Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-14 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 8/2/2003 12:46:19 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Which of course is what
 this all about.So many Democrats turned a blind
  eye to Clinton's
 perjury
 
 But this is where you are precisely wrong John. No democrat
 defended 
  Clinton this. Not one said he was right 
 
 
 Au contraire a great many noted that any man would lie 
 about adultery.
Name a few then. And by the way be precise. I want the names of democrats who said it 
was ok to commit perjury. Not whether men lie about adultary. If memory serves me 
right several republicans had to fess up about previous affairs. Unless I am living 
under a ton of alzheimers and spending too much time looking at Gnewts  of course. 

Here it is John. This is a perfect example of your republicans can do no wrong and 
democrats can do no right approach. Do you actually believe that democrats as a group 
approved of either Clinton's immoral behavior or his testimony? If yes than all is 
lost and by the way you might as well assume that since I have been a democrat in the 
past that I approve of such things. You cannot have it both ways. You cannot defend 
Bush by saying that it is just politics and then attack Clinton because he lies. In 
personal life an politics lying occurs all the time. It knows no party affiliation. 
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-07 Thread Matt Grimaldi
 At 03:35 PM 8/1/2003 -0700 Matt Grimaldi wrote:
 So then the President used information that ultimately
 came from French Intelligence, a country which his own
 administration has all but accused of having a conflict
 of interest wrt Iraq?  This sounds worse than before.
 

John D. Giorgis wrote:
 
 I love this.
 
 You get to nail Bush for not cooperating with our allies,
 like the French. *AND*  You get to nail Bush *for*
 cooperating wth our allies, like the French.
 Sorry, but I can't take your Catch-22 seriously.
 

I don't call using 3rd-hand soft info from France
as cooperating with them.  They didn't want the
evidence to be used in the first place, and certainly
didn't share the hard evidence with us, if there was
any.  If Bush hadn't used the evidence, the basic
positions of the debate for and against invading Iraq
would not have changed, and this particular facet
would never have come up.

Besides, why should Bush believe anything from France,
over the objections of his own intelligence department,
when he is suspicious of France's motives?  If he's going
to disregard them, why not *also* disregard soft evidence
in the form of assurances passed through a 3rd party?
Anything french, especially at the time the SOU was
given, was tarred as suspicous by the administration
and the media.  Why should he take their assurances
over his own CIA, and browbeat them into settling on a
statement that is technically not untrue, yet misleading
wrt the strength of the evidence supporting it.  All
this going into the most important and heavily reviewed
speech he makes.

It seems to me that the administration's standards should
be getting tougher for things like this, not weaker.

This is not a catch-22, but rather someone acting out
of character.  It suggests that he had an Agenda and
anything he could get his hands on, regardless of its
integrity, would be employed.

-- Matt


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-05 Thread Matt Grimaldi
Jon Gabriel wrote:
 
  From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 On
  Behalf Of John D. Giorgis
  Sent: Saturday, August 02, 2003 12:46 PM
  To: Killer Bs Discussion
  Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
 
  At 09:25 PM 7/22/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Which of course is what
  this all about.So many Democrats turned a blind
   eye to Clinton's
  perjury
  
  But this is where you are precisely wrong John. No democrat
  defended
   Clinton this. Not one said he was right
 
 
  Au contraire a great many noted that any man would lie about
  adultery.
 
 
 Cite please.  I'm unaware of any democratic or republican politico who
 said 'What he did was right, and lying about it was expected and
 acceptable.'  Just because a late night talk show comedian like Bill
 Maher says it doesn't mean he is speaking for the American people.
 

The statement Any man would lie about adultery does not
require that Clinton's actions were right and acceptable,
just understandable, and for most people, they were
understandable.  Being understandable only means that there
can be some leniency in the punishment for one's transgressions,
but they still remain wrong, and one still should be punished
for them.  The impeachment movement seemed to ignore this in
order to pursue the maximum punishment available, and failed.

-- Matt


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Matt Grimaldi
 --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Don't use it in the SOU. You don't insult the
  british by not using the information. But by the way
  why is it as is usual? It would seem to me in
  something this important the british could share
  their specific information. I would suspect that
  more often than not in situations like this the info
  would be shared. I would very upset to learn that we
  and our allies shared only conclusions not evidence.

Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
 The British have stated that their source (informed
 speculation is French intelligence, but no one knows
 for sure) refused them permission to share the
 evidence, only the conclusions.  This is very ordinary
 in the intelligence world, where sources and methods
 are prized above all things.
 

So then the President used information that ultimately
came from French Intelligence, a country which his own
administration has all but accused of having a conflict
of interest wrt Iraq?  This sounds worse than before.

-- Matt

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 09:25 PM 7/22/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Which of course is what
this all about.So many Democrats turned a blind
 eye to Clinton's
perjury

But this is where you are precisely wrong John. No democrat
defended 
 Clinton this. Not one said he was right 


Au contraire a great many noted that any man would lie about adultery.

JDG

___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Jon Gabriel
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On
 Behalf Of John D. Giorgis
 Sent: Saturday, August 02, 2003 12:46 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
 
 At 09:25 PM 7/22/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Which of course is what
 this all about.So many Democrats turned a blind
  eye to Clinton's
 perjury
 
 But this is where you are precisely wrong John. No democrat
 defended
  Clinton this. Not one said he was right
 
 
 Au contraire a great many noted that any man would lie about
 adultery.
 

Cite please.  I'm unaware of any democratic or republican politico who
said 'What he did was right, and lying about it was expected and
acceptable.'  Just because a late night talk show comedian like Bill
Maher says it doesn't mean he is speaking for the American people.

Jon


Le Blog:  http://zarq.livejournal.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Clinton's Perjury *Again* RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 04:34 PM 8/2/2003 -0400 Jon Gabriel wrote:
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On
 Behalf Of John D. Giorgis
 Sent: Saturday, August 02, 2003 12:46 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
 
 At 09:25 PM 7/22/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Which of course is what
 this all about.So many Democrats turned a blind
  eye to Clinton's
 perjury
 
 But this is where you are precisely wrong John. No democrat
 defended
  Clinton this. Not one said he was right
 
 
 Au contraire a great many noted that any man would lie about
 adultery.
 

Cite please.  I'm unaware of any democratic or republican politico who
said 'What he did was right, and lying about it was expected and
acceptable.'  Just because a late night talk show comedian like Bill
Maher says it doesn't mean he is speaking for the American people.

Please do not put words in my mouth.   I never accused any Democrat of
saying those words, and as such it is wholly unreasonable for you to expect
me to find them.

Bob Z. said that no Democrat defended Clinton on this.

In my mind, Bob Z.'s claim is patently absurd.   Many Democrats did argue
that any man would lie about adultery, and the only possible reason for
making such a claim was to attempt to mitigate the charges against Clinton,
and as such, defend him.

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Clinton's Perjury *Again* RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread David Hobby
John D. Giorgis wrote:

...
 
 Bob Z. said that no Democrat defended Clinton on this.
 
 In my mind, Bob Z.'s claim is patently absurd.   Many Democrats did argue
 that any man would lie about adultery, and the only possible reason for
 making such a claim was to attempt to mitigate the charges against Clinton,
 and as such, defend him.

John--
I think you are splitting hairs here.  I believe that 
everybody else in this exchange is interpreting defended Clinton
as said that Clinton was right to lie.  You seem to be using it
here in the broader sense of made any argument in support of
Clinton.  With this sense, you are of course right.
Congratulations, you've won an argument.  Unfortunately,
it was not WITH anybody, since we seem to be using words 
differently.  : )
---David
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Jon Gabriel
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On
 Behalf Of David Hobby
 Sent: Saturday, August 02, 2003 3:52 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
 
  Which of course is what
  this all about.So many Democrats turned a blind
   eye to Clinton's
  perjury
  
  But this is where you are precisely wrong John. No democrat
  defended
   Clinton this. Not one said he was right
 
  Au contraire a great many noted that any man would lie about
 adultery.
 
  JDG
 
   Yes, but that doesn't make it right, just understandable.
 So the comment stands:  Not one said he was right.

Agreed.

   To me, the big difference is that Clinton was attacked
 because of his PERSONAL life, while Bush is being attacked about
 his PROFESSIONAL life.

