Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread spudboy100 via Everything List
The understanding of modal realism may be indicated from the results of this 
graphene experiment. It seems to postulate a twin, tidally locked world duo. It 
is, as it were, Everett's MWI interacting, perhaps down on Planck-ville?
https://scitechdaily.com/our-reality-may-only-be-half-of-a-pair-of-interacting-worlds/
As Jim Morrison intoned, long ago, Break on through to the other side.


-Original Message-
From: Brent Meeker 
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, May 15, 2022 3:30 pm
Subject: Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism



On 5/15/2022 12:11 AM, smitra wrote:
> On 15-05-2022 00:55, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>> On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:
>>
>>> On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:
>>>
 Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
 collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new
>>> physics.
 I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+ 
>>> can
 explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.
>>>
>>> The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of
>>> (mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
>>> approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy
>>>
>>> increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results
>>>
>>> that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against
>>> the
>>> MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.
>>
>> Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of
>> the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest
>> non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements
>> become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say
>> that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have
>> reached a classical world.
>>
>>> Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
>>> system to evolve in a non-unitary way.
>>
>> It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
>> explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.
>>
>> Bruce
>
> I see, but these sorts of models can already be ruled out. There are 
> plenty of simple systems where one can make extremely accurate 
> measurements on which can be kept totally isolated and quantum 
> coherent for long enough where such effects would have become visible.

If it's isolated the probability amplitudes are not changing  so a 
non-zero minimum probability would have no consequence.  You're thinking 
of experiments to refute spontaneous collapse theories; but I don't know 
that any have been done. GRW chose the parameters so the system has to 
be quite big in order to observe spontaneous collapse in reasonable 
isolation period.

Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/15/2022 12:11 AM, smitra wrote:

On 15-05-2022 00:55, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:


On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new

physics.

I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+ 

can

explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.


The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of
(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy

increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results

that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against
the
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of
the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest
non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements
become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say
that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have
reached a classical world.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
system to evolve in a non-unitary way.


It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.

Bruce


I see, but these sorts of models can already be ruled out. There are 
plenty of simple systems where one can make extremely accurate 
measurements on which can be kept totally isolated and quantum 
coherent for long enough where such effects would have become visible.


If it's isolated the probability amplitudes are not changing  so a 
non-zero minimum probability would have no consequence.  You're thinking 
of experiments to refute spontaneous collapse theories; but I don't know 
that any have been done. GRW chose the parameters so the system has to 
be quite big in order to observe spontaneous collapse in reasonable 
isolation period.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 5:53 PM smitra  wrote:

> On 15-05-2022 09:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 5:11 PM smitra  wrote:
> >
> >> On 15-05-2022 00:55, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> >>> On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:
> >>>
> >>>
> >>> Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of
> >>> the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest
> >>> non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements
> >>> become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say
> >>> that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have
> >>> reached a classical world.
> >>>
>  Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
>  system to evolve in a non-unitary way.
> >>>
> >>> It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
> >>> explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.
> >>>
> >>> Bruce
> >>
> >> I see, but these sorts of models can already be ruled out. There are
> >> plenty of simple systems where one can make extremely accurate
> >> measurements on which can be kept totally isolated and quantum coherent
> >> for long enough where such effects would have become visible.
> >
> > The effects are due to decoherent entanglement with the environment.
> > So of course they are not seen in isolated systems. Duh.
> >
>
> If you don't trace over environmental degrees of freedom and include
> everything in your description, then you just have a unitary evolution
> operator U for a time step delta t. The evolution operator for n time
> steps is U^n, which is unitary if U is unitary. The question is how we
> end up with a non-unitary result this way. Your answer will then
> probably be that we must modify this rule and remove entries in the
> matrix U^n that are below some small cutoff value. If this is then the
> general rule for the time evolution of quantum systems, then this can be
> verified in the lab.
>

We were discussing the idea that there is a smallest non-zero probability.
Decoherence involves entanglement with large numbers of environmental
degrees of freedom. In these interactions, some terms become small (so that
the off-diagonal elements of the density matrix become small). These
represent probabilities. If there is a smallest non-zero probability, some
of these terms will eventually drop below the threshold and become zero in
reality, not just FAPP. In this model, this happens by the unitary
evolution of the system in the environment., so it follows that unitary
evolution alone can lead to non-unitary collapse. But, I stress that this
is under the assumption of a smallest non-zero probability. This is
speculative, and if the assumption is not true, then we are back to a FAPP
collapse from the partial trace over neglected environmental terms. The
difference might well be amenable to experimental test, but I suspect that
it is outside the reach of current experiments.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread John Clark
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 6:45 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

*> As I have pointed out, no finite number can be "sufficiently large". You
> need an infinite number of branches,*


I have no idea how you figured that.


> *> the SE only ever predicts a finite number of branches. *


That depends on the fundamental nature of space and time which nobody knows
because nobody knows of a quantum theory for gravity. If time and space are
really continuous then Schrodinger's Equation predicts an infinite number
of branches, but if the concepts break down at the Planck level and space
and time are discrete then there are only an astronomical number to an
astronomical power number of branches.

 > *The SE does not assign probabilities,*


True.

*> those have to be imposed as an additional assumption.*


If you want to get probabilities out of the quantum wave (and if you
couldn't then there would be no point to Schrodinger's Equation because it
would have no connection to reality) mathematically it has been proven the
Born Rule is the only way to do it.  As I have pointed out many times, the
Born Rule is NOT an assumption, it is an experimentally derived *FACT* that
every modern quantum idea makes use of. No theory can dispute a fact
derived from observation or experimentation, and if a human being doesn't
like that fact that's just too bad because the universe is the way it is
and doesn't need human approval.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

han

fde

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread smitra

On 15-05-2022 09:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 5:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 15-05-2022 00:55, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:


The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area

of

(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to

entropy

increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous

results


that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections

against the

MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal

elements of

the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a

smallest

non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements
become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to

say

that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have
reached a classical world.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause

a

system to evolve in a non-unitary way.


It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.

Bruce


I see, but these sorts of models can already be ruled out. There are

plenty of simple systems where one can make extremely accurate
measurements on which can be kept totally isolated and quantum
coherent
for long enough where such effects would have become visible.


The effects are due to decoherent entanglement with the environment.
So of course they are not seen in isolated systems. Duh.



If you don't trace over environmental degrees of freedom and include 
everything in your description, then you just have a unitary evolution 
operator U for a time step delta t. The evolution operator for n time 
steps is U^n, which is unitary if U is unitary. The question is how we 
end up with a non-unitary result this way. Your answer will then 
probably be that we must modify this rule and remove entries in the 
matrix U^n that are below some small cutoff value. If this is then the 
general rule for the time evolution of quantum systems, then this can be 
verified in the lab.


Saibal



Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread smitra

On 15-05-2022 05:11, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/14/2022 3:55 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:


On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:


On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain

the

collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new

physics.

I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+ 
probability> can

explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI

here.

The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of

(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to
entropy
increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous
results
that are uncontroversial.


But it is more than "effectively" irreversible because decohering
information spreads at the speed of light, and in an expanding
universe cannot be captured and reversed.  This why I think there is
some relation between the holographic principle, expansion of the
universe, Hawking-Bekenstien entropy, and a non-zero minimum
probability.



It's still only effectively irreversible because nothing stops one from 
reflecting all the escaping photons back. If we use mirrors that are 
cooled to almost absolute zero, then the leakage of information from the 
interior that results from having carried out a spin measurement there 
can be made arbitrarily small, so the probability that the information 
escapes from the confined region can be made arbitrarily small. There is 
no connection between our ability to observe something and the processes 
involved in making sure the photons don't escape, so whether or not 
there are actually these supercool mirrors reflecting all the photons 
back to recreate the initial state cannot be relevant.


Saibal



Brent


People may still have objections against the
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements
of the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a
smallest non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal
elements become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture.
Which is to say that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases,
and  we have reached a classical world.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a

system to evolve in a non-unitary way.


It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.

Bruce


Bruce is omitting something here,
perhaps some limits in which the time evolution operator becomes
degenerate or something like that. But a product of two unitary
transforms is a unitary transform, so the nth power of a unitary
transform is also a unitary transform. There is no ay you can get
anything non-unitary out of this, unless possibly in the limit of
n to
infinity.

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 5:11 PM smitra  wrote:

> On 15-05-2022 00:55, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:
> >
> >> The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of
> >> (mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
> >> approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy
> >> increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results
> >>
> >> that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against the
> >> MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.
> >
> > Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of
> > the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest
> > non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements
> > become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say
> > that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have
> > reached a classical world.
> >
> >> Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
> >> system to evolve in a non-unitary way.
> >
> > It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
> > explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.
> >
> > Bruce
>
> I see, but these sorts of models can already be ruled out. There are
> plenty of simple systems where one can make extremely accurate
> measurements on which can be kept totally isolated and quantum coherent
> for long enough where such effects would have become visible.
>

The effects are due to decoherent entanglement with the environment. So of
course they are not seen in isolated systems. Duh.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread smitra

On 15-05-2022 00:55, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:


On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new

physics.

I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+ 

can

explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.


The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of
(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy

increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results

that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against
the
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of
the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest
non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements
become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say
that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have
reached a classical world.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
system to evolve in a non-unitary way.


It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above
explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.

Bruce


I see, but these sorts of models can already be ruled out. There are 
plenty of simple systems where one can make extremely accurate 
measurements on which can be kept totally isolated and quantum coherent 
for long enough where such effects would have become visible.


Saibal

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-15 Thread smitra

On 14-05-2022 21:11, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/14/2022 8:16 AM, smitra wrote:

On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/13/2022 12:32 PM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 22:27, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:42 AM, smitra wrote:


All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function
evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a
purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since
it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a
physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).


That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete 
fundamental

theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is
then possible, including the existence of a multiverse.


Which is about as explanatory as "God did it."  Explaining the 
values
of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,  it's explaining 
that

there ARE probabilities even though nothing happens, and when and
where the probabilities arise.



I agree with what John Clark said in his reply.

To add to that, the "God did it" thing applies far more to the CI, 
because there one postulates the collapse without explaining the 
mechanism for it. In the MWI one assumes that the appearance of 
collapse can be explained from the known dynamics.


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new physics.
I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+  
can

explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.


The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of 
(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming 
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy 
increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results 
that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against the 
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a 
system to evolve in a non-unitary way. Bruce is omitting something 
here, perhaps some limits in which the time evolution operator becomes 
degenerate or something like that. But a product of two unitary 
transforms is a unitary transform, so the nth power of a unitary 
transform is also a unitary transform. There is no ay you can get 
anything non-unitary out of this, unless possibly in the limit of n to 
infinity.



  My
attitude toward interpretations is that they are unimportant in
themselves, but they are useful in pointing to new, more 
comprehensive

and accurate theories.  That's one reason I'm not impressed by MWI
since it seems to ex hypothesi put any emprical testing out of reach.



But that's because MWI amounts to omitting something from a theory 
that's not needed.


But something is needed.  The appearance of the classical world we
experience (as well as quantum gravity, which maybe unrelated).



There is no evidence for any additional dynamic rule that induces 
collapse. Evidence that it is actually needed can come from experiments 
that demonstrates faster decoherence than what one would expect given 
the theoretical modeling based on assuming only the usual unitary time 
evolution.


Saibal



Brent

It's like what would have happened if Einstein had formulated his 
theory of special relativity but he had kept the ether to serve as the 
medium with strange properties such that you still have the 
equivalence of inertial frames. If you then had formulated your 
alternative version of special relativity by saying that the ether 
doesn't exist, then people who would have stuck to the idea what an 
ether must exist could have argued in the same way, i.e. that you are 
not adding anything that can be tested experimentally.


Saibal


Brent

Those explanations may not be satisfactory as of yet, but that's 
typical for most of science. There are phenomena that as of yet are 
not well explained, but that does not (necessarily) lead us to 
postulate new physics all the time. Doing so would make us like 
creationists who tend to invoke a "God of the gaps".


Saibal



Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/14/2022 3:55 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:

On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:

> Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
> collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new
physics.
> I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+  can
> explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.

The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of
(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy
increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results
that are uncontroversial. 



But it is more than "effectively" irreversible because decohering 
information spreads at the speed of light, and in an expanding universe 
cannot be captured and reversed.  This why I think there is some 
relation between the holographic principle, expansion of the universe, 
Hawking-Bekenstien entropy, and a non-zero minimum probability.


Brent


People may still have objections against the
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of 
the density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest 
non-zero probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements 
become zero. This reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say 
that there is a collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have 
reached a classical world.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
system to evolve in a non-unitary way.


It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above 
explanation. Bruce has not omitted anything.


Bruce

Bruce is omitting something here,
perhaps some limits in which the time evolution operator becomes
degenerate or something like that. But a product of two unitary
transforms is a unitary transform, so the nth power of a unitary
transform is also a unitary transform. There is no ay you can get
anything non-unitary out of this, unless possibly in the limit of
n to
infinity.

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 1:17 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:
>
> > Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
> > collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new physics.
> > I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+  can
> > explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.
>
> The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of
> (mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming
> approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy
> increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results
> that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against the
> MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.
>

Yes. And decoherence says that with time, the off-diagonal elements of the
density matrix become arbitrarily small. If there is a smallest non-zero
probability, then eventually these off-diagonal elements become zero. This
reduces the pure state to a mixture. Which is to say that there is a
collapse; unitary evolution ceases, and  we have reached a classical world.

Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a
> system to evolve in a non-unitary way.


It does when decoherence is taken into account. See the above explanation.
Bruce has not omitted anything.

Bruce

Bruce is omitting something here,
> perhaps some limits in which the time evolution operator becomes
> degenerate or something like that. But a product of two unitary
> transforms is a unitary transform, so the nth power of a unitary
> transform is also a unitary transform. There is no ay you can get
> anything non-unitary out of this, unless possibly in the limit of n to
> infinity.
>

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sun, May 15, 2022 at 5:03 AM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 5/14/2022 4:35 AM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
>
> The trouble is that the duplicating machine makes only one copy, so there
> is one for Moscow and one for Helsinki. There are no multiple copies in the
> original scenario. Changing the nature of the question is not an answer.
>
> The reason I repeat this is that the Schrodinger equation gives one branch
> for each component of the superposition -- one branch for each dimension of
> the Hilbert space. So I ask again, how do you accommodate a situation in
> which there is a 90% chance of being on one branch and a 10% chance of
> being on the other branch, as per the Born rule? Changing the number of
> branches (or duplicates) is fine in a general theory, but not in QM. The SE
> gives only one branch for each outcome. What you are really saying is that
> the SE is inconsistent with the Born rule --  a point I have been making
> all along.
>
>
> Even Sean Carroll who is a proponent of MWI says that it's necessary to
> associate "weights" or "amplitudes" with branches.  I think it's possible
> to do it with branch counting if you assume some sufficiently large number
> are available to split...but that's not much different than assigning
> amplitudes.
>

As I have pointed out, no finite number can be "sufficiently large". You
need an infinite number of branches, and then you have moved well outside
the domain of the SE, since the SE only ever predicts a finite number of
branches. You cannot get the Born rule from the SE applied to a normal wave
function. The SE does not assign probabilities, those have to be imposed as
an additional assumption. Assign weights to branches all you like, but you
then have to show that these weights correspond to normal probabilities in
the prediction of experimental results.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread John Clark
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 3:03 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

 > *I think it's possible to do it *[assign probabilities] *with branch
> counting if you assume some sufficiently large number are available to
> split...but that's not much different than assigning amplitudes.*


Agreed.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

ecd

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/14/2022 8:16 AM, smitra wrote:

On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/13/2022 12:32 PM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 22:27, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:42 AM, smitra wrote:


All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function
evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a
purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since
it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a
physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).


