Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-11-24 Thread Kevin O'Malley
I am decreasign my ASSessment of an ASSurance that Blaze will pull his head out of his ASinine "hind quarters" from 6.59% down to 6.4%. SSDD from Blaze. On Mon, Nov 24, 2014 at 11:16 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Probability now at 35% based on allegations of what I consider to be fraud > from

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-11-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Probability now at 35% based on allegations of what I consider to be fraud from a partner. http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/11/24/probability-now-35-based-on-allegations-of-fraud/ On Thu, Oct 9, 2014 at 12:01 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > Blaze exhibits his wishy-washiness yet again. He a

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-10-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Blaze exhibits his wishy-washiness yet again. He also doesn't follow his own posted "criteria", which was that if the report came out after September he would lower the probability to 25%, which he never did. He went straight to 20% yesterday and today he's at 45%. Because of ONE reaction to the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-10-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/10/09/probability-is-now-45/ Based on http://www.nyteknik.se/asikter/debatt/article3854541.ece Exciting times! On Wed, Oct 8, 2014 at 8:58 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/10/08/probability-now-20/ > > Disappointed to see

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-10-08 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/10/08/probability-now-20/ Disappointed to see the same names at the top of the paper.Shocked to see not even Arxiv will accept it. I will increase the probability if does make it onto Arxiv or if we see IH and Cherokee step up. On Sun, Jun 29, 2014 at 3

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-29 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Looks like his site is back up. What a bunch of horse manure. Probability is now 27% Leave a reply More delays

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-29 Thread Terry Blanton
I am able to get to the sites on Chrome.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-29 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Post her on Vortex -l or risk being continually ignored. typo alert Post her*e* on Vortex -l or risk being continually ignored.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-29 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Blaze: Pull your head out. Your blog isn't even up on the internet. Post her on Vortex -l or risk being continually ignored. Why did you stop posting anyways? Server not found Firefox can't find the server at rossiisreal.wordpress.com. Check the address for typing errors such as

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-29 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/06/29/probability-is-now-27/ On Tue, Jun 24, 2014 at 10:06 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > > http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/06/24/probability-rossi-is-real-is-now-28/ > > > > > > On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 1:44 PM, John Berry wrote: > >> Well I worded that

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
So... in blaze's case: On Wed, Jun 25, 2014 at 2:22 PM, John Berry wrote: > Kevin, let me fill you in on a secret of making high precision ASSesments. > > If you are going to pull figures from your ass, you can make them as many > decimal places as you like limited by a factor or 3 things. > >

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-25 Thread John Berry
Kevin, let me fill you in on a secret of making high precision ASSesments. If you are going to pull figures from your ass, you can make them as many decimal places as you like limited by a factor or 3 things. #1 How unchecked you have let your ego grow. #2 How Cheek-y you are. #3 How big an ass y

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Wed, Jun 25, 2014 at 12:51 AM, John Berry wrote: Kevin, I think you failed to account for CME and sunspot activity being very low. Elevated sunspot activity is related to aberrant behavior. This will reduce the odds of a sudden reASSesment by Blaze down another 0.013% down to 7.077% ***Well,

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-25 Thread John Berry
Kevin, I think you failed to account for CME and sunspot activity being very low. Elevated sunspot activity is related to aberrant behavior. This will reduce the odds of a sudden reASSesment by Blaze down another 0.013% down to 7.077% On Wed, Jun 25, 2014 at 5:32 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > >

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-24 Thread Kevin O'Malley
So now Blaze won't even post on his own thread, instead posting to his own blog about "rumors" of delay around the next ITP report... Rumors? The damned report was due in April. That ain't no rumor. It is delayed. I'm constrained

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-24 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/2014/06/24/probability-rossi-is-real-is-now-28/ On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 1:44 PM, John Berry wrote: > Well I worded that strongly to drive home a point, we often hide our > ignorance in the talk of probability. > > There are 4 domains in which we apply probabil

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-18 Thread Kevin O'Malley
In the article at ECat World... Blaze is the crow. http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/06/18/lenr-simplified-pencils-windmills-and-super-mario/ LENR Simplified: Pencils, Windmills and Super Mario Posted on June 18, 2014 by admin • 15 Comments

RE: EXTERNAL: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-11 Thread Roarty, Francis X
Nice recall Harry! From: H Veeder [mailto:hveeder...@gmail.com] Sent: Tuesday, June 10, 2014 9:11 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: EXTERNAL: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 6:14 PM, Terry Blanton mailto:hohlr...@gmail.com>>

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-10 Thread H Veeder
On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 6:14 PM, Terry Blanton wrote: > On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 4:09 PM, John Berry > wrote: > > Axil, I think you need to add ether or aether to your spell check > > dictionary. > > > > Either or both, but not neither or you end up with 'either' ;) > > Or 'aeither'. :-) > > ht

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-10 Thread Terry Blanton
On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 4:09 PM, John Berry wrote: > Axil, I think you need to add ether or aether to your spell check > dictionary. > > Either or both, but not neither or you end up with 'either' ;) Or 'aeither'. :-)

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-10 Thread John Berry
ich slows time from our perspective while >> Casimir effect makes the stationary region in our frame look larger and >> therby more vp pass thru accelerating/catalyzing what we pewrceive as >> shrunken hydrogen. >> >> >> >> *From:* John Berry [mailto:berry.joh...@gmai

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-10 Thread Axil Axil
From:* John Berry [mailto:berry.joh...@gmail.com] > *Sent:* Tuesday, June 10, 2014 12:54 AM > *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com > *Subject:* EXTERNAL: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real > upwards, to 35% > > > > Kevin, I can only assume you have misunderstood wha

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-10 Thread Roarty, Francis X
EXTERNAL: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% Kevin, I can only assume you have misunderstood what I was saying. Earlier you said: Not even Pons & Fleischmann can lay claim to having found the effect. Which sound to me something like "the great (not even

RE: EXTERNAL: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-10 Thread Roarty, Francis X
[mailto:janap...@gmail.com] Sent: Tuesday, June 10, 2014 2:30 AM To: vortex-l Subject: EXTERNAL: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% There is a big difference between a certain physical process being valid and the commercial viability of a product based on that process

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread John Berry
Yes, but just because there are some things that are real but not very commercially viable, and just because in our ignorance we may be unable to say if it is commercially viable or not does not change the fact of what it is. It either is real and useful, real and useless to some degree and false.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
>From ECAT World Rossi on His Anxiety Over E-Cat Test Results Posted on June 9, 2014 by admin • 62 Comments

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
That's why I coupled the two probabilities upthread. Did you read the thread? http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l%40eskimo.com/msg93531.html Let's say you think there's a 66% chance that Rossi's "real" and a 50% chance that CYPW will be in the right commercial place to take advantage. That mean

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Axil Axil
There is a big difference between a certain physical process being valid and the commercial viability of a product based on that process. Just because a spark will explode gasoline vapor does not imply that a Lamborghini can be designed to use that principle or that the car will sell in the market

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Kevin, I can only assume you have misunderstood what I was saying. ***It would appear that you misunderstood what I was saying.

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 9:53 PM, John Berry wrote: > Kevin, I can only assume you have misunderstood what I was saying. > > Earlier you said: Not even Pons & Fleischmann can lay claim to having > found the effect. > > Which sound to me something like "the great (not even) P&F can't claim > they de

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread John Berry
Kevin, I can only assume you have misunderstood what I was saying. Earlier you said: Not even Pons & Fleischmann can lay claim to having found the effect. Which sound to me something like "the great (not even) P&F can't claim they definitively had a real effect, so Neither can Rossi be rightly ce

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 7:14 PM, John Berry wrote: > You are back at he level of human ignorance though. > ***What does such an expression even mean? You could easily claim it means so many different things. In context, it appears that you think I'm saying Rossi is ignorant, but you could easily

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Axil Axil
The de Broglie-Bohm theory is now considered by some to be a valid challenge to the prevailing orthodoxy of the Copenhagen Interpretation, but it remains controversial. It is both realistic and deterministic and has nothing to do with probability. It has no implications for multiple universes and i

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 3:16 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: I believe it is fair to say that in quantum mechanics probabilities > actually exist in the physical sense (assuming the theories are correct). > This is the predominant interpretation of quantum mechanics, but one that is not universally accep

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread John Berry
You are back at he level of human ignorance though. Sure, maybe Rossi doesn't know for sure his effect is really overunity. Maybe he doesn't know it is extraordinary. Or just some false positive. BUT the effect is either real, or not real. It doesn't have a chance one way or the other then

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Rossi has either found a real effect, or he hasn't. ***Nope. Not even Pons & Fleischmann can lay claim to having found the effect. What Rossi found was a way to get more consistent replications by separating out H2 gas into monoatomic hydrogen gas before it gets loaded into a nickel chamber. Pri

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread John Berry
Wrong. Rossi has either found a real effect, or he hasn't. If he hasn't, then we can assume that there is no way to get results just like he claimed in the fashion he claimed. It would be odd to say the least to propose that he is faking something that could be made to work with a tiny tweak. T

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Everything in the universe is a wave function waiting to be collapsed. This is how the universal simulator avoids pointless CPU processing. On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 3:59 PM, John Berry wrote: > Blaze, a fine verbal joust. > > But you must admit it is not even close to reality. > > Now you are eng

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread John Berry
Blaze, a fine verbal joust. But you must admit it is not even close to reality. Now you are engaging in a factious argument, Rossi and his eCat are not wave functions yet to be collapsed. Good comedy, but if I were to take you at your word, I would consider you needing to be picked up by some ni

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
"In the macroscopic world, probabilities do not exist in the same sense that atoms exist, or energy, or states of matter. " I suspect Schrodinger's cat would disagree with this statement. The microscopic significantly influences the macroscopic world. The eCat is a perfect example of this. Unt

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Jed Rothwell
I believe it is fair to say that in quantum mechanics probabilities actually exist in the physical sense (assuming the theories are correct). In the macroscopic world, probabilities do not exist in the same sense that atoms exist, or energy, or states of matter. Instead, probabilities are measure o

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread John Berry
Well I worded that strongly to drive home a point, we often hide our ignorance in the talk of probability. There are 4 domains in which we apply probability. 1: Things which are set and we are ignorant of, no actual element of chance exist, such as with Rossi. 2: Macro chance, things that we fai

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
I guess what your'e really saying is that God Does Not Play Dice. On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 5:36 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > "1: There is no such things as probability, things either happen or they > don't. Rossi either IS real, or he is NOT real.. > There is no such thing as probability in reali

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-09 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
"1: There is no such things as probability, things either happen or they don't. Rossi either IS real, or he is NOT real.. There is no such thing as probability in reality." I see.. On Sun, Jun 8, 2014 at 5:12 PM, John Berry wrote: > Blaze's ego is astounding, thinking that he has things so wel

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-08 Thread John Berry
Oh, and you are more likely to die from an infection caught in hospital than die from all forms of accident combined. On Mon, Jun 9, 2014 at 5:39 PM, John Berry wrote: > Put a gun to my head with 10,000,000 chambers and a bullet in only one of > them selected at random and offer me $100 every t

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-08 Thread John Berry
Put a gun to my head with 10,000,000 chambers and a bullet in only one of them selected at random and offer me $100 every time I pull the trigger, I would pull that trigger a number of times. Why? Well obviously I could use the money, and more-so the risk of dying from getting in a car to go to a

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-08 Thread Axil Axil
The E-Cat has no threshold for irrelevance. In terms of probability, the E-Cat is like a civilization killing asteroid impact on the earth. Even if there is only a 1 in ten million chance that the E-Cat is a viable paradigm changing energy device, its mass adoption will have catastrophic extinction

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-08 Thread John Berry
Blaze's ego is astounding, thinking that he has things so well worked out that his ramblings about probability have meaning. Even if he were that good at working out probability, a few facts remain that make it worthless. 1: There is no such things as probability, things either happen or they don

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-08 Thread Kevin O'Malley
I'm constrained to decrease my ASSessment of an ASSurance that Blaze will pull his head out of his ASinine "hind quarters" down to 7.51%, taking into account the direction of the wind and the stock price for CYPW Cyclone Power. At least this time Blaze increased the chances of Rossi being real on

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-08 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Going to start publishing updates on this blog http://rossiisreal.wordpress.com/ rather than this mailing list. Rossi is now at 30% On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 8:46 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > If it's interesting enough to generate a patent then it is worthwhile. > The world would sit up and take n

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-02 Thread Kevin O'Malley
If it's interesting enough to generate a patent then it is worthwhile. The world would sit up and take notice simply because Rossi ain't a fraud, as the common notion suggests. On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 9:19 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Another possibility is IH may have decided they don't want t

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-02 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Geez, Blaze. If you're gonna post such wishy-washy stuff, you should just post it on a new thread instead of a thread where you've been heavily criticized for ignoring posts directly to you, for abandoning such a thread, and a thread where such a post simply makes you look like you're as addlepate

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-02 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 9:12 AM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > More and more I'm beginning to wonder if we're going to get a TIP report > that shows something interesting, but nowhere guaranteeing the power > densities shown in the first report. > > While I believe that Rossi believes he has something

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-02 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Another possibility is IH may have decided they don't want the world competing with them, so they gave the researchers an eCat which is just enough interesting to generate a patent but not so interesting it causes the world to sit up and take notice. On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 9:12 AM, Blaze Spinnake

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-02 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
More and more I'm beginning to wonder if we're going to get a TIP report that shows something interesting, but nowhere guaranteeing the power densities shown in the first report. While I believe that Rossi believes he has something and that IH believes they have something and that there is no frau

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-22 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Oops, that should be 9% chance that Blaze will pull his head out of his rear end, thereby performing a cephalorectomy. I had already gotten down to 10%. Oh well, might as well be as arbitrary as he has been. Breathe, Blaze Vader. The dark side of the force is with you. Come to the dark side; w

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Revising my estimate that Blaze will "pull it out" down to 10%. Perhaps he has some "realness" in him, but my estimates show my doubts. My increasing doubts. On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 10:50 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Yes, let the anger flow through you, my apprentice. It will make you > power

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Yes, let the anger flow through you, my apprentice. It will make you powerful. Anyways, no need to get stressed - whatever happens, I guarantee it will be exciting. On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 10:39 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > Revising my estimate that Blaze will pull it out down to 10%. Based up

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Revising my estimate that Blaze will pull it out down to 10%. Based upon his previous posts, his response on this thread when directly challenged, his responses on other threads which he brings over here as if it meant something, and his initial 10:1 odds that he reneged on. On Wed, May 21, 2014

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Because I invested already. No thanks to you and your idiotic responses on this thread. On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 10:24 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Kevin, if you want to invest .. why not HydroFusion? Looks to be the best > option. > > > On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 7:42 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: >

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Kevin, if you want to invest .. why not HydroFusion? Looks to be the best option. On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 7:42 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > I am decreasing the probability of Blaze pulling his head out of his ass > down to 11%. He logs onto his own thread without reading it and responding > to

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Kevin O'Malley
I am decreasing the probability of Blaze pulling his head out of his ass down to 11%. He logs onto his own thread without reading it and responding to posts directly for him. He generates his own probabilities often on things that have nothing to do with Rossi, and doesn't define what "being rea

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-21 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Decreasing the probability to 31% based on smelly stock offering. http://freeenergyscams.com/andrea-rossi-e-cat-hydro-fusion-cashing-in-before-the-collapse/ HydroFusion is ran by Dr. Magnus Holm. Seems credible - but why didn't he wait until after the report to ask for more money? Why is Rossi

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-20 Thread Kevin O'Malley
CYPW is even cheaper today, closing at 0.009 cents. If they stay below a penny, they'll get downgraded to the pink sheets AFAIK. This is a rare chance for LENR aficianados to put a little bit of money down with the possibility of Black Swan Level gains and support LENR at the same time. With the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-18 Thread Kevin O'Malley
I suppose that goes right to the heart of what Blaze means by "Real". If PdD fusion were "real" in his mind, we would have PdD cold fusion reactors replacing coal plants by the dozen every month, people would be ordering a cup of Richard Garwin tea from Starbucks, and you could buy a LENR generato

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-17 Thread Daniel Rocha
Cold Fusion exists for PdD. What is not proven is NiH fusion. 2014-05-18 3:46 GMT-03:00 Kevin O'Malley : > [image: Boxbe] This message is eligible > for Automatic Cleanup! (kevmol...@gmail.com) Add cleanup > rule

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-17 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Here's an old discussion I had on an intrade board about the "probability of Rossi being real" http://intrade.freeforums.org/i-miss-intrade-t29.html Re: I miss Intrade [image: Post] by

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-17 Thread Bob Cook
Nice Work Alain Bob - Original Message - From: Alain Sepeda To: Vortex List Sent: Saturday, May 17, 2014 1:54 AM Subject: Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% I've made a short analysis of that announce, and the connections with LENr-c

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-17 Thread Alain Sepeda
I've made a short analysis of that announce, and the connections with LENr-cities/LENR-Cars http://www.lenr-forum.com/forum/index.php/Thread/338-LENR-Invest-Fund-I-LLC-raises-205-000-in-May/ I don't have confirmation, but connecting some wire I have an idea of what is the money for. Not a huge pro

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Here's an example of some early-adopter money starting to move into this space. The problem is, it's not available to just anyone, and in particular, they already closed it off for this fund. http://form-d.findthebest.com/l/162985/Lenr-Invest-Fund-I-LLC Lenr-Invest Fund I, LLC, which is in the

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Daniel Rocha
Cyclone doesn't do CF, they said that on their facebook page. I meant Kim could be with Rossi. 2014-05-16 15:26 GMT-03:00 Kevin O'Malley : > He could have done the same thing with Cyclone. > > >> -- >> Daniel Rocha - RJ >> danieldi...@gmail.com >> > > > -- Daniel Rocha - RJ danieldi...@gmail

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Kevin O'Malley
The problem is... Y.E. Kim appears to have moved forward on data from Defkalion without verifying that their device works. He could have done the same thing with Cyclone. On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 10:35 AM, Daniel Rocha wrote: > You people know that Kim is doing consulting for CYPW, right? And th

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 6:12 AM, Jones Beene wrote: > > We have mentioned this company before, going back several years, which > unfortunately has a similar name as the failed Stirling company and may not > be publicly traded - but there are 3-4 others in ORC (and I am a terrible > stock picker).

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Kevin O'Malley
My problem is that I don't know how to short oil. I agree that this would be preferential because it is probably far more liquid and one could wait until the very last minute. For instance, we all know that most of the world is ignoring LENR news. As soon as that independent report is published

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Daniel Rocha
You people know that Kim is doing consulting for CYPW, right? And that its headquarters are 40min away from Rossi's hom... HQ of Leonardo corporation. -- Daniel Rocha - RJ danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 12:04 AM, Eric Walker wrote: > On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:42 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > > >> ***Does that mean you think it's a 51% probability that "Rossi is real"? >> > > I don't know if I can quantify the feeling with so much precision. > ***I understand. In inductive

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Axil Axil
Sorry Jones, this preceding post was not meant for you, it was miss-posted. On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 9:40 AM, Axil Axil wrote: > Experimental information describing the Ni/H reactor is dammed hard to > come by. With the negativity toward DGT shown by much of the LENR elite, > our best source of

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Axil Axil
Experimental information describing the Ni/H reactor is dammed hard to come by. With the negativity toward DGT shown by much of the LENR elite, our best source of this precious info will be cut off for no good reason. What good does it do for Jed to undercut anyone in this field, especially such a

RE: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Jones Beene
From: Kevin O'Malley …And my question hasn't really been answered -- If Rossi is determined to be "real", wouldn't a stock like CYPW take off? Are there other public stocks that would skyrocket? Any "steam engine" stocks? I think that this is a

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-16 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:42 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: > ***Does that mean you think it's a 51% probability that "Rossi is real"? > I don't know if I can quantify the feeling with so much precision. I'm on the fence about the underlying premises of prediction markets. Perhaps a feeling that t

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Kevin O'Malley
The Elforsk test gives me, personally speaking, sufficient information to believe that Rossi is probably for real. ***Does that mean you think it's a 51% probability that "Rossi is real"? On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:38 PM, Eric Walker wrote: > On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:27 PM, Kevin O'Malley wro

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:27 PM, Kevin O'Malley wrote: Then are we now adding the condition that the temperature needs to be above > 800C in order to determine that "Rossi is real"??? > I was addressing the question of whether a Stirling engine would be necessary or useful; I was saying it shoul

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Then are we now adding the condition that the temperature needs to be above 800C in order to determine that "Rossi is real"??? We seem to be off the track of that subject. We've been talking about what is the optimum engine technically to work with a LENR device. My question is aimed at SWWAT--

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 2:47 AM, Alain Sepeda wrote: >From many experts in engine I've heard that stirling engine are not a > realistic solution... > If the temperature of a device approaches 8-900 C, as seen in the Elforsk test, a simple steam engine should be adequate. Eric

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Kevin O'Malley
On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 10:00 AM, Alain Sepeda wrote: > Cyclone power had it's fashion time, but today they are a penny stock. > ***All the better. Here is a cheap way LENR afficianados to put our money where our mouth is. Upside potential is quite high, and the downside is that Cyclone is not

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Alain Sepeda
Cyclone power had it's fashion time, but today they are a penny stock. Anyway they seems dynamic and competent. In france about micro-turbine I know Exoes, in scandinavia Climeon... today they target waste heat. I maintain a scoop.it on that domain http://www.scoop.it/t/thermal-to-electric-con

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Kevin O'Malley
>From many experts in engine I've heard that stirling engine are not a realistic solution... They are popular but don't works well on the field. (hearsay) ***Perhaps that is because there hasn't been much money poured into R&D for stirlings. If LENR were to break out of its skeptopathic prison cel

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Alain Sepeda
>From many experts in engine I've heard that stirling engine are not a realistic solution... They are popular but don't works well on the field. (hearsay) Only application seems to be small 1kWmech electric production in CHP. this may be very usefull anyway for home CHP. I've heard better about ra

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-15 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Blaze: If Rossi turned out to be "real", then what do you think would happen to Stirling Cycle Engine technology? In particular, a company like CYPW would skyrocket, right? On Sun, May 11, 2014 at 5:03 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > Decreasing probability to 46% based on lack of news from Nanor

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-13 Thread Bob Cook
I agree that your reference is correct. I still wonder if there was/is a customer of Hydrofusion? Bob - Original Message - From: Jones Beene To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Tuesday, May 13, 2014 8:02 AM Subject: RE: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to

RE: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-13 Thread Jones Beene
From: Bob Cook Has anyone heard about the operation of the Rossi unit that was "sold" to the Swedish entity for the cost of the heat it produces? Mats Lewan talks about this event but does not have any follow-up about what happened … I think he was referring to the Hydrofusion off

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-13 Thread Bob Cook
Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35% "Gamberale told me that the findings he describes in the report could bring damage to serious research activities within LENR" Sady it have started... the anti-LENr already says that we cannot trust anything, a

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-13 Thread Alain Sepeda
"Gamberale told me that the findings he describes in the report could bring damage to serious research activities within LENR" Sady it have started... the anti-LENr already says that we cannot trust anything, about E-cat test because of the Milan demo tricks by Defkalion. It will be a very powerf

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-13 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Luca is the ultimate insider and it reads like only almost an accusation. What we're seeing here is a continuation of the pattern that has made us so wary of cold fusion. Bayesian analysis relies on patterns, and the probability that Rossi will also follow this pattern has just increased significa

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-12 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, May 12, 2014 at 10:41 PM, Blaze Spinnaker wrote: Decreasing the probability to 35% based on shattering news of the Defkalion > demo being completely worthless. I hesitate to say it, but It almost > sounds like fraud is being implied. > > > http://animpossibleinvention.com/2014/05/12/defka

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-12 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Decreasing the probability to 35% based on shattering news of the Defkalion demo being completely worthless. I hesitate to say it, but It almost sounds like fraud is being implied. http://animpossibleinvention.com/2014/05/12/defkalion-demo-proven-not-to-be-reliable/ On Sun, May 11, 2014 at 5:03

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-05-11 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Decreasing probability to 46% based on lack of news from Nanor but up to 47% based on recent news from Darden in China: http://www.icebank.cn/news/detail_2.php?id=118 hat tip: http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/05/09/tom-darden-involved-in-opening-of-nickel-hydrogen-energy-research-center-in-tianjin

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-28 Thread Terry Blanton
An interview from last month by Alex of DGT: http://allaboutalpha.com/blog/2014/01/30/energy-at-less-than-0-01-per-kw-an-interview-with-alex-xanthoulis/

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Jed Rothwell
David L Babcock wrote: > http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ >> >> This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat energy >> you need to run these, though perhaps they could be optimized for a Nanor >> device. >> > > A thermoelectric chip would probably be more practical. A Seebeck >

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-02-11 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
It's 27:1 .. it might work! On Tue, Feb 11, 2014 at 3:40 PM, David L Babcock wrote: > On 2/11/2014 9:32 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > > Blaze Spinnaker wrote: > > http://bettigue.blogspot.de/ >> >> This guy has very cool stirling engines. I wonder how much heat energy >> you need to run these

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