Also Agreed.  

   Given his past use of illegal drugs, I find it deeply
 hypocritical that Bush does not push for reduced penalties for
 their use.  (While his position seems now to be that his past
 drug use was wrong, he is then asking to be forgiven for it.
 Why should this forgiveness not be extended to present users?)
 But this is an example of an attack based on Bush's personal
 life.

Oh, but this I don't agree with.  You obviously have never heard him
give an interview on the subject. On Oprah, while he was running, Bush
said that he was an alcoholic, saw how badly it screwed up his own life,
joined AA and is now in favor of more drastic punishment for offenders
because of it.

I don't think that's at all hypocritical.  

Jon


Le Blog:  http://zarq.livejournal.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Clinton's Perjury *Again* RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread TomFODW
 What democrats said that it was acceptable for Clinton to lie under
 oath?
 

I don't know what other Democrats may have said. I never said it was 
acceptable for him to lie under oath. I just didn't think it was an impeachable 
offense. 

I also think he should never have been forced to face that deposition, since 
Paula Jones's case was, in my opinion, purely politically motivated by people 
who hated Clinton no matter what he did. 

That said, he should have told the truth.



Tom Beck

www.prydonians.org
www.mercerjewishsingles.org

I always knew I'd see the first man on the Moon. I never dreamed I'd see the 
last. - Dr Jerry Pournelle
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Matt Grimaldi [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 So then the President used information that
 ultimately
 came from French Intelligence, a country which his
 own
 administration has all but accused of having a
 conflict
 of interest wrt Iraq?  This sounds worse than
 before.
 
 -- Matt

No, he used information from _British_ intelligence,
which had seen the supporting data, via another
intelligence service.

Additionally, _usually_ when people admit something
that is against their interests it is more, not less,
likely to be true.  That the French supplied
information making Iraq look worse makes it more, not
less, likely that the information is accurate.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Saturday, August 02, 2003 5:12 PM
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words


 --- Matt Grimaldi [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  So then the President used information that
  ultimately
  came from French Intelligence, a country which his
  own
  administration has all but accused of having a
  conflict
  of interest wrt Iraq?  This sounds worse than
  before.
  
  -- Matt
 
 No, he used information from _British_ intelligence,
 which had seen the supporting data, via another
 intelligence service.
 
 Additionally, _usually_ when people admit something
 that is against their interests it is more, not less,
 likely to be true.  That the French supplied
 information making Iraq look worse makes it more, not
 less, likely that the information is accurate.

How likely is it that the French deliberately set Bush ?

Dan M.


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 How likely is it that the French deliberately set
 Bush ?
 
 Dan M.

Ah, now _there_ you have the billion dollar question. 
I'm suspicious enough of the French to say it's
possible, but I don't think it's likely.  I frankly
don't think that the French government is competent
enough to go through the chain of logic that it would
require - i.e. The Americans _are_ going to invade, we
can't stop them, therefore we can supply false
intelligence, which they will probably use, which we
can embarass them with later.  French policy seems, to
me, to be more easily ascribed to a combination of
malice and incompetence than the sort of Machiavellian
genius that would require.  They haven't shown any
signs of that since Austerlitz, so it seems unlikely
it would pop up in 2002 all of a sudden.

They would also be taking a terrible risk - the total
collapse of intelligence cooperation between the
US/Britain/their allies and France.  That's not
something that anyone wants, not even de Villepin.

But it's certainly _possible_.  It would be consistent
with the simplest possible explanation of French
motivations (i.e. that the driving force of French
foreign policy is the weakening of the United States).
 It just seems, to me, unlikely that they were
thinking that far ahead.  Definitely something worth
thinking about.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Kanandarqu


On Tue, Jul 29, 2003 at 08:06:22PM -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

 --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  On Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  But that seems to be _your_ argument.  If we understand why they
  are angry at us and seek to act in such a way as to assuage their
  anger, they won't attack us any more.  What you _want_ the US to do
  anyways seems to accord precisely with this.
 
  Do you feel more comfortable (or safe) never asking this question?

 What question?  There isn't a question mark in the above statement.

