Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat energy you need to run these, though perhaps they could be optimized for a Nanor device. A thermoelectric chip would probably be more practical. A

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Jed Rothwell
Eric Walker wrote: The research has been driven so far underground that if Rossi or DGT or one of the others does not succeed in sparking widespread interest, and much more time goes by, the whole field could remain latent for generations. They are taking a gamble with the whole trade secret

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
There are many things about Swartz's techniques that I do not understand. My biggest question is: Why doesn't he gang up a number of these Nanor devices? If one puts out 100 mW, why not gang up 20 of them to put out 2 W? That is much easier to measure with confidence than 100 mW. The input power

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
'The people at Cherokee have time. I don't think so. If nanor goes out, it will be the big splash. Rossi will just be a johnny come lately and it will be known as the Swartz Effect On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 8:01 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: Eric Walker wrote: The research

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread H Veeder
On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 11:51 AM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: Note there could be a problem with heat between nanors interfering with one another. Perhaps the devices only work well at near ambient temperature. Just like people. Harry

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: Perhaps there is a reason he has not ganged them up. Maybe he does not have 20, and it is difficult to fabricate them? I don't know, but it mystifies me. THis is precisely what he's doing. He says it takes about a month to build each

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread James Bowery
You left out my implicit request for a response from you: Sound criteria would include an experimental protocol is submitted to Dick Smith that, when followed by independent scientists, reliably generates excess energy. Other details of the criteria need to be established but it seems entirely

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Jed Rothwell
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: Sound criteria would include an experimental protocol is submitted to Dick Smith that, when followed by independent scientists, reliably generates excess energy. If we had that, why would we need Dick Smith, or an X-prize? - Jed

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread James Bowery
if by it you mean the experimental protocol, the point of the prize is to get it. If by it you mean the criteria by which a given experimental protocol is judged to be worthy of a prize award, then I don't understand your question. On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 2:07 PM, Jed Rothwell

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread James Bowery
Erratum: it - that On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 2:27 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: if by it you mean the experimental protocol, the point of the prize is to get it. If by it you mean the criteria by which a given experimental protocol is judged to be worthy of a prize award, then I

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread David L Babcock
On 2/11/2014 9:32 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com mailto:blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat energy you need to run these, though perhaps they could be

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
It's 27:1 .. it might work! On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 3:40 PM, David L Babcock olb...@gmail.com wrote: On 2/11/2014 9:32 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Jed Rothwell
David L Babcock olb...@gmail.com wrote: http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat energy you need to run these, though perhaps they could be optimized for a Nanor device. A thermoelectric chip would probably be more practical. A

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Alain Sepeda
yes 2014-02-10 2:02 GMT+01:00 Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com: If cold fusion is real, you can be assured that the smart money knows a lot more about it than you do.These people get paid millions of dollars a year to be on top of things like this. On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 2:59

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: I bet the Israelis could pull it off without word getting out. I do not think so. They have never been able to keep their nuclear weapons programs secret. People have known about these programs since 1957 when they began. To make a practical cold fusion

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
I just asked bill gates on the AMA about cold fusion: http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/1xj56q/hello_reddit_im_bill_gates_cochair_of_the_bill/cfbvi10 On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 10:51 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote: James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: I bet the Israelis

RE: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Chris Zell
The Iranians could develop it secretly. No one would believe them as the Israeli-influenced media - especially in the US - would deny all of it. Hide in plain sight.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Which has absolutely NOTHING to do with Rossi. Your entire assessment is littered with irrelevant items. On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 11:25 AM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: Increasing the probability to 47% on the basis on Nanor / MIT videos. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:42 PM,

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: I just asked bill gates on the AMA about cold fusion: If that really is Bill Gates please rephrase your question with a little more info. and ask again, or add information. At least, please say: You can many peer-reviewed scientific papers from

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
If someone asked me what kind of research can I do with $50,000? I would say go to the racetrack and bet the money. You will have more chance of making a profit than you would putting the money in cold fusion. ***The LENR corner-turn is getting to that level. I am in correspondence with the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
I think the idea is that it's supposed to be a question, not an advertisement for Cold Fusion. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 12:00 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote: Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: I just asked bill gates on the AMA about cold fusion: If that really is

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
If someone had 50K I'd say try to buy a Nanor from Michael Swartz of Jet Energy and test that. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 12:05 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.comwrote: If someone asked me what kind of research can I do with $50,000? I would say go to the racetrack and bet the money. You

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Watch the videos before commenting - they actually say that Rossi shouldn't be dismissed. They seemed very credible to me, like someone who had been working on the same problem and making slow progress over the years. Nanor is also LENR+ if you scale it up properly. It also felt they were peer

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
The approach expressed here is very depressing. We know that LENR is real. Buying and testing a Nanor would gain a person nothing. Unless a person knows how and why it works, which is not known, the information is worthless. The important investment is in acquiring information about how

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Edmund - there are two problems. Solving the problem, which should definitely be done. I applaud the work here. I think it's brilliant and frankly, way beyond my understanding. But there is another, perhaps far more important problem - attracting massive investment and recognition from labs

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
Blaze, you assume Swartz knows what he is doing. If he does, then this is a good approach. Unfortunately, very little collaboration exists in the field to resolve the problems in the various theories. People simply go their own way regardless of the obvious problems and conflicts with

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread James Bowery
On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 12:51 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote: James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: I bet the Israelis could pull it off without word getting out. I do not think so. They have never been able to keep their nuclear weapons programs secret. People have known

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Edmund - your thesis is that it's impossible to produce experimental results without theoretical understanding. I'm not sure that thesis is correct. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 12:46 PM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.comwrote: Blaze, you assume Swartz knows what he is doing. If he does, then

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
On Feb 10, 2014, at 2:09 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Edmund - your thesis is that it's impossible to produce experimental results without theoretical understanding. I'm not sure that thesis is correct. ] No that is NOT what I said. I said that successful application reqires knowledge

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
So your premise then that not only is his theoretical understanding wrong, but he doesn't know how to measure energy / heat as well? From what I can see: - an MIT professor is vouching for Swartz by association - Swartz has optimized his nanor device to produce consistent, high lenr+

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
Blaze, why do you keep jumping to conclusions having no relationship to what I say? I did not say Swartz does not know how to measure energy. I have no doubt he can make the effect work. I question whether he understands HOW it works, not THAT it works. Do you understand the difference?

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread James Bowery
I've noticed a pathology in this discourse that boils down to a conflation, hence confusion, of research with development. This conflation has two main historic sources: 1) Government funded technology development often times will conflate research with development because there is a lot more

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
James, you describe the basic problem very well. In addition, the idea of basic science has a bad rap in the US because it is called playing in the sand box. This kind of study was once done by graduate students or in government laboratories, but this source is now very much diminished.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
' - Swartz has optimized his nanor device to produce consistent, high lenr+ cop That is news to me. What is the COP and what conditions is the value based on? ' Have you watched this video? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Al7NMQLvATo

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
So Swartz is not unique. The question is, Is his understanding correct? As you admit, you are not qualified to judge. So, how do you decide? ***The same way that Science has decided for centuries. Your theory has implications, so do others. We test according to those implications. I've seen

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Watch at 2:38:00 He's reporting 27x gain and 4mW On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 2:25 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: ' - Swartz has optimized his nanor device to produce consistent, high lenr+ cop That is news to me. What is the COP and what conditions is the value

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
On Feb 10, 2014, at 3:44 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: So Swartz is not unique. The question is, Is his understanding correct? As you admit, you are not qualified to judge. So, how do you decide? ***The same way that Science has decided for centuries. Your theory has implications, so do

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
Braze, you accept this claim based on a lecture by someone else and on only 4 mW of excess power?? This is not a credible claim by any standard. Ed Storms On Feb 10, 2014, at 3:50 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Watch at 2:38:00 He's reporting 27x gain and 4mW On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 2:25

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Watch the videos before commenting - they actually say that Rossi shouldn't be dismissed. ***That still doesn't make for any kind of connection between Rossi and these other developments. You're obviously confused. What you MEAN is that you're giving odds that LENR is Real, not necessarily that

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
The approach expressed here is very depressing. We know that LENR is real. ***Yes, WE do. But someone who was looking to take advantage of 'true believers' would first offer outlandish odds, and then offer surprisingly rational odds in order to draw them in. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 12:26 PM,

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Buying and testing a Nanor would gain a person nothing. Unless a person knows how and why it works, which is not known, the information is worthless. ***No, not worthless. As an example, the private sector had the ability for 2 decades to go into space but didn't bother even trying until the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Yes, that is the way science works. However doing the tests requires money. ***Then for the time being we need to focus on attracting MONEY, like the X-Prize. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 2:59 PM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.comwrote: On Feb 10, 2014, at 3:44 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: So

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
On Feb 10, 2014, at 4:23 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: Buying and testing a Nanor would gain a person nothing. Unless a person knows how and why it works, which is not known, the information is worthless. ***No, not worthless. As an example, the private sector had the ability for 2 decades

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
On Feb 10, 2014, at 4:30 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: Yes, that is the way science works. However doing the tests requires money. ***Then for the time being we need to focus on attracting MONEY, like the X-Prize. I agree. How do you suggest this be done? Ed Storms On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
'Braze, you accept this claim based on a lecture by someone else and on only 4 mW of excess power?? *This is not a credible claim by any standard. '* OK, Thank you. You do not think Swartz is credible. Gotcha. Your input is useful, truly. It undermines my faith in him as well. But then

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
***Then for the time being we need to focus on attracting MONEY, like the X-Prize. I agree. How do you suggest this be done? ***Ummm, did I not mention the X-Prize, which generated 50X more interest and investment than the original prize offered? Or am I missing something? On Mon, Feb 10, 2014

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Woah, wait. It's not 4 mW of excess power .. It's 4mW of INPUT power. Watch the video before commenting, please! On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 3:50 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: 'Braze, you accept this claim based on a lecture by someone else and on only 4 mW of excess

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
But we have hundreds of examples of heat production and now companies claim they will provide generators. What more do we need to get massive support? What benefit would a device producing 4 mW of power add? ***4 mW will generate a TON of benefit as long as 4microWatts is the input. Think

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Edmund Storms
Swartz is credible! However, such a small effect is not a credible support for investment in a working devoice. I did not make this clear. I hope it is clear now. If Swartz supplies devices that survive testing, this would be useful to basic research but not to a development study. My

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
My response will be embedded in the email with 3 asterisks *** as the flag. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 4:09 PM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.comwrote: Swartz is credible! However, such a small effect is not a credible support for investment ***Investment is different than research. Surely you

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Edmund, you really need to watch the video. Swartz is claiming this is exactly what he needs to do. Produce the Nanor so other people can use it to scale up. My point is - emphasis will not be placed on basic research until something is shown which excites people. Perhaps this is chicken and

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Kevin O'Malley
emphasis will not be placed on basic research until something is shown which excites people. ***As much as I dislike agreeing with Blaze, he is right. The LENR MFMP gamma ray X-Prize proposal would spur research, excitement, industrial level investment, and much more. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: 'Braze, you accept this claim based on a lecture by someone else and on only 4 mW of excess power?? *This is not a credible claim by any standard. '* OK, Thank you. You do not think Swartz is credible. Gotcha. Swartz is credible, but a 4 mW

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
AGAIN, it's not 4mW excess, it's 4mW * 27 excess. IT was 4mW input, which is obviously easy to measure. Swartz is doing one better than publishing a paper or giving a lecture. He's selling the experimental devices so people can replicate in their own labs. Please, people, watch the video

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Bob Higgins
I believe you are underestimating the value of a small and efficient LENR device. I spoke with Mitchell about this on the bus at ICCF-18. I believe small is beautiful and I have a perfect application. Today 2-way public safety radios use lithium batteries that only work to about -10C, but the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
What I want to see is this thing hooked up to a minature sized sterling engine On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 5:55 PM, Bob Higgins rj.bob.higg...@gmail.comwrote: I believe you are underestimating the value of a small and efficient LENR device. I spoke with Mitchell about this on the bus at ICCF-18.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: AGAIN, it's not 4mW excess, it's 4mW * 27 excess. IT was 4mW input, which is obviously easy to measure. Ah, this is a new claim. That would be 100 mW output, which is easier to measure than his previous claims of 20 to 50 mW. Swartz is doing

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
Bob Higgins rj.bob.higg...@gmail.com wrote: I believe you are underestimating the value of a small and efficient LENR device. The commercial value would be great. However, it is difficult to believe results on a such a small scale. If the scale has now increased from 20 to 50 mW up to about

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat energy you need to run these, though perhaps they could be optimized for a Nanor device. On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 6:03 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: What I want to see is this

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Bob Cook
- Original Message - From: Blaze Spinnaker To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Monday, February 10, 2014 6:21 PM Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread James Bowery
On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 8:25 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote: ***Then for the time being we need to focus on attracting MONEY, like the X-Prize. I agree. How do you suggest this be done? ***Ummm, did I not mention the X-Prize, which

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Bob Cook
with a portable long-life energy source. Bob - Original Message - From: Jed Rothwell To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Monday, February 10, 2014 6:11 PM Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-10 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, Feb 10, 2014 at 2:14 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: 2) The cold fusion fiasco of the century has resulted in such a vicious attack on research that the ordinary product of research -- which is pursuit of reproducible experiments -- has been driven underground so deeply that

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Increasing the probability to 47% on the basis on Nanor / MIT videos. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:42 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: Put that back to 43%: Mr. Darden earned an MRP in environmental planning from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,* a JD from

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Also, anyone notice that XOM/Chevron are down 10% YTD? On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 11:25 AM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: Increasing the probability to 47% on the basis on Nanor / MIT videos. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:42 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread James Bowery
How much of their valuation is in the ground reserves? On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 1:29 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: Also, anyone notice that XOM/Chevron are down 10% YTD? On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 11:25 AM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: Increasing the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
A lot of their valuation is also the tribal knowledge, infrastructure, relationships, brand, and good will.If LENR really takes off quickly, much of that will quickly go to zero. It's also not hard to imagine Saudia Arabia and others panic dumping onto the market in order to get out while the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread James Bowery
I'm not sure where I stored Jed's book on my computer but I presume he analyzed the critical point in EROEI where it no longer makes sense to use various grades of the in-the-ground reserves even as chemical feedstocks. As long as a given grade of reserve remains valuable as chemical feedstock,

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Bob Cook
Blaze-- I would not touch big oil with a 10 foot pole. Bob - Original Message - From: Blaze Spinnaker To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Sunday, February 09, 2014 11:29 AM Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% Also, anyone notice

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: It's also not hard to imagine Saudia Arabia and others panic dumping onto the market in order to get out while the getting is good, thus driving the price of oil down quickly. An economist told me that is sure to happen with cold fusion. Even

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
How about coal? BTU is down 15% YTD and Arch COal is down 12% YTD On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 1:30 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: It's also not hard to imagine Saudia Arabia and others panic dumping onto the market in order to get

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Bob Cook
Blaze--Bob here-- I would not touch coal with a 20 foot pole. What about natural gas--does it have any future? Bob - Original Message - From: Blaze Spinnaker To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Sunday, February 09, 2014 2:38 PM Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: How about coal? BTU is down 15% YTD and Arch COal is down 12% YTD Coal is being clobbered by natural gas and wind. Coal is only used for electric power generation and in steel production. - Jed

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Eric Walker
On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 2:38 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: How about coal? BTU is down 15% YTD and Arch COal is down 12% YTD It seems to me that it is too early for there to be any price movements in connection with cold fusion. If we're early adopters of sorts, I'm

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Why is it too early? I think the smart money (a very large chunk of the money) gets out before word gets around. On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 2:48 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote: On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 2:38 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: How about coal? BTU is

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: Why is it too early? It is too early because practically no one believes cold fusion is real, despite all those papers downloaded from LENR-CANR.org. The people who attended ICCF18 and the people in North Carolina are about the only ones in the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread James Bowery
On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 4:59 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: if an extremely wealthy person such as Bill Gates believed that cold fusion is real, he would be crazy no to invest in it. Assuming he was not doing it for philanthropic purposes, wouldn't he be crazy to let anyone know

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread David Roberson
Sent: Sun, Feb 9, 2014 5:54 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% Why is it too early? I think the smart money (a very large chunk of the money) gets out before word gets around. On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 2:48 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread James Bowery
Thinking further along these lines: The Israelis are up there with the Italians in tolerance of cold fusion research among their ranks. Moreover, they are _very_ adept at covert activity -- particularly relating to geopolitics regarding the middle east such as oil. What I would look for as an

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Jed Rothwell
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: if an extremely wealthy person such as Bill Gates believed that cold fusion is real, he would be crazy no to invest in it. Assuming he was not doing it for philanthropic purposes, wouldn't he be crazy to let anyone know he was investing in it? I

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
If cold fusion is real, you can be assured that the smart money knows a lot more about it than you do.These people get paid millions of dollars a year to be on top of things like this. On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 2:59 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: Blaze Spinnaker

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-09 Thread James Bowery
I bet the Israelis could pull it off without word getting out. On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 6:52 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote: if an extremely wealthy person such as Bill Gates believed that cold fusion is real, he would be crazy no to

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-25 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Ahh, cheers. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 5:14 PM, Craig cchayniepub...@gmail.com wrote: On 01/24/2014 06:22 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Correction, make that 41%. It's not Cherokee but rather Tom Darden (investor, co founder of Cherokee) and Mr. Vaughn (senior analyst at Cherokee, BA

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-25 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 6:40 PM, Lennart Thornros lenn...@thornros.comwrote: I think the validation should be more in this style 10 up to minus 7 is stupid 1% is next to stupid 20% a hard call 50% a good chance and with some support very likely 80% JUST DO IT A SURE THING The last two just

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: It's like crowd sourcing a group of people guessing jellybeans in a jellybean jar. This conversation is not like that because you are not a crowd of people. You are only one person, and no one else here is hazarding a guess. The crowdsourced

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-25 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
This conversation is not like that because you are not a crowd of people. You are only one person, and no one else here is hazarding a guess. Oh, lots of people have hazard guesses. You don't know everything, Jed. :)

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-25 Thread James Bowery
Cold fusion claims are at 1% to 3% at Idea Futures Exchange.Claim NiLENR - Nickel Hydrogen Nuclear EnergyCategory: *Science Technology:Physics*bid 1, ask 3, last 2Owner:45, Baldrson (jim_bow...@hotmail.com)Judge:2, Chris Hibbert (c...@pancrit.org)created:2011/06/13due date:2015/01/01The Claim

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-25 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Great link James, my concern is that the expiry date on that is getting a bit close. Not sure this will be out in the public knowledge before 2015. That market is also thinly traded (probably because it's play money) which leads to speculation by actors without compensation to spend real time

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Kevin, you're very very confused about reality. I tend to avoid discussions with such people. On Thu, Jan 23, 2014 at 4:34 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote: STMicro has nothing to do with Rossi. Cherokee stuff is all rumor, but at least it has something to do with Rossi. 3rd

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Increasing the probability to 44% on the basis of Cherokee PR release. Big big BIG news. Now this is no longer about Rossi, but about Cherokee. I know you guys think I'm a git for my doubt, but hey, my model is wy ahead of the curve than the vast majority of the investing universe.XOM

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Correction, make that 41%. It's not Cherokee but rather Tom Darden (investor, co founder of Cherokee) and Mr. Vaughn (senior analyst at Cherokee, BA Economics) who are the players here. It'd be good to find out who those other investors are. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:35 PM, Blaze Spinnaker

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Yeah, right. You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then quickly pull back. You're the one disconnected to reality. I wouldn't care except for the fact that you took money off the table. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:30 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: Kevin, you're

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
We both used Intrade, Kevin. This is how it works. Changing news requires updating your priors constantly. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:32 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote: Yeah, right. You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then quickly pull back. You're the one

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Put that back to 43%: Mr. Darden earned an MRP in environmental planning from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,* a JD from Yale Law School* and a BA from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where he was a Morehead Scholar. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:22 PM, Blaze

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Horse shit. You didn't change your views in those few days based upon news. You changed it based upon your interactions here, during a time at which there was no news. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:36 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.comwrote: We both used Intrade, Kevin. This is how it

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Well, it was news to me. On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:49 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote: Horse shit. You didn't change your views in those few days based upon news. You changed it based upon your interactions here, during a time at which there was no news. On Fri, Jan 24,

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Kevin O'Malley
There was NO news between the time you went from 10:1 down to 2:1. ZERO. You've disconnected from reality yet again, because you seem to be thinking that the latest news about Rossi is what's being discussed. Bullshit. The news took you from 35% to 41%, a rise of 6 points. Back in the NO NEWS

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Jed Rothwell
Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: Put that back to 43%: Mr. Darden earned an MRP in environmental planning from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,* a JD from Yale Law School* and a BA . . . 43%? Are you sure? I think it should be 51.8%. Then again, depending on

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Craig
On 01/24/2014 06:22 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Correction, make that 41%. It's not Cherokee but rather Tom Darden (investor, co founder of Cherokee) and Mr. Vaughn (senior analyst at Cherokee, BA Economics) who are the players here. It'd be good to find out who those other investors are.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-01-24 Thread Kevin O'Malley
This is just his internal measuring stick. Basically if he were buying a contract at Intrade, he'd be willing to pay $4.30 to bet for Rossi being real, which is a bullshit metric to begin with. So it's a guy who isn't being real talking about some other guy who might be real. Bullshit upon

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