that 
you know what you're talking about?

snipping stuff

Quite simply, ego. You don't know nearly as much as you think you do about what
will happen and how you can control it. You run around wild-eyed telling us how
the world is ending but don't worry, you know how to save us. Then you do 
something, the world
does not end, and you claim you saved us. Sorry, I have much less confidence in
politicians and people like you than I do in the collective self-interest and 
creativity
of a large group of talented people to solve problems competitively.

Me:
OK, your argument, just to be clear, is that you don't know anything about 
finance.  You have no experience with financial markets.  You don't know 
anything about me (so how do you know you shouldn't trust people like me?).  
You are aware of the overwhelming consensus of people who do have experience in 
finance, who have studied financial markets, and who (like me) have absolutely 
nothing to gain by exaggerating (or minimizing) the risks...but you think from 
a vague first principles belief in large groups of talented people (the same 
large group, it's worth noting, who caused this problem in the first place) 
that nothing should be done (even though the members of this large group are 
universal in their belief that something must be done) and you think it's _my_ 
ego that's the problem?  You're welcome to that belief, but, well, I'm a 
political scientist.  I believe in _data_.  I believe in theory too - my work 
is highly theoretical - but theories need
 to be grounded in clear causal mechanisms and tested against the empirical 
evidence.  You _still_ haven't come up with a historical example.  Not one.  
You're talking about isolated bailouts of firms (and it's worth pointing out 
that, so far, the AIG bailout has worked - the markets have not collapsed, even 
though they came pretty close, so this cuts _against_ your argument, not for 
it).  My point was that an organized and skillful bailout of an entire 
financial sector in panic can, and has, worked in the past.

Even more so, you don't seem to understand what I've been saying, so let me try 
again.  _My whole point_ is that we don't know what will happen.  We know 
there's a chance of the next Great Depression.  _We don't know_ what the odds 
of that happening are.  Had the money markets collapsed, the odds were very 
high (in my opinion) but they haven't yet, so we just don't know.  However, the 
best people in this field think that the odds remain uncertain but significant. 
 _Given that fact_ almost all of them feel that it's worth risking significant 
amounts of money to minimize the risk.  I'm the one saying We don't know 
what's going to happen, so we should play it safe.  You're the one who seems 
to be arguing that your understanding of markets is so total that you can 
predict that only the bad companies will fail.  Well that might be true.  
You're _so certain_ that's true you're willing to wager the an unknown 
possibility of a second Great Depression against
 it.  I'm _so uncertain_ that I'm willing to pay significant costs to insure 
against the possibility.

So I have two simple questions for you.  What do you think the odds of such a 
collapse occurring are?  1%  5%?  Whatever number you pick - what do you think 
should be done to lessen that risk?  Nothing?  If so

Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda

So I have two simple questions for you.  What do you think the odds of such a 
collapse occurring are?  1%  5%?  Whatever number you pick - what do you think 
should be done to lessen that risk?  Nothing?  If so, do you not buy health 
insurance?

Best,
Gautam

I hate replying to m own post, but I had a good idea.  Do you know what 
iatrogenic errors are?  They're mistakes by doctors that cause harm to 
patients.  Iatrogenic errors are among the leading causes of death in the 
United States - I'm not sure, but I think they might actually be the leading 
cause of death.  Does that mean that you should never go to a doctor?  After 
all, sometimes people get better on their own.  Sometimes cancer goes into 
spontaneous remission.  And unlike most of the people involved in this debate, 
doctors have a financial incentive to treat you unnecessarily!  So does that 
mean you should never go to a doctor?  Of course not.  When you're sick you 
need to listen to your doctor.  You shouldn't listen blindly, but it's probably 
not a good idea to ignore them completely either.

Gautam



  
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Re: Meltdown

2008-09-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
- Original Message 

From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al)  Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Wednesday, September 24, 2008 12:15:33 AM
Subject: Re: Meltdown

Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Well, I say I'd go to astronomers, and astrophysicists, and aerospace 
 engineers.  And I'd find the best ones in the world. 

Why haven't you?

Me:
Well, I have.  Or at least, I've read what they have to say.  I even know who 
they are.  Do you?

John:
There are a large number of economists who think Paulson's $700B bailout
is a bad idea. That you have the cahones to claim that your viewpoint is an
overwhelming consensus of experts is a perfect example of the absurdity
of people like you actually being able to fix the problem.

Me:
Brilliant.  You have paid such close attention to what I'm saying that you 
manage to...come to an opinion on something about which I have expressed no 
opinion.  Remarkable.  Actually, I don't think Paulson's bailout is a good 
idea.  Although the fact that you keep citing it as $700B suggests to me that 
you don't understand it.  I prefer Dodd's plan, which isn't perfect, but is 
much better.  

(the same 
 large group, it's worth noting, who caused this problem in the first place) 

Politicians and people like you, yes.

Me:
Again, you know nothing about me, except that I'm taking the time to debate 
with someone incapable of even ordinary civility.  Which, to be fair, doesn't 
speak well of constraints on my time.  But I'm trying to procrastinate right 
now.


 I believe in _data_. 

Me too. 

Me:
The data do not suggest that.

 You _still_ haven't come up with a historical example.  Not one. 

Show me the data of the last three bail outs that I mentioned, and how
they averted disaster.

Me:
It's not my job to educate you.  It may amuse me, but it doesn't really do that 
at the moment.  


  _My whole point_ is that we don't know what will happen.  We know 
 there's a chance of the next Great Depression.  _We don't know_ what the odds 
 of 
 that happening are.  Had the money markets collapsed, the odds were very high 
 (in my opinion) but they haven't yet, so we just don't know.  However, the 
 best 
 people in this field think that the odds remain uncertain but significant. 

You are really good at that. Did you learn that in political science class? I 
don't
know, but all the experts agree with me. So I must be right. It works even 
better
when all the experts actually do agree with you, though.

Me:
OK, so, I've talked about basic financial market mechanics and pointed to works 
by Kindelberger and Taleb.  You have...talked about mystical properties of 
markets.  Hmm.  

 So I have two simple questions for you.  What do you think the odds of such a 
 collapse occurring are?  1%  5%?  Whatever number you pick - what do you 
 think 
 should be done to lessen that risk?  Nothing?  If so, do you not buy health 
 insurance?

You sure are dramatic. Why not wait and see what happens? If things turn out as 
badly as you predict, surely your cadre of experts will be able to propose a 
simple
solution in a few weeks or whatever. Oh but wait, then we might see that you
were crying wolf. Hard to get re-elected then.

Me:
Ah yes, because I'm definitely running for office right now.  Come on, this is 
just tiresome.  At least try to have a simple discussion without accusing 
everyone of bad faith.  When you get cancer, you go to the oncologist.  She 
says, we need to do chemo now before it metastasizes.  Your answer is, of 
course...let's wait and see what happens.  After it metastasizes surely you 
will be able to propose a simple solution...  Try that approach.  Tell me how 
it goes.  

Gautam



  
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Re: malaria in Africa

2008-02-19 Thread Gautam Mukunda
On Feb 18, 2008 6:20 PM, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  But one issue where we do actually _know_ what the right thing to do is,
 is trade.  Free trade is the right
  policy.  And McCain is right on that (as, sadly, both Democrats,
 repudiating one of the greatest achievements of the Clinton Administration,
 are wrong).  If I can't trust someone to get the right answer in an area
 _where we actually know what the right answer is_, I don't see how I can
 trust them to get it right on the issues where it's a lot harder.


Could you explain further?

Our views on Obama and McCain are fairly similar, but switched around.  I
wouldn't be too unhappy to see either one as President, but I'd prefer
Obama.

Nick

Me:
There aren't many issues in the social sciences where there is virtually 
complete professional consensus.  I'm not sure if there are any except this 
one, but there is one.  That one is free trade.  There is absolutely no doubt 
that free trade is good for both countries.  If two countries trade freely with 
each other _they will both be better off_.  No qualifications, no restrictions. 
 There are a tiny handful of complicating issues (strategic trade theory, for 
example) but they are, to first approximation, irrelevant.  Trade can certainly 
have poor distributive effects.  But making up for them will cost less - almost 
always vastly less - than the benefits from the free trade.  I can't imagine 
any competent economist disagreeing with anything I've written there.  There 
are particular special circumstances in which the earlier statements might not 
be true, but they are relatively rare and far less important than the general 
principle.  

Beyond that, free trade has positive distribution effects across all people - 
that is, it may increase inequality within states, but it decreases inequality 
between states, and inequality between states is vastly larger than that within 
(most) states.  That is not _certain_, but it is, I would say, highly probable. 
 Free trade has positive effects for the US's national standing.  Hillary 
Clinton, in declaring her opposition to the few free trade agreements President 
Bush has negotiated, has hit on the one policy that might actually make our 
international standing _worse_.  That is, again, less certain than the previous 
statement, but it's _still_ highly likely.  Finally, I believe it is likely 
(not highly likely, but likely) that free trade policies prevent war.

Why do some people oppose free trade?  Many of the gains from trade are 
distributed, while the losses are concentrated.  So unions oppose trade 
agreements (almost always incredibly foolishly - even if the agreements weren't 
passed, the larger economic forces are much more important) because their 
workers may suffer even though the nation as a whole will benefit.  Note, btw, 
that unions almost always _oppose_ retraining programs that might help those 
same hurt workers, because such programs would move those people out of the 
unionized industry and weaken the union even as it hurts its members.  This is 
a classic principal-agent problem, and if you think it's right-wing to say 
that, tell it to Robert Reich, who first pointed it out to me.  Others are, 
quite simply, wrong.  But unless you're a member of one of those wounded 
industries, you should be in favor of free trade.  And even if you are, you 
should acknowledge that by doing so you're putting your
 personal welfare over the general good.

Now, some people don't like this - they argue that the economists have it 
wrong, for example.  I guess that might be true, although there is no finding 
in social science in which I have more confidence than the principle of 
comparative advantage.  But anyone who chooses to say that I never want to hear 
ever criticize a Creationist or an Intelligent Designer ever, ever again.  
Because both are doing exactly the same thing - rejecting evidence and science 
in favor of faith.  Do it if you must, but don't claim you're part of the 
reality-based community or anything like it.

Gautam


  

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Re: malaria in Africa

2008-02-18 Thread Gautam Mukunda
Charlie Bell wrote:
Heh. It's very frustrating to people who don't have spare time, and  
it's very frustrating to people who are trying to sort out one point  
to be totally smothered. You're not exploring details, you're just  
drowning people in volume, and switching or adding topics. It's very  
poor in debate, and it's just plain rude in a conversation. But after  
10 years, I'm pretty sure you're not going to change.

I replied:
Look, Charlie, Dan is fantastically good at researching and analyzing data.  
There's something frankly perverse in the idea that such an ability (one that 
puts him in the tiny handful of the very best I've ever met at such things) is 
something that he should _not_ use on the list.  He's not smothering you with 
data, he's doing data analysis.  There are basically two ways to construct a 
logical argument.  You can be inductive (reasoning from concrete details into 
general findings) or deductive (reasoning from general theories into concrete 
hypotheses).  Dan is very good at both, but when he's reasoning from evidence 
he's engaging in superb inductive reasoning.  Quite often it's good enough that 
it's basically a model of how to construct an argument, one I would use 
enthusiastically if I were teaching a class on the subject.  If he's not 
allowed to use data to support an argument, exactly how is he supposed to try 
to persuade someone?  I find inductive
 reasoning in politics to usually be vastly superior to deductive reasoning, 
because it is empirical and because our theories of politics are insufficiently 
well-grounded to value them over countervening information.  Empiricism 
requires data.  If you're not as good at it as he is (no shame - I'm not 
either) I would think reading and debating with him would be a great 
opportunity to _get better at it_.  If he challenges your opinions using data 
it might be worthwhile once in a while to consider whether your opinions should 
change, instead of believing that he has bad motives.  What you call changing 
topics is usually, for example, use of an enormously valuable technique - 
drawing out the logical implications of stated beliefs into a different domain 
and seeing if they still make sense.  If they don't, they probably don't make 
sense in the first domain _either_.  How do you try to persuade people to 
change their minds?  And in particular, how do you do it
 without using data?  For example, in this discussion I have _not once_ seen 
anyone actually engage with the argument or the data.  There are dismissals any 
point of view differing from the priors as bought and paid for (I've always 
wanted to ask people who believe that - if you think everyone's opinion is for 
sale, doesn't that really say something about yours?).  I've seen cites to 
irrelevant arguments (DDT is nasty - well, no shit.  It's an insecticide.  Is 
it as nasty as malaria?  Is it as nasty as the chemicals that might be used 
instead of it?).  And I've seen no concern whatsoever with the people involved 
- like his daughter.  Dan is a real scientist, and I'm at least a social 
scientist, so we're both trained to ask a simple question in any argument  - 
what is the obtainable information that would cause you change your belief?  If 
you can't come up with an answer, haven't you just said that you're not 
persuadable at all?  And if you _can_, why do
 you reject as ill-intentioned (and what would his motives be, exactly, for 
having ill-intent?) efforts by a very bright and talented person to bring such 
information to bear?

Gautam


  

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Re: malaria in Africa

2008-02-18 Thread Gautam Mukunda
Doug wrote: 
Hi Gautam, how are you?  I hope you'll stay with us for a while.  I'd
especially be interested in your perspective on the Presidential contest
which continues to be one of the most interesting in my lifetime.  What do
you think of McCain?  I know your buddy George Will has expressed
reservations.

You're back in the Boston area, eh?

Doug
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Hi Doug.  I am indeed - I've been here for 3.5 years now.  I have huge 
disagreements with McCain.  I think McCain-Feingold has been a disaster (as 
some of you may recall, I can at least claim that I thought that _before_ it 
was passed).  There are several other issues.  

That being said...Dan is right, I'm a big McCain supporter.  He's actually the 
first Presidential candidate that I've ever given money to (and I gave it to 
him before NH when everyone still thought he had no chance).  I don't know if 
he'll be a great President.  I don't even know, really, if he'd be a good one.  
But there's no doubt in my mind he's a great man (as David Brooks wrote in his 
column).  He's the only politician in America I can think of who really would 
rather be right than President.  John Dickerson wrote an article in Slate 
comparing Obama and McCain (and I like Obama a lot too) pointing out that Obama 
says he's going to tell you hard truths in his speech - and then never does.  
McCain sometimes doesn't do anything else.  He began town hall meetings in NH 
in a Republican primary by saying Global warming is a big problem and we have 
to do something about it.  He attacked the ethanol subsisy in Iowa.  He 
(correctly) said that the old
 manufacturing jobs in Michigan weren't coming back.  There simply isn't 
another politician who does things like that.  I don't know what it would be 
like to have a President that committed to saying the truth and doing what's 
right for the country, but I'd really like to find out.  When he won (I think) 
the NH primary, I put a link to this clip from the West Wing on my Facebook 
page: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAXz6j4Yj9M.  It seemed appropriate, 
somehow.  

Beyond personal qualities: McCain is the one person I'm sure will make torture 
illegal, which is, to me, a matter of national honor and thus absolutely 
non-negotiable.  I think he will handle Iraq responsibly (Hillary's pledge to 
start removing troops in 60 days is, to me, the perfect example of everything 
that's wrong with her as a candidate, and a good start at what would be wrong 
with her as President).  The war has been mishandled horrendously, but 
extricating ourselves from it is something that must be done carefully, to put 
it mildly.  On economic issues - he surely doesn't know them as well as I would 
wish.  But, look, there are lots of policy issues where we don't really know 
what the right thing to do is.  I don't _know_ what the right thing to do in 
Iraq is.  I have some ideas, but I'm really not sure, and I don't trust anyone 
who is.  But one issue where we do actually _know_ what the right thing to do 
is, is trade.  Free trade is the right
 policy.  And McCain is right on that (as, sadly, both Democrats, repudiating 
one of the greatest achievements of the Clinton Administration, are wrong).  If 
I can't trust someone to get the right answer in an area _where we actually 
know what the right answer is_, I don't see how I can trust them to get it 
right on the issues where it's a lot harder.  Anyways, all of that being said - 
I think Obama is fantastic.  I don't think he's quite ready, but he is 
something special.  The best political talent of his generation, surely, and 
the best speaker I've ever seen, bar none.  Amazing.  I don't see how you can 
look at him, know that, right now, a man who _in his own lifetime_ would not 
have been able to use buses and waterfountains in half this country, and know 
that he's the person most likely to be the next President and not be enormously 
proud of this country.  I think the searching for the Messiah aspects of his 
candidacy are quite troubling, but he is
 the incarnation of the American Dream, and I would be proud to have either as 
my President.

Gautam


  

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Deathly Hallows - no spoilers

2007-07-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
I just finished it.  I'm in San Diego, so I lost three hours due to the time 
change, but just finished it.  It's amazing, wonderful, deeply moving, and not 
just everything I hoped for, but far more.  Happy reading to all of you still 
working on it!!!
 
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.coml


   

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies or why the Red Sox collapsed

2006-09-18 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  
 Good to here from you. So even though you are
 clearly wrong about 9/11  
 (everyone knows that it was a mutant energizer buddy
 sent by the Bush daughters  
 because they could not count up to 103 and were
 therefore insulted by the  
 towers) I hope you have some more insight into the
 collapse of your beloved sox.  I 
 think George talked to George who told Manny David
 that they had to lose. The 
  future of the free world depends on Yankee victory.
 Seriously who do you 
 like  for MVP

Heh.  They're falling apart because they made a
sequence of ill-advised trades in a hopeless attempt
to create a super-team like the Yankees.  Right at
the beginning of the season I thought trading for
Beckett and Lowell would be a bad idea.

MVP?  Pujols in the NL, even though he's been injured,
but if not him, Ryan Howard, I guess.  In the AL I
think it's definitely Jeter, who's the only AL player
in the top 5 (he's fifth, I think) in VORP.  He has,
rather remarkably, gone from being a truly atrocious
shortstop to one who is basically average (he was
significantly better than average last year, I think).
 

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies or why the Red Sox collapsed

2006-09-18 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  
 In a message dated 9/18/2006 9:58:12 A.M. Eastern
 Standard Time,  
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 
 He  has,
 rather remarkably, gone from being a truly atrocious
 shortstop to  one who is basically average (he was
 significantly better than average last  year, I
 think).
 

 OK - maybe you will grant that he has gone from a
 very good shortstop with  
 somewhat limited range but a great arm to an
 excellent shortstop who can always 
  make a key play. You really have to watch him every
 day to appreciate how 
 good  he is

Sorry, I phrased that poorly.  He was _always_ an
extraordinary, Hall-of-Fame caliber shortstop, because
his hitting more than made up for his atrocious
fielding.  His hitting was never quite as good as
people gave it credit for (he was never, ever, in the
same league as ARod) but he was always very good.  Now
he's moved from an excellent shortstop who hits his
way into the HOF despite an awful glove to an
excellent shortstop who hits his way into the HOF
despite a mediocre glove.

As for the you have to see him play every
day...let's talk about hitting for a second.  Assume
600 plate appearances in a season.  A .250 hitter is a
poor one, a .300 hitter is a good one.  The difference
between a .250 hitter and a .300 hitter over 600 plate
appearances is the difference between 180 and 150 hits
- 30 hits.  That's less than one hit every five days. 
Even if you were in the press box for every game, the
human mind is simply incapable of assessing the
difference between the two non-numerically.  No one
can tell the difference between 1 hit a game and 1.1
hits a game.

OK, then think about how much harder judging defense
is.  Most importantly, being there helps someone in
judging hitting, because you always watch the batter
and events are unambiguous.  The batter gets a hit or
he doesn't.  In judging defense, though, an observer
_isn't_ watching the SS at the key moment (when he
takes his first step).  Furthermore, the brain has a
bias against judging events that don't happen.  You
don't remember the balls that go pass a SS in bad
position - but you do remember the plays that look
amazing because the SS was badly positioned when a
better positioned SS would have made them routine -
and you remember them to that SS's _credit_, instead
of as mistakes on his part.  So I really don't think
that watching Jeter play every day will help you judge
his defense - in fact, I think it will probably
_hurt_, because you'll see the spectactular plays that
he makes, but not the routine ones that he misses. 
Does he have a fantastic arm?  Sure?  How does that
balance against all the hits that get by him because
he didn't move quickly enough to get them?  No one can
judge that subjectively - the only way to do it is
analytically, and we can tell that, analytically, the
strength of his arm just wasn't very important.

Best,
Gautam

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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Nick wrote:
  Is there
 some reason I'm not
  aware of that you and your network of highly
 placed acquaintances
  would need to be notified if we were planning an
 act of high treason?

In his rush to play the man instead of the ball, Nick
completely misses the point of my posts.  The whole
thrust of my argument is precisely that, for there to
be a conspiracy of the type alleged, thousands of
_perfectly ordinary_ people would have to be involved.
 Not nefarious actors with malevolent links to Saudi
financiers.  Just engineers, scientists, civil
servants, businessmen, and even students.  If Nick
were to plot high treason, we'd never know - well,
until he was caught, of course.  But for this type of
conspiracy to have occurred - one in which the towers
were destroyed by explosives inside the building, and
then the evidence of this suppressed after the attacks
- then literally thousands of people would have to be
involved in the coverup, because that's how many
people were involved in the investigation and/or have
the skills to identify flaws in the published reports
about the investigation.  The number of people
involved is so large that even a graduste student
without wealth or political connections would have to
know many, many people involved - so many that for me
not to have noticed _something_ strange going on would
take either heroic stupidity or active connivance. 
Either of those is possible, of course.  Jonathan had
the courtesy to disclaim any such beliefs, but Nick
does not need to, of course.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I'm writing to apologize for being such a pompous
 ass. Also to state
 that my current position on the whole thing is that
 whoever it was who
 plotted to bring down the WTC buildings succeeded in
 a manner so
 spectacular that it must have surprised even them.
 
 9/11 was a ghastly crime committed by crazed
 fanatics, some or all of
 whom were Muslim extremists.

Dear Dave,
Thanks for the kind words.  In fact, I just want to
note here that in fact you are _precisely_ correct.  I
can't cite the page # for you because my books are in
the office, but as _The Age of Sacred Terror_ among
other books notes, it is exactly true that the
plotters were surprised by their success.  We have _on
video_ Usama Bin Laden stating that he was the most
optimistic member of Al Qaeda in terms of his
expectations for the damage done by the impacts, and
that even he thought that only the floors above the
point of impact would be destroyed.

Best,
Gautam

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies

2006-09-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Gibson Jonathan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 
 I have no idea if your accomplished friend is in on
 anything.  If I had 
 I would have directly said so.  I wasn't trying to
 besmirch her, I was 
 pointing out many people accept a
 go-along-to-get-along mentality and 
 yet others find this quite handy for climbing the
 ladders of power. 

Greetings John.  That _may_ be true.  But think about
whta that means in this case.  It means that she (and
I, and many other people I know) are so committed to
climing the ladders of power that we're willing to
countenance - and in fact, actively cover for - high
treason.  Do you really think that's plausible?
  
 Personally, I had never considered massive {in
 repurcussion} internal 
 conspiracies from within until I read Tom Clancy's
 Red Storm Rising 
 many years ago: facing an internal crisis a central
 soviet cabal 
 orchestrates an attack on the schoolchildren by
 terrorists as pretext 
 to hide other systemic failures by launching WWIII.

Yeah, but, that's a _novel_.  I'm not saying
conspiracices never happen - they do - but it's a
novel.  It's also a novel about the Soviet Union, and
most people would say the old Soviet Union operated a
little differently than the US does.

 Webster Tarply's 
 role in uncovering NATO intelligence behind the
 multiple false-flag 
 machine-gun terror attacks by Reds in Italy - and
 one such kidnapping 
 which killed a government minister is part of the
 Italian public 
 record.  General Smedley war is a racket Butler
 was approached by a 
 cabal of wealthy industrialists who sought to
 overthrow Roosevelt in 
 the 1930's, but he refused and exposed them - with
 no action taken to 
 imprison them: this ought to inform your opinion of
 some timeless facts 
 about American power structures.  Operation
 Northwoods was concocted by 
 American generals in the early 1960's to hijack
 planes and kill 
 Americans as pretext to inciting a Cuban invasion -
 Kennedy nixed it 
 and fired the perps.

I'm not going to comment on any of these in particular
- except to point out that even if they occurred, they
all involve a handful of people, and they were all
_discovered_.  Any 9/11 conspiracy would involve
thousands of people - it would have to be so large,
remember, that it would probably include someone as
insignificant as me - and _none of them_ would have
ever said a word about it.  Don't you think that's an
entirely different kettle of fish?

 I'm reminded of a saying Gore Vidal once said
 describing how things 
 have long worked in D.C., I won't rat out your
 scheme, if you don't 
 rat out mine.  Much mischief gets done all the time
 by our so-called 
 protector class.  Why insist black hearted and
 aristo-minded people 
 could not possibly treat us as expendable chattel? 

Well, I met Gore Vidal in June and let's just say, I'm
not impressed by his insight into how the government
works.  I'm sure he likes to think that's how it
works, but that doesn't mean that it does.
 
 I have no doubt there was a massive explosion at the
 Pentagon, but what 
 it was is open to question.  I'd like to know if
 your friend that close 
 to the impact actually saw the exact airline in
 question since almost 
 nothing remained, even a dent where the engines
 should have impacted - 
 let alone survived.  A simple 3-6 clips showing the
 impact from 
 different vantage points would clear up the issue a
 great deal - the 
 absurd chunky digital frame or two fobbed off on us
 last year did 
 nothing to quiet the concerns and as I recall only
 raised the 
 temperature of discussion.  Surely, you must wonder
 why this event is 
 still shrouded when it could be so easily dispensed
 with?  The public 
 wonders, like it or not.

No, I really don't.  It's not a case of like it or not
- the public wonders, but the public has been shown
the truth.  Just out of curiosity, why do you think
there would be 3-6 video clips of the Pentagon?  And
if there were, don't you think that this would be used
as evidence that there was a conspiracy, since it
would be strange if such clips exist.  But if you need
an eyewitness report of the impact, such things do
exist:
http://www.nationalreview.com/robbins/robbins040902.asp-
for example.
My friend, thank God, was not at his desk at the
moment of impact - or he'd be dead, instead of the
American hero that he is.
 
 Like the three blind men feeling different parts of
 an elephant, we can 
 all take different measures of the same item before
 us.  I do not doubt 
 your impressive credentials.  I recognize your name
 from the NOVA 
 update to 9-11 last week.  

I have to admit my total confusion as to this one. 
I've never been on NOVA in my life - and as far as I
know, I'm the only Gautam Mukunda in the United
States, so I don't know whom you might be confusing me
with.  Whomever it was, though, I assure you it wasn't
me.

 4) Idiots don't get multiple degrees, but it is true
 that people with 
 degrees can be fooled from real estate

9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-15 Thread Gautam Mukunda
 their
motivation?
4) The other possibility, of course, is that all of us
are idiots.  I admit that this is a possibility.  Do
you have any particular evidence to suggest that this
is the case?

Best,
Gautam Mukunda (make sure you spell it right when you
do the Googling)

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: Gas Prices

2005-09-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Ahh, but the other side of that is (for instance)
 how rare asteroid 
 strikes to Earth have been; it's probably not going
 to happen as long 
 as our species is around. However, would you agree
 with capitalism's 
 logic that it's inefficient -- therefore unwise --
 to plan for such a 
 contingency and develop technology to help us
 prevent it?

That's not the logic of capitalism.  It's barely even
the logic of some sort of cliched stereotype of
capitalism.  Protecting against risks like that is
what is called a public good.  Somewhere around your
second week of a first year economics class, they'll
explain that public goods are things that markets
don't provide for adequately, and this is when
governments have to step in.  Gasoline is, however,
not much of a public good.
 
 Efficiency in a market can't be the only measure of
 a thing's value, 
 because there are human-scale effects which can't be
 costed.

A true but trivial statement.  Efficiency in a market
is an _enormously important_ value.  When a market is
inefficient you are saying that, in the aggregate,
people are less well off than they might be.  If you
build a refinery using some resources, then you fail
to build something else with those same resources. 
You are giving something up by choosing to build that
refinery.  So you must make a decision.  Build a
refinery or build something else.  A company that
built a refinery 20 years ago (when gas prices were
quite low) or 10 years ago (when they were _extremely
low) would have been making a very bad decision.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
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Re: Gas Prices

2005-09-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 It is when driving your car is the only way to
 escape
 death.  
 It is when critical patients stuck in
 generator-powered-only hospitals can't breathe.  
 It is when food and water have to be trucked miles
 into a disaster zone where refugees haven't had any
 for days.
 
 Debbi
 But Then That Explains Your Take On Drug Prices Maru
 
 (Hey, just following your shining example of
 argumentation, ol' boy.)

No, it still isn't.  Public good is a technical term
with a clear meaning.  It doesn't mean whatever is
convenient for Debbi at this moment in time.  And my
take on drug prices is based on a desire to preserve
innovation and access in the United States and around
the world.  Other than a reflex hostility to corporate
profits and self-righteousness, where does yours come
from?

Sauce for the goose, after all...

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com




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Re: Gas Prices

2005-09-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 What a load.
 
 Ever hear of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve?
 Apparently,
 someone, somewhere thought that the government
 needed to
 step in to ensure a consistent supply of this public
 good.
 
 Dave

I have.  But you haven't, apparently, because you
don't seem to know what it is.  The Strategic
Petroleum Reserve is a very good idea designed to deal
with political (i.e. non-market) disruptions in crude
oil supplies.  The problem we're dealing with at the
moment is (first) mainly a problem of _refined_
gasoline, to which the SPR can contribute very little
right now, because it stores crude oil.  It's also
_strategic_, i.e., designed to be used because oil is
a political commodity.  This is very different from
price controls (enforced, in your call, by shooting
people who violate them, because that's how you
usually end up dealing with looters).  Price controls
are almost always a bad idea.  They've always been a
bad idea.  They're the idea of people who think that
they are somehow morally exempt from the laws of
supply and demand, a position that makes about as much
sense as claiming you're morally exempt from the law
of gravity.  You might _want_ to be, but I still
advise a parachute next time you jump out of an
airplane.

In this case, if we were to not raise the price of
gasoline when the quantity of gasoline available has
shrunk, the outcome would be immediately predictable. 
Shortages.  Gas lines.  You raise the price of
something if you want people to use it more
efficiently.  We now have less gasoline.  You want
people to use it more efficiently?  The price has to
go up.  It can go up in the dollar price.  Or it can
go up by making people wait in line.  We tried that in
the 1970s, it wasn't really a successful policy. 
Unless you're a member of the left, I guess, which
seems to believe that the entire world should be run
like the DMV.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: Gas Prices

2005-09-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
I have said this before, but just to make it clear. 
No post from Nick will _ever_ get any answer of any
sort from me on list beyond this one.  For me to be
called a racist by someone like _him_, of all people,
puts him entirely the bounds of decent society, and I
will continue to ignore him now and in the future.

--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 On 9/2/05, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
 
  Other than a reflex hostility to corporate
  profits and self-righteousness,
 
 
 Still haven't abandoned the When will you stop
 beating your wife style of 
 argument, eh?
 
 where does yours come
  from?
 
 
 A rather different sort of ethics -- one that I
 greatly prefer than what I 
 see as idolization of free market economics.
 
 
 Nick
 
 -- 
 Nick Arnett
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Gas Prices

2005-09-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 government intervention.  A truly conservative
 argument is that, for all of
 its flaws, the market does a much better job of
 allocating gasoline in most
 cases than does the government.
 
 Dan M.

To be fair, that's _one_ of the two
libertarian/conservative arguments.  The other is that
it's much, much better to make sure that the
government must not have the _power_ to control these
things, because if they do, they will put it to bad
use.  If the government can control gasoline
allocations, then only the friends of the people in
power will get gasoline, and this is A Bad Thing.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
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Re: Gas Prices

2005-09-01 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Capitalist Evil Logic dictates that with such low
 margin
 it´s not worth building a new refinery.

No, that would be _correct_ logic.  If the margin for
building a refinery were that low, then _you should
build something else_.  The reason capitalism is A
Good Thing is because it forces economies to operate
efficiently.  Spending money on low-return projects
when higher return projects are available is
inefficient.  It is impossible to predict what the
price of oil will be in 20 years, so of course you
don't build refineries that might or might not be
useful 20 years from now.  That would be a useless
waste of resources.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
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Re: The Doom That Came To N'Warlins - II Meets Gas Prices

2005-09-01 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 When threads collide...
 
 It occurred to me that the answer to the original
 question in the  
 Gas Prices thread was looting, just being
 engaged in by  
 corporations, and not individuals.
 
 I think that whatever punishment is meted out to
 individuals caught  
 looting stores ought to be brought to bear upon
 corporations who  
 engage in looting in the form of hyper-inflated gas
 prices.
 
 Dave

Because obeying the law and maintaining property
rights is the same thing as stealing things at gun
point.  And clearly it's a good idea to make sure that
there is no incentive whatsoever for corporations to
prevent shortages and create stockpiles.  It's always
reassuring to know that no matter how brutally bad the
mistakes we made in the past were (see price controls
on gasoline in the 1970s)...there are people who want
to do it all over again.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com




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Re: The Doom That Came To N'Warlins - II Meets Gas Prices

2005-09-01 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Sep 1, 2005, at 12:24 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  --- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  When threads collide...
 
  It occurred to me that the answer to the original
 question in the  
  Gas
  Prices thread was looting, just being engaged
 in by  
  corporations, and
  not individuals.
 
  I think that whatever punishment is meted out to
 individuals caught
  looting stores ought to be brought to bear upon
 corporations who  
  engage
  in looting in the form of hyper-inflated gas
 prices.
 
  Because obeying the law and maintaining property
 rights is the same
  thing as stealing things at gun point.  And
 clearly it's a good  
  idea to
  make sure that there is no incentive whatsoever
 for corporations to
  prevent shortages and create stockpiles.  It's
 always reassuring to  
  know
  that no matter how brutally bad the mistakes we
 made in the past were
  (see price controls on gasoline in the
 1970s)...there are people who
  want to do it all over again.

Sorry Dave - that came out a lot more acerbic than I
meant it to be.

 Hmm. I don't recall saying that. I recall saying ...
 well, there it is,
 just above your paragraph: that if corporations
 engage in looting in the
 form of hyper-inflationary gas prices, they should
 be punished as  
 thieves.

But this isn't looting.  The gasoline is _their
property_.  They paid for it fair and square.  In
doing so they took a risk - the price of gasoline
could also have dropped suddenly.  In this case, they
will be rewarded for that risk, but it doesn't have to
happen that way,and somehow I don't think you'd be
calling for them to be bailed out if it went the other
way.  They can sell it (or not sell it) for whatever
price they choose.  They have competitors who are also
trying to sell things - and presumably they will use
lower prices as their primary marketing tool, as this
is, after all, the one they already use.  You cannot,
by definition, loot what you already own.

 Dave Since when is fairness the same as centralized
 control? Land

Well, when you get to define fairness, it does appear
to be the same thing as centralized control, yes.  In
this case you want whatever punishment is brought to
bear upon the looters - that is, people who are
stealing - to be brought upon companies who are
obeying the law.  How is that _different_ from
centralized control, exactly?  Fairness, it seems to
me, involves asking people to obey the law.  There is
no part of that in imposing price controls on a highly
competitive market.

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Re: Gas Prices

2005-08-31 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 I filled up yesterday morning at $2.39 per gallon. 
 When I went home
 yesterday, it was $2.69.  I just passed the station
 on my way home
 from work today and it was $2.99 per gallon.  How
 can that be?  How
 can it have gone up $.60 per gallon over the course
 of a day?  I
 know Katrina hit the gulf oil platforms hard but did
 gas prices jump
 this much in past hurricanes?
 
 Can someone (anyone?) explain what's going on?
 
  - jmh

The problem isn't crude oil supplies (mainly) but
refinery capacity.  Quite a few refineries are on the
Gulf Coast as well, so this causes a significant
problem, particularly because there is (IIRC) little
or no slack in global refinery capacity either, so
it's difficult to make up the difference.  We haven't
built a new refinery in the US in ~25 years or so -
one guess as to why.  The oil industry has also
adopted JIT inventory management along with everyone
else, but this means that oil prices are much more
vulnerable to supply shocks than they were when
everyone was keeping huge inventories of the stuff on
hand.  So this sort of a price spike is unsurprising.

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Re: Gas Prices

2005-08-31 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 The margin of the refinery drop too low, and
 Capitalists
 won't invest in things that don't have an
 _immediate_
 high return.

You're kidding, right?  Just to pick an example from
my old industry, a pharmaceutical company will spend
on average ~$800MM to develop a drug, and that
development process (from molecule to market) averages
~10 years.  This is not anyone's definition of an
immediate high return.  This is one of those myths
that people want to believe, I think.

 But it's not exactly true [*] that no new refinery
 was build,
 because those that exist are upgraded regularly to
 2x,
 4x, etc their initial capacity.
 
 Alberto Monteiro

This is absolutely true, and something I said a few
minutes ago in a talk with my Mom on this same topic. 
It is also true, though, that despite these
improvements in capacity, US refining capacity was
running flat-out even before Katrina, and this is not
a good thing and something that really needed to be
alleviated with some new construction.

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Re: This post made in honor of Ronn

2005-08-23 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam: well-spotted, and thanks for the laugh.

Gautam does a half-bow in Dave's direction...

I actually got the email while at the office and just
started laughing like mad in a meeting.  My advisor
who, despite having twice as many Harvard degrees as I
do never misses an opportunity to make fun of me about
the place, thought that its placement on an alums list
was what made it just right, somehow.

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Re: USA bashing is fun

2005-08-22 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Aug 21, 2005, at 5:35 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote: 
  --- Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
 In part, it is because there are well-organized,
 well-funded groups behind the USA's anti-evolution
 crusade.
 
 Dave

This is, however, a response that provides no
information.  There are well-organized and well-funded
groups in the United States for _everything_.  The
amount of money thrown out by the Ford Foundation _by
itself_ is probably more than all of the prominent
right-wing funding sources put together, and George
Soros just might be spending more than everyone else
_combined_ (no one really knows).  The question is,
why do such groups exist/have power in the US when
they don't exist elsewhere?

A couple of the other posters suggested an answer,
though.  It is a truism said so often that people
forget its meaning that American politics are far less
elite-driven than those of other democracies (see, for
example, the death penalty debate in the US versus
Europe).  In this case some of the other posters have
written things wihch suggest that where there are
significant evangelical and/or fundamentalist
religious populations in other industrialized states
they too object - it's just that in the US they are
able to influence the political process, while in
Europe (for example) they are marginalized.  This
makes sense.

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This post made in honor of Ronn

2005-08-22 Thread Gautam Mukunda
An example of the true value of a Harvard education,
drawn from a recent post on the Harvard Boston recent
grads email list, as part of a request for a roommate:

Looking for someone similar to the two of us already
in the house: mid-20's young professional or grad
student. Someone who is clean, respectful, easy to get
along with, who values having a nice home, and
doesn't mind emptying the dishwasher or changing the
role of toilet paper.

So, does anyone have any ideas as to new _roles_ for
toilet paper?  Apparently the old one isn't sufficient
anymore :-)

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Re: This post made in honor of Ronn

2005-08-22 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Maru Dubshinki [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Clearly what we have here is a rather progressive
 youngster, a shining
 example of the further march of liberty: this
 wimmin, or persun, is
 advocating that toilet paper be liberated from its
 constricted role of
 cleaning our bottoms. They hold with Freud that this
 fixation on the
 anus is infantilizing, and retarding of progress
 integrating the self;
 in short blocking personal growth.  Thusly, we must
 change the role
 which toilet paper plays to clean other areas, such
 as the nostrils,
 or the mouth, other bodily orifices.  I dare say
 that in this cry for
 progress we can see a covert dialectic, leading to a
 synthesis of the
 negative, or shadow aspects of the whole
 metemphysical nature of
 toilet paper: what could be more subversive than
 turning an item that
 is meant to clean, and tragically, be immediately
 disposed of into a
 representation of the Great Mother that the
 patriarchal Western
 scientific society has repressed and demonized than
 by into the
 embodiment of its enemy, waste, and permament waste
 at that?
 
 ~Maru

Frighteningly enough, it wasn't entirely clear to me
that this was a satire the first time I read it...

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Re: This post made in honor of Ronn

2005-08-22 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Maru Dubshinki [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Didja like how I threw in some legitimate
 scholarship like Freud's
 anal fixation theories of sexual maturation, and the
 Great mother
 religious motif, and Jung's shadow, just to
 camouflage the nonsense?
 
 ~Maru

Heck, judging by some of the stuff I've seen, it is
impossible to differentiate anyways...

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Re: USA bashing is fun

2005-08-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Today's biggest br newspaper has a huge story about
 the
 return of Creationism to USA classes. It has the
 general
 flavour of look how those USAns are stupid to
 believe
 this nonsense.
 
 Alberto Monteiro

Now, the interesting question for me is, why does this
essentially only happen in the United States?  The US
is the most religious industrial nation, so I have to
ask - do Christian Third World nations even teach
about evolutionary theory?  Do they have debates over
whether it is taught?  Why _just_ here?  I honestly
have no idea, and would be very curious as to anyone
else's thoughts on the subject.

Gautam Mukunda
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RE: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-20 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  They are known because they prominent members of
 the neoncon 
  movement. The 
  current administration (Bush and Channey) accepted
 at least 
  some of their ideas 
  and wolfie and perle were given prominent
 positions in the 
  adminstration. They 
  did not get these positions because they were
 jews. 
 
 Thank you.
 
 Ritu

This is, you do know, indistinguishable from the point
I was making, right?

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Re: What the Heck Is a Neocon?

2005-08-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda

--- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 http://www.benadorassociates.com/article/180

I think this is largely correct, except for this:
The most prominent champions of this view inside the
administration are Vice President Dick Cheney and
Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz. Their agenda
is known as neoconservatism, though a more accurate
term might be hard Wilsonianism. Advocates of this
view embrace Woodrow Wilson's championing of American
ideals but reject his reliance on international
organizations and treaties to accomplish our
objectives. (Soft Wilsonians, a k a liberals, place
their reliance, in Charles Krauthammer's trenchant
phrase, on paper, not power.) Like Theodore Roosevelt,
Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan, hard
Wilsonians want to use American might to promote
American ideals.

Everything in this is right except the inclusion of
Cheney.  He's not a neocon.  As far as I can tell he
is a traditional realist - in fact, he seems to be
almost completely indifferent to questions of
democracy outside the US.

If your definition of neocon is someone who thinks
that the US should use its power to promote the spread
of democracy around the world then I would agree, I
think that's an accurate one.  But there's not much
evidence that many people at the top levels of the
Administration _other than_ the President believe in
that, and the President seems very much to be a
Johnny-come-lately on the topic.  He seems to have
come to this belief only after 9/11.  He certainly
didn't believe it before then.


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RE: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  What makes you say he _was_ a major player in
 getting
  us involved?  He was the Deputy Secretary of
 Defense. 
  Can you name the Deputy Secretary of a single
 other
  Department?  
 
 Have any other Deputy Secretaries given major
 interviews on the most
 controversial topic of the day? Until I read this
 thread I had no idea
 that Wolfie was a Jew, but I remember him basically
 because of his
 statement that the administration went ahead with
 the WMD
 rationalisation/charges because it seemed to be the
 most convenient way
 to garner support for the invasion of Iraq. It was
 the Vanity Fair
 interview, and if I recall correctly, he also said
 that the invasion of
 Iraq would undercut AQ propaganda because it would
 enable the US to
 withdraw it troops from SA. 

Yes, of course.  Everybody in the Administration
supported the war, Ritu.  It was sort of a job
requirement.  The others just don't get the same
amount of press.
 
   The
  _only_ below-Cabinet rank figures of any
 significance
  most people have ever heard of are Wolfowitz and
  Richard Perle.  One guess as to what they have in
 common.
 
 *That* I know! They were both very visible and vocal
 in their support
 for the invasion of Iraq. Perle gave countless
 interviews describing
 Saddam's Iraq as a terrorist state, but what I
 recall the best about him
 is the fact that he admitted that the invasion was
 illegal.

I sincerely doubt this, since it, well, _wasn't_.  I
think you may be misremembering.  Perle is not a
lawyer, of course, so he might have made a mistake.
 
 And all that stuff about Wolfie not being a major
 player is well and
 good from the point of view of administrative
 details but it certainly
 doesn't support your contention that the only reason
 people have heard
 of them is because they are Jews [that is if Perle
 is a Jew...?]. 
 
 Ritu 

He is.  He's also an administration official to about
the same extent I am - he's an unpaid member of the
Defense Policy Review Board, a purely advisory
capacity.  But he is a Jewish conservative - another
person people can claim has betrayed the US in favor
of Israel.

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RE: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 I think you are fudging a bit here, Gautam, unless
 Bush appointed you as
 the Chairman of the Defense Policy Review Board
 sometime in the recent
 years and you just forgot to mention that here. :)
 
 Ritu

Not really :-).  Who is the current Chairman of the
Policy Review Board?  Who is any other previous
Chairman?  Can you name any other members of the
Board?  I think I _might_ be able to do the last, but
not many of them.  Again, just not a very important position.

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RE: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Horn, John [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 OK.  I'm confused.  You saying that the reason that
 Wolfowitz and
 Pearle are known is because of the fact that they
 are Jewish and are
 neo-cons.  But *who* made them well-known?  Surely
 not the vast
 left-wing liberal media?  The anti-war liberals? 
 David Duke?
 
  - jmh

Some mixture of those.  The media needed a story to
tell.  One story was the strange conspiracy of
Straussians and neocons.  A story told, I do believe,
by people who've never read a word of Leo Strauss. 
It's a nice story to tell.  There's this conspiracy of
strange and funky people - people who operate in the
shadows, who have bizarre professions like political
scientist, and who are easily imagined as the power
behind the throne in the Administration.  Many of them
are Jewish.  Then we're off to the races.  Wolfowitz
is often described as the architect of the war.  But
how, exactly, was he that?  The war had an architect,
but it appears to have been _Rumsfeld_, not Wolfowitz,
judging by everything I can tell about him.  But the
SecDef can't be a member of a shadowy conspiracy.

Ritu asked if other members of the Defense Policy
Review Board were interviewed on such controversial
subjects.  Of course they were.  While I can't find a
complete list of board members, I'm pretty sure that
Newt Gingrich and Tom Foley are both on it!  You can
bet they were interviewed.  But their roles don't fit
into the conspiracy theory, so the attention isn't as big.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 This guy's head -- and apparently, his heart -- is
 completely empty.
 
 Dave

I'd say that that description is much more accurate of
the anti-war movement that's cruelly using this poor
woman.  In this case, you're dealing with someone who
has _already_ met the President, and who also deals in
pathetic anti-Semitism, incidentally.  Christopher
Hithens dealt quite well with such things in Slate,
amongst many other people. 
http://www.slate.com/id/2124500/

Out of curiosity, had I been killed in Iraq, would
that mean that my parents would then have the right to
demand a _second_ meeting with the President and
insist that he continue the war so that my death was
not wasted, or does such a privilege only go to people
who agree with you?

What I would ask also is, has the anti-war movement no
sense of decency, using this poor woman as a prop in
its attempts to attack the President?  How do you feel
rallying to someone supported by David Duke
(http://www.davidduke.com/index_print.php?p=350) - it
seems to me that people willing to exploit a poor,
bereaved woman as she lashes out to assuage her grief
should be comfortable in his company.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Gautam,
 
  --- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  This guy's head -- and apparently, his heart --
 is completely empty.
 
  I'd say that that description is much more
 accurate of the anti-war
  movement that's cruelly using this poor woman.
 
 She went there of her own accord. What others do
 with that is their
 choice. Some, like the neo-con echo-chamber, are
 cruelly abusing her.
 That's their choice, too.

Dave, you flawlessly agree with everything everybody
on the antiwar left says.  I really don't think the
echo-chamber thing is really something you want to
bring up.  

 She and a group of others met with him prior to the
 revelations that
 this war of choice was entered into on a foundation
 of lies. She was
 mildly polite about their last meeting, and has
 changed her mind as the
 falsehoods that cost her son his life have piled up.

There used to be a photo on her family website of the
President kissing her.  Possibly she's (at the urging
of people like Michael Moore) changed her story?  The
evidence suggests that this is the case.

 In the piece cited by this Bush apologist, I do not
 find the claim of
 anti-Semitism claim that you assert. He quotes her
 noting the PNAC pro-
 Israel basis for the war as a reason that her child
 died. Do you confuse
 her rejection of blind support for Israel as
 anti-Semitism? I guess it
 is no longer permitted to criticize Israel. I'm sick
 of people shouting
 anti-Semitism every time Israel is criticized.

Hitchens is a socialist and an atheist, incidentally. 
Clearly a member of the vast right-wing conspiracy. 
Not everyone who defends the war is a Bush apologist. 
Many of us are capable of independent thought.  Since
you parrot the far-left anti-war movement flawlessly,
who are you an apologist for, exactly?  You clearly
don't know much about PNAC (I even applied for a
summer internship there once - quite a Jewish
conspiracy that would have made, with the Hindu guy in
the background).  But I think her belief that we
fought this war for Israel at the behest of a Jewish
cabal is pretty obviously anti-semitic.  If you
believe that, have the balls to say so.  If you don't,
have the decency to repudiate it.  

 I support people with whom I agree, so I probably
 wouldn't get behind
 the Mukundas' pro-war rally. Nonetheless, they would
 be as much under
 Maureen Dowd's  claim that The moral authority of
 parents who bury
 children killed in Iraq is absolute. as Cindy
 Sheehen is. I would
 disagree with their stated aim, but endorse their
 right to declare it.

That is the most intellectually vapid argument it is
possible to make.  You have the _right_ to declare
that you are an armadillo.  No one is suggesting that
you don't.  The point is, would President Bush (or,
say, Howard Dean) be mindless and heartless for
refusing to meet with them?  You can't have it both
ways.  Unless you are, of course, mindless and
heartless and just using this poor woman to make
political points.

  How do you feel rallying to someone supported by
 David Duke
  (http://www.davidduke.com/index_print.php?p=350) -
 it seems to me that
  people willing to exploit a poor, bereaved woman
 as she lashes out to
  assuage her grief should be comfortable in his
 company.
 
 I don't play that game with you, and it is a game.
 
 Dave

Well, Dave, line up with the anti-semites and people
are going to draw conclusions.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Aug 16, 2005, at 9:34 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  What I would ask also is, has the anti-war
 movement no
  sense of decency, using this poor woman as a prop
 in
  its attempts to attack the President?  How do you
 feel
  rallying to someone supported by David Duke
  (http://www.davidduke.com/index_print.php?p=350) -
 it
  seems to me that people willing to exploit a poor,
  bereaved woman as she lashes out to assuage her
 grief
  should be comfortable in his company.
 
 That's also pathetic, Gautam -- or are you happy
 rallying behind a 
 president supported by a porn star?
 
 By this logic, you are on the side of the rednecks
 who decided to 
 protest Sheehan by destroying some of the crosses
 left near her vigil 
 point (vandalism is illegal, last time I checked),

No, of course not.  You're an editor, Warren, you can
do better than this.  My point is (obviously) that
this person has made claims that draw the specific
support of anti-semites, and according to our list's
self-apponted arbiters of all that is good and
compassionate, we're supposed to defer to her moral
judgemnt, blah blah blah.  But, of course, it's not a
coincidence that the David Duke's of this world have
rallied particularly to her claims.  They agree with
them.  This tells us something.  Now I think this is
just no enemies to my left.  Anti-semitism (lots of
people), anti-Americanism (Michael Moore, for
example), and actually wanting the Iraqi insurgents
to win (George Galloway) are all fine, as long as
these people oppose the war.  So here we've got a case
where this poor woman has, under the influence of
far-left figures, made claims that echo the
traditional anti-semitic slanders, and been supported
in those claims by some of the most prominent
anti-semites in the United States.  And guess what? 
We find out that very prominent members of the
anti-war movement - and even ones on the list - are
just fine with those statements and the people who
make them.  This doesn't surprise me, of course.  But
when someone makes _exactly_ the same statements that
David Duke would make _on the traditional topics of
anti-semitic slander_, it is, to put it mildly, highly
significant, and it tells us something about the
people who are willing to exploit her grief for their cause.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Aug 16, 2005, at 10:40 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote: 
 Pathetic. I will not allow the fact that I have a
 consistent point of view to be held against me.

No, you just hold it against everyone you disagree
with.  
  But I think her belief that we
  fought this war for Israel at the behest of a
 Jewish
  cabal is pretty obviously anti-semitic.  If you
  believe that, have the balls to say so.  If you
 don't,
  have the decency to repudiate it.
 
 This isn't about my balls, but it helps me see that
 you
 are putting this in a my manhood vs. your manhood
 frame,
 which I find completely useless.

No, it's about intellectual honesty and intellectual
courage.  It's now pretty clear to me that you _do_
believe these things.  This doesn't shock me, and it
explains a lot.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Hmm.  Perhaps I should go back into our archives to
 recall when you attacked
 the poor, grieving uncle of a Marine killed in
 Fallujah?

Does that translate as someone who used someone
else's bravery and sacrifice to claim an entirely
unearned moral authority in order to influence a
debate he couldn't win on the merits?  Because I seem
to recall protesting your doing that.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Tue, 16 Aug 2005 11:46:19 -0700 (PDT), Gautam
 How convenient for those with conservative views to
 paint Cindy as weak and
 able to be manipulated, rather than as an
 intelligent, articulate, obsessive
 crusader against this war.  
 
 Nick

...who thinks that it was the product of a Jewish
conspiracy launched to protect Israel instead of for
the interests of the United States.  That is, you
know, not a minor point.  Not to me, anways.  If a
very prominent supporter of the war (say, one whose
family was killed on 9/11) said that he supported it
because he wanted to kill Arabs, I sure as hell
wouldn't be lining up behind him.  I'd feel sorry for
his grief, but I would not be making him _my_
spokesman, and I wouldn't carefully orchestrate a
media campaign to make him the face of my movement. 
Now, you _have_ chosen to do that.  That is, of
course, your choice.  But don't pretend that it's not
possible to draw conclusions from that choice either.


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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 On Tue, 16 Aug 2005 16:09:39 -0700 (PDT), Gautam
 Mukunda wrote
 
  No, it's about intellectual honesty and
 intellectual
  courage.  It's now pretty clear to me that you
 _do_
  believe these things.  This doesn't shock me, and
 it
  explains a lot.
 
 Why, that sounds to me like an ad hominem attack,
 which is frowned upon here
 and pretty much rules out any chance of reasonable
 discussion.
 
 Nick

How oculd it be so?  You and Dave don't even _object_
to those views.  If you did, all I'm saying, is, say
so.  You've had endless opportunities to do it, and
you've consistently refused.  What am I supposed to
think, exactly?  It can't be an ad hominem attack if
I'm saying you believe in things that _you appear to
believe in_.

Here's, it's easy, I'll write the post for you myself.
I disagree with the war.  I think it was a bad idea,
and I think we should leave Iraq immediately.  But,
whatever the reasons were that we invaded, I don't
believe that the war was fought at the behest of Jews
who were loyal to Israel instead of the United States.
 I understand that this echoes one of the oldest
tropes of anti-semitism.  I don't believe it.  I don't
support anyone who does believe these things, and I
won't choose people who do believe these things as my
spokesperson.

There, see?  Not hard at all.  I'm happy to believe
that you and Dave weren't even _aware_ of these parts
of her views.  Except, now, you are...and I notice
that neither of you has lifted a finger to even
disavow the _views_, much less the person expressing
them.  So what, exactly, am I supposed to think? 
Everything I wrote above would be something that any
reasonable war opponent should believe and do.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 So if you are going to get on your high horse how
 about taking a look at the 
 right.

But, of course, I did.  I don't recall if I posted on
list about it, but I thought the Terri Schiavo thing
was outrageous, and I said so in quite a few places. 
I don't have any problem looking at the right.  That's
the difference. 

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Did someone give you a wedgie today or something?
 
 I mean, welcome back, but sheesh!
 
 Dave

No. not at all.  I'm going to repost something I wrote
a while ago, which got _no_ response from you or Nick,
about why the way you two argue bothers me so much.  

I'm going to make one rather more delicate point, I
think.  Two of my best friends on this list are devout
Christians.  In Real Life, several of my best friends
are devout Evangelicals, Orthodox Catholics, or even
Fundamentalists.  I have never felt uncomfortable with
their way of explaining how their faith informs their
beliefs about politics, even when that meant that we
very strongly disagreed in our views on government
policies.  I, as a non-Christian, find President
Bush's expressions of faith and how it informs his
policies to be remarkably welcoming, in fact.  But, to
be blunt, the way in which you use faith - stripped,
so far as I can tell, from rational analysis of means
and ends - makes my skin crawl, which is one of the
main reasons I think you often get such an emotional
response from me.  The conflation of all types of
moral analysis with that that of your own particular
religious principles is one thing - the second is the
consistent failure to acknowledge that just having
faith that something will happen is not a policy.  God
does not, so far as I can tell, intervene to make the
government policies I want successful just because I
believe in Him.  The best I can do is support policies
that history and political science and every other
type of knowledge and analysis tell me might work and
that are as ethical as I can make them, in the hope
that, as Lincoln said, this puts me on His side.  But
arguing that I should - in this case - not go to war
because God is opposed to war (maybe he is, but I
think and pray that He is opposed to other things far
more than He is to war) and therefore I should do
other things (like your council of churches plan) that
could work only if He directly intervenes on this
earth in a way that He certainly didn't in the last
fifty years for European Jews, or Guatemalans, or
Cambodians, or Russians, or Chinese, or Rwandans, or
Kosovars, or Bosnian Muslims - that, it seems to me,
is arguing that your faith dictates specific policy in
a way that I have never seen (for example) the
President do.  I can't really see how it's different,
in fact, from saying we should do this because God
told you that's what to do, and that's not an attitude
that's healthy for democracy, or safe for those of us
who are religious minorities in the world's most
tolerant and diverse democracy.

In this case, here's what I hear you and Nick doing. 
You are right to oppose the war.  You are as sure that
you are right as you are sure of anything.  So
anything anyone who opposes the war does is okay. 
Make the hoariest of anti-semitic slanders?  No
problem.  You're right, everyone else is not just
wrong, they're going _against the will of God_.

Now, if moral authority comes from dying in Iraq, then
I don't have any.  Neither does anyone else on list,
for obvious reasons.  But let's be clear.  I
volunteered to work as a privatization advisor in
Baghdad who would spend most of their time outside the
secured areas.  My PhD advisor (very well connected in
the military and government) initially supported my
decision to volunteer to go.  When he found out what
job I was up for, he did everything he could to stop
me, because he thought You'll probably face more than
a 5% risk of being killed.  I still tried to go.  I
am not amused at being told that we went to war
because a bunch of Jews in the government were loyal
to Israel.  I'm not clear how the uncle of someone who
died there gets exclusive claim to opine on the war
either.  I am deeply sorry for your loss, Nick, but I
don't think that the above gives me any special claim
at all on the war, so I don't think you get one
either, and I don't appreciate being told that I'm not
even allowed to disagree with you.  I don't think it's
too much to ask that people who disagree with my
position on the war don't support figures who make
anti-semitic statements, and don't claim that their
position is the only moral one, and I certainly don't
think it's inappropriate to be wary at those who (so
far as I can tell) claim the endorsement of God
Himself for their beliefs later on.  Particularly when
this is my second time explaining this, since the
first effort got exactly no response.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Aug 16, 2005, at 5:10 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

  Here's, it's easy, I'll write the post for you
 myself.
  I disagree with the war.  I think it was a bad
 idea,
  and I think we should leave Iraq immediately. 
 But,
  whatever the reasons were that we invaded, I don't
  believe that the war was fought at the behest of
 Jews
  who were loyal to Israel instead of the United
 States.
   I understand that this echoes one of the oldest
  tropes of anti-semitism.  I don't believe it.  I
 don't
  support anyone who does believe these things, and
 I
  won't choose people who do believe these things as
 my
  spokesperson.
 
 No, but how about this:
 
 I disagree with the war. I think and have always
 thought
 that it was a bad idea, and we should remove our
 troops
 as soon as practical. We have damaged their
 infrastructure
 and disrupted their society too much to leave them
 in the
 state in which we've put them. We have a moral
 obligation
 to help them re-establish the kind of government
 that
 *they* would choose for themselves. Whatever the
 reasons
 were for invading, I am certain that it was not
 solely at
 the behest of Jews, Arabs, oil interests, the
 military-
 industrial complex, Jesus, avenging George's Daddy,
 or
 any other single individual, group or idea. I know
 that
 Gautam is desperate to paint me as an anti-semite,
 but I
 think that even he knows that dog don't hunt, so he
 writes some hogwash that I wouldn't say for love or
 money,
 and I sure as hell wouldn't choose him as my
 spokesperson.

...[w]as not solely at the behest of Jews...  

What particular part of my statement did you disagree
with, other than the part saying that dual loyalties
had _nothing_ to do with the war?  

When I try to work for the government, are you going
to oppose it on the grounds that I can't be trusted
not to value the interests of India over those of the
US?



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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
she can 
 read Constantine's  Cross to see how arguements
 like hers have existed for 
 over a thousand years and have been used to
 persecute and murder jews. 

I think Bob means Constantine's Sword, and I should
add that I am particularly sensitive to issues of
anti-semitism precisely because of reading that book
(by James Carroll, a very extreme war opponent if
people need that before picking it up).

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Bob wrote:
  So let me get this straight. She blames the
 Neocons (many of whom are 
  Jews; the movement was founded by Jewish
 intellectuals. So the neocons 
  (who are Jews) got the president to support the
 war to aid Israel (by 
  the way in what way does this war aid Israel?)
 
 Isn't the president and much, if not all of his
 administration Neocon?

Not at all.  Unfortunately, neocon has been turned
into a phrase that basically means person of
conservative persuasion with whom I disagree.  A
quick and dirty way to figure out who is a neocon
might be, Who votes Republican _and_ thinks that
human rights are the most important thing on earth? 
The set is not exactly large, for good or ill :-)

Without going into the history of that particular
word, the most important neocon in the Administration
(was) Paul Wolfowitz, the Deputy Secretary of Defense.
 The only reason anyone has heard of him is because he
is Jewish.  A question.  Without looking it up, can
_anyone_ on the list name a Clinton Administration
Deputy Secretary of Defense?  I'm a professional in
this field (paid unbelievably tiny amounts of money to
study it :-( ) and I have _no idea_ who his DepSec
was.  There are actually very few neocons in the
Administration - probably fewer than there were in the
Reagan Administration.
 
 And the reframed goal of the Iraq war is to
 democratize and pacify the 
 Middle East, wouldn't that benefit Israel?

Maybe, but are there many people in the world whom a
democratized and pacified Middle East _wouldn't_
benefit?  And would we want those people to be better
off, even if they wouldn't benefit from it?


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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Aug 16, 2005, at 9:35 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 I am not picking a fight with you, but what is the
 basis of this claim?
 Maybe we have heard of him because he was a major
 player in getting us
 involved in Iraq.
 
 Dave, who really wants to know how you know that the
 only reason anyone
 has heard of Paul Wolfowitz is that he is Jewish.
 
 Dave

What makes you say he _was_ a major player in getting
us involved?  He was the Deputy Secretary of Defense. 
Can you name the Deputy Secretary of a single other
Department?  That's not a hostile questoin - I can't,
and at least in theory, it's my job.  I can't even
name his replacement, and I've read articles about the
man.  DepSecs are not usually key players in decisions
to go to war - not unless they're Dean Acheson (who
wasn't actually one, I think, before WWII)!  As far as
I can tell, he _lost_ every major internal
Administration battle, and we'd all be better off if
he won them (I think - figuring out what actually
happens within the Administration is essentially
impossible, and anyone who's mortally certain what
happened is, in my opinion, either lying or deluding
themselves.  No Administration in living memory has
operated so close to the vest).  But he has a nice
Jewish name that you can hang conspiracy theories on. 
The major players in the foreign policy of the first
Bush II Administration - Bush himself, Cheney,
Rumsfeld, Rice - none of them are neocons.  It would
be better if they were - we probabl ywouldn't have
screwed up the occupation so badly if they were.  The
_only_ below-Cabinet rank figures of any significance
most people have ever heard of are Wolfowitz and
Richard Perle.  One guess as to what they have in common.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam wrote: 
  I wrote:
 So you would disagree with the profile I posted?

Yeah.  I'm not sure where you got it, but I thought it
was about equivalent to a liberal is someone who
hates the United States.  There are some who do, but
it's basically a caricature without much in the way of
information.  Irving Kristol (the original neocon) has
written some stuff on what they are.  There are very
few who would argue in favor of an American empire
for example, and those who do would mean something
very, very different from what most people mean by
empire.  To some extent you're getting into an
intramural dispute here - I, for example, have argued
on a several occasions with Steve Rosen (a neocon)
about his use and (in my opinion) misuse of the term
empire.  

 Wolfowitz was the ideological father of PNAC who's
 founding members also 
 included the the vice president, the Secretary of
 Defense and the 
 president's brother.

Well, he was _an_ ideological father of it, but so
what?  Lots of people sign onto things like that.  So
did John McCain, for example.  So did I, for that
matter, although I wasn't important enough to actually
join.  PNAC just isn't that important.  It was a
think-tank project - not even a fully-fledged think
tank - with some interesting ideas.  I don't even
think it had a staff.  As I recall, when Steve Rosen
and I talked about me getting a job there the
conclusion was that they didn't _have_ much of a
staff, so they couldn't hire me because it wasn't
possible.  It's been a while, so I might be wrong, but
that sounds about right.

 Of course, but what does that have to do with
 anti-Semitism?
 
 -- 
 Doug

Nothing in and of itself.  But the accusation that is
made is that the neo-cons supported the agenda they
did because it was good for Israel, even though it was
bad for the United States.   Non-Jews presumably have
little incentive to betray their country for Israel. 
So the assertion - cleverly disguised but, in the end,
as transparent as the substitution of intelligent
design for creationism - is the hoariest of
anti-Semitic slurs, that Jews cannot be trusted within
a society because their loyalty to Israel is more
important than their loyalty to their country.  Well,
I'm not Jewish, and I thought the PNAC was pretty on
the ball.  Not entirely, of course, but far more right
than wrong.

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Re: Mindless and Heartless

2005-08-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Aug 16, 2005, at 10:28 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  --- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  I am not picking a fight with you, but what is
 the
  basis of this claim?
 
 My question remains unanswered.

If you insist on ignoring my point, I cannot help you.
 My point is that it is somewhere between unlikely and
impossible for a DepSec to be a major player in the
decision to go to war.  It's pretty obvious.  While I
would love to be a DepSec, and they are important
people, they aren't the people who make decisions like
going to war.  Wolfowitz didn't have the power to do
that himself. No one in a position to do that was
influenced by him to any great extent.  Anyone who
thinks Donald Rumsfeld (for example) could be
manipulated by a _political science professor_ like
Wolfowitz is just nuts.  Wolfowitz is more important
than I am (this is not hard).  He's much, much less
important than the people who _actually made the
decision_.  None of whom were Jewish.  It was
convenient for some war opponents to create a Jewish
conspiracy.  As Hitchens said, it's pretty obvious
what's going on.  http://www.slate.com/id/2084147 
But, in the end, he was _only a deputy secretary_. 
It's implausible, to put it mildly, that he was the
crucial figure in the decision.

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Re: Gulags

2005-08-03 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 LOL. I'd rather be right than interesting any day of
 the week :)
 
 -- 
 William T Goodall

I note (for historical interest, if nothing else) than
Henry Clay once said I'd rather be right than
President.  To which Andrew Jackson (I believe)
immediately replied, Senator, you'll never be either.

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Re: Designer Genes (was: Gulags)

2005-08-03 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 While I personally find most of Nature so complexly
 gorgeous as to suggest a Designer, let us consider
 merely one facet of anatomy:  the proximity of the
 procreative organs to eliminatory orifices.
 
 Need I say more?
 
 Debbi
 Tymbrimi Humor, Or Tytlal? Maru

At MIT, this is usually held to be proof that God is a
civil engineer, because who else would run a waste
disposal line through a recreational area? :-)

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Re: space shuttle obsolete

2005-07-30 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 In what sense would these be nuclear powered? 
 Nuclear propulsion is
 practical for long, slow accelerations, not lifting
 off a massive body like
 the earth.  Relatively little progress has been made
 in that area because
 the physics is straightforward, and the chemistry
 basically just chemical
 engineering. I think material science is probably
 the area where the
 advances would be most useful.  The next most
 important advance would be
 rugged electronics.  In my own limited field, we
 subject electronics to far
 greater stresses than anything one would expect
 going to space.

Let me toss in a different technology - nanotech.  The
single most interesting thing I attended in my year at
MIT was a talk by an aeronautical engineering
professor here on the aerospace implications of
nanotech - in particular, the nanotech developments
_already working in his lab_.  One of the things that
he showed us were massive increases in the efficiency
of jet and rocket engines.  He actually handed out a
working jet engine about the size of my thumb.  The
engine for the F-22 - probably the most advanced
normal jet engine in the world has (IIRC - it's been
several months now) an 8:1 power to weight ratio,
which is pretty good.  This little thing, a first
generation engine using nanotech, has a 50:1 power to
weight ratio.  It was astonishing - one of the most
interesting hours of my life, really.  I've never seen
a presentation anything like it - and it was most
impressive not because it was all blue sky projects
but because everything he was talking about was either
_already working_ or very close to being so.  He
thought, IIRC, that he and his grad students could, if
they chose, build a rocket that could put 10 kgs in
LEO for about $50,000.  It was just mindblowing - I
wish I had a tape of the presentation so I could show
it to people.

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Re: space shuttle obsolete

2005-07-30 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam wrote:
 
  He thought, IIRC, that he and his grad students
 could, if
  they chose, build a rocket that could put 10 kgs
 in
  LEO for about $50,000.  It was just mindblowing -
 I
  wish I had a tape of the presentation so I could
 show
  it to people.
 
 Fascinating stuff, Gautam, but why _wouldn't they
 choose to do it?
  
 Doug

Well, among other reasons, because I think it might be
illegal, as such a rocket would also qualify as an
ICBM :-)  In all seriousness, I don't actually know. 
He said they've actually gone ahead and designed all
the hard parts, and actually built some of them, so he
didn't feel it was much of a challenge.  OTOH, I'm not
sure what _use_ putting 10 kgs into LEO would be right
now.  10 kgs isn't that much.  If someone were to
right him a check for the amount, he seemed very
confident he could do it.  My guess is that scaling it
up to launch heavier payloads is a bit more of a
challenge, but, judging by his talk (I am not, after
all, a specialist in nanotech) eminently doable.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Harry Potter Discussion (Spoilers!!!) L3

2005-07-20 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Matt Grimaldi [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 My big question is about the object they retrieved.
 Who is RAB, how many other horcruxes did he find,
 how long ago, and did he destroy them?
 
 Another angle is that maybe Harry really does have
 the Horcrux, and has been duped by misinformation.

I think RAB has to be Regulus Black, Sirius's brother
who was killed by Voldemort.  The horcrux he took
would then be the locket that gets briefly mentioned
while they're cleaning out 5 Grimmauld Place in OotP. 
My guess is that this locket was stolen by
what's-his-name, the guy Harry gets upset with in this
book, and they'll have to find it and retrieve it in
book 7.

Now, my question is, is _Harry_ a horcrux?  That would
give Voldemort a Gryffindor-tied horcrux, which is
exactly what he wants.

Gautam Mukunda
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Harry Potter Discussion (Spoilers!!!) L3

2005-07-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
 is their enemy?  Rowling
makes it clear, though, that evil is evil, and
whatever claims it might make, it _must_ be fought. 
Dumbledore - in his wisdom - wants to do everything
possible to bring the giants onto the side of the good
guys.  But he and all the other good guys are also
clear.  When it comes down to it,
it's time to fight.

I think that among the many things I love these books
are the ways in which they combine the best of both
sides of much of the political debate in the
Anglo-American world.  Despite the rather
disappointing lack of non-white characters in
significant roles, the books could not more strongly
reject racism, snobbery, class prejudice, or the other
least attractive features of the old right.  Rowling
never confuses power with virute and could not more
clearly reject all forms of bigotry.  This is, after
all, the central theme of the struggle between
Voldemort and his enemies.

There is, however, equally clearly a second message in
the books.  This is the reality of good and evil, the
unacceptability of temporizing between the two, and
the necessity of fighting- literally fighting - to
defend the good.  There is no question about the
difference between good and evil - no moral
equivalence, no appeasement, no question in her heroes
minds that there's no question it's better to fight -
even to die fighting - than to give in.  In this - its
moral clarity, its determination, and its resolve, it
draws on the best of what the right contributes to
modern politics.

In that sense these books are, I think, the ideal
books for these times.  If I could pick a message to
be imbibed by - literally - tens of millions of
children around the world, and presented in a form
that they will take it seriously, not reject it as
preaching from their elders, I could not imagine a
better set of messages than the dual ones of rejecting
bigotry and accepting differences while also focusing
on the importnace of recognizing evil and fighting it
when you see it.  I have little doubt that Rowling's
books will join the pantheon of great children's
literaturel, right along with Narnia or (for that
matter) The Dark is Rising.  I also believe that - to
a remarkable extent - the book and the times match. 
Terry Pratchett once wrote (rejecting the ludicrous
bowdlerization of fairy tales so popular in today's
schools) that the value of fairy tales isn't to tell
kids that their are monsters.  Children already know
that their are monsters.  Fairy tales tell children
that monsters can be defeated.  Rowling's books tell
children that there are _human_ monsters.  But those
monsters too, can be defeated, if we choose to do
fight them.  In a world where it seems almost every
day we get new evidence of the extent to which our
enemies truly are evil that belongs more in a fairy
tale than in the real world, then that is the perfect
thing for them to learn.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Harry Potter Discussion (Spoilers!!!) L3

2005-07-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 From: Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  So, spoilers ho!
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  1. The plot of this book was actually very sparse.
  In
  terms of the main plot - the war - what happened?
  Three chief events.  Dumbledore is killed.  Snape
 is
  revealed.  We learn what Harry will have to do to
  defeat Voldemort.  That's all I can think of. 
 Each of
  these is important, of course, but it's really not
  much for a 652 page book.
 
 I'll bet against #2. Say first time we meet after
 book 7, the loser buys
 drinks?  There are some indications that things are
 more complicated than
 we think.  From memory after reading yesterday,

Dan hasn't completed his thought here, unfortunately. 
Jim made the same point (Hi Jim!  I deleted your post
by accident, or I would be responding to it first). 
Thinking about it a little more after both your posts,
I think you're both right.  This probably was a setup
by Rowling - something that takes particular strength,
I think, from the fact that she has stated that she
thinks of this book and the 7th one as really a
single, longer book, in which case she'd be
maintaining her pattern if we're supposed to be
surprised by Snape's innocence at the end.

That being said, if it turns out that way, I'll be
both happy with Rowling (because it would be a little
annoying if Harry was right all along about Snape) and
disappointed (because given the way it was set up, it
seems to me that Snape could have rescued Dumbledore
if he wanted to - he had the opportuntity to take all
four Death Eaters by surprise from behind, and we know
that Snape is an exceptionally dangerous combatant). 
But I'll take your bet, Dan, even though I think
you'll probably win it :-)

I think there's one other point that further
strengthens this argument.  We know that Harry's
father saved Snape's life, we know that a powerful
bond is formed when a wizard saves another wizard's
life, and we know that Snape repayed James by being
indirectly responsible for his murder.  What happened
to that debt?  It has to have been passed along to
Harry, and knowing that, it seems unlikely to me that
Snape can really have turned.

  2. OK - this is really the part of the book I find
  most interesting.  The extent to which these books
  are, in a sense, didactic is quite remarkable to
 me,
  and I really admire both Rowling's skill and her
  principles.  There are a few scenes in particular
  that, to me, send this message.  But let's set the
  context a little bit.  In the earlier books Harry
 was,
  in general, a poor, downtrodden kid.
 
 I don't think so.  He is _the_ Harry Potter almost
 from the beginning.  He
 is a favorite of the headmaster, of many of the
 teachers, and is a rare
 first year Seeker, who is remarkedly good at it,
 too.  He is proclaimed a
 hero at the end of the first book, and wins glory
 for his house with his
 actions.  Only Snape, who distrusts the family, and
 Malfoy and his henchmen
 are against him.  Further, Malfoy is against him
 because he turned down an
 invitation to join him very publically.  Harry was
 sticking by ordinary
 people (a poorer wizzard family and a Mudblood from
 the the very beginning.

That's true, but I think it understates the power of
the scenes where Harry is at the Dursley's.  There
he's clearly the oppressed one, and Rowling
(significantly, until this book) is careful to give us
a good long taste of what it's like for Harry to live
there.  Similarly, it may be true that only Snape is
against him - but the other teachers really do little
to help him, while Snape does a great deal to harm
him.  So I think it's true that Harry stuck by
ordinary people from the beginning - but it's
different to do so when your primary identification is
as one of the downtrodden, and another when you're the
elite.

 When was he an outcast?  He had two great friends,
 he was a key player on
 _the_ sports team, etc.  It wasn't until book 4  5
 that people in general
 started questioning him because he said that
 You-Know-Who was back and that
 he fought him.

I think that it's true that he was only an outcast at
Hogwarts for some periods.  But he was an outcast for
_the first 11 years of his life_.  And Rowling is
careful to make that status clear in all of the
earlier books.  One of the striking things about the
books, really, is how _angry_ they are.  You get the
feeling that Rowling works herself up into a howling
rage at the British class system - something she is
able to do despite being a billionaire.  That was the
biggest insight to come out of Slate's Book Clubs on
Harry Potter, I think.

 I agree that, after setting up a classic prince in
 hiding scenario,
 Rowling changes it into what you saidwhich is
 well done.  I think that
 our disagreement on Snape is tied into the nuances
 of the moral message we
 think Rowling is teaching.  If Snape turns out to be
 a hero in the end, I
 think that it will tied up with a key lesson

Half-Blood Prince (No spoilers)

2005-07-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
Just finished - I got it at 8:50am this morning.  It's
dazzling.  Rowling gets better with each book - it's
just phenomenal.

I might post more later...still processing it.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com




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Re: Half-Blood Prince (No spoilers)

2005-07-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Damon Agretto [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I read The Postman in about 8.5 hours, but that was
 doing nothing except 
 reading (with bathroom breaks and lunch). I can't
 imagine having the time 
 to sit and read a book of that length in one day...
 
 Damon.

4 hours 20 minutes on the dot - not too long a
stretch, given that it was a Saturday morning. 
Normally I would have gone to the gym, but I knew that
wasn't going to happen with a new Harry Potter novel
out, so that's really all it cost me.  I'll do a
longer session this evening instead.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Half-Blood Prince (No spoilers)

2005-07-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 That's 260 minutes to read a 652-page book.
 
 I'd call you a fast reader, is what I would do.  :)
 
   Julia

I'm just glad I got (and assembled) my new futon
yesterday, as my old one was so uncomfortable that
sitting on it for more than half an hour or so was
really unpleasant... :-)

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Harry Potter - no actual spoiler, just a complaint

2005-07-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda

--- Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 THERE IS A MISTAKE ON PAGE 10!
 
 At least in the US edition.
 
 Was Gautam reading too fast to catch it?  :)
 
   Julia
 
 who is on page 10

I just re-read the page and _still_ can't find it, I'm
afraid :-(  What is it?  Unless Fudge misues
effected - I think it's right, though...

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Harry Potter - no actual spoiler, just a complaint

2005-07-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  The sight/site switch?  Jumps off the page,
 doesn't it? 
 
 Yes it does, expletive!
 
 At least, at me!
 
   Julia

Ah, now I see it :-)

Gautam Mukunda
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It's the All-Star break...

2005-07-10 Thread Gautam Mukunda
And things are getting interesting.  Particularly for
someone whose two major team allegiances are to the
Red Sox and the Orioles!

There's this third team in the AL East that might
challenge for the playoffs too - they really worry me.
 But I think the Blue Jays are still too handicapped
by the need to pay players in US dollars :-)

In all seriousness - things are getting interesting. 
So, in an attempt to kick off a discussion on a
_really_ important topic, I will make my midseason
picks for the playoffs and see what people think:

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: White Sox
AL West: Angels
AL Wild Card: Twins (sigh...)

NL East: Braves (yes, again!)
NL Central: St. Louis (this one's too easy)
NL West: Hmmm...this one I'm really not sure of.  San
Diego is so far ahead (and the other teams in the
division are so unimpressive) that I guess it has to
be them.
NL Wild Card: Washington

I note that all of these - with the exception of the
Braves - are the current division leaders.  Quick
explanations for why I think so, in reverse divisional
order:

NL West: 5.5 games is a lot, and no one else in that
division is very good.  LA, if De Podesta decides to
make a move.
NL Central: No need for an explanation here
NL East: Washington really isn't all that good -
they've just been astonishingly lucky.  They won't
keep it up.  The Braves will beat them out.  They are,
however, sufficiently far ahead in the WC standings
that I think they'll probably make it.

AL West: The Angels are too far ahead.  I have a
slight tie to Texas, which is a story worth sharing. 
I was at the wedding of one of my best friends a year
ago, and his soon-to-be-wife (also a good friend) saw
me and said Let me introduce you to my bridesmaids! 
As I issued a heartfelt thank you, I quickly realized
that she wasn't actually doing me a great kindness -
because all of them were married(!)...save one who
was, even better, dazzlingly pretty.  Except, as I
soon found out, she was engaged - to a pitcher on the
Rangers!  Several of my other friends also went
through the same chain of thinking.  We reached,
however, a consensus that none of us felt even a
little bit upset about this.  Like most American men,
we felt that professional baseball players were
definitely members of a higher league ;-)  She is,
however, a really nice person, and in her honor I will
root for the Rangers...except the Angels are just a
little too far ahead.  I am suspicious, however, of
any team that plays Erstad at 1B.
AL Central: I don't think the White Sox are anywhere
close to this good, but they're so far ahead it
doesn't matter.
AL East: Ah, now this is an interesting race.  The
Yankees are actually back in it, despite my little
joke in the opening (hi Bob!) :-)  They are, however,
really not a very good team.  Their hitting is
spectacularly good, but their pitching is only
mediocre, and their defense is beyond atrocious. 
Moving Bernie out of CF helps that, but they have too
many defensive holes at other positions cough
shortstop /cough.  The Orioles may actually have
even better hitting and have been devastated by
injuries - but they just don't have the pitching to
keep up (as we've seen in their recent slide), I
refuse to believe that Brian Roberts is _this_ good,
Sammy Sosa has clearly fallen off the map...and
besides, given the suffering I've gone through since
1997, I sure as hell am not getting my hopes up now. 
Given the choices, the Red Sox seem clearly to be the
most complete team in the division, although they are
hardly without holes.  The Twins are enough better
than the O's, and play in a softer-enough division,
that I think they'll take the WC.

As for the playoffs...insert my standard disclaimer
about playoff games being essentially random events
here...the Cards are clearly the class of the NL.  In
the AL, ummm, probably Boston by default.  So a replay
of last year's WS is my pick (unlikely though that is
in practice)...and emotionally I want to say with the
same result.  In practice, though, I think it's a
tossup between two pretty similar teams, both with
excellent hitting and mediocre (at best) pitching. 
Pujols is the best player on either team (by a lot) -
but once Schilling is back Red Sox pitching should be
slightly better.  So anybody can win this one - I'll
say the Red Sox just because they were _so_ superior
to the Cards last year and the Cards have not
improved, although the Sox clearly have fallen back.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com




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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The AmericanPoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Mon, 16 May 2005 22:23:42 -0400, JDG wrote
 Now, hobgoblins, that's the conservatives' cue to
 tell me I'm living in a 
 fantasy land if I think that abortion can be made
 rare.  Pink unicorns and all 
 that.
 
 Nick

No, the pink unicorns are because you think domestic
politics, where the rule of law is a real thing, are
the same thing as international politics, which are
consulted in anarchy.  The pink unicorns are there,
but they're associated with the other part of the comparison.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Who is mainstream, according to this report?  Who,
 Gautam
 
 Nick

Not you, Nick.  Most Americans don't think God has an
opinion on marginal tax rates, and most of those who
do don't share yours.  I am comfortable with my own
position as pretty near the median voter.  Could you
even _find_ the median voter?

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 This does not appear to be the case. People often
 vote *against* their
 self-interest. This conundrum appears to be resolved
 by the
 understanding that people vote their identities, not
 their interests.
 The Republican party did a superior job in the past
 election of
 appealing to the middle in this way.
 
 Dave

This is true _only_ if you are so arrogant that you
believe you understand people's self interest better
than they do.  Thomas Hobbes had something to say
about that centuries ago.  It wasn't true then that
elites could (or would) understand most people's self
interest better than they did, and it isn't true now. 
Maybe they _do_ vote their self interest, and you just
don't understand what their self interest is.  I know
which one seems more likely to me.

Gautam Mukunda
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Freedom is not free
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 You persist in making personal attacks on me.
 
 Knock it off.
 
 Dave

You persist in being a jackass.  Why don't _you_ knock
it off?  I'm still pissed at being maliciously quoted
out of context, forget about being accused of a lack
of intellectual honesty by someone who (as far as I
can tell) couldn't find it with a map.  So why don't
you remove your head from your ass, and then I'll stop
pointing out it's up there?

Gautam Mukunda
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RE: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Andrew Paul [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  No, the question is the exact opposite.  Why is it
  that you claim that it's _only_ America that acts
 only
  in its self-interest, and everyone else gets a
 pass?
 
 Point out where I said that. No one else gets a free
 pass.

Really?  Then when did you mention the behavior of
other countries, which are clearly acting for reasons
of corruption or avarice, with far better evidence
than anything for the US.  Where did you mention this
_even once_, in between your heated condemnations of -
as far as I can tell - anything and everything the US
does in the world?

 Look, I am not a War for Oil theorist, not in a
 direct sense, but you
 can't deny that if Saddam was a dictator in some
 oil-free tinpot African
 state, we would not be having this conversation, cos
 he would still be
 in power.

You're not?  Yet below you make the most facile of War
for Oil arguments about the Sudan, of all places. 
That's remarkable.  At any rate, so what?  Oil is
power.  A state with oil is more important than one
without oil, all other things being equal.  Your point
has relevance if and only if you believe that force
can be used only when it is irrelevant to, or actually
opposed to, the national interest.

 Umm, and after the US intervention, I will leave you
 to guess who would
 have 'new' massive oil contracts with the 'new'
 Sudanese government.

Gee, Andrew, do you _think_ this might be why I don't
believe you when you claim not to be anti-American? 
Do you seriously want to claim that helping in
genocide (France, Russia, China) and trying to stop
genocide (the US) are the same thing, morally?  I
guess being saved by Americans is worse than being
killed by someone else, or something?  If you're not a
War for Oil theorist, then this is a pretty crazy
argument.  If you are, it still is, but at least it's
consistent.

  You have a funny way of showing it.  You know, I
  constantly hear, I like America from people who
  never have anything good to say about it and who
  oppose everything it does in the world -
 particularly
  when they are the _beneficiaries_ of what it does
 in
  the world.  You'll forgive me if the simple
 statement
  doesn't quite convince me one way or the other.
  
 
 Well, that is your choice. I would not even be
 arguing about this if I
 did not feel strongly about freedom and democracy,
 of which America is a
 great champion. 

Ah yes, the rote statement.  You just think, though,
that in the Sudan we're trying to stop a genocide
because of the oil there.  It couldn't possibly be
because _we think genocide is bad_.
 
 And how am I supposed to show it? 

Well, looking at the Sudan and saying, Gee, I prefer
the people who are trying to stop the genocide to the
people who are trying to help it, even though the
people who are trying to stop it are Americans would
be a start. 


 No, it can't be refuted because it is, in fact, too
 late to try any other approach.

Since no one has suggested anything that even vaguely
resembles another approach with any sort of reasonable
possibility of success, this is pointless.  You can't
oppose something with nothing.  You can't say, I want
to get rid of Saddam but I want to do it without war. 
Well, I want the tooth fairy to do it, but since that
isn't happening, let's try something that might work.
 Opposing the invasion, was,
 surprisingly
 enough, opposing the invasion. 

And opposing genocide is, surprisingly enough,
opposing genocide, except when the US does it, right?

As a consequence, he
 may have stayed in
 power, I accept that, but I did not favour him.
 
 Andrew

Well, that's more honest than some people.  No one
said you favored him.  That's the difference between
saying that's what you wanted, and that's the _effect_
of what you wanted.  If you choose an action, you
choose the consequences of that action.  You can't
separate them, however much you want to.

Gautam Mukunda
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Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: Which political group is mainstream (was Re: The American Political Landscape Today)

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 When you write stuff like this, as if I'm another
 God-in-my-back-pocket 
 prosperity-Gospel preacher, I'm pissed off.  I'm
 angry when I hear you 
 misrepresenting ideas that are very important to me,
 life and death issues.
 
 I'm certain that you know you are way out of line.
 
 Nick

Then _distinguish what you believe_ from that, Nick. 
I posted on how your use of religion makes me -
someone from a different faith - enormously
uncomfortable.  It was ignored.  Instead I just got
more appeals to the Divinity for whatever policy you
appear to favor today.  I would say that someone who
dragoons God into supporting his own policies is out
of line, not someone who is perturbed by it.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 It is clear that I have gotten up Gautam's nostril
 this week, and I have
 found his messages more than a little intemperate,
 but I will not
 descend with him to the level personal attacks, and
 hope you'll allow me
 to invite you to resist the temptation as well.

 So I'll ask (taking Gautam temporarily out of my
 killfile so I can see
 his no doubt thoughtful and honorable reply): When
 you said why don't
 you remove your head from your ass, did you mean
 something other than
 that you think I have my head up my ass?
 
 Dave

Not really, no.  You're right, you've gotten up my
nostril.  I don't like being maliciously misquoted. 
I don't like being patronized by someone who is in no
way my superior.  I don't like people who distort
religion to support secular political agendas.  I
don't like having the unimaginably pompous and
self-important accuse me and others of such things. 
And when people do those things, I'm likely to react
angrily.  I don't use killfiles, because I guess
there's some theoretical sense that, say, Gary might
say something that is interesting, however low the
odds are.  But I probably would be better off doing so.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Fair enough. You believe that I have my head up my
 ass, and you either
 don't believe that it is a personal attack OR that
 you are above the
 community etiquette of Brin-L.

No, but when one of the list-owners is as egregiously
offensive - and, frankly, malign - as you are, I'm
thinking it's pretty much a lost cause.  I regret
saying it.  I shouldn't descend to your level, however
well-deserved that might be.

 As for pomposity, well: Hello? Pot? Kettle here,
 with a bit of bad
 news for you...
 
 Dave

This from a guy who might well have been the basis for
Poobah?  Well, whatever.  I would have to care about
your opinion to be bothered by this - and I've
realized that I don't, so why am I bothering?

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Abortion and Liberal Democrats Re: The American PoliticalLandscape Today

2005-05-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I suppose it does.  But that is dramatically
 different from defending 
 abortion.  One can defend the legality of abortion
 without endorsing it.  The 
 fact that something is wrong and undesirable, even
 horrible, cannot imply that 
 it must be made illegal. Otherwise, wouldn't we have
 to make war illegal, for 
 example?
 
 Nick

We already have.  Kellogg-Briand, 1928.  They won the
Nobel Peace Prize for it.  It was signed by, among
other states, Germany, Japan, and Italy.

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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-15 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I'm clearly out of *your* main stream... Main
stream
 of what,
 I'm not entirely sure, but I am happy to be out of
 it.
 
 Dave

Well, I like to think about politics, you like to
posture about them.  It's not surprising that we'd
come to different positions, is it?

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Re: The American Political Landscape Today

2005-05-15 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam, et al,
 
 I'm writing to retract my previous message. I reject
 your 
 categorization of me as being out of the mainstream.
 Moreover, I found 
 your message a little short on what I'll call
 intellectual honesty.

I was pointing out - using a hypothetical - that your
statements didn't even vaguely resemble rational
thinking.  It's a fairly obvious technique.  But,
again, I like to _reason_ about politics, and that
does make it hard.  

 First, you admittedly pulled your numbers out of
 your ... um ... head, 
 whereas this thread was discussing *actual* numbers
 from a poll that 
 has been conducted for 15 years by the Pew Research
 Center. Guess which 
 ones I consider to have more weight?

Guess how much I care?  Since I was using a
hypothetical, they weren't supposed to be real
numbers.

 Right-leaning:
  Enterprisers  9%
  Social Conservatives 11%
 Pro-Government Conservatives  9%
 
 Centrist/Unaffiliated:
   Upbeats 11%
  Disaffecteds  9%
Bystanders 10%
 
 Left-leaning:
Conservative Democrats 14%
   Disadvantaged Democrats 10%
  Liberals 17%
 
 As you can see, the Liberals *as defined by the Pew
 report* are the 
 largest bloc. The mainstream, one might say.

Only if you believe that _conservatives_, that is,
people who are _actually defined as conservatives_,
Conservative Democrats, are liberals.  That is an
odd definition.  As a rule of thumb, if you ask
people, are you conservative, moderate, or liberal
they'll split ~40/40/20 pretty consistently.  The Pew
thing was based on a series of very strange questions
- I took the categorization myself and ended up in a
very odd place.  It's not surprising that you scored
as a liberal.  If you're purely doctrinaire in what
you believe, it's easy for a poll to categorize you. 
If you are a little more thoughtful in your positions,
it's harder.  Guess which one I think is more likely
to be useful?

In particular, the categories are not continuous,
obviously enough.  You have most Americans, and you
have people who think that, say, the United States
needs the approval of Communist China, Russia, and
France in order to act in the world.  These are not,
in fact, positions on a continuum.

The difference in our positions really comes to this. 
You selected a small amount of data, took it
completely out of context, and then distorted it to
support your own positions.  Kind of like what you
think President Bush did, I guess, but more blatant. 
On the other hand, I looked at what the data actually
meant and pointed out that your assertion -
essentially, the single largest group must be the
mainstream - even when it was only 17% of the total -
is, on its face, nonsensical.  Which one of us has
problems with intellectual honesty, again?  At least
this time you didn't quote me maliciously out of
context, so I guess you're improving.  Small mercies,
I suppose.


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Re: The American Political Landscape today

2005-05-14 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 It's nice to know that, despite the opinions of some
 among our
 august body, we liberals are *not* out of the
 mainstream, we
 *are* the mainstream.
 
 Dave

A hypothetical...there are four groups in a
population.  Each with 20% of the population.  We can
set them up this way:

20% very conservative
20% conservative
20% moderate
20% liberal

Now, where would the mainstream be in that block of
four, exactly?  Note that this is actually not a bad
approximation of what the American public looks like. 
It's not that you're not in the mainstream, Dave, it's
that you're so detached from it _you don't even know
where it is_.  

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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-11 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Tue, 10 May 2005 14:26:32 -0700 (PDT), Gautam
 Mukunda wrote
 
  Yeah, but his argument didn't make any sense,
 because
  it was just a wholesale abrogation of moral
 judgment
  to other people - people who have an interest in
  acting in an immoral fashion.  
 
 Oh, baloney.  Your generalization deserves no more
 intelligent refutation than 
 that.

Well, the next time you supplied one would be the
first time, so okay.
 
  You can be in favor of
  intervention to stop genocide in Rwanda/Darfur
 _or_
  you can say that intervention on moral principles
 is
  contingent on international consensus.  
 
 And myriad possibilities in between, as well as
 assistance to NGOs, economic 
 intervention by businesses and much more.  Reducing
 such issues to either-or 
 choices doesn't feed hungry people.  Do we have so
 little imagination that 
 these are the only choices?  We end up distracting
 ourselves from the real 
 issues of poor and oppressed people with ideological
 arguments, trying to 
 settle whether or not a conservative or liberal
 strategy is right.  The 
 problem is the argument is wrong.

NGOs have real difficulties when people with guns line
up and shoot them if you try to deliver food.  It
takes an army to do something in that situation.  When
you found a company, do you just assert I have a
billion dollars in my bank account and expect to be
able to withdraw it at an ATM?  This is the exact
equivalent.  This is the way the world works.  There
are people in the world with guns who want to kill
other people.  Other people with guns can choose to
stop them.  Or they can choose not to stop them. 
You're one of the people who choose not to stop them,
you just not honest enough to admit it.  As _always_
you say Can't we come up with other solutions? 
Well, you're constantly telling us how brilliant and
accomplished you are, Nick, suggest something that's
even vaguely plausible.  Just once.  No airy, castles
in the sky, I'm so much better than everyone else
calls for arm-waving.  No statements that God will
save us all if we just ask him to.  Tell me something
that would stop a genocide that _doesn't_ involve
force.
 
 How about if we use this list to brainstorm new
 approaches, since the old 
 choices are both failing?

How about closing our eyes, holding hands, and singing
kumbaya?
 
 What could private businesses do?  What NGOs could
 we support that would 
 alleviate some of the trouble?  How about a
 faith-based initiative! What other 
 ways are there to intervene?

That don't involve men with guns?  To first order,
none.
 
 I don't have any problem ignoring the UN if it is
 paralyzed by ideological 
 arguments.  But that doesn't automatically mean we
 go it alone.
 
 Nick

Again with the ideological arguments.  It's amazing -
apparently when you commit or support genocide you're
not a bad person, you're just pursing a different
ideology.  Apparently including Milosevic and Hussein
judging by your support for Ramsay Clark.  In this
case, however, the UN isn't hobbled by ideological
arguments.  The UN is hobbled because France has been
bought off and Russia and China want to preserve their
right to commit genocide in the future, should it ever
become something they decide to do again.  That isn't
exactly an ideological argument.  It's not anything. 
You want to stop genocide with something that doesn't
involve force?  Suggest something.  Don't say someone
should come up with something.  That's just evading
responsibility (again!).  Suggest something.


Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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RE: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-11 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Andrew Paul [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam, why is it that only other countries have
 self-interested
 agendas?
 Is it possible that now and then, America does too?
 I think it is, and
 that's why I think it is worthwhile getting a second
 opinion.

No, the question is the exact opposite.  Why is it
that you claim that it's _only_ America that acts only
in its self-interest, and everyone else gets a pass? 
We constantly hear about war for oil or what not in
the US's case, when there's no logical connection
there.  But when there _is_ a connection between
corruption and self-interest and nations that _oppose_
the United States - not a word.  Other countries -
Britain, for example - do sometimes act in ways that
are not purely self-interested.  That's why you have
to analyze each case.  Now, in the Sudan, we have a
case of genocide going on where the US is saying
Let's try to do something.  And France is saying
There's no genocide here.  Now one of those two
countries has massive oil contracts with the Sudanese
government.  I leave you to guess which one.  And
which one is more likely to be acting for selfish
reasons.

 Perhaps that is what you believe. I don't know. I
 like America, but I
 don't think it is perfect.

You have a funny way of showing it.  You know, I
constantly hear, I like America from people who
never have anything good to say about it and who
oppose everything it does in the world - particularly
when they are the _beneficiaries_ of what it does in
the world.  You'll forgive me if the simple statement
doesn't quite convince me one way or the other.

 To use an argument style that really peed me off,
 does this inability to
 intervene in Darfur because the US is stretched out
 in Iraq, mean that
 support for the Iraq war is functionally, tacit
 approval of the
 slaughter in Darfur?

 I Was Shocked Too Maru
 
 Andrew

Well the argument probably peed you off because it's
_true_.  People said Don't invade Iraq.  And we said
That will leave Saddam Hussein in power.  And they
said, Don't invade Iraq.  And we said The _only
way_ to remove Saddam Hussein from power is to invade
Iraq.  And that statement is true, and hasn't been
refuted by anyone on the list, and can't be refuted,
because it is, in fact, a true statement.  Maybe you
don't care.  Maybe you think removing Saddam isn't
worth the cost.  But you can't say that opposing the
invasion wasn't functionally a stand in favor of
Saddam remaining in power, _because it was_.

And no, in this case it's not true, because whether or
not we were going to do what we did in Iraq, we
wouldn't be invading the Sudan.  A quick look at a map
will tell you why.  It's an _awfully_ big country.  It
would pretty much take the whole US army to occupy it.
 And we're not going to do that.  Iraq really didn't
have anything to do with that choice one way or the other.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-11 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I have never presumed to propose any specific
 action.
 
 I merely questioned the certainty of my listmate's
 assertion that
 the choice is between presumably successful direct
 action and
 presumably unsuccessful indirect action.
 
 Dave

Ah, the _perfect_ leftist stance.  I have no idea what
to do, but I know that you're wrong, so that makes me
better than you, _even though_ I can make no
contribution to solve the problem and actively oppose
anyone who does try to solve the problem. 
Congratulations, Dave, you've actually achieved the
perfect post.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-11 Thread Gautam Mukunda
-- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Are you sure that those who criticize your ideas
 only care about feeling 
 superior, not about other people, the millions of
 human beings caught in 
 oppression, violence and poverty?  Do you feel
 inferior?
 
 Nick

Not really, no.  Those who criticize?  No.  People
who pontificate endlessly but suggest nothing, who
attack any idea but provide none of their own, who
preen constantly but contribute nothing - them, yes, I
think that about _their_ motives.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-11 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Maybe you think removing Saddam isn't
  worth the cost.  But you can't say that opposing
 the
  invasion wasn't functionally a stand in favor of
  Saddam remaining in power, _because it was_.
 
 I think that overstates the case a bit.  I'll agree
 that anyone who was
 opposed to the invasion, including me, would have to
 accept that his
 remaining in power was a highly probable
 outcome...so it should be accepted
 as the price of not invading.  But, by the same
 token, people for invasion
 needed to accept the very good chance of other
 significant negative
 outcomes, including the tens of thosands who have
 died during the
 occupation.  I know you agree with that.

I absolutely do.  If I had said A stand against the
invasion was a stand against the people of Iraq -
that would have been completely untrue.  It is
possible - I think it unlikely, but possible - that
five years from now the people of Iraq will be worse
off than they would have been under Saddam.  Saying
they are so _now_ is like saying the people of France
were worse off in August of 1944.  They were, but that
does not make D-Day a bad idea.  But it is possible
that things will not have improved five years from
now.  But without the invasion Saddam would still have
been in power, and that's a big difference, and all I
was referring to. 

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-05-10 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 As Nick (I think) noted already, a 'moral
 imperative'
 should be essentially unimpeachable, because it is a
 softer reason than, say, the other guy has missiles
 pointed at your capital. 

Yeah, but his argument didn't make any sense, because
it was just a wholesale abrogation of moral judgment
to other people - people who have an interest in
acting in an immoral fashion.  All of the arguments
you and he make _completely ignore_ that fact.  We
have many, many examples of different ways in which
the countries whose sanctions you advocate us seeking
have showed that moral concerns have little or no
claim on their stated beliefs.  Ignoring that fact
doesn't make it less true.

 As others have pointed out, he _is_ calling for
 action
 WRT Darfur, which is laudable.  From what I've
 learned, it is not possible for the US alone to
 intervene there militarily, as our forces are
 stretched too far elsewhere.  Getting ANC (?)
 countries to be major participants in such an
 intervention would probably be morally better than
 going it alone, as it shows respect for and
 confidence
 in their abillity to police their own continent. 
 But
 because the Rwanda massecres (sp!!) happened so
 quickly, sole intervention then would have been
 justifiable to me.  
 
 Debbi

But, in fact, whether or not our forces were stretched
thin, other countries won't really be helping much,
because they don't have the military capacity to
engage in a wholesale intervention.  The complete
collapse of deployable European/Japanese military
capacity since the end of WW2 has been one of the
untold, and most interesting, stories of international
politics.  Anyways, yes, getting them to intervene is
good, but their intervention has been illegal and
unapproved by the UN.  You can be in favor of
intervention to stop genocide in Rwanda/Darfur _or_
you can say that intervention on moral principles is
contingent on international consensus.  You _cannot_
do both.  They are fundamentally inconsistent
positions.  The French government, which has veto
power in the UN, _aided_ in the Rwandan genocide and
denies that there is a genocide happening in the
Sudan.  As long as they do that, UN approval is
impossible, therefore legal intervention is
impossible.  You can either stand on international law
or on the necessity of humanitarian intervention.  You
cannot do both.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: The Other Christianity (was Re: Babble theory, and comments)

2005-05-08 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I can get a cup of DDT from an environmental
 laboratory near here - wanna 
 drink? Want to feed it to the neighborhood birds?
 Noisy critters anyway. 
 That whole Mother Nature stuff is just so gay.
 
 -- 
 Gary Denton

And that whole knowing even a tiny thing about what
you're talking about is so overrated.  Why on earth
would any pesticide company bother to fund a campaign
in favor of DDT?  They wouldn't make money off of DDT.
 It's an old chemical.  Banning DDT was a small, but
non-trivial, windfall for the pesticide companies. 
DDT is currently being manufactured by a single
factory in India and it's _still_ a dirt-cheap
chemical.  I wouldn't terribly want to drink DDT.  But
I'd probably be safer drinking it than I would the
other chemicals that we use for insect suppression
_instead_ of DDT.  But God forbid you should actually
conduct an intelligent risk analysis instead of just
parroting the leftist line.

Out of curiousity, Gary, is there _any_ issue where I
couldn't predict your position with flawless accuracy
by moving about three standard deviations to the left
of the American mainstream?  Even one?  

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE: RemovingDictators Re: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 With respect to the song: In attempting to form a
 civil response to the
 supercilious puffery of our listmate, Let's call
 the whole thing off was
 about as gentle as I could be. It sure beat the hell
 out of sod off, which
 suggested itself to me. It was intended to send the
 literal message let's
 call the whole thing off, while lampooning
 inflexible position-taking.
 
 Dave

Honestly, Dave, if supercilious puffery on the list is
your problem, John doesn't appear to be doing it more
than, say, you.  So maybe if you were a little less
arrogant and self-righteous he wouldn't seem that way?
 I know it's a lot to ask.  In this discussion he
appears to have a pretty good point - you _do_ seem to
want the US to go begging to Europe for a permission
slip before doing things to protect itself.  I think
Iraq was a threat to the security of the United
States.  So does John.  All your certainty otherwise
doesn't make you right, it just means that you're
unable to understand other people's points of view.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: US Troop Levels in Iraq Re: Permission Slips Re: Rhetorical Questions RE:RemovingDictatorsRe: PeacefulchangeL3

2005-04-26 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 At 05:13 PM 4/26/2005 -0700, Nick Arnett wrote:
  I think that the fact that al-Zarqawi is able to
 evade the US in an
  country that has a large amount of US military
 presence 
 
 Large amount?  Talked to any military people
 about this?  We are and have 
 been vastly under-staffed for the job we're trying
 to do there.  Intitution 
 tells me that's a major reason we're seeing so many
 troops return with
 PTSD.  
 We are spread very, very thin over there.
 
 None of which at all contradicts the term large
 amount.
 
 JDG

For that matter, I've talked to a _lot_ of military
people about this, and, while I think we're grossly
under-staffed over there, in no way is that a
unanimous opinion.  Of the four military officers who
are currently military fellows at MIT, for example,
the Marine and the Army officer (the two combat
veterans in the bunch, interestingly enough - both
from Iraq, one from first Iraq, the other from the
second) vociferously disagree with me on that.  

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-22 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Thu, 21 Apr 2005 21:55:50 -0500, Robert Seeberger
 wrote
  I don't think Nick intended to call you a 
  McCarthyite 
 
 It was a particular argument that I said I see as
 McCarthyism.  It was 
 Gautam's argument, which I'm sure doesn't represent
 the whole of his being and 
 thinking, not the man himself, just an argument he
 made in a couple of 
 messages on an obscure Internet mailing list.  And I
 stand by my view still, 
 as he'd have us believe that anyone who participates
 in any peace and justice 
 demonstration in the United States is a Stalinist
 because a guy (Clark) behind 
 an organization (AIC) that is related to an
 anti-Trotsky organization (WPP), 
 helped to create another organization (ANSWER) that
 is trying to coordinate 
 action among a large number of independently
 organized local and regional 
 peace and justice organizations.

OK, I'm done arguing with you Nick, because you're
just lying now.  That's simply dishonest.  I don't
know what's wrong with you, but I'm finished.  I
didn't say any of that, and you know I didn't say any
of that, and the fact that you feel compelled to lie
and pretend that I said something like that suggests
you might want to think about _therapy_, not politics.
 For the last time - because I have no interest in
continuing this.  I didn't say any of that.  I did say
that people who supported those organizations -
whatever their own beliefs - should be ashamed of
themselves.  And they should be.  If you _have_ no
shame, then I guess you wouldn't be.  But that's not
my game.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Re: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Oh, and maybe we should elect our representatives to
 that body rather than 
 allowing someone to nominate borderline psycopaths
 to be our 
 representative.
 
 -- 
 Doug

Ah, the height of rational argumentation - calling
someone who disagrees with you a psychopath.  Even
when I _caricature_ leftists I couldn't come up with
you, Doug.

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RE: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Andrew Paul [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam Mukunda
 So Gautam, are you saying that the US invaded Iraq
 out of a deeply felt
 need to save the Iraqi people? Not cos of WMD risks,
 not cos of issues
 over oil?

Again with this?  Why are people who think _George
Bush_ is dumb unable to understand the concept of
doing things for more than one reason?

 Now, I know you are not, it was for a lot of complex
 intertwined
 reasons.
 So please leave a little of the high moral ground
 for others to stand
 on.

Why, when they're abandoning it as fast as possible? 
Moral calculations are part of international
relations.  They are one of the most important parts. 
They are not the _only_ part, but that's not the same
thing as saying that they aren't one part.  It is
possible to do things that are in your interest _and
have them still be moral acts_.
 
 Call me a cynic, but I just can't see GWB weeping at
 night in bed over
 the plight of Iraqi children. I am not saying he is
 a bastard, but just
 that I doubt it was top of his list. And it
 certainly was not the thrust
 of the argument put to justify the war.

It was, however, _a_ thrust.  The argument before the
UN was largely about WMD, because that was a legal
argument.  When the President spends time on an issue
in front of Congress, it's a pretty major focus.  Now,
by David Brin standards, what you wrote above was a
lie, because it's a misstatement of fact :-).  But I
don't operate by David Brin standards.  It's just a
mistake.  President Bush spent lots of time talking
about humanitarian reasons for invading.  He spent
more time on WMD.  That doesn't mean that they weren't
both important.  It really just means that it's
convenient for opponents of the war to _pretend_ they
weren't both important.
 
 Also, your statement that peoples hands etc would
 still be being chopped
 off if the war had not happened. How can you say
 that? How do you know?

Well, because Saddam had been doing it for more than
20 years and didn't seem to have any intent of
stopping.  I don't _know_ that Kate Bosworth isn't
going to walk into my apartment in 30 seconds.  I
don't think it's very likely, though.

Waiting

Nope.  No luck.

 There were other alternatives. That's one of the
 points that we lefty
 extremists keep making and that keeps falling on
 deaf ears.

That's because it's an absurd point.  Kate Bosworth is
going to walk into my apartment.  This statement does
not make it more likely that it will happen.
 
 How about a UN sanctioned multinational force, that
 planned it properly
 and put in some thought about dealing with the
 peace. That did it with
 the full agreement of the only body that can be seen
 as bi-partisan
 enough to actually be doing it for moral reasons
 i.e. the terribly
 flawed, but at least globally based UN. Sure it was
 hard, those damn
 frenchies so much easier just to send in the
 Marines and shoot all
 the stupid ragheads... but at least it would have
 been a consensus. 

Again, this is an argument that flys in the face of
_all_ the evidence.  Did you say this about Kosovo? 
Kosovo didn't have Security Council approval either. 
In fact the only difference between the Kosovo and
Iraq coalitions was the presence of Germany and France
in the former.  So if you _didn't_ make this argument
about Kosovo, you cannot consistently make this
argument about Iraq.  If you _did_, we can talk about
why you attach such moral importance to the decisions
of two dictatorships.  We've had this argument over
and over again.  _Three of the five members of the
Security Council_ were going to vote against the
invasion, no matter what.  Now, you may feel that
Communist China, a newly dictatorial Russia, and the
French are moral authorities.  But I don't, actually. 
So your point is - if these impossible things were to
happen, you would have supported the war.  This is the
same thing as saying that there was no real situation
to support the war.  If I were a billionaire, then I
suppose the odds that Kate Bosworth is about to come
here would be higher.  But I'm not, so _in the real
world_, what could be done?

 Perhaps than you would have an Iraqi where 60 bodies
 turning up floating
 in some canal is not page three news. Well, I guess
 they all had their
 hands and tongues.

Well, you know, they appear to have been killed by
supporters of the old regime.  Some of us think that's
probably evidence that they weren't such nice people.
 
 And it's interesting; the main driver for US foreign
 policy is caring
 for cute little Iraqi kids unlike those greedy
 French and Germans etc,
 whose only interests are oil and power.

No, but it's _a_ driver.  There's plenty of evidence
of just how the corrupting influence of just how
ruthless and amoral French and German foreign policy
is.  The difference - to be blunt - is that the Left
hates the US, so it _doesn't care_ about the actions
of those other countries.
 
 Please, climb down from your high horse and discuss
 this rationally

RE: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 If you _did_, we can talk
 about
 why you attach such moral importance to the
 decisions
 of two dictatorships.  

I appear to have edited out a sentence in this
post...odd.  Not sure how that happened.  The two
dictatorships are Russia and China, of course, not
Germany and France.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 If I understand this correctly, you're saying that
 you believe that I have 
 said we should not care about the people affected by
 the status quo when we 
 make a decision about going to war?  You're saying
 that I'm arguing that it 
 doesn't matter if people are suffering terribly,
 that isn't a consideration 
 when deciding whether to go to war or a lesser form
 of intervention?
 
 If so, then perhaps you'd like to try again, because
 you really don't get what 
 I am saying.  At all.  Want to try again?
 
 Nick

No.  That _is_ what you are saying.  It may not be
what you are _trying_ to say, but it is what you are saying.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Peaceful change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Under Saddam Hussein, many families were losing
 loved ones directly 
  to torture, disappearances, and summary
 executions.   Tens of 
  thousands of others were losing their beloved
 children because 
  Saddam Hussein was spending the country's oil
 revenue on palaces and 
  weapons rather than basic food and medicine.  
 
 Isn't that *exactly* what is happening in the United
 States right now?  We've 
 had tax cuts for the wealthiest, poverty is
 increasing and the war budget is 
 skyrocketing.  At what point does this justify an
 invasion?
 
 Nick

sigh.  I'm pretty sure that in the United States
many families are _not_ losing loved ones directly to
torture, disappearance, and summary executions.  If
they are, you're in a lot of trouble.  Rest assured
though, Nick, if something does happen to you, I'd
want someone to do something about it more likely to
be effective than asking it to stop.  Another
difference in our positions, I guess.  I'm just going
to ignore the rest of the rhetoric on the assumption
that it's just a spinal reflex - tap a leftist and
he'll claim that tax cuts are murder, no matter how
ridiculous it looks.

Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Br!n: Re: more neocons

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam  wrote:
 
  --- Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Gautam Mukunda  wrote:
 I'd guess that nine of ten words in support of
 invasion were related to 
 the threat Hussein posed to the U.S. and the tenth
 was about how nasty he 
 was to his own people.  Clearly the American people
 would not have 
 supported a war to liberate Iraq from Hussein.  Just
 as clearly the 
 administration used propaganda and fear to sway
 opinion.

Clearly to you, perhaps.  The _American people_ are
also more complex than you seem to think.  They might
have supported the war for many reasons.  Again, this
strange conception that you can only have one reason
to do anything.

CLearly
  this wasn't about taking over oil fields.  That's
 just
  the empty cant of ideologically and morally bereft
  leftist extremists.
 
 You're the one that implied that it was in your
 exchange with Debbie. 

But of course I did not.  There's a difference between
saying oil is important and saying I want to
conquer the Middle East to control the oil there. 
There's no more clear cut way to say it.  I don't want
to own the oil - I want to make sure that someone like
Saddam Hussein doesn't have his foot on the jugular of
the world economy.   

 But 
 I'll add some substantiation from the necon think
 tank Project for the New 
 American Century  white paper: the need for a
 substantial American force 
 presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the
 regime of Saddam Hussein.

You know, Doug, first, you really need to get off the
conspiracy theory thing.  I'd really recommend reading
Richard Hofstader's The Paranoid Style in American
Politics.  It's an attack on the right, so you'll be
sympathetic, but really, it's a perfect description. 
The PNAC isn't all that important.  I tried to get a
job there sophomore year of college, among other
things, and found out that they didn't even have
enough budget space to hire interns!  But in this
case, yes, that is true.  Keeping the Middle East
stable is a very good idea, and we have considerable
evidence that having American troops in an area is a
good way to keep it stable when before their presence
it regularly fought wars (see Western Europe and
Eastern Asia after the Second World War for two
examples).  That's not the same thing as saying we
need to control the oil.  It just means that it's
important to prevent war in the Middle East from
disrupting the flow of oil to the world - primarily to
Europe and Japan, in fact.

 I’ve gotta call it the way I see it Gautam and
 whether or not you take me 
 seriously, more and more people are beginning to
 understand that this 
 administration has been leading us in the wrong
 direction.
 
 -- 
 Doug

So many more that he won reelection overwhelmingly? 
So how did that work out for you, again?

Gautam Mukunda
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RE: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Good heavens.  Guilt by association, anyone?  ANSWER
 is associated with IAC, 
 IAC is associated with WWP and WWP (which is
 disintegrating) didn't go along 
 with Trotsky so it was labeled Stalinist. 
 Meanwhile, the vast majority of war 
 protestors are pro-democracy and reject virtually
 all of the WWP's ideology.

I'm sure that's true.  So the next time Republicans
march in something organized by the KKK you'll say,
ohh, that's guilt by association, really you shouldn't
critcize.  Wait.  No Republican in this day and age
would _ever_ do something like that.  It would be
outrageous and unforgivable.  We do have immune
systems.  One of them is you don't associate yourself
with anything that someone like ANSWER organizes ever,
for any reason.  And if you don't think ANSWER is a
Stalinist, pro-Saddam organization, Nick, you're just
not paying attention.  They'll tell you that themselves.

Gautam Mukunda
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France supports unilateralism, preventive war

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
The amazing thing about this article is how _blatant_
it is.

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,1564,1559253,00.html

Gautam Mukunda
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RE: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Thu, 21 Apr 2005 08:08:29 -0700 (PDT), Gautam
 Mukunda wrote
 The WWP isn't organzing any anti-war rallies.  It is
 hardly even organized 
 itself.  Like most every other extreme leftist
 organization on the planet, it 
 ain't working.  I don't favor McCarthyism for any
 cause.

Ah, the last defenses of the leftist who has lost an
argument.  Cry McCarthyism, however irrelevant it may
be to the point.  There's one more of those coming
up...

  ... you don't associate yourself
  with anything that someone like ANSWER organizes
 ever,
  for any reason.  
 
 Let me see if I do understand.  If ANSWER is
 involved in organizing anything, 
 I should have nothing to do with it, even if I agree
 with the purpose of the 
 event?  

Yes.  Is that so hard to understand?  If the American
Nazi Party had organized an antiwar event (which they
did, I think) I suppose you think it would have been
okay to show up, but I don't.  It's that simple.  If
you believe in the cause that much, organize your own
damn event.

 Is this the flip side of going along with
 *everything* that the good 
 people organize?  They seem like the same idea to
 me... what's that word for a 
 tendency toward extreme authority?  Starts with an
 f?

Ah, the other defense of the pathetic left.  Cry
fascism.  This isn't even worth discussing.  If you're
using it honestly (and I don't think you are, because
you're too smart to actually think this) then, as they
said in The Princess Bride, That word.  I do not
think it means - what you think it means.


Gautam Mukunda
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RE: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Thu, 21 Apr 2005 09:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam
 Mukunda wrote
 
  Yes.  Is that so hard to understand?  If the
 American
  Nazi Party had organized an antiwar event (which
 they
  did, I think) 
 
 Reduction to the extreme again!  The parallel would
 actually be if the 
 American Nazi Party was associated with an
 organization that was trying to 
 coordinate activies of a bunch of loosely organized
 coalitions, one of which 
 sponsored an event that I went to.

sigh  Not really, no.  A short history of ANSWER,
put together by a blogger and veteran of the Iraq War:
http://www.lt-smash.us/archives/002981.html

Some highlights:
The man who started it all was Ramsey Clark. Clark
served as the US Attorney General under Lyndon B.
Johnson, but has more recently made a name for himself
by representing such upstanding world citizens as
Liberia's Charles Taylor, Serbia's Radovan Karadzic,
and Iraq's Saddam Hussein.
...
Under the leadership of Ramsey Clark, the IAC was the
only major anti-war group that refused to condemn
Saddam Hussein's invasion of Kuwait in 1990. Indeed,
Clark actually flew to Baghdad and met with Saddam
Hussein in November 1990, returning home with a
handful of Saddam's guests (diplomats' families held
hostage) as a token of the Iraqi dictator's goodwill.
...
The IAC would go on to become leading apologists for
Serbian war criminals in Bosnia and Kosovo, labeling
reports of rape camps and ethnic cleansing fabricated
atrocities (never mind those embarassing mass
graves). When NATO unleashed a bombing campaign in
response to the Serbian ethnic cleansing campaign in
Kosovo, Clark flew to Belgrade to express his support
for Milosevic.


Not a good bunch of people.


Gautam Mukunda
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Re: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Warren Ockrassa [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Apr 21, 2005, at 8:08 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  So the next time Republicans
  march in something organized by the KKK you'll
 say,
  ohh, that's guilt by association, really you
 shouldn't
  critcize.  Wait.  No Republican in this day and
 age
  would _ever_ do something like that.
 
 You seem to be suggesting here that no Klan members
 are Republicans. 
 Are you certain?
 
 Or do you mean instead that no elected Republican
 official would show 
 public support for the Klan?

The latter - or, more accurately, that none _should_
(I'm sure it's possible to find one who has), and that
if one did, everyone would attack him/her, and they
_should_ do so.  The fact that Robert Byrd - the
seniormost Democrat in the Senate - is a former Klan
leader is an embarassment to the whole country.

Gautam Mukunda
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Freedom is not free
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Re: France supports unilateralism, preventive war

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Gautam,
 
  The amazing thing about this article is how
 _blatant_ it is.
 
 Is it that you think the _article_ is blatant
 (biased towards or against
 France and/or China), or the willingness of the
 French Premier to
 support China's bombast in exchange for Airbus
 contracts and the like?
 
 Dave

Oh, the latter.  The article never actually spells out
the obvious.  I wonder if the reporter was biting his
lit as he wrote it?  But it does make things pretty
clear, doesn't it?



Gautam Mukunda
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RE: Peaceful Change L3

2005-04-21 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Ramsey Clark is representing Saddam Hussein.  You
 say that makes him a bad
 person.  

Sigh  Continuing my descent down the rabbit hole...
Ramsey Clark _is_ a bad person.  Defending Saddam
Hussein was really just a confirmation of that fact,
as anyone with eyes to see knew it.  From Salon
Magazine, which by most people's standards is a
left-wing site:

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/1999/06/21/clark/

The title of the article is Ramsey Clark, The War
Criminal's Best Friend which kind of tells you what
you need to know.  After this article was written he
defended people who committed genocide in Rwanda. 
It's not just that he's Saddam's defense attorney -
although making your entire practice out of genocidal
mass murderers seems like an odd way to go about
things - it's that there is no enemy of the United
States, no matter how vile whom he does not support. 
The fact that you feel somehow compelled to defend
such a thoroughly disgusting figure leads me to ask,
Nick, if there is any opponent of President Bush whom
you don't think is one of the good guys?  No matter
how viciously anti-American, deluded, or actively
vile?  I mean, really, defending Ramsey Clark?  What's
next - telling us how Kim Jong Il is really a
misunderstood warm and fuzzy guy?


Gautam Mukunda
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