That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete fundamental
theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is
then possible, including the existence of a multiverse.


Which is about as explanatory as "God did it."  Explaining the values
of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,  it's explaining that
there ARE probabilities even though nothing happens, and when and
where the probabilities arise.



I agree with what John Clark said in his reply.

To add to that, the "God did it" thing applies far more to the CI, 
because there one postulates the collapse without explaining the 
mechanism for it. In the MWI one assumes that the appearance of 
collapse can be explained from the known dynamics.


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new physics.
I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+  can
explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.


The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of 
(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming 
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy 
increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results 
that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against the 
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a 
system to evolve in a non-unitary way. Bruce is omitting something 
here, perhaps some limits in which the time evolution operator becomes 
degenerate or something like that. But a product of two unitary 
transforms is a unitary transform, so the nth power of a unitary 
transform is also a unitary transform. There is no ay you can get 
anything non-unitary out of this, unless possibly in the limit of n to 
infinity.



  My
attitude toward interpretations is that they are unimportant in
themselves, but they are useful in pointing to new, more comprehensive
and accurate theories.  That's one reason I'm not impressed by MWI
since it seems to ex hypothesi put any emprical testing out of reach.



But that's because MWI amounts to omitting something from a theory 
that's not needed. 


But something is needed.  The appearance of the classical world we 
experience (as well as quantum gravity, which maybe unrelated).


Brent

It's like what would have happened if Einstein had formulated his 
theory of special relativity but he had kept the ether to serve as the 
medium with strange properties such that you still have the 
equivalence of inertial frames. If you then had formulated your 
alternative version of special relativity by saying that the ether 
doesn't exist, then people who would have stuck to the idea what an 
ether must exist could have argued in the same way, i.e. that you are 
not adding anything that can be tested experimentally.


Saibal


Brent

Those explanations may not be satisfactory as of yet, but that's 
typical for most of science. There are phenomena that as of yet are 
not well explained, but that does not (necessarily) lead us to 
postulate new physics all the time. Doing so would make us like 
creationists who tend to invoke a "God of the gaps".


Saibal



Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/14/2022 4:35 AM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 9:19 PM John Clark  wrote:

On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 10:41 PM Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

>> After my body has been duplicated but before I have open
the door of the duplicating chamber to see where I was I
won't know if Iwill be the John Clark who has seen Moscow
or the John Clark who has seen Helsinki, and indeed the
distinction between the two would be meaningless because
the two would be identical until the door is opened and
they differentiate because then one has the memory of
seeing Moscow but the other has the memory of seeing
Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a bet on what they
would see after the door was opened (and if one decided to
place a bet then the other certainly would too because
they're identical) then, provided they were logical,and I
think I am at least most of the time, they would both put
the odds at 50-50.


/> So how do you accommodate a situation in which there is a
90% chance of seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki?/


*You've asked that exact same question several times before so
I'll answer it the exact same way I did before because you never
made an argument against what I said, you just keep asking the
same question again. If I know the duplicating machine has made 10
copies of me and that 9 of them are in Helsinki and 1 is in Moscow
then then 9 John Clark's will remember seeing Helsinki but only 1
will remember seeing Moscow; so if they place odds after the
duplication but before the door was opened and they observe where
they are they would all say there was a 90% chance they were in
Helsinki, and 90% of them would turn out to be correct and would
win their bet. *


The trouble is that the duplicating machine makes only one copy, so 
there is one for Moscow and one for Helsinki. There are no 
multiple copies in the original scenario. Changing the nature of the 
question is not an answer.


The reason I repeat this is that the Schrodinger equation gives one 
branch for each component of the superposition -- one branch for each 
dimension of the Hilbert space. So I ask again, how do you accommodate 
a situation in which there is a 90% chance of being on one branch and 
a 10% chance of being on the other branch, as per the Born rule? 
Changing the number of branches (or duplicates) is fine in a 
general theory, but not in QM. The SE gives only one branch for each 
outcome. What you are really saying is that the SE is inconsistent 
with the Born rule --  a point I have been making all along.


Even Sean Carroll who is a proponent of MWI says that it's necessary to 
associate "weights" or "amplitudes" with branches.  I think it's 
possible to do it with branch counting if you assume some sufficiently 
large number are available to split...but that's not much different than 
assigning amplitudes.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread smitra

On 14-05-2022 03:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 5:51 AM smitra  wrote:


On 12-05-2022 22:18, Brent Meeker wrote:


I agree.  And in fact SE fails all the time.  It fails to predict

a

definite outcome...which is OK if you accept probabilistic

theories.

Physics doesn't work in this way. You always need to define a well
defined hypothesis first in order to interpret experimental results
and
be able to test various alternative hypotheses/theories. If you
don't do
this, you are not doing physics.


Tell that to the army of people who pounce on every anomaly that
appears in analyses of partial data from the LHC or Tevatron. Every
anomaly produces a slew of papers, all proposing "explanations" of the
anomaly. This is an industry, it is not physics. Generally the
anomalies go away with time and further data -- there are no "well
defined hypotheses" at work here.



These are well defined hypotheses. They then explain the anomaly, but 
not much else. They are not going to be accepted as a promising 
candidate for a new theory unless a lot more experimental data comes in 
to confirm one of them.




But then its real failure is that it doesn't tell you exactly when

and

where and why it stops unitary evolution and produces a result.


That's a failure of particular interpretations of QM, e.g. the CI
that
postulate collapse.


The Born rule tells us the probability of a result...IF there is

one.

Decoherence tells there's an asymptotic approach to a result and
why...but not when and where it arrives.


Decoherence does does tell you how the different sectors split over
time.


Not if unitary evolution is exact and always. You have often argued
that the original superposition never really goes away. Strictly, that
means that the initial state is still intact, and nothing has in fact
happened.


Why would nothing have happened? The observer is internal to the system 
and is in an entangled state with the measured system and the local 
environment.



Decoherence has to work through to a conclusion if the
sectors are to split and a definite result is to emerge.


Definite results are not needed because the observers are internal to 
the system, there is no outside observer external to  the entire 
universe.



This is where
unitary evolution breaks down. Taken literally it never leads to a
result. Just as in a quantum computer -- the internal unitary
evolution has to invoke decoherence and collapse in order for a result
to emerge.



Only from the point of view of an external observer. But there is 
nothing external to the universe.



You need some marker of the point at which the different sectors
finally differentiate. The SE itself is clearly not the whole
story...you need something like a minimum non-zero probability! Or
an acceptance that FAPP is good enough, along with an understanding of
when FAPP is good enough.



Or just accept that we also consist of partielces and are not external 
to the universe.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread smitra

On 13-05-2022 22:06, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/13/2022 11:47 AM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 22:18, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:17 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 23:02, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 11:51 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  
wrote:



On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there 
is

-- it
explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in 
the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any 
experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good
theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot 
be

the

whole story.

As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There 
are no


good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome 
for

each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal 
symmetry is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know 
that the fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent 
discrepancy can be explained, it's not evidence for time 
reversibility being violated in nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point 
out.




There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the 
Born rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a 
fundamental law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and 
the Born rule. But a real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Not in QBism.  It's just updating your prior.  Seems a perfect fit 
for
someone who wants to take an information theoretic approach and 
model

consciousness as an algorithm.



A real collapse is nevertheless inconsistent with the SE, there 
would exist physical processes where the SE would fail. If real 
collapse is supposed to happen in experiments, then because 
experiments are ultimately just many particle interactions then that 
means that, in general, the SE cannot be exactly valid.  We may then 
try to observe small violations of the SE in the lab.


I agree.  And in fact SE fails all the time.  It fails to predict a
definite outcome...which is OK if you accept probabilistic theories.


Physics doesn't work in this way. You always need to define a well 
defined hypothesis first in order to interpret experimental results 
and be able to test various alternative hypotheses/theories. If you 
don't do this, you are not doing physics.


Which is why assuming the SE is the whole truth even though it
predicts that everything possible happens, isn't doing physics.



Everything possible also happens in eternal inflation theories due to 
the infinite universe that these theories predict. So, that feature of 
the theory isn't the relevant physics content. The same is true for the 
MWI, where the relevant physics content isn't that I have a copy 
somewhere in the multiverse, but the prediction that isolated systems 
always evolve according to a unitary time evolution. IF CI is true then 
even a totally isolated system must have a probability of undergoing a 
non-unitary collapse.


Saibal


Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread smitra

On 13-05-2022 21:59, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/13/2022 12:32 PM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 22:27, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:42 AM, smitra wrote:


All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function
evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a
purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since
it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a
physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).


That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete fundamental
theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is
then possible, including the existence of a multiverse.


Which is about as explanatory as "God did it."  Explaining the values
of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,  it's explaining 
that

there ARE probabilities even though nothing happens, and when and
where the probabilities arise.



I agree with what John Clark said in his reply.

To add to that, the "God did it" thing applies far more to the CI, 
because there one postulates the collapse without explaining the 
mechanism for it. In the MWI one assumes that the appearance of 
collapse can be explained from the known dynamics.


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the
collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new physics. 
I hypothesize (not assume) that CI+  can
explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.


The big advantage is that decoherence is a well researched area of 
(mathematical) physics, results like the density matrix becoming 
approximately diagonal, and relations between decoherence to entropy 
increase making it effectively irreversible are all rigorous results 
that are uncontroversial. People may still have objections against the 
MWI, but they'll still accept these results on decoherence.


Non-zero minimum probability on its own, however, does not cause a 
system to evolve in a non-unitary way. Bruce is omitting something here, 
perhaps some limits in which the time evolution operator becomes 
degenerate or something like that. But a product of two unitary 
transforms is a unitary transform, so the nth power of a unitary 
transform is also a unitary transform. There is no ay you can get 
anything non-unitary out of this, unless possibly in the limit of n to 
infinity.



  My
attitude toward interpretations is that they are unimportant in
themselves, but they are useful in pointing to new, more comprehensive
and accurate theories.  That's one reason I'm not impressed by MWI
since it seems to ex hypothesi put any emprical testing out of reach.



But that's because MWI amounts to omitting something from a theory 
that's not needed. It's like what would have happened if Einstein had 
formulated his theory of special relativity but he had kept the ether to 
serve as the medium with strange properties such that you still have the 
equivalence of inertial frames. If you then had formulated your 
alternative version of special relativity by saying that the ether 
doesn't exist, then people who would have stuck to the idea what an 
ether must exist could have argued in the same way, i.e. that you are 
not adding anything that can be tested experimentally.


Saibal


Brent

Those explanations may not be satisfactory as of yet, but that's 
typical for most of science. There are phenomena that as of yet are 
not well explained, but that does not (necessarily) lead us to 
postulate new physics all the time. Doing so would make us like 
creationists who tend to invoke a "God of the gaps".


Saibal



Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread John Clark
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 7:35 AM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

*>>> So how do you accommodate a situation in which there is a 90% chance
>>> of seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki?*
>>>
>>
>> >> You've asked that exact same question several times before so I'll
>> answer it the exact same way I did before because you never made an
>> argument against what I said, you just keep asking the same question again.
>> If I know the duplicating machine has made 10 copies of me and that 9 of
>> them are in Helsinki and 1 is in Moscow then then 9 John Clark's will
>> remember seeing Helsinki but only 1 will remember seeing Moscow; so if
>> they place odds after the duplication but before the door was opened and
>> they observe where they are they would all say there was a 90% chance
>> they were in Helsinki, and 90% of them would turn out to be correct
>> and would win their bet.
>>
>
> *> The trouble is that the duplicating machine makes only one copy, so
> there is one for Moscow and one for Helsinki. There are no multiple copies
> in the original scenario. Changing the nature of the question is not an
> answer.*
>

Huh?!  The question asked of me was how could I explain a 90% chance of
seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki and I have done so. If
only one copy has been made then there would *NOT* be a 90% chance of
seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki.


>  > *So I ask again, how do you accommodate a situation in which there is
> a 90% chance of being on one branch and a 10% chance of being on the other
> branch*


And I would answer that question exactly precisely the same way I have
already answered it so many times before and absolutely refused to do again
until somebody points to an objection I haven't already answered a dozen
times before.

*> Changing the number of branches (or duplicates) is fine in a
> general theory, but not in QM. The SE gives only one branch for each
> outcome.*
>

And moving one hydrogen atom in your big toe (or even the big toe of your
neighbor across the street) one nanometer to the left is a change that will
split a universe if MWI is correct, but that outcome will not make a
difference to your conscious experience, at least not immediately, perhaps
in time it will due to classical chaos but that's irrelevant for this
discussion.


> *> What you are really saying is that the SE is inconsistent with the Born
> rule --  a point I have been making all along.*
>

We already know mathematically that if you want to get probabilities out of
the wave equation and have all the probabilities add up to exactly 1 and
none of the probabilities have a negative value (and you need those things
for the very concept of probability to make any sense) then the Born rule
is the only way to do it; I think that's why Brent said "*Explaining the
values of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI, it's explaining
that there **are** probabilities**". *I guess for some reason you disagree
with Brent.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  *Extropolis*

zmv

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread John Clark
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 2:27 AM Quentin Anciaux  wrote:

*> It has taken almost 20 years, but finally you acknowledge first person
> indeterminacy...*


Well I have always acknowledged that if a conscious brain is exactly
duplicated then there is only 1 conscious experience not 2 because the 2
brains are identical and identical objects do identical things in identical
circumstances. And I have always acknowledged that if a single change is
then made, one remembers seeing Moscow but the other remembers seeing
Helsinki, then there are now 2 brains producing 2 different conscious
experiences. And I have always insisted, and still insist, that after the
duplication has been made but before an observation is allowed, it would be
meaningless to ask if you are The Moscow Man or The Helsinki Man because
neither The Moscow Man or the Helsinki Man will exist until Moscow and
Helsinki are observed and a memory is made to differentiate the 2.

And I certainly think it is absolutely ridiculous to claim a great
discovery and base a philosophy on nothing but a grammatical quirk in the
English language and in most if not all human languages; in particular in
the way they use personal pronouns such as "you"; that word works fine in
everyday life but certainly *NOT* when posing thought experiments designed
to probe the fundamental nature of personal identity.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

nte

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 9:19 PM John Clark  wrote:

> On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 10:41 PM Bruce Kellett 
> wrote:
>
> >> After my body has been duplicated but before I have open the door of
>>> the duplicating chamber to see where I was I won't know if I will be
>>> the John Clark who has seen Moscow or the John Clark who has seen Helsinki,
>>> and indeed the distinction between the two would be meaningless because the
>>> two would be identical until the door is opened and they differentiate
>>> because then one has the memory of seeing Moscow but the other has the
>>> memory of seeing Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a bet on what they
>>> would see after the door was opened (and if one decided to place a bet then
>>> the other certainly would too because they're identical) then, provided
>>> they were logical,and I think I am at least most of the time, they would
>>> both put the odds at 50-50.
>>>
>>
>> *> So how do you accommodate a situation in which there is a 90% chance
>> of seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki?*
>>
>
> *You've asked that exact same question several times before so I'll answer
> it the exact same way I did before because you never made an argument
> against what I said, you just keep asking the same question again. If I
> know the duplicating machine has made 10 copies of me and that 9 of them
> are in Helsinki and 1 is in Moscow then then 9 John Clark's will remember
> seeing Helsinki but only 1 will remember seeing Moscow; so if they place
> odds after the duplication but before the door was opened and they observe
> where they are they would all say there was a 90% chance they were in
> Helsinki, and 90% of them would turn out to be correct and would win their
> bet. *
>

The trouble is that the duplicating machine makes only one copy, so there
is one for Moscow and one for Helsinki. There are no multiple copies in the
original scenario. Changing the nature of the question is not an answer.

The reason I repeat this is that the Schrodinger equation gives one branch
for each component of the superposition -- one branch for each dimension of
the Hilbert space. So I ask again, how do you accommodate a situation in
which there is a 90% chance of being on one branch and a 10% chance of
being on the other branch, as per the Born rule? Changing the number of
branches (or duplicates) is fine in a general theory, but not in QM. The SE
gives only one branch for each outcome. What you are really saying is that
the SE is inconsistent with the Born rule --  a point I have been making
all along.

Bruce

>

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread John Clark
On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 10:41 PM Bruce Kellett 
wrote:

>> After my body has been duplicated but before I have open the door of the
>> duplicating chamber to see where I was I won't know if I will be the
>> John Clark who has seen Moscow or the John Clark who has seen Helsinki, and
>> indeed the distinction between the two would be meaningless because the two
>> would be identical until the door is opened and they differentiate because 
>> then
>> one has the memory of seeing Moscow but the other has the memory of
>> seeing Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a bet on what they would see
>> after the door was opened (and if one decided to place a bet then the other
>> certainly would too because they're identical) then, provided they were
>> logical,and I think I am at least most of the time, they would both put the
>> odds at 50-50.
>>
>
> *> So how do you accommodate a situation in which there is a 90% chance of
> seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki?*
>

*You've asked that exact same question several times before so I'll answer
it the exact same way I did before because you never made an argument
against what I said, you just keep asking the same question again. If I
know the duplicating machine has made 10 copies of me and that 9 of them
are in Helsinki and 1 is in Moscow then then 9 John Clark's will remember
seeing Helsinki but only 1 will remember seeing Moscow; so if they place
odds after the duplication but before the door was opened and they observe
where they are they would all say there was a 90% chance they were in
Helsinki, and 90% of them would turn out to be correct and would win their
bet. *

*And even if the machine made an infinite number of copies, all slightly
different, there would still only be a FINITE number of them that have
brains similar enough to mine to produce a conscious experience virtually
identical to that of John Clark's.*

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  *Extropolis*

w61

lmt

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On Sat, 14 May 2022 at 12:06, John Clark  wrote:

> On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 9:46 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
> *>>> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with
 MWI,  it's explaining that there are probabilities*
>>>
>>>
>>> >> That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually
>>> look at it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who lives in
>>> a universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent Meeker who
>>> lives in a universe where the electron went right, due to the fact that the
>>> only difference between the two Brent Meekers is what the electron does.
>>>
>>
>> > But you don’t think this applies with non MWI duplication.
>>
>
> That is simply NOT true! After my body has been duplicated but before I
> have open the door of the duplicating chamber to see where I was I won't
> know if I will be the John Clark who has seen Moscow or the John Clark
> who has seen Helsinki, and indeed the distinction between the two would be
> meaningless because the two would be identical until the door is opened and
> they differentiate because then one has the memory of seeing Moscow but
> the other has the memory of seeing Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a
> bet on what they would see after the door was opened (and if one decided to
> place a bet then the other certainly would too because they're identical)
> then, provided they were logical,and I think I am at least most of the
> time, they would both put the odds at 50-50.
>

Well, I’m sorry, because I previously had the impression that you
vehemently disagreed with this.

> --
Stathis Papaioannou

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-14 Thread Quentin Anciaux
Le sam. 14 mai 2022, 04:06, John Clark  a écrit :

> On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 9:46 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
> *>>> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with
 MWI,  it's explaining that there are probabilities*
>>>
>>>
>>> >> That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually
>>> look at it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who lives in
>>> a universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent Meeker who
>>> lives in a universe where the electron went right, due to the fact that the
>>> only difference between the two Brent Meekers is what the electron does.
>>>
>>
>> > But you don’t think this applies with non MWI duplication.
>>
>
> That is simply NOT true! After my body has been duplicated but before I
> have open the door of the duplicating chamber to see where I was I won't
> know if I will be the John Clark who has seen Moscow or the John Clark
> who has seen Helsinki, and indeed the distinction between the two would be
> meaningless because the two would be identical until the door is opened and
> they differentiate because then one has the memory of seeing Moscow but
> the other has the memory of seeing Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a
> bet on what they would see after the door was opened (and if one decided to
> place a bet then the other certainly would too because they're identical)
> then, provided they were logical,and I think I am at least most of the
> time, they would both put the odds at 50-50.
>

It has taken almost 20 years, but finally you acknowledge first person
indeterminacy...

藍

Quentin

>
>   John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> 
> lmt
>
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 12:06 PM John Clark  wrote:

> On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 9:46 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
> *>>> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with
 MWI,  it's explaining that there are probabilities*
>>>
>>>
>>> >> That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually
>>> look at it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who lives in
>>> a universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent Meeker who
>>> lives in a universe where the electron went right, due to the fact that the
>>> only difference between the two Brent Meekers is what the electron does.
>>>
>>
>> > But you don’t think this applies with non MWI duplication.
>>
>
> That is simply NOT true! After my body has been duplicated but before I
> have open the door of the duplicating chamber to see where I was I won't
> know if I will be the John Clark who has seen Moscow or the John Clark
> who has seen Helsinki, and indeed the distinction between the two would be
> meaningless because the two would be identical until the door is opened and
> they differentiate because then one has the memory of seeing Moscow but
> the other has the memory of seeing Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a
> bet on what they would see after the door was opened (and if one decided to
> place a bet then the other certainly would too because they're identical)
> then, provided they were logical,and I think I am at least most of the
> time, they would both put the odds at 50-50.
>

So how do you accommodate a situation in which there is a 90% chance of
seeing Moscow and a 10% chance of seeing Helsinki?

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread John Clark
On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 9:46 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
wrote:

*>>> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with
>>> MWI,  it's explaining that there are probabilities*
>>
>>
>> >> That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually
>> look at it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who lives in
>> a universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent Meeker who
>> lives in a universe where the electron went right, due to the fact that the
>> only difference between the two Brent Meekers is what the electron does.
>>
>
> > But you don’t think this applies with non MWI duplication.
>

That is simply NOT true! After my body has been duplicated but before I
have open the door of the duplicating chamber to see where I was I won't
know if I will be the John Clark who has seen Moscow or the John Clark who
has seen Helsinki, and indeed the distinction between the two would be
meaningless because the two would be identical until the door is opened and
they differentiate because then one has the memory of seeing Moscow but the
other has the memory of seeing Helsinki.  So if both decided to place a bet
on what they would see after the door was opened (and if one decided to
place a bet then the other certainly would too because they're identical)
then, provided they were logical,and I think I am at least most of the
time, they would both put the odds at 50-50.

  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

lmt

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On Fri, 13 May 2022 at 22:09, John Clark  wrote:

>
> On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 4:27 PM Brent Meeker 
> wrote:
>
> *> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,
>> it's explaining that there are probabilities*
>
>
> That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually look at
> it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who lives in a
> universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent Meeker who lives
> in a universe where the electron went right, due to the fact that the only
> difference between the two Brent Meekers is what the electron does.
>

But you don’t think this applies with non MWI duplication.

  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> 
> mbe
>
>
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> .
>
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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sat, May 14, 2022 at 5:51 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 12-05-2022 22:18, Brent Meeker wrote:
> >
> > I agree.  And in fact SE fails all the time.  It fails to predict a
> > definite outcome...which is OK if you accept probabilistic theories.
>
> Physics doesn't work in this way. You always need to define a well
> defined hypothesis first in order to interpret experimental results and
> be able to test various alternative hypotheses/theories. If you don't do
> this, you are not doing physics.
>

Tell that to the army of people who pounce on every anomaly that appears in
analyses of partial data from the LHC or Tevatron. Every anomaly produces a
slew of papers, all proposing "explanations" of the anomaly. This is an
industry, it is not physics. Generally the anomalies go away with time and
further data -- there are no "well defined hypotheses" at work here.


> But then its real failure is that it doesn't tell you exactly when and
> > where and why it stops unitary evolution and produces a result.
>
> That's a failure of particular interpretations of QM, e.g. the CI that
> postulate collapse.
>
> > The Born rule tells us the probability of a result...IF there is one.
> > Decoherence tells there's an asymptotic approach to a result and
> > why...but not when and where it arrives.
>
> Decoherence does does tell you how the different sectors split over
> time.
>

Not if unitary evolution is exact and always. You have often argued that
the original superposition never really goes away. Strictly, that means
that the initial state is still intact, and nothing has in fact happened.
Decoherence has to work through to a conclusion if the sectors are to split
and a definite result is to emerge. This is where unitary evolution breaks
down. Taken literally it never leads to a result. Just as in a quantum
computer -- the internal unitary evolution has to invoke decoherence and
collapse in order for a result to emerge.

You need some marker of the point at which the different sectors finally
differentiate. The SE itself is clearly not the whole story...you need
something like a minimum non-zero probability! Or an acceptance that FAPP
is good enough, along with an understanding of when FAPP is good enough.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/13/2022 11:47 AM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 22:18, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:17 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 23:02, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 11:51 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is

-- it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good

theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be

the

whole story.

As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There 
are no


good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for
each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal 
symmetry is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know 
that the fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent 
discrepancy can be explained, it's not evidence for time 
reversibility being violated in nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.



There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the 
Born rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a 
fundamental law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and 
the Born rule. But a real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Not in QBism.  It's just updating your prior.  Seems a perfect fit for
someone who wants to take an information theoretic approach and model
consciousness as an algorithm.



A real collapse is nevertheless inconsistent with the SE, there 
would exist physical processes where the SE would fail. If real 
collapse is supposed to happen in experiments, then because 
experiments are ultimately just many particle interactions then that 
means that, in general, the SE cannot be exactly valid.  We may then 
try to observe small violations of the SE in the lab.


I agree.  And in fact SE fails all the time.  It fails to predict a
definite outcome...which is OK if you accept probabilistic theories.


Physics doesn't work in this way. You always need to define a well 
defined hypothesis first in order to interpret experimental results 
and be able to test various alternative hypotheses/theories. If you 
don't do this, you are not doing physics.


Which is why assuming the SE is the whole truth even though it predicts 
that everything possible happens, isn't doing physics.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/13/2022 12:32 PM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 22:27, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:42 AM, smitra wrote:


All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function
evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a
purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since
it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a
physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).


That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete fundamental
theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is
then possible, including the existence of a multiverse.


Which is about as explanatory as "God did it."  Explaining the values
of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,  it's explaining that
there ARE probabilities even though nothing happens, and when and
where the probabilities arise.



I agree with what John Clark said in his reply.

To add to that, the "God did it" thing applies far more to the CI, 
because there one postulates the collapse without explaining the 
mechanism for it. In the MWI one assumes that the appearance of 
collapse can be explained from the known dynamics. 


Right CI doesn't explain the collapse and MWI doesn't explain the 
collapse either but assumes it can be explained without new physics.  I 
hypothesize (not assume) that CI+  can 
explain the collapse.  I don't see any big advantage for MWI here.  My 
attitude toward interpretations is that they are unimportant in 
themselves, but they are useful in pointing to new, more comprehensive 
and accurate theories.  That's one reason I'm not impressed by MWI since 
it seems to ex hypothesi put any emprical testing out of reach.


Brent

Those explanations may not be satisfactory as of yet, but that's 
typical for most of science. There are phenomena that as of yet are 
not well explained, but that does not (necessarily) lead us to 
postulate new physics all the time. Doing so would make us like 
creationists who tend to invoke a "God of the gaps".


Saibal



Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 22:18, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:17 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 23:02, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 11:51 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is

-- it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good

theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be

the

whole story.

As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are 
no


good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for
each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal 
symmetry is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know that 
the fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent discrepancy 
can be explained, it's not evidence for time reversibility being 
violated in nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.



There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the 
Born rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a 
fundamental law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and the 
Born rule. But a real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Not in QBism.  It's just updating your prior.  Seems a perfect fit 
for

someone who wants to take an information theoretic approach and model
consciousness as an algorithm.



A real collapse is nevertheless inconsistent with the SE, there would 
exist physical processes where the SE would fail. If real collapse is 
supposed to happen in experiments, then because experiments are 
ultimately just many particle interactions then that means that, in 
general, the SE cannot be exactly valid.  We may then try to observe 
small violations of the SE in the lab.


I agree.  And in fact SE fails all the time.  It fails to predict a
definite outcome...which is OK if you accept probabilistic theories.


Physics doesn't work in this way. You always need to define a well 
defined hypothesis first in order to interpret experimental results and 
be able to test various alternative hypotheses/theories. If you don't do 
this, you are not doing physics.


 

But then its real failure is that it doesn't tell you exactly when and
where and why it stops unitary evolution and produces a result. 


That's a failure of particular interpretations of QM, e.g. the CI that 
postulate collapse.



The
Born rule tells us the probability of a result...IF there is one. 
Decoherence tells there's an asymptotic approach to a result and
why...but not when and where it arrives.


Decoherence does does tell you how the different sectors split over 
time.


Saibal



Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 13-05-2022 14:08, John Clark wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 4:27 PM Brent Meeker 
wrote:


_> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with
MWI,  it's explaining that there ARE probabilities_


That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually
look at it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who
lives in a universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent
Meeker who lives in a universe where the electron went right, due to
the fact that the only difference between the two Brent Meekers is
what the electron does.



Indeed!

Saibal


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 13-05-2022 02:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 5:22 AM smitra  wrote:


On 12-05-2022 00:44, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 1:06 PM, smitra wrote:


There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the
experiments nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental

processes

proceed under unitary time evolution.


Except when you measure them and actually get a result.



No, there exist no experiment results that demonstrate that unitary
time
evolution is not exactly valid. What you are referring to is that in

experiments we do the wavefunction of the measured system
(effectively)
collapses. But, because we also know from all the experimental
results
that the wavefunction evolves in a unitary way, and experiments are
ultimately nothing more that many particle interactions, that either

unitary time evolution cannot be exactly valid or that the collapse
during measurement is an artifact of decoherence where the observer
(and
the local environment) gets into an entangled superposition with the

measured system. The former hypothesis lacks experimental support.


The multiverse hypothesis also lacks experimental support. We observe
collapse every day and in every experiment. We never observe a
multiverse.



Which is consistent with the multiverse hypothesis.

Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 13-05-2022 02:50, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 5:57 AM smitra  wrote:


On 12-05-2022 01:36, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:24 AM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 07:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:

Who proved that the universe was finite?


If it's infinite, one can focus on only the visible part of it.


The visible part is only locally defined -- go to the edge and

there

is another, larger, region.



Yes, but in the end this doesn't really matter due to there only
being
local interactions. After a finite time any finite system can only
interact with a finite number of degrees of freedom in its
environment.


But that does not mean that variables are discrete rather than
continuous.



I agree, not by itself.


If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe

can

be in, then that's also true for observers.


That simply begs the question.



Finite or infinite universe, observers are always finite.


The universe itself is not defined by observers.


The state of the observer can then factor out of the branches the
universe is in.


That is just a meaningless contention. The state of the observer, or
what the observer is aware of, or can or cannot factor out, is
irrelevant to the universe. Reality is not defined by observers.



I fully agree. But this is precisely an argument in favor of the 
multiverse when applied to the different sectors.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 22:39, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 12:08 PM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 01:46, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:08 AM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 08:14, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker



wrote:


On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:


If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe

can be

in, then that's also true for observers.


So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like? The

one

every cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then

there's

smallest non-zero probability, which as Bruce says, raises some
problems.


Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest

non-zero

probability makes the collapse real; destroys the ongoing
superposition; renders everything absolutely irreversible; and

screws

the hell out of unitary evolution.


Counterexample: The internal state of an ideal quantum computer will

always evolve under unitary time evolution.


If there is a smallest non-zero probability, this may no longer be 
the

case.


A quantum computer implements exactly the sort of a discrete system 
that is discussed, and yet it works just fine, evolving under the 
unitary time evolutions as it should during the time it can be 
maintained in a quantum coherent state.


But it doesn't give an answer by evolving unitarily.



True, but as long as we (can) keep it isolated, the evolution is 
unitary, and that contradicts the point Brice was making about discrete 
systems and unitary time evolution.






Actually, a smallest non-zero probability would certainly
resolve a lot of the problems with many worlds theory. Unitarity 
would

no longer work to all levels; pure states would automatically become
mixtures under decoherence; reversibility would vanish; collapse 
would

make sense, and the emergence of the classical world from the
underlying quantum substrate would be explained. All this follows if
there are no continuous quantities in physics, and continuous
variables are just approximations to underlying discrete
quantities..

Solves a lot of problems. I can see why Brent is attracted to this
idea.



This does not follow from the non-existence of continuous quantities, 
because nothing on the current laws of physics implies that continuous 
quantities objectively exist.


All the more reason to suspect that there is a smallest non-zero 
probability.


Yes, but the point Brice makes about unitary time evolution is not true, 
at least not in the general way he formulated it.


Saibal


Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 22:27, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:42 AM, smitra wrote:


All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function
evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a
purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since
it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a
physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).


That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete fundamental
theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is
then possible, including the existence of a multiverse.


Which is about as explanatory as "God did it."  Explaining the values
of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,  it's explaining that
there ARE probabilities even though nothing happens, and when and
where the probabilities arise.



I agree with what John Clark said in his reply.

To add to that, the "God did it" thing applies far more to the CI, 
because there one postulates the collapse without explaining the 
mechanism for it. In the MWI one assumes that the appearance of collapse 
can be explained from the known dynamics. Those explanations may not be 
satisfactory as of yet, but that's typical for most of science. There 
are phenomena that as of yet are not well explained, but that does not 
(necessarily) lead us to postulate new physics all the time. Doing so 
would make us like creationists who tend to invoke a "God of the gaps".


Saibal



Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 22:23, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/12/2022 11:27 AM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 00:44, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 1:06 PM, smitra wrote:


That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
"real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every
tape
is evidence of a collapse.


There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the
experiments nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes
proceed under unitary time evolution.


Except when you measure them and actually get a result.



No, there exist no experiment results that demonstrate that unitary 
time evolution is not exactly valid. What you are referring to is that 
in experiments we do the wavefunction of the measured system 
(effectively) collapses. But, because we also know from all the 
experimental results that the wavefunction evolves in a unitary way, 
and experiments are ultimately nothing more that many particle 
interactions, that either unitary time evolution cannot be exactly 
valid or that the collapse during measurement is an artifact of 
decoherence where the observer (and the local environment) gets into 
an entangled superposition with the measured system. The former 
hypothesis lacks experimental support.


"we also know from all the experimental results that the wavefunction
evolves in a unitary way"...until we get a result and then it doesn't.

So does the latter.  It's based purely on the absence of a theory of
collapse, beyond, perhaps, decoherence which provides a (sort of)
theory of pointer basis and approach to collapse.



As I wrote in the previous reply, physics does not work in the way you 
are arguing here. You always have to formulate a well defined set of 
hypotheses first which you can then test with experimental data. There 
are plenty of examples where people tried to do test in a supposedly 
model independent way and then got results that were not at all model 
independent.


In this case, that the wavefunction collapses or at least appears to, is 
something that's treated radically different between the CI-like 
hypotheses and the MWI-like hypotheses. So, we can consider a class of 
MWI-like theories where there is no collapse with CI-like theories where 
there is collapse and then consider how they explain all of the 
experimental data.


 If you do that, then you see that CI-like theories postulate a new 
physical mechanism for collapse that's left unspecified that cannot be 
explained from the interaction Hamiltonian that one uses. Here I'm 
staying within the context of the CI, I'm not introducing any baggage 
from the MWI.


In MWI-like theories, there is nothing else than what is described by 
the interaction Hamiltonian. The problem here is to get to a better 
explanation of ho decoherence leads to the effective classical world.


The former problem is a real physics problem where one depends on a new 
phenomena, just like e.g. dark matter in cosmology. It has to exist 
according to the theory, but it hasn't yet been discovered yet. But 
unlike in case of dark matter where there are multiple independent 
observational results that point to its existence, in case of collapse, 
you only have the mere fact that in experiments the wavefunction 
collapses.


The problems with MWI-like theories is usual business that's seen in 
most other theories. Take e.g. superconductivity and we have plenty of 
experimental data that's not well explained yet by the theory. But this 
does not lead physicists to postulate new physics.


Saibal





Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-13 Thread John Clark
On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 4:27 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

*> Explaining the values of the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,
> it's explaining that there are probabilities*


That's easy in MWI. Probabilities exist because until you actually look at
it there is no way to know if you are the Brent Meeker who lives in a
universe where the electron went left or you are the Brent Meeker who lives
in a universe where the electron went right, due to the fact that the only
difference between the two Brent Meekers is what the electron does.

  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

mbe

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 5:22 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 12-05-2022 00:44, Brent Meeker wrote:
> > On 5/11/2022 1:06 PM, smitra wrote:
> >
> >> There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the
> >> experiments nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes
> >> proceed under unitary time evolution.
> >
> > Except when you measure them and actually get a result.
> >
>
> No, there exist no experiment results that demonstrate that unitary time
> evolution is not exactly valid. What you are referring to is that in
> experiments we do the wavefunction of the measured system (effectively)
> collapses. But, because we also know from all the experimental results
> that the wavefunction evolves in a unitary way, and experiments are
> ultimately nothing more that many particle interactions, that either
> unitary time evolution cannot be exactly valid or that the collapse
> during measurement is an artifact of decoherence where the observer (and
> the local environment) gets into an entangled superposition with the
> measured system. The former hypothesis lacks experimental support.
>

The multiverse hypothesis also lacks experimental support. We observe
collapse every day and in every experiment. We never observe a multiverse.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Fri, May 13, 2022 at 5:57 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 12-05-2022 01:36, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:24 AM smitra  wrote:
> >
> >> On 11-05-2022 07:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> >>> Who proved that the universe was finite?
> >>
> >> If it's infinite, one can focus on only the visible part of it.
> >
> > The visible part is only locally defined -- go to the edge and there
> > is another, larger, region.
> >
>
> Yes, but in the end this doesn't really matter due to there only being
> local interactions. After a finite time any finite system can only
> interact with a finite number of degrees of freedom in its environment.
>

But that does not mean that variables are discrete rather than continuous.

>  If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can
>  be in, then that's also true for observers.
> >>>
> >>> That simply begs the question.
> >>>
> >>
> >> Finite or infinite universe, observers are always finite.
> >
> > The universe itself is not defined by observers.
>
>
> The state of the observer can then factor out of the branches the
> universe is in.
>

That is just a meaningless contention. The state of the observer, or what
the observer is aware of, or can or cannot factor out, is irrelevant to the
universe. Reality is not defined by observers.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/12/2022 12:08 PM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 01:46, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:08 AM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 08:14, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker



wrote:


On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:


If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe

can be

in, then that's also true for observers.


So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like? The

one

every cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then

there's

smallest non-zero probability, which as Bruce says, raises some
problems.


Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest

non-zero

probability makes the collapse real; destroys the ongoing
superposition; renders everything absolutely irreversible; and

screws

the hell out of unitary evolution.


Counterexample: The internal state of an ideal quantum computer will

always evolve under unitary time evolution.


If there is a smallest non-zero probability, this may no longer be the
case.


A quantum computer implements exactly the sort of a discrete system 
that is discussed, and yet it works just fine, evolving under the 
unitary time evolutions as it should during the time it can be 
maintained in a quantum coherent state.


But it doesn't give an answer by evolving unitarily.





Actually, a smallest non-zero probability would certainly
resolve a lot of the problems with many worlds theory. Unitarity would
no longer work to all levels; pure states would automatically become
mixtures under decoherence; reversibility would vanish; collapse would
make sense, and the emergence of the classical world from the
underlying quantum substrate would be explained. All this follows if
there are no continuous quantities in physics, and continuous
variables are just approximations to underlying discrete
quantities..

Solves a lot of problems. I can see why Brent is attracted to this
idea.



This does not follow from the non-existence of continuous quantities, 
because nothing on the current laws of physics implies that continuous 
quantities objectively exist.


All the more reason to suspect that there is a smallest non-zero 
probability.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/12/2022 11:42 AM, smitra wrote:

All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).



That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete fundamental 
theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is then 
possible, including the existence of a multiverse. 


Which is about as explanatory as "God did it."  Explaining the values of 
the probabilities isn't the problem with MWI,  it's explaining that 
there *are* probabilities even though nothing happens, and when and 
where the probabilities arise.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/12/2022 11:27 AM, smitra wrote:

On 12-05-2022 00:44, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 1:06 PM, smitra wrote:


That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
"real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every
tape
is evidence of a collapse.


There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the
experiments nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes
proceed under unitary time evolution.


Except when you measure them and actually get a result.



No, there exist no experiment results that demonstrate that unitary 
time evolution is not exactly valid. What you are referring to is that 
in experiments we do the wavefunction of the measured system 
(effectively) collapses. But, because we also know from all the 
experimental results that the wavefunction evolves in a unitary way, 
and experiments are ultimately nothing more that many particle 
interactions, that either unitary time evolution cannot be exactly 
valid or that the collapse during measurement is an artifact of 
decoherence where the observer (and the local environment) gets into 
an entangled superposition with the measured system. The former 
hypothesis lacks experimental support.


"we also know from all the experimental results that the wavefunction 
evolves in a unitary way"...until we get a result and then it doesn't.


So does the latter.  It's based purely on the absence of a theory of 
collapse, beyond, perhaps, decoherence which provides a (sort of) theory 
of pointer basis and approach to collapse.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/12/2022 11:17 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 23:02, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 11:51 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is

-- it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good

theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be

the

whole story.


As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no

good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for
each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal 
symmetry is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know that 
the fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent discrepancy 
can be explained, it's not evidence for time reversibility being 
violated in nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.



There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the 
Born rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a 
fundamental law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and the 
Born rule. But a real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Not in QBism.  It's just updating your prior.  Seems a perfect fit for
someone who wants to take an information theoretic approach and model
consciousness as an algorithm.



A real collapse is nevertheless inconsistent with the SE, there would 
exist physical processes where the SE would fail. If real collapse is 
supposed to happen in experiments, then because experiments are 
ultimately just many particle interactions then that means that, in 
general, the SE cannot be exactly valid.  We may then try to observe 
small violations of the SE in the lab.


I agree.  And in fact SE fails all the time.  It fails to predict a 
definite outcome...which is OK if you accept probabilistic theories.  
But then its real failure is that it doesn't tell you exactly when and 
where and why it stops unitary evolution and produces a result.  The 
Born rule tells us the probability of a result...IF there is one.  
Decoherence tells there's an asymptotic approach to a result and 
why...but not when and where it arrives.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 01:46, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:08 AM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 08:14, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker



wrote:


On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:


If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe

can be

in, then that's also true for observers.


So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like?  The

one

every cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then

there's

smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises some
problems.


Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest

non-zero

probability makes the collapse real; destroys the ongoing
superposition; renders everything absolutely irreversible; and

screws

the hell out of unitary evolution.


Counterexample: The internal state of an ideal quantum computer will

always evolve under unitary time evolution.


If there is a smallest non-zero probability, this may no longer be the
case.


A quantum computer implements exactly the sort of a discrete system that 
is discussed, and yet it works just fine, evolving under the unitary 
time evolutions as it should during the time it can be maintained in a 
quantum coherent state.




Actually, a smallest non-zero probability would certainly
resolve a lot of the problems with many worlds theory. Unitarity would
no longer work to all levels; pure states would automatically become
mixtures under decoherence; reversibility would vanish; collapse would
make sense, and the emergence of the classical world from the
underlying quantum substrate would be explained. All this follows if
there are no continuous quantities in physics, and continuous
variables are just approximations to underlying discrete
quantities..

Solves a lot of problems. I can see why Brent is attracted to this
idea.



This does not follow from the non-existence of continuous quantities, 
because nothing on the current laws of physics implies that continuous 
quantities objectively exist.



Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 01:36, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:24 AM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 07:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:


Who proved that the universe was finite?



If it's infinite, one can focus on only the visible part of it.


The visible part is only locally defined -- go to the edge and there
is another, larger, region.



Yes, but in the end this doesn't really matter due to there only being 
local interactions. After a finite time any finite system can only 
interact with a finite number of degrees of freedom in its environment.



If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe

can

be in, then that's also true for observers.


That simply begs the question.



Finite or infinite universe, observers are always finite.


The universe itself is not defined by observers.



The state of the observer can then factor out of the branches the 
universe is in.


Saibal


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 01:01, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 8:36 AM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 07:42, Brent Meeker wrote:


That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
"real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every

tape

is evidence of a collapse.



There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the
experiments
nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes proceed
under
unitary time evolution.


All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most
easily accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a purely
epistemic vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since it is
purely epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a physical
event. One does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave
function can still be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).



That's possible but that means that QM is not a complete fundamental 
theory of reality. Anything that explains these probabilities is then 
possible, including the existence of a multiverse.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread smitra

On 12-05-2022 00:44, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 1:06 PM, smitra wrote:


That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
"real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every
tape
is evidence of a collapse.


There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the
experiments nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes
proceed under unitary time evolution.


Except when you measure them and actually get a result.



No, there exist no experiment results that demonstrate that unitary time 
evolution is not exactly valid. What you are referring to is that in 
experiments we do the wavefunction of the measured system (effectively) 
collapses. But, because we also know from all the experimental results 
that the wavefunction evolves in a unitary way, and experiments are 
ultimately nothing more that many particle interactions, that either 
unitary time evolution cannot be exactly valid or that the collapse 
during measurement is an artifact of decoherence where the observer (and 
the local environment) gets into an entangled superposition with the 
measured system. The former hypothesis lacks experimental support.


Saibal



Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-12 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 23:02, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/11/2022 11:51 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is

-- it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good

theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be

the

whole story.


As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no

good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for
each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal 
symmetry is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know that 
the fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent discrepancy 
can be explained, it's not evidence for time reversibility being 
violated in nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.



There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the Born 
rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a 
fundamental law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and the 
Born rule. But a real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Not in QBism.  It's just updating your prior.  Seems a perfect fit for
someone who wants to take an information theoretic approach and model
consciousness as an algorithm.



A real collapse is nevertheless inconsistent with the SE, there would 
exist physical processes where the SE would fail. If real collapse is 
supposed to happen in experiments, then because experiments are 
ultimately just many particle interactions then that means that, in 
general, the SE cannot be exactly valid.  We may then try to observe 
small violations of the SE in the lab.


Saibal


Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:08 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 11-05-2022 08:14, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker 
> > wrote:
> >
> >> On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:
> >>
> >>> If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can be
> >>> in, then that's also true for observers.
> >>
> >> So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like?  The one
> >> every cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then there's
> >> smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises some
> >> problems.
> >
> > Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest non-zero
> > probability makes the collapse real; destroys the ongoing
> > superposition; renders everything absolutely irreversible; and screws
> > the hell out of unitary evolution.
>
>
> Counterexample: The internal state of an ideal quantum computer will
> always evolve under unitary time evolution.
>

If there is a smallest non-zero probability, this may no longer be the
case. Actually, a smallest non-zero probability would certainly resolve a
lot of the problems with many worlds theory. Unitarity would no longer work
to all levels; pure states would automatically become mixtures under
decoherence; reversibility would vanish; collapse would make sense, and the
emergence of the classical world from the underlying quantum substrate
would be explained. All this follows if there are no continuous quantities
in physics, and continuous variables are just approximations to underlying
discrete quantities..

Solves a lot of problems. I can see why Brent is attracted to this idea.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 9:24 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 11-05-2022 07:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> >
> > Who proved that the universe was finite?
> >
>
> If it's infinite, one can focus on only the visible part of it.
>

The visible part is only locally defined -- go to the edge and there is
another, larger, region.

>> If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can
> >> be in, then that's also true for observers.
> >
> > That simply begs the question.
> >
>
> Finite or infinite universe, observers are always finite.
>

The universe itself is not defined by observers.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 07:30, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:16 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:01, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:51 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your

concern

is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then

you

should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have

it

both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate

the

SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE.

Either the

SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which

demonstrates that

there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such

models

is another issue.






As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the
visible universe is finite.


That does not limit the number of branches. A finite universe does

not

limit the number of points in a line.


There is no such thing as a mathematical continuum in the real
physical
world.


Can you prove that? There is no evidence that space and time are
discrete.


In physics we only have a continuum in the scaling limit where we've 
scaled the microscopic distances away to zero. Whenever we do a 
computations where it really matters whether or not the continuum is 
real, we end up having to impose a short-ditance cut-off and can only 
remove this cut-off via a renormalization procedure. See also page 12 of 
this document:


https://webspace.science.uu.nl/~hooft101/lectures/basisqft.pdf

"Often, authors forget to mention the first, very important, step in 
this logical procedure: replace the classical field theory one wishes to 
quantize by a strictly finite theory.
Assuming that physical structures smaller than a certain size will not 
be important for
our considerations, we replace the continuum of three-dimensional space 
by a discrete but
dense lattice of points. In the differential equations, we replace all 
derivatives ∂/∂xi by

finite ratios of differences: ∆/∆x
, where ∆φ stands for φ(x + ∆x) − φ(x) . In Fourier
space, this means that wave numbers ~k are limited to a finite range 
(the Brillouin zone),

so that integrations over ~k can never diverge.
If this lattice is sufficiently dense, the solutions we are interested 
in will hardly depend
on the details of this lattice, and so, the classical system will resume 
Lorentz invariance
and the speed of light will be the practical limit for the velocity of 
perturbances. If
necessary, we can also impose periodic boundary conditions in 3-space, 
and in that case
our system is completely finite. Finite systems of this sort allow for 
‘quantization’ in the

old-fashioned sense: replace the Poisson brackets by commutators. "





There are only a finite number of distinct quantum states
available for a finite universe.


Who proved that the universe was finite?



If it's infinite, one can focus on only the visible part of it.


This is clear for states below some
total energy E. But there is an upper limit to the total energy due
to
gravitational collapse when the energy exceeds a certain limit.


But one can also consider observers and then
each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite
number of branches the observer can distinguish between.


That does not follow.



If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can
be
in, then that's also true for observers.


That simply begs the question.



Finite or infinite universe, observers are always finite.

Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 07:28, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/10/2022 8:17 PM, smitra wrote:

On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:


On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:


It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes

exist

on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.


All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can
make
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are
just
models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your 
concern

is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate the
SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either the
SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates
that
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models
is
another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the
number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure 
problem

for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is unlikely
that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can be
defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other 
models

have a reasonable chance of success.



As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the 
visible universe is finite. But one can also consider observers and 
then each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite 
number of branches the observer can distinguish between.


Quite aside from memory, per Everett there are a bazillion branches
that are only "measured" by the environment and no human is every
aware of.  But shall we not consider the "memory of the environment". 
That's where decoherence says the classical result gets recorded.



Yes, but note that the observer's memory then factors out of the part of 
the state that descibes what the observer is  not aware of, and that 
part is then in a superposition of all possibilities. See also here:


https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.00749

"A no-go theorem for observer-independent facts"

Saibal


Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 08:14, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker 
wrote:


On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:


If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe

can be

in, then that's also true for observers.


So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like?  The one
every
cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then there's
smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises some
problems.


Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest non-zero
probability makes the collapse real; destroys the ongoing
superposition; renders everything absolutely irreversible; and screws
the hell out of unitary evolution.




Counterexample: The internal state of an ideal quantum computer will 
always evolve under unitary time evolution.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Thu, May 12, 2022 at 8:36 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 11-05-2022 07:42, Brent Meeker wrote:
> >
> > That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
> > "real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
> > experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every tape
> > is evidence of a collapse.
> >
>
> There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the experiments
> nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes proceed under
> unitary time evolution.
>

All that the experiments demonstrate is that the wave function evolves
unitarily between state preparation and measurement. This is most easily
accounted for by assuming that the wave function is a purely epistemic
vehicle for the time evolution of probabilities. Since it is purely
epistemic, collapse is not a problem since it is not a physical event. One
does not have to go the whole way to QBism -- the wave function can still
be objective (inter-subjectively agreed).

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/11/2022 1:06 PM, smitra wrote:

That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
"real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every tape
is evidence of a collapse.



There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the experiments 
nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes proceed under 
unitary time evolution. 


Except when you measure them and actually get a result.

Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 07:42, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/10/2022 9:47 PM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics

is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is --

it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental
hints
that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to
break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are good
theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be the
whole story.

As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no 
good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental hints 
for real collapse


That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by
"real" is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every tape
is evidence of a collapse.



There is effective collapse in experiments we do, but the experiments 
nevertheless demonstrate that the fundamental processes proceed under 
unitary time evolution.


Saibal


Brent

and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it leads to many 
problems. Believing  in collapse is like believing in the ether after 
special relativity was already formulated and experimentally 
confirmed.


Saibal


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/10/2022 8:11 PM, smitra wrote:

On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:52 AM smitra  wrote:


On 08-05-2022 06:04, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:21 AM smitra  wrote:


The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with

making

hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there

are

only
a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer

is

modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear
that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to
the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware of.


Everett is supposed to be QM without observers. So the number of
things that Mr Data can possibly be aware of is irrelevant.

According

to the SE, all branches are equivalent. All else flows from this

--

there are no further "hidden assumptions about branches".



Yes, but I'm not a big fan of "sticking to scripture". What matters
for
me is that collapse is inconsistent with the SE, therefore we should

consider QM without collapse and see how to best to move forward on
that
basis.


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics is
'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE),
so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.



There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental hints 
that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is likely 
to break down in some regime.


Well, there's a big fat hint that it breaks down FAPP in every
measurement, in every bit of physics that appears classical and
irreversible.  So it has a burden to explain this appearance. 


It does not have the burden to explain this fully. Lacking a good 
explanation, one has to go through all reasonable explanations based on 
what is known. A good example is what John Clark also mentioned about 
time reversibility. Boltzmann presented an incomplete argument on how 
the tension between the Second law and microscopic time reversibility 
could be resolved. And while the precise rigorous argument was not 
satisfactorily settled until quite recently, it was good enough for 
physicists to move on and accept that the laws of physics are time 
reversible.


This is because it was implausible to have time reversibility at the 
micro-level and not at a higher level, given that what happens at the 
macro-level is fully determined by what happens at the micro-level. It 
would require new experimental results to cast doubt on reversibility, 
so the burden of proof is on anyone proposing such a hypothesis.


The case of unitary time evolution is similar. There are no experimental 
results that demonstrate that this is violated. While we do have 
effective collapse at the macro-scale, this is what one would expect due 
to decoherence.




I see
some progress in this direction in decoherence and Zurek's quantum
Darwinism.  But it still ends in hand waving,


Physics would not be possible without lots of hand waving.



"Since the SE applies to
everything the wave-function must be real and every component of it
must exist." 
Which begs the question, "Does it apply to everything?" 
It doesn't apply to spacetime and gravity.


It does apply to spacetime, at least there is no problem with assuming 
that it does. See e.g. here for some details:


https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.4748

In particular Section 4.1. "How to Make Computations" on page 23 and 
further




  And it might just be an
effective approximation as in QBism.



That could be, but as things stand now, there is no evidence for that.

Saibal


Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 07:39, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 06:01, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:51 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your

concern

is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate

the

SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either

the

SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates

that

there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such

models

is another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities,

the

number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure

problem

for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is

unlikely

that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can

be

defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other

models

have a reasonable chance of success.



As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the
visible universe is finite.


That does not limit the number of branches. A finite universe does 
not

limit the number of points in a line.



There is no such thing as a mathematical continuum in the real 
physical world. There are only a finite number of distinct quantum 
states available for a finite universe. This is clear for states below 
some total energy E. But there is an upper limit to the total energy 
due to gravitational collapse when the energy exceeds a certain limit.




But one can also consider observers and then
each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite
number
of branches the observer can distinguish between.


That does not follow.



If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can be 
in, then that's also true for observers.


So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like?  The one
every cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then
there's smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises
some problems.

You then have a finite set of states with transition probabilities for 
transitions between the states.


Saibal


Brent


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/11/2022 11:51 AM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is

-- it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good

theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be

the

whole story.


As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no

good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for
each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal 
symmetry is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know that 
the fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent discrepancy 
can be explained, it's not evidence for time reversibility being 
violated in nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.



There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the Born 
rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a 
fundamental law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and the 
Born rule. But a real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Not in QBism.  It's just updating your prior.  Seems a perfect fit for 
someone who wants to take an information theoretic approach and model 
consciousness as an algorithm.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 07:25, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:


On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in

physics is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is

-- it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the

SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental

hints

that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are

good

theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be

the

whole story.


As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no

good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental
hints
for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for
each experiment, after all!



And the results of those experiments lead to a theory where time 
evolution is given by a unitary transform. It's as John Clark also 
mentioned in one of his replies, analogous to how time reversal symmetry 
is not apparent in the macroscopic world. But we know that the 
fundamental laws are time reversible. This apparent discrepancy can be 
explained, it's not evidence for time reversibility being violated in 
nature.



and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.



There are no problems with the SE. It's not inconsistent with the Born 
rule. The only issue is that it looks a bit unnatural for a fundamental 
law of physics to require both a dynamical ruke and the Born rule. But a 
real collapse is inconsistent with the SE.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/10/2022 11:14 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker  
wrote:


On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:

> If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe
can be
> in, then that's also true for observers.

So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like? The one
every
cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then there's
smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises some
problems.


Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest non-zero 
probability makes the collapse real; destroys the 
ongoing superposition; renders everything absolutely irreversible; and 
screws the hell out of unitary evolution.


As do other real-collapse theories of QM.

Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread John Clark
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:25 AM Brent Meeker  wrote:


>
> * > Well, there's a big fat hint that it [SE] breaks down FAPP in every
> measurement, in every bit of physics that appears classical and
> irreversible. *


The thing is, whenever somebody says FAPP they really don't mean for *ALL*
practical purposes, certainly not if your practical purpose is to probe the
fundamental nature of reality. In classical physics it's not literally
impossible for the scrambled eggs on your breakfast plate to unscramble
themselves before you have a chance to eat them, it's just very very
unlikely. But if Many Worlds is correct then there are either an infinite
number or an astronomical number to an astronomical power number of worlds
where everything that is not forbidden to occur does occur, and one of the
things that is not forbidden to occur is a world in which scrambled eggs
unscramble themselves on your breakfast plate. If something happens a very
very large number of times then even very very unlikely things will happen
in some of them.

*  > And it might just be an effective approximation as in QBism.*
>

QBism is not wrong, it's an effective way to do science if you're only
interested in measurements and in making a new gadget that works and don't
care about what's really going on; the same thing could be said about the
Copenhagen Interpretation, and also for the all time favorite of most
physicists, Shut Up And Calculate. But I find it extremely difficult to
find any significant difference between QBism, Copenhagen and Shut Up And
Calculate.
  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

suq

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread John Clark
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:25 AM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

*> The SE also has many problems*


The Schrodinger equation has ONE problem, SE can't account for gravity;
General Relativity can but GR can't account for anything else.  Maybe when
we find one physical idea that covers everything it will turn out that no
quantum interpretation currently in use is correct, but until that time
it's clear to me that Many Worlds is the least bad. I've said it before but
I'll say it again, whatever turns out to be true one thing we can be
certain of, it will be weird.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis


wwe

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-11 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:39 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:
>
> > If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can be
> > in, then that's also true for observers.
>
> So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like?  The one every
> cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then there's
> smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises some problems.
>

Not the least of these problems is the fact that a smallest non-zero
probability makes the collapse real; destroys the ongoing superposition;
renders everything absolutely irreversible; and screws the hell out of
unitary evolution.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/10/2022 9:47 PM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics

is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is --

it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental
hints
that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to
break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are good
theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be the
whole story.

As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no 
good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental hints 
for real collapse 


That's complete and audacious question begging.  What you mean by "real" 
is "modeled within the SE".  There is NOTHING BUT collapse 
experimentally; every result recorded in every notebook and every tape 
is evidence of a collapse.


Brent

and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it leads to many 
problems. Believing  in collapse is like believing in the ether after 
special relativity was already formulated and experimentally confirmed.


Saibal


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/10/2022 9:43 PM, smitra wrote:

On 11-05-2022 06:01, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:51 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your

concern

is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate

the

SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either

the

SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates

that

there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such

models

is another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities,

the

number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure

problem

for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is

unlikely

that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can

be

defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other

models

have a reasonable chance of success.



As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the
visible universe is finite.


That does not limit the number of branches. A finite universe does not
limit the number of points in a line.



There is no such thing as a mathematical continuum in the real 
physical world. There are only a finite number of distinct quantum 
states available for a finite universe. This is clear for states below 
some total energy E. But there is an upper limit to the total energy 
due to gravitational collapse when the energy exceeds a certain limit.




But one can also consider observers and then
each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite
number
of branches the observer can distinguish between.


That does not follow.



If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can be 
in, then that's also true for observers.


So what does the SE for this discrete universe look like?  The one every 
cites assumes a continuum.  If the universe is finite then there's 
smallest non-zero probability,  which as Bruce says, raises some problems.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:16 PM smitra  wrote:

> On 11-05-2022 06:01, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:51 PM smitra  wrote:
> >
> >> On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> >>>
> >>> Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern
> >>> is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
> >>> should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
> >>> both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate the
> >>> SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either the
> >>> SE is universally correct, or it is not.
> >>>
>  What matters is that such models can be
>  formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates that
>  there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models
>  is another issue.
> >>>
>
> >>
> >> As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the
> >> visible universe is finite.
> >
> > That does not limit the number of branches. A finite universe does not
> > limit the number of points in a line.
>
> There is no such thing as a mathematical continuum in the real physical
> world.


Can you prove that? There is no evidence that space and time are discrete.


There are only a finite number of distinct quantum states
> available for a finite universe.


Who proved that the universe was finite?

This is clear for states below some
> total energy E. But there is an upper limit to the total energy due to
> gravitational collapse when the energy exceeds a certain limit.
>
>
> >> But one can also consider observers and then
> >> each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite
> >> number of branches the observer can distinguish between.
> >
> > That does not follow.
> >
>
> If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can be
> in, then that's also true for observers.
>

That simply begs the question.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/10/2022 8:17 PM, smitra wrote:

On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:


On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:


It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes

exist

on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.


All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can
make
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are
just
models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern
is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate the
SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either the
SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates
that
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models
is
another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the
number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure problem
for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is unlikely
that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can be
defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other models
have a reasonable chance of success.



As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the 
visible universe is finite. But one can also consider observers and 
then each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite 
number of branches the observer can distinguish between.


Quite aside from memory, per Everett there are a bazillion branches that 
are only "measured" by the environment and no human is every aware of.  
But shall we not consider the "memory of the environment".  That's where 
decoherence says the classical result gets recorded.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/10/2022 8:11 PM, smitra wrote:

On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:52 AM smitra  wrote:


On 08-05-2022 06:04, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:21 AM smitra  wrote:


The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with

making

hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there

are

only
a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer

is

modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear
that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to
the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware of.


Everett is supposed to be QM without observers. So the number of
things that Mr Data can possibly be aware of is irrelevant.

According

to the SE, all branches are equivalent. All else flows from this

--

there are no further "hidden assumptions about branches".



Yes, but I'm not a big fan of "sticking to scripture". What matters
for
me is that collapse is inconsistent with the SE, therefore we should

consider QM without collapse and see how to best to move forward on
that
basis.


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics is
'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE),
so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.



There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental hints 
that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is likely 
to break down in some regime.


Well, there's a big fat hint that it breaks down FAPP in every 
measurement, in every bit of physics that appears classical and 
irreversible.  So it has a burden to explain this appearance.  I see 
some progress in this direction in decoherence and Zurek's quantum 
Darwinism.  But it still ends in hand waving, "Since the SE applies to 
everything the wave-function must be real and every component of it must 
exist."  Which begs the question, "Does it apply to everything?"  It 
doesn't apply to spacetime and gravity.  And it might just be an 
effective approximation as in QBism.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 3:11 PM smitra  wrote:

> On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:
> >
> >> On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> >>
> >>> That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics is
> >>> 'indubitably true'.
> >>>
> >>> The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
> >>> explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE),
> >>> so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.
> >>
> >> There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental hints
> >> that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
> >> likely to break down in some regime.
> >
> > Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are good
> > theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be the
> > whole story.
> >
> As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no
> good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental hints
> for real collapse


That depends on how you read the data. We only see one outcome for each
experiment, after all!

> and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it
> leads to many problems.


The SE also has many problems., as I have taken pains to point out.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 06:01, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:51 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your

concern

is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate

the

SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either

the

SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates

that

there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such

models

is another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities,

the

number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure

problem

for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is

unlikely

that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can

be

defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other

models

have a reasonable chance of success.



As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the
visible universe is finite.


That does not limit the number of branches. A finite universe does not
limit the number of points in a line.



There is no such thing as a mathematical continuum in the real physical 
world. There are only a finite number of distinct quantum states 
available for a finite universe. This is clear for states below some 
total energy E. But there is an upper limit to the total energy due to 
gravitational collapse when the energy exceeds a certain limit.




But one can also consider observers and then
each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite
number
of branches the observer can distinguish between.


That does not follow.



If there are only a finite number of states the entire universe can be 
in, then that's also true for observers.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread smitra

On 11-05-2022 06:06, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:


On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics

is

'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is --

it

explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the

SE),

so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.


There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental
hints
that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is
likely to
break down in some regime.


Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are good
theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be the
whole story.

As John Clark has also mentioned, the opposite is true. There are no 
good arguments for collapse theories. There are no experimental hints 
for real collapse and if we argue based on theory, then we see that it 
leads to many problems. Believing  in collapse is like believing in the 
ether after special relativity was already formulated and experimentally 
confirmed.


Saibal




Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:56 PM smitra  wrote:

> On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> > That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics is
> > 'indubitably true'.
> >
> > The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
> > explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE),
> > so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.
>
>
> There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental hints
> that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is likely to
> break down in some regime.
>

Such faith would be touching if it weren't so naive. There are good
theoretical and experimental reasons to believe that it cannot be the whole
story.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Wed, May 11, 2022 at 1:51 PM smitra  wrote:

> On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> >
> > Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern
> > is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
> > should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
> > both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate the
> > SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either the
> > SE is universally correct, or it is not.
> >
> >> What matters is that such models can be
> >> formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates that
> >> there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models
> >> is another issue.
> >
> > This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the
> > number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure problem
> > for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is unlikely
> > that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can be
> > defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other models
> > have a reasonable chance of success.
> >
>
> As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the
> visible universe is finite.


That does not limit the number of branches. A finite universe does not
limit the number of points in a line.


But one can also consider observers and then
> each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite number
> of branches the observer can distinguish between.
>

That does not follow.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread smitra

On 09-05-2022 00:34, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:52 AM smitra  wrote:


On 08-05-2022 06:04, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:21 AM smitra  wrote:


The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with

making

hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there

are

only
a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer

is

modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear
that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to
the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware of.


Everett is supposed to be QM without observers. So the number of
things that Mr Data can possibly be aware of is irrelevant.

According

to the SE, all branches are equivalent. All else flows from this

--

there are no further "hidden assumptions about branches".



Yes, but I'm not a big fan of "sticking to scripture". What matters
for
me is that collapse is inconsistent with the SE, therefore we should

consider QM without collapse and see how to best to move forward on
that
basis.


That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics is
'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE),
so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.



There is no good reason to doubt the SE without any experimental hints 
that it breaks down, or any good theoretical reasons why it is likely to 
break down in some regime.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread smitra

On 09-05-2022 00:42, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:


On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:


It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes

exist

on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.


All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can
make
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are
just
models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern
is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate the
SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either the
SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates
that
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models
is
another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the
number of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure problem
for infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is unlikely
that any consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can be
defined. So this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other models
have a reasonable chance of success.



As Brent has also pointed out, there amount of information in the 
visible universe is finite. But one can also consider observers and then 
each observer has a some finite memory so there are only a finite number 
of branches the observer can distinguish between.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-10 Thread smitra

On 09-05-2022 01:00, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/8/2022 1:50 PM, smitra wrote:

On 08-05-2022 06:03, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/7/2022 6:21 PM, smitra wrote:


On 05-05-2022 00:04, Brent Meeker wrote:
On 5/4/2022 12:27 PM, smitra wrote:

In
fact, that idea introduces a raft of problems of its own -- what
is
the measure over this infinity of branches? What does it mean to
partition infinity in the ratio of 0.9:0.1? What is the mechanism
(necessarily outside the Schrodinger equation) that achieves this?

That simply means that there is as of yet no good model for QM
without the Born rule.


But there is no mechanism for the Born rule.  It is inconsistent with
pure Schroedinger evolution of the wave function.  I think the 
problem


of measures on infinity is overcome if you simply postulate a very
large but finite number of branches to split.  Or why not not an
continuum probability and just measure by the density around the
eigenvalue...the measured values are never exact anyway.  I don't
these things are wrong or show MWI is inconsistent, but I think they
show it has just moved the problems it purported to solve off to some
unobservable worlds, which is no better than CI.

Born rule is not inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation, it just
tells you that the wavefunction gives you the probability amplitudes.
This is better than the CI, because the CI is inconsistent with the
Schrödinger equation.

Because??  It takes one more step and says "probability means
something happens and other things don't."  It's not called the
"Copenhagen Equation".  It's called the "Copenhagen Interpretation",
i.e. how to _INTERPRET_ the Schroedinger equation and so it is
consistent with it.

It's called an interpretation just like the MWI, but these are 
actually different theories that make different predictions, albeit in 
a domain that cannot easily be accessed experimentally.


That the CI is inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation is easy to 
see. If the Schrödinger is valid, then the state of a system evolves 
in a unitary way. But after a real collapse the state changes in a 
non-unitary way.


Which is only a problem if one insists that the Schroedinger equation
is the whole of the theory and it is ontic.  CI denies the first and
says that measurements are projection operators because a measurements
is necessarily a classical-like result.  QBism says the whole theory
is epistemic.



Yes, but this mans that CI is not compatible with QM as a fundamental 
theory. You can't have a fundamental Schrödinger equation and then have 
it not apply to some special cases.


If we consider measuring the z-component of a spin polarized in the 
x-direction using a Stern-Gerlach apparatus, then the entire system 
of  the spin the experimental set-up, the observer and local 
environment consists of particles that should evolve according to the 
Schrödinger equation.


"Should"?



If MWI is correct.

If the measurement takes one minute, then the initial state of a patch 
of one light-minute diameter around the location of the experiment 
maps to a final state of that patch in a unitary way.


You seem to overlook that this one-light minute sphere also had
incoming particles and radiation which could not be accounted for the
Schroedinger equation.



Yes, so one can imagine a shield keeping particles from outside that 
region from interacting with particles inside the region. Weakly 
interacting particles like neutrinos can enter, but they don't interact 
with what's inside the interior region. So, the state of the universe 
factors into a part for the inside and outside regions (where the 
outside region also incudes weakly interacting particles that have moved 
inside). Both parts evolve in a unitary way.


But CI says that this does not happen because the internal observer in 
the system performed a measurement that causes the state of the system 
to collapse.


Yes, that's a problem although CI+decoherence doesn't depend on an
observer.  The effect of the incoming radiation is also a problem. But
MWI doesn't solve the problem, it just assumes that the correlations
are created which have the same effect as collapse as far as the
instruments and observers are concerned.  Decoherence goes part way to
solving the problem by quantifying how the "collapse" occurs
statistically in time.



Yes, one needs to consider correlations between the states of the 
measurement devices and the measured systems.


Saibal


Brent






The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with making
hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there are
only a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer
is modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware
of.


But different Mr. Data's and different instruments can have different
number of states.  So what you're 

Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-09 Thread John Clark
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 3:18 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

>> And all of that is fundamentally the same as "shut up and calculate ",
>> they're just dressed up in slightly different philosophical bafflegab.
>
>
> * > They're not "dressed up", they are perfectly explicit in their
> interpretation and ontology.  *
>

Not just explicit but "perfectly explicit"?! I don't think so. I think
Copenhagen and QBism are not quantum interpretations at all, they're just
thinly disguised "shut up and calculate"; Pilot Wave and Many Worlds are
genuine interpretations, both are deterministic but pilot wave is not local
and Many Worlds is not realistic. Explicit collapse theories like GRW are
not quantum interpretations at all but propose a new theory that would
replace quantum mechanics, a theory that is much harder to use than quantum
mechanics, is nondeterministic, has no experimental evidence in its favor,
nobody knows how to make it compatible with special relativity, and
GRW violates
conservation of energy that some on this list think is sacred holy writ.


>> If Everett is right then when an electron makes an up/down decision it
>> makes no difference if you think of it as the entire universe  instantly
>> splits or as the split expanding outward at the speed of light, either way
>> something that happens on the surface of that expanding sphere can have no
>> effect on its center because no signal can travel faster than light.
>
>

> *An electron makes an up/down decision??  That's a new interpretation!
> You miss the point that* [...]
>

I'm quite sure you are not missing my point, but you were certainly trying
very hard to pretend that you are.

> *> parts of the universe not accounted for in your SE are acting on the
> instrument which is interacting with the electron as it's "making a
> decision". *
>

You're talking about non-locality such as in pilot wave theory, a particle
right here can instantly make a profound change to another particle on the
other side of the universe without affecting anything in between. That
sounds a little bit too much like magic for my taste, I agree with Isaac
Newton when he said:


"*T**hat one body may act upon another at a distance through a vacuum,
without the mediation of anything else, by and through which their action
and force may be conveyed from one to another, is to me so great an
absurdity that I believe no man who has in philosophical matters a
competent faculty of thinking can ever fall into it *"


> * > It's not the one-light-minute sphere expanding after the measurement
> event, it's the one-light-minute sphere contracting onto the measurement
> event before it.  How does the SE account for it?*
>

You tell me, you're the one pushing this cockamamie idea.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

ev7

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-09 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/9/2022 3:36 AM, John Clark wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 7:00 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

On 5/8/2022 1:50 PM, smitra wrote:

>> That the CI is inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation
is easy to 


>> see. If the Schrödinger is valid, then the state of a
system evolves 


>> in a unitary way. But after a real collapse the state
changes in a 

>> non-unitary way. 



> /Which is only a problem if one insists that the Schroedinger
equation is
the whole of the theory and it is ontic.  CI denies the first and
says
that measurements are projection operators because a measurements is
necessarily a classical-like result.  QBism says the whole theory is
epistemic./


And all of that is fundamentallythe same as "shut up and calculate ", 
they're just dressed up in slightly different philosophical bafflegab.


They're not "dressed up", they are perfectly explicit in their 
interpretation and ontology.  Only the Priesthood of Everett resorts to 
snide denigration.  And their ontology does not need an continuum 
infinity of universes to "explain" probability.




>> If the measurement takes one minute, then the initial state
of a patch 


>> of one light-minute diameter around the location of the
experiment 

>> maps to a final state of that patch in a unitary way. 



> /You seem to overlook that this one-light minute sphere also had
incomingparticles and radiation which could not be accounted for
theSchroedinger equation./


If Everett is right then when an electron makes an up/down decision it 
makes no difference if you think of it as the entire universe 
 instantly splits or as the split expanding outward at the speed of 
light, either way something that happens on the surface of that 
expanding sphere can have no effect on its center because no signal 
can travel faster than light.


An electron makes an up/down decision??  That's a new interpretation!  
You miss the point that parts of the universe not accounted for in your 
SE are acting on the instrument which is interacting with the electron 
as it's "making a decision".  It's not the one-light-minute sphere 
expanding after the measurement event, it's the one-light-minute sphere 
contracting onto the measurement event before it.  How does the SE 
account for it?


Brent



John K Clark    See what's on my new list at Extropolis 


lft


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-09 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/9/2022 3:15 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 6:34 PM Bruce Kellett  
wrote:


/> The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is
-- it explains everything. /


No! The Everett program says the only assumption Quantum Mechanics 
needs is that the Schrodinger Equation means what it says, and nobody 
in their right mind thinks Quantum Mechanics as it currently exists, 
or the Schrodinger Equation, describes gravity.


/> That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE), /


The Born Rule is not an assumption nor is it a theory, it is an 
experimentally derived fact, a fact that EVERY quantum interpretation 
makes use of.


/> so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE./


Without Schrodinger's Equation there could be no quantum wave 
function, and without the quantum wave function there could be no Born 
Rule, and without the Born Rule there could be no Quantum Mechanics. 
And Quantum Mechanics is the most universally applicable idea in all 
of science, it works on everything except gravity, so it might be wise 
to keep it around.


We keep Newtonian mechanics around too.  That doesn't mean nothing 
better can be found.  Schroedinger's equation isn't even the only form 
of QM.  There are also transactional and path integral forms and 
epistemic forms like QBism.  And there are also slightly different 
theories like Adler's emergent QM and explicit collapse theories like 
GRW.  All of which are the same theory at the level of "might be wise to 
keep around."


Brent



John K Clark    See what's on my new list at Extropolis 


ebk


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-09 Thread John Clark
On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 7:00 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

On 5/8/2022 1:50 PM, smitra wrote:
>
> >> That the CI is inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation is easy to
>
> >> see. If the Schrödinger is valid, then the state of a system evolves
>
> >> in a unitary way. But after a real collapse the state changes in a
>
> >> non-unitary way.
>
>
> >
>
>
>
> *Which is only a problem if one insists that the Schroedinger equation is
> the whole of the theory and it is ontic.  CI denies the first and says that
> measurements are projection operators because a measurements is necessarily
> a classical-like result.  QBism says the whole theory is epistemic.*
>

And all of that is fundamentally the same as "shut up and calculate ",
they're just dressed up in slightly different philosophical bafflegab.

>> If the measurement takes one minute, then the initial state of a patch
>
> >> of one light-minute diameter around the location of the experiment
>
> >> maps to a final state of that patch in a unitary way.
>
>
> > *You seem to overlook that this one-light minute sphere also had
> incoming particles and radiation which could not be accounted for the
> Schroedinger equation.*
>

If Everett is right then when an electron makes an up/down decision it
makes no difference if you think of it as the entire universe  instantly
splits or as the split expanding outward at the speed of light, either way
something that happens on the surface of that expanding sphere can have no
effect on its center because no signal can travel faster than light.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

lft


>

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-09 Thread John Clark
On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 6:34 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

*> The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
> explains everything. *


No! The Everett program says the only assumption Quantum Mechanics needs is
that the Schrodinger Equation means what it says, and nobody in their right
mind thinks Quantum Mechanics as it currently exists, or the Schrodinger
Equation, describes gravity.

*> That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE), *


The Born Rule is not an assumption nor is it a theory, it is an
experimentally derived fact, a fact that EVERY quantum interpretation makes
use of.

*> so it might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.*


Without Schrodinger's Equation there could be no quantum wave function, and
without the quantum wave function there could be no Born Rule, and without
the Born Rule there could be no Quantum Mechanics. And Quantum Mechanics is
the most universally applicable idea in all of science, it works on
everything except gravity, so it might be wise to keep it around.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

ebk

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 12:47 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 5/8/2022 5:39 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:32 AM Brent Meeker 
> wrote:
>
>> On 5/8/2022 5:25 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>>
>> On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:17 AM Brent Meeker 
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> I don't think that's a problem.  The number of information bits within a
>>> Hubble sphere is something like the area in Planck units, which already
>>> implies the continuum is a just a convenient approximation.  If the area is
>>> N then something order 1/N would be the smallest non-zero probability.
>>> Also there would be a cutoff for the off-diagonal terms of the density
>>> matrix.  Once all the off-diagonal terms are zero then it's like a mixed
>>> matrix and one could say that one of the diagonal terms has "happened".
>>>
>>
>> As I have pointed out before, a finite number of branches does not work
>> because after a certain finite number of splits, one would run out of
>> branches to partition in anything like the way appropriate for the related
>> probabilities. One cannot go adding more branches at that stage without
>> rendering the whole concept meaningless. Keeping things finite has its
>> attractions, but it does not work in this case.
>>
>>
>> I think it depends on how you count splits.  If the number of dof within
>> a Hubble volume is finite, then the number of splits doesn't grow
>> exponentially.  They get cut off when their probability becomes too small.
>>
>
> You are back to your notion of a smallest possible probability. That also
> runs into problems if you run a long sequence of events where one outcome
> has a very small probability on each trial. Try tossing a coin N times. The
> probability of a sequence of N heads is 1/N. What happens when this gets
> smaller than the smallest allowed probability? Is the next toss somehow
> forbidden to give head again? You are making the whole notion of
> probability problematic.
>
>
> Yes, I can see a concern.  But my back-of-the envelope estimate is that
> the Hubble volume has the information content of ~10^96 bits.  So it would
> very hard experimentally to flip enough coins to test that limit.  However
> it would imply that you couldn't create a pseudo-random number generator
> that could produce random numbers with that many bits.  That would raise
> the question of how would you tell?  The sequence of numbers of a good
> pseudo-random number generator look random until you test high order
> correlations.
>

I don't think that the limited number of bits of information in the Hubble
volume is much of a concern. I suspect that if the number of branches is
finite, and there is a limit to how small a probability can be, then
everything must be discrete -- space and time along with everything else.
Or else you get a Zeno effect with radioactive decay. For a long-lived
isotope, the probability of decay in a small time interval can be made as
small as you want by taking a small enough time interval. Whether this is
measurable is not really the issue. If there is a lower limit on
probability, then decays are probably impossible without discrete time and
space as well.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/8/2022 5:39 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:32 AM Brent Meeker  
wrote:


On 5/8/2022 5:25 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:17 AM Brent Meeker
 wrote:

On 5/8/2022 3:42 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:

On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:

> It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible
outcomes exist
> on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.

All outcomes can exist without these being equally
likely. One can make
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but
these are just
models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if
your concern is that the SE does not contain provision for a
collapse, then you should doubt other theories that violate
the SE. You can't have it both ways: you can't reject
collapse models because they violate the SE and then embrace
other models that also violate the SE. Either the SE is
universally correct, or it is not.

What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which
demonstrates that
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of
such models is
another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number
probabilities, the number of branches on each split must be
infinite.


I don't think that's a problem.  The number of information
bits within a Hubble sphere is something like the area in
Planck units, which already implies the continuum is a just a
convenient approximation.  If the area is N then something
order 1/N would be the smallest non-zero probability.  Also
there would be a cutoff for the off-diagonal terms of the
density matrix.  Once all the off-diagonal terms are zero
then it's like a mixed matrix and one could say that one of
the diagonal terms has "happened".


As I have pointed out before, a finite number of branches does
not work because after a certain finite number of splits, one
would run out of branches to partition in anything like the way
appropriate for the related probabilities. One cannot go adding
more branches at that stage without rendering the whole concept
meaningless. Keeping things finite has its attractions, but it
does not work in this case.


I think it depends on how you count splits.  If the number of dof
within a Hubble volume is finite, then the number of splits
doesn't grow exponentially.  They get cut off when their
probability becomes too small.


You are back to your notion of a smallest possible probability. That 
also runs into problems if you run a long sequence of events where one 
outcome has a very small probability on each trial. Try tossing a coin 
N times. The probability of a sequence of N heads is 1/N. What 
happens when this gets smaller than the smallest allowed probability? 
Is the next toss somehow forbidden to give head again? You are making 
the whole notion of probability problematic.


Yes, I can see a concern.  But my back-of-the envelope estimate is that 
the Hubble volume has the information content of ~10^96 bits. So it 
would very hard experimentally to flip enough coins to test that limit.  
However it would imply that you couldn't create a pseudo-random number 
generator that could produce random numbers with that many bits.  That 
would raise the question of how would you tell?  The sequence of numbers 
of a good pseudo-random number generator look random until you test high 
order correlations.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:32 AM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 5/8/2022 5:25 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:17 AM Brent Meeker 
> wrote:
>
>> On 5/8/2022 3:42 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>>
>> On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:
>>
>>> On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>>>
>>> > It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes exist
>>> > on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.
>>>
>>> All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can make
>>> models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are just
>>> models that may not be correct.
>>
>>
>> Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern is
>> that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you should
>> doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it both ways: you
>> can't reject collapse models because they violate the SE and then embrace
>> other models that also violate the SE. Either the SE is
>> universally correct, or it is not.
>>
>>> What matters is that such models can be
>>> formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates that
>>> there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models is
>>> another issue.
>>>
>>
>> This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the
>> number of branches on each split must be infinite.
>>
>>
>> I don't think that's a problem.  The number of information bits within a
>> Hubble sphere is something like the area in Planck units, which already
>> implies the continuum is a just a convenient approximation.  If the area is
>> N then something order 1/N would be the smallest non-zero probability.
>> Also there would be a cutoff for the off-diagonal terms of the density
>> matrix.  Once all the off-diagonal terms are zero then it's like a mixed
>> matrix and one could say that one of the diagonal terms has "happened".
>>
>
> As I have pointed out before, a finite number of branches does not work
> because after a certain finite number of splits, one would run out of
> branches to partition in anything like the way appropriate for the related
> probabilities. One cannot go adding more branches at that stage without
> rendering the whole concept meaningless. Keeping things finite has its
> attractions, but it does not work in this case.
>
>
> I think it depends on how you count splits.  If the number of dof within a
> Hubble volume is finite, then the number of splits doesn't grow
> exponentially.  They get cut off when their probability becomes too small.
>

You are back to your notion of a smallest possible probability. That also
runs into problems if you run a long sequence of events where one outcome
has a very small probability on each trial. Try tossing a coin N times. The
probability of a sequence of N heads is 1/N. What happens when this gets
smaller than the smallest allowed probability? Is the next toss somehow
forbidden to give head again? You are making the whole notion of
probability problematic.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/8/2022 5:25 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:17 AM Brent Meeker  
wrote:


On 5/8/2022 3:42 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:

On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:

> It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible
outcomes exist
> on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.

All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely.
One can make
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these
are just
models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your
concern is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse,
then you should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You
can't have it both ways: you can't reject collapse models because
they violate the SE and then embrace other models that also
violate the SE. Either the SE is universally correct, or it is not.

What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which
demonstrates that
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such
models is
another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities,
the number of branches on each split must be infinite.


I don't think that's a problem.  The number of information bits
within a Hubble sphere is something like the area in Planck units,
which already implies the continuum is a just a convenient
approximation.  If the area is N then something order 1/N would be
the smallest non-zero probability.  Also there would be a cutoff
for the off-diagonal terms of the density matrix.  Once all the
off-diagonal terms are zero then it's like a mixed matrix and one
could say that one of the diagonal terms has "happened".


As I have pointed out before, a finite number of branches does not 
work because after a certain finite number of splits, one would run 
out of branches to partition in anything like the way appropriate for 
the related probabilities. One cannot go adding more branches at that 
stage without rendering the whole concept meaningless. Keeping things 
finite has its attractions, but it does not work in this case.


I think it depends on how you count splits.  If the number of dof within 
a Hubble volume is finite, then the number of splits doesn't grow 
exponentially.  They get cut off when their probability becomes too small.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 10:17 AM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 5/8/2022 3:42 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:
>
>> On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>>
>> > It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes exist
>> > on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.
>>
>> All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can make
>> models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are just
>> models that may not be correct.
>
>
> Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern is
> that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you should
> doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it both ways: you
> can't reject collapse models because they violate the SE and then embrace
> other models that also violate the SE. Either the SE is
> universally correct, or it is not.
>
>> What matters is that such models can be
>> formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates that
>> there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models is
>> another issue.
>>
>
> This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the
> number of branches on each split must be infinite.
>
>
> I don't think that's a problem.  The number of information bits within a
> Hubble sphere is something like the area in Planck units, which already
> implies the continuum is a just a convenient approximation.  If the area is
> N then something order 1/N would be the smallest non-zero probability.
> Also there would be a cutoff for the off-diagonal terms of the density
> matrix.  Once all the off-diagonal terms are zero then it's like a mixed
> matrix and one could say that one of the diagonal terms has "happened".
>

As I have pointed out before, a finite number of branches does not work
because after a certain finite number of splits, one would run out of
branches to partition in anything like the way appropriate for the related
probabilities. One cannot go adding more branches at that stage without
rendering the whole concept meaningless. Keeping things finite has its
attractions, but it does not work in this case.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/8/2022 3:42 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:

On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:

> It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes exist
> on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.

All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can
make
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are
just
models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern 
is that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you 
should doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it 
both ways: you can't reject collapse models because they violate the 
SE and then embrace other models that also violate the SE. Either the 
SE is universally correct, or it is not.


What matters is that such models can be
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates
that
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such
models is
another issue.


This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the 
number of branches on each split must be infinite.


I don't think that's a problem.  The number of information bits within a 
Hubble sphere is something like the area in Planck units, which already 
implies the continuum is a just a convenient approximation.  If the area 
is N then something order 1/N would be the smallest non-zero 
probability.  Also there would be a cutoff for the off-diagonal terms of 
the density matrix.  Once all the off-diagonal terms are zero then it's 
like a mixed matrix and one could say that one of the diagonal terms has 
"happened".


Brent

The measure problem for infinite numbers of branches has not been 
solved. It is unlikely that any consistent measure over infinite 
numbers of branches can be defined. So this idea is probably a 
non-starter. At least other models have a reasonable chance of success.


Bruce


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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Brent Meeker




On 5/8/2022 1:50 PM, smitra wrote:

On 08-05-2022 06:03, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/7/2022 6:21 PM, smitra wrote:


On 05-05-2022 00:04, Brent Meeker wrote:
On 5/4/2022 12:27 PM, smitra wrote:

In
fact, that idea introduces a raft of problems of its own -- what
is
the measure over this infinity of branches? What does it mean to
partition infinity in the ratio of 0.9:0.1? What is the mechanism
(necessarily outside the Schrodinger equation) that achieves this?

That simply means that there is as of yet no good model for QM
without the Born rule.


But there is no mechanism for the Born rule.  It is inconsistent with
pure Schroedinger evolution of the wave function.  I think the problem

of measures on infinity is overcome if you simply postulate a very
large but finite number of branches to split.  Or why not not an
continuum probability and just measure by the density around the
eigenvalue...the measured values are never exact anyway.  I don't
these things are wrong or show MWI is inconsistent, but I think they
show it has just moved the problems it purported to solve off to some
unobservable worlds, which is no better than CI.

Born rule is not inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation, it just
tells you that the wavefunction gives you the probability amplitudes.
This is better than the CI, because the CI is inconsistent with the
Schrödinger equation.

Because??  It takes one more step and says "probability means
something happens and other things don't."  It's not called the
"Copenhagen Equation".  It's called the "Copenhagen Interpretation",
i.e. how to _INTERPRET_ the Schroedinger equation and so it is
consistent with it.

It's called an interpretation just like the MWI, but these are 
actually different theories that make different predictions, albeit in 
a domain that cannot easily be accessed experimentally.


That the CI is inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation is easy to 
see. If the Schrödinger is valid, then the state of a system evolves 
in a unitary way. But after a real collapse the state changes in a 
non-unitary way. 


Which is only a problem if one insists that the Schroedinger equation is 
the whole of the theory and it is ontic.  CI denies the first and says 
that measurements are projection operators because a measurements is 
necessarily a classical-like result.  QBism says the whole theory is 
epistemic.


If we consider measuring the z-component of a spin polarized in the 
x-direction using a Stern-Gerlach apparatus, then the entire system 
of  the spin the experimental set-up, the observer and local 
environment consists of particles that should evolve according to the 
Schrödinger equation. 


"Should"?

If the measurement takes one minute, then the initial state of a patch 
of one light-minute diameter around the location of the experiment 
maps to a final state of that patch in a unitary way. 


You seem to overlook that this one-light minute sphere also had incoming 
particles and radiation which could not be accounted for the 
Schroedinger equation.


But CI says that this does not happen because the internal observer in 
the system performed a measurement that causes the state of the system 
to collapse.


Yes, that's a problem although CI+decoherence doesn't depend on an 
observer.  The effect of the incoming radiation is also a problem. But 
MWI doesn't solve the problem, it just assumes that the correlations are 
created which have the same effect as collapse as far as the instruments 
and observers are concerned.  Decoherence goes part way to solving the 
problem by quantifying how the "collapse" occurs statistically in time.


Brent






The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with making
hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there are
only a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer
is modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware
of.


But different Mr. Data's and different instruments can have different
number of states.  So what you're suggesting is QBism.



It may fall under QBism, the question is if this is going to cause 
problems that cannot be resolved well.


Saibal


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:37 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> > It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes exist
> > on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.
>
> All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can make
> models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are just
> models that may not be correct.


Such models are certainly inconsistent with the SE. So if your concern is
that the SE does not contain provision for a collapse, then you should
doubt other theories that violate the SE. You can't have it both ways: you
can't reject collapse models because they violate the SE and then embrace
other models that also violate the SE. Either the SE is
universally correct, or it is not.

> What matters is that such models can be
> formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates that
> there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models is
> another issue.
>

This has been discussed. To allow for real number probabilities, the number
of branches on each split must be infinite. The measure problem for
infinite numbers of branches has not been solved. It is unlikely that any
consistent measure over infinite numbers of branches can be defined. So
this idea is probably a non-starter. At least other models have a
reasonable chance of success.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Mon, May 9, 2022 at 6:52 AM smitra  wrote:

> On 08-05-2022 06:04, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> > On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:21 AM smitra  wrote:
> >
> >> The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with making
> >> hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there are
> >> only
> >> a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer is
> >> modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
> >> clear
> >> that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
> >> correspond to
> >> the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware of.
> >
> > Everett is supposed to be QM without observers. So the number of
> > things that Mr Data can possibly be aware of is irrelevant. According
> > to the SE, all branches are equivalent. All else flows from this --
> > there are no further "hidden assumptions about branches".
> >
>
> Yes, but I'm not a big fan of "sticking to scripture". What matters for
> me is that collapse is inconsistent with the SE, therefore we should
> consider QM without collapse and see how to best to move forward on that
> basis.
>

That still treats the SE as indubitally true. No theory in physics is
'indubitably true'.

The Everett program is to say that the SE is all that there is -- it
explains everything. That is clearly false (no Born rule in the SE), so it
might be wise to doubt the universal application of the SE.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread smitra

On 08-05-2022 06:04, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:21 AM smitra  wrote:


The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with making
hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there are
only
a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer is
modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear
that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to
the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware of.


Everett is supposed to be QM without observers. So the number of
things that Mr Data can possibly be aware of is irrelevant. According
to the SE, all branches are equivalent. All else flows from this --
there are no further "hidden assumptions about branches".



Yes, but I'm not a big fan of "sticking to scripture". What matters for 
me is that collapse is inconsistent with the SE, therefore we should 
consider QM without collapse and see how to best to move forward on that 
basis.


Saibal



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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread smitra

On 08-05-2022 06:03, Brent Meeker wrote:

On 5/7/2022 6:21 PM, smitra wrote:


On 05-05-2022 00:04, Brent Meeker wrote:
On 5/4/2022 12:27 PM, smitra wrote:

In
fact, that idea introduces a raft of problems of its own -- what
is
the measure over this infinity of branches? What does it mean to
partition infinity in the ratio of 0.9:0.1? What is the mechanism
(necessarily outside the Schrodinger equation) that achieves this?

That simply means that there is as of yet no good model for QM
without the Born rule.


But there is no mechanism for the Born rule.  It is inconsistent with
pure Schroedinger evolution of the wave function.  I think the problem

of measures on infinity is overcome if you simply postulate a very
large but finite number of branches to split.  Or why not not an
continuum probability and just measure by the density around the
eigenvalue...the measured values are never exact anyway.  I don't
these things are wrong or show MWI is inconsistent, but I think they
show it has just moved the problems it purported to solve off to some
unobservable worlds, which is no better than CI.

Born rule is not inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation, it just
tells you that the wavefunction gives you the probability amplitudes.
This is better than the CI, because the CI is inconsistent with the
Schrödinger equation.

Because??  It takes one more step and says "probability means
something happens and other things don't."  It's not called the
"Copenhagen Equation".  It's called the "Copenhagen Interpretation",
i.e. how to _INTERPRET_ the Schroedinger equation and so it is
consistent with it.

It's called an interpretation just like the MWI, but these are actually 
different theories that make different predictions, albeit in a domain 
that cannot easily be accessed experimentally.


That the CI is inconsistent with the Schrödinger equation is easy to 
see. If the Schrödinger is valid, then the state of a system evolves in 
a unitary way. But after a real collapse the state changes in a 
non-unitary way. If we consider measuring the z-component of a spin 
polarized in the x-direction using a Stern-Gerlach apparatus, then the 
entire system of  the spin the experimental set-up, the observer and 
local environment consists of particles that should evolve according to 
the Schrödinger equation. If the measurement takes one minute, then the 
initial state of a patch of one light-minute diameter around the 
location of the experiment maps to a final state of that patch in a 
unitary way. But CI says that this does not happen because the internal 
observer in the system performed a measurement that causes the state of 
the system to collapse.




The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with making
hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there are
only a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer
is modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's
clear that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can
correspond to the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware
of.


But different Mr. Data's and different instruments can have different
number of states.  So what you're suggesting is QBism.



It may fall under QBism, the question is if this is going to cause 
problems that cannot be resolved well.


Saibal


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread smitra

On 08-05-2022 05:58, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:32 AM smitra  wrote:


On 05-05-2022 01:15, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 5, 2022 at 5:27 AM smitra  wrote:


On 04-05-2022 01:49, Bruce Kellett wrote:


I have not introduced any concept of probability. The 2^N

branches

that are constructed when both outcomes are realized on each of

N

Bernoulli trials are all on the same basis.


If you ignore the amplitudes in the states, and that means

modifying

QM into something else.


QM does not assume that all branches exist equally. In Everett you
have already modified QM into something else.

The Schrodinger equation is insensitive to the amplitudes. You get

the

same set of 2^N branches from the Schrodinger equation, whatever
amplitudes you have. The weights of these branches certainly

depend on

the amplitudes: if there are n zeros in the set of N trials, there

are

N-n ones. The weight of the corresponding binary string is a^n
b^(N-n), but without further assumption, this plays no role in the
future development of the state or in the interpretation of the

binary

string. If you interpret it as the probability of the string, you
again have a conflict, since all binary strings are constructed on

an

equal basis, the natural probability for each is 2^{-N}.


There is no conflict whatsoever with assuming the Born rule and the
Schrodinger equation. The "construction on an equal basis" is not at
all
implied by the Schrödinger equation.


It is when you take the SE to imply that all possible outcomes exist
on each trial. That gives all outcomes equal status.



All outcomes can exist without these being equally likely. One can make 
models based on more branches for certain outcomes, but these are just 
models that may not be correct. What matters is that such models can be 
formulated in a mathematically consistent way, which demonstrates that 
there is n o contradiction. The physical plausibility of such models is 
another issue.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread smitra

On 08-05-2022 05:56, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:40 AM smitra  wrote:


On 05-05-2022 01:57, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Thu, May 5, 2022 at 5:27 AM smitra  wrote:


Of course you can. The lottery example shows that even in

classical

physics you can imagine this happening. If  a million copies of

you are

made and one will win a lottery whole the rest won't then you

have one

in a million chance of experiencing winning the lottery, even

though

both outcomes of winning and losing will occur with certainty.


The trouble is that classically, a million copies of you cannot be
made.


Then assume that I'm Mr. Data and just copy the software running Mr.

Data a million times. So, this is not a findamtnel problem with the
argument.


That technology does not currently exist. And one might reasonably
doubt that it will ever exist




The issue was that if the probability of an outcome is 10%, then
it does not make sense to say that that outcome will certainly

happen.

It does make sense in a scenario where there are multiple copies if
the
same observer. If Alice makes 10 copies of Bob, and one copy of Bob
is
going to experience outcome A and the rest will experience outcome
B,
then from Alice will see all the possible states for Bob. But from
Bob's
point of view, things are different. After Bob is exposed to the
result
(A or B) there are two versions of Bob, Bob

I think this boils down to the first person:third person confusion
that Bruno often refers to.
From the third person perspective, the outcome is certain. But from
the first person perspective of each of the copies, the outcome is not
certain.

Consider the following simple situation. You have a bag containing ten
balls, nine of which are red and one is black. If there are ten copies
of Bob, for example, and each copy draws a ball from the bag, without
replacement. Then it is certain (100% probability) that the black ball
will be drawn. But the probability that any particular copy of Bob
drew the black ball is only 10%. (They draw the balls without knowing
the results of other draws). The probability that 'Bob' (including all
copies, presumed identical) will have the black ball is still 100%.
That is the 3p perspective. For each copy, however, their 1p
perspective is that the probability that their ball is black is only
10%. The problem arises if you attempt to impose the 1p perspective on
the 3p view. It cannot be the case that a particular copy of Bob is
both certain to draw black and has only a 10% chance of drawing black.
To consider all copies as equally identified as 'Bob' is the 3p view,
and that is the view that is relevant for the Everett interpretation
of an experiment -- there is nothing in the SE that identifies one
particular observer (there is no 1p view), so Everett is incompatible
with the Born rule (which is a 1p view).



I agree here, except that the wavefunction will (in general) assign 
different amplitudes to different states of observers. Therefore there 
is problem with the Born rule assigning different probabilities to the 
observer being in different states.


Saibal


Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-08 Thread John Clark
On Sat, May 7, 2022 at 7:18 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

*> Everett's theory does not attach a probability to branches -- it just
> says that they all happen. And that is the biggest failure of Everett's
> theory*
>

Now Bruce, we both know if probability didn't enter into Everett's idea
then his PhD thesis would *NOT* have been accepted, not in a million years,
and physicists would certainly not still be studying his thesis today, 65
years after it was written. Probability to Everett is just what you'd
expect it to be, the square of the absolute value of the wave function, and
if you multiply that term by the energy in each branch you will get the
total energy in the entire Multiverse. And if the energy in each branch is
finite (which may or may not be true, nobody knows) then the energy in the
entire Multiverse must also be finite, even though it has an infinite
number of branches, because all the terms (a.k.a. probabilities) add up to
1.

>> If there are probabilities of results that implies that* SOMETIMES* a
>> specific thing happens and *SOMETIMES* that exact same specific thing
>> doesn't.
>>
>
> *> Everett says that everything that can happen always happens,*
>

Not exactly. Everett says everything that can happen does happen, not that
it always happens. And yes those 2 statements would seem to be
contradictory if the Multiverse did not exist, but Everett says it does.


> *> so there can be no applicable notion of probability in that theory.*
>

No. There may be an infinite number of branches in the Multiverse but only
a *FINITE* number of branches contain beings that are so similar to each
other that they essentially have the same conscious experience and so could
reasonably be said to be Bruce Kellett. And so there will be far far more
Bruce Kelletts who see a flipped coin land heads than see a flipped coin
land on its edge. And thus if pre-flip Bruce Kellett made a bet he would be
wise to place his money on "heads" not "edge" because that way there would
be a greater (finite) number of Bruce Kellett winners than the (also
finite) number of Bruce Kellett losers. And that's why human beings have
always found probability to be an extremely useful idea.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

ilI

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-07 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 2:24 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 5/7/2022 8:56 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> I think this boils down to the first person:third person confusion that
> Bruno often refers to.
> From the third person perspective, the outcome is certain. But from the
> first person perspective of each of the copies, the outcome is not certain.
>
> Consider the following simple situation. You have a bag containing ten
> balls, nine of which are red and one is black. If there are ten copies of
> Bob, for example, and each copy draws a ball from the bag, without
> replacement. Then it is certain (100% probability) that the black ball will
> be drawn. But the probability that any particular copy of Bob drew the
> black ball is only 10%. (They draw the balls without knowing the results of
> other draws). The probability that 'Bob' (including all copies, presumed
> identical) will have the black ball is still 100%. That is the 3p
> perspective. For each copy, however, their 1p perspective is that the
> probability that their ball is black is only 10%. The problem arises if you
> attempt to impose the 1p perspective on the 3p view. It cannot be the case
> that a particular copy of Bob is both certain to draw black and has only a
> 10% chance of drawing black. To consider all copies as equally identified
> as 'Bob' is the 3p view, and that is the view that is relevant for the
> Everett interpretation of an experiment -- there is nothing in the SE that
> identifies one particular observer (there is no 1p view), so Everett is
> incompatible with the Born rule (which is a 1p view).
>
>
> I don't think I agree that there is any such 3p view.  There's a 3p
> calculation, using MWI, in which ten different "Bob" are predicted.  But no
> third party ever sees these ten Bobs.
>

OK, no 'person' sees ten copies of Bob or ten outcomes. But it is common to
use a 'super-observer' notion for this. -- the 3p calculation. The 3p view
is then the objective 'view from outside'.

When you start to rely on subjective perspectives I think you've already
> violated the spirit of MWI which was proposed to apply to simple instrument
> records as well as consciousness.  Decoherence is such an instrument that
> is implicit in the environment.
>

I think that is exactly right. I introduced 1p and 3p views in an attempt
to come to terms with Saibal's presentation, but strictly everything should
be done by instruments -- no persons involved.

Bruce

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-07 Thread Brent Meeker



On 5/7/2022 8:56 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:40 AM smitra  wrote:

On 05-05-2022 01:57, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> On Thu, May 5, 2022 at 5:27 AM smitra  wrote:
>>
>> Of course you can. The lottery example shows that even in classical
>> physics you can imagine this happening. If  a million copies of
you are
>> made and one will win a lottery whole the rest won't then you
have one
>> in a million chance of experiencing winning the lottery, even
though
>> both outcomes of winning and losing will occur with certainty.
>
> The trouble is that classically, a million copies of you cannot be
> made.

Then assume that I'm Mr. Data and just copy the software running Mr.
Data a million times. So, this is not a findamtnel problem with the
argument.


That technology does not currently exist. And one might reasonably 
doubt that it will ever exist



> The issue was that if the probability of an outcome is 10%, then
> it does not make sense to say that that outcome will certainly
happen.

It does make sense in a scenario where there are multiple copies
if the
same observer. If Alice makes 10 copies of Bob, and one copy of
Bob is
going to experience outcome A and the rest will experience outcome B,
then from Alice will see all the possible states for Bob. But from
Bob's
point of view, things are different. After Bob is exposed to the
result
(A or B) there are two versions of Bob, BobI think this boils down to the first person:third person confusion 
that Bruno often refers to.
From the third person perspective, the outcome is certain. But from 
the first person perspective of each of the copies, the outcome is not 
certain.


Consider the following simple situation. You have a bag containing ten 
balls, nine of which are red and one is black. If there are ten copies 
of Bob, for example, and each copy draws a ball from the bag, without 
replacement. Then it is certain (100% probability) that the black ball 
will be drawn. But the probability that any particular copy of Bob 
drew the black ball is only 10%. (They draw the balls without knowing 
the results of other draws). The probability that 'Bob' (including all 
copies, presumed identical) will have the black ball is still 100%. 
That is the 3p perspective. For each copy, however, their 1p 
perspective is that the probability that their ball is black is only 
10%. The problem arises if you attempt to impose the 1p perspective on 
the 3p view. It cannot be the case that a particular copy of Bob is 
both certain to draw black and has only a 10% chance of drawing black. 
To consider all copies as equally identified as 'Bob' is the 3p view, 
and that is the view that is relevant for the Everett interpretation 
of an experiment -- there is nothing in the SE that identifies one 
particular observer (there is no 1p view), so Everett is incompatible 
with the Born rule (which is a 1p view).


I don't think I agree that there is any such 3p view.  There's a 3p 
calculation, using MWI, in which ten different "Bob" are predicted. But 
no third party ever sees these ten Bobs.


When you start to rely on subjective perspectives I think you've already 
violated the spirit of MWI which was proposed to apply to simple 
instrument records as well as consciousness.  Decoherence is such an 
instrument that is implicit in the environment.


Brent

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Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism

2022-05-07 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 11:21 AM smitra  wrote:

>
> The issues with branches etc. are likely just artifacts with making
> hidden assumptions about branches. At the end of the day there are only
> a finite number of states an observer can be in. If an observer is
> modeled as an algorithm, take e.g. Star Trek's Mr. Data then it's clear
> that there are only a finite number of bitstrings that can correspond to
> the set of all possible things Mr. Data can be aware of.
>

Everett is supposed to be QM without observers. So the number of things
that Mr Data can possibly be aware of is irrelevant. According to the SE,
all branches are equivalent. All else flows from this -- there are no
further "hidden assumptions about branches".

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