Erik wrote
I think he meant the question why do they hate us or something like
that. His implication is that you haven't thought about it because it
makes you uncomfortable. Sounds like he lives in the same world as
David.


I originally dismissed this post, but it got under my skin enough to 
go back and dig it out since I might finally see a nuance in the
part of our past discussions of why we should seek to understand
others views.  Seems like self reflction got thrown out with the
proverbial bath water.  Self refection doesn't mean one must act
or sell out, one doesn't necessarily follow the other.  The 
discussion seems to have taken a turn that even considering why
others hate is un'merican in some way.  Without ongoing
self reflection how can a country progress?  Differences in 
how we progress are the next level of discussion in my
mind- the issue of constantly monitoring the environment of
our allies and foes doesn't seem to be an option in my mind
if we are to interact in a global world.  

Dee 



___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-02 Thread Erik Reuter
On Sat, Aug 02, 2003 at 10:28:49PM -0400, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 On Tue, Jul 29, 2003 at 08:06:22PM -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
   On Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  
   But that seems to be _your_ argument.  If we understand why they
   are angry at us and seek to act in such a way as to assuage their
   anger, they won't attack us any more.  What you _want_ the US to do
   anyways seems to accord precisely with this.
  
   Do you feel more comfortable (or safe) never asking this question?
 
  What question?  There isn't a question mark in the above statement.
 
 Erik wrote
 I think he meant the question why do they hate us or something like
 that. His implication is that you haven't thought about it because it
 makes you uncomfortable. Sounds like he lives in the same world as
 David.

 Seems like self reflction got thrown out with the proverbial bath
 water.  Self refection doesn't mean one must act or sell out, one
 doesn't necessarily follow the other.  The discussion seems to have
 taken a turn that even considering why others hate is un'merican in
 some way.

I didn't see that at all. I think all of the people quoted above have
thought about why terrorists might hate the US. Nevertheless, Gautam
was accused of having not thought about it. On the contrary, I think
Gautam has thought about it, but he obviously disagrees with the
conclusion above, that we should act in such a way as to assuage their
anger, [then] they won't attack us any more. I also disagree with this
conclusion. While I haven't been impressed with US diplomacy recently, I
think it is absurd to conclude that terrorists would leave the US alone
if the US were less unilateral. A number of good reasons were already
mentioned for this in this thread, so I won't repeat them here.

-- 
Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://www.erikreuter.net/
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-01 Thread Ritu
Dan Minette wrote:

 Given the fact that people in the British
 intelligence have indicated that Blair overstated their case and the
fact
 that people in the US intelligence have indicated that Bush did; the
most
 logical conclusion is that Bush and Blair, together, got more
certainity
 out of the intelligence than was there in the first place.

And from what I read yesterday, people in the British Intelligence are
also saying that the CIA told No.10 to not use the 45 minutes claim.
That apparently is what is at the heart of the Kelly controversy.

Ritu



___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-08-01 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Ronn!Blankenship [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 And the problem is that you never know until after
 it has happened which 
 seemingly innocuous detail may be enough to get an
 asset (= person) 
 killed, which not only may be something you as a
 human being feel 
 responsible for, but it cuts off your source of
 possible future information 
 and alerts the enemy to the fact that you have been
 spying on them and 
 gives them a pretty good idea of what information
 may have been compromised 
 (= the information that asset had access to).
 
 
 --Ronn! :)

In fact, there's a recent and very relevant example of
that.  Just after Pres. Clinton launched his cruise
missile attack and attempt to kill Bin Laden (which
failed) he defended the timing by saying that we had
satellite intercepts stating that was Bin Laden's
position.  Unsurprisingly, from that moment on Bin
Laden never used his satellite phone again - depriving
us of one of our chief sources of intelligence on him.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-31 Thread Jon Gabriel
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: When does it end?  (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)
Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:33:36 -0400
At 08:33 PM 7/29/2003 -0500 Horn, John wrote:
I'm not sure what you are getting at here.  Terrorism has existed
for recorded history.  Don't forget that when they win, terrorists
are called freedom fighters or revolutionaries.
I disagree with this.   Suicide bombings, hijackings, Oklahoma City-style
bombings, etc. all strike me as fairly modern inventions.
No, hijackings and truck bombings are modern inventions technologically but 
the targeting of civilian populations to incite terror can be traced back 
2500 years to the writings of Xenophon, the Greek historian. He lived around 
4 or 500 BC, I think.

Just off the top of my head, some other examples of terrorism throughout 
history:
The Crusades
The Spanish Inquisition
Robespierre's Reign of Terror (late 1700's)
Klu Klux Klan (late 1800's)
The Argentine 'Vanished'
The PLO (post WWII)
The Irish Republican Army
And the Basque ETA was started in the 1960's, I believe.

Jon

Le Blog:  http://zarq.livejournal.com

_
The new MSN 8: smart spam protection and 2 months FREE*  
http://join.msn.com/?page=features/junkmail

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-31 Thread Jean-Louis Couturier
John D Giorgis wrote:
I disagree with this.   Suicide bombings, hijackings, Oklahoma City-style
bombings, etc. all strike me as fairly modern inventions.
At 14:08 2003-07-31 -0400, you wrote:
No, hijackings and truck bombings are modern inventions technologically 
but the targeting of civilian populations to incite terror can be traced 
back 2500 years to the writings of Xenophon, the Greek historian. He lived 
around 4 or 500 BC, I think.

Just off the top of my head, some other examples of terrorism throughout 
history:
The Crusades
The Spanish Inquisition
Robespierre's Reign of Terror (late 1700's)
Klu Klux Klan (late 1800's)
The Argentine 'Vanished'
The PLO (post WWII)
The Irish Republican Army
And the Basque ETA was started in the 1960's, I believe.

Jon
Don't forget the corsair pirates: state sponsored terrorism.

If exploding trucks are a modern invention, it is only because
trucks didn't exist before.  There is an equivalent in what is
called in French a brulĂ´t.  It's a burning ship or raft
which may or may not be filled with gun powder, aimed
at another ship or at a city's port.
Jean-Louis 

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-31 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/30/2003 10:20:41 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 As is usual in the intelligence business, the British said 
 that they can't
 reveal their sources so as to preserve their leads.   
 
 Now what?

Don't use it in the SOU. You don't insult the british by not using the information. 
But by the way why is it as is usual? It would seem to me in something this 
important the british could share their specific information. I would suspect that 
more often than not in situations like this the info would be shared. I would very 
upset to learn that we and our allies shared only conclusions not evidence. 
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-31 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Don't use it in the SOU. You don't insult the
 british by not using the information. But by the way
 why is it as is usual? It would seem to me in
 something this important the british could share
 their specific information. I would suspect that
 more often than not in situations like this the info
 would be shared. I would very upset to learn that we
 and our allies shared only conclusions not evidence.

The British have stated that their source (informed
speculation is French intelligence, but no one knows
for sure) refused them permission to share the
evidence, only the conclusions.  This is very ordinary
in the intelligence world, where sources and methods
are prized above all things.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-31 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 09:16 PM 7/31/03 -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Don't use it in the SOU. You don't insult the
 british by not using the information. But by the way
 why is it as is usual? It would seem to me in
 something this important the british could share
 their specific information. I would suspect that
 more often than not in situations like this the info
 would be shared. I would very upset to learn that we
 and our allies shared only conclusions not evidence.
The British have stated that their source (informed
speculation is French intelligence, but no one knows
for sure) refused them permission to share the
evidence, only the conclusions.  This is very ordinary
in the intelligence world, where sources and methods
are prized above all things.


And the problem is that you never know until after it has happened which 
seemingly innocuous detail may be enough to get an asset (= person) 
killed, which not only may be something you as a human being feel 
responsible for, but it cuts off your source of possible future information 
and alerts the enemy to the fact that you have been spying on them and 
gives them a pretty good idea of what information may have been compromised 
(= the information that asset had access to).



--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

John D. Giorgis wrote:

 At 03:11 PM 7/24/2003 -0500 Horn, John wrote:
 I don't know.  It is a scary proposition.  We cannot defeat 
 every terrorist
 in the world.  
 
 We cannot?   Then why is it that suicide bombing is almost unheard of
 almost everywhere in the world?  It doesn't strike me that 
 this problem is
 necessarily pervasive in humanity at all.

Which problem doesn't seem necessarily pervasive? The suicide bombers or
the terrorists? If you are talking about the former, then I can only be
grateful that the idea hasn't found *too* many takers outside the
mid-east. But if you are talking about terrorism as a whole, rather than
a small subset of terrorists, then the problem is pervasive enough all
over the world. In fact, it has been increasing continuously for the
last 6 odd decades. India alone has been suffering from terrorism for
more than two decades now.

To go back to the first question though, no, you cannot possibly
neutralise/kill every single terrorist in the world. There would always
be someone crazy enough to hate to that degree and resourceful enough to
access the weapons our species is so good at producing. What you *can*
do is make it hard for the nut-cases to get the public support and funds
they need to operate. 
And that is a life-long process. It is not something that would get over
in a year or two or even a decade or two. And if this war-time emergency
status continues within the US for that decade or two, with suspicion
directed towards a group of your own people, public resentments
simmering, chances are that you Merkins would be too busy with
home-grown terrorism to worry overly much about international terrorism.

 We cannot stop every rogue state that wants to build a nuke
 or a biological bomb.  
 
 I disagree with this as well.   With intelligence, the US 
 armed forces are
 likely to be able to launch successful preemptive strikes against any
 likely such rogue state for the next 100 years.

*chuckle*

What kind of intelligence? The kind that talked of the WMDs in Iraq or
the kind that alerted you to what the subcontinent was upto in the late
90s?

TWAT lacks many a thing and the list of missing essential items includes
realistic aims and objectives.

Ritu



___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Erik Reuter
On Tue, Jul 29, 2003 at 08:06:22PM -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

 --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  On Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 
  But that seems to be _your_ argument.  If we understand why they
  are angry at us and seek to act in such a way as to assuage their
  anger, they won't attack us any more.  What you _want_ the US to do
  anyways seems to accord precisely with this.
 
  Do you feel more comfortable (or safe) never asking this question?

 What question?  There isn't a question mark in the above statement.

I think he meant the question why do they hate us or something like
that. His implication is that you haven't thought about it because it
makes you uncomfortable. Sounds like he lives in the same world as
David.


-- 
Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://www.erikreuter.net/
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
[I've been out of town.]

On 25 Jul 2003, John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote

QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in Africa.

 The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on this,
but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.

At this point, do you;
a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such strong
reservations about it?
b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts about?
c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to sources
our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British intelligence
services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in the
world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  

Your choice.   What do you do?

Misinformation has long been an issue.  Intelligence services try to
plant misinformation in an enemy's mind.  For example, in World War
II, the Allies set up a complete, fake army to fool the Germans into
thinking the attack in Normandy was a feint.

Moreover, as a practical matter, intelligence services often try to
plant misinformation through an ally, on the principle that such
information is harder to check.

Going back in time several generations, we can look at what done.
Suppose the British informed the US that they had acquired
significant quantities of intelligence about Stalin's efforts to
build and deploy nuclear weapons.

The US cannot `verify' the intelligence.

What does the US do?

I don't know the current procedures, but in the past, the US would
have told the British that there are suggestions that the intelligence
is misinformation.

Certainly, the US would not have called the British liars since the
British may have been fooled or their intelligence systems penetrated
(as indeed they were).

Nor would the US call the British incompetent since they are not.
The question is whether they have been fooled or corrupted into
thinking that misinformation is information.

Nor would the US ignore the British intelligence as questionable, but
would investigate it and only discount it if US sources suggested it
was misinformation.

Nor would the US believe a British intelligence report without
supporting evidence, since the US understands how difficult
intelligence gathering is.  Even if US officials believe that British
spies are better than US spies, the US officials know that sometimes
the British are misled, just as US spies are misled.  No one expects
perfection, especially in an area as murky as espionage.

-- 
Robert J. Chassell Rattlesnake Enterprises
http://www.rattlesnake.com  GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.teak.cc [EMAIL PROTECTED]
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
[I've been out of town.]

On 25 Jul 2003, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote 

... -- intelligence to the president is supposed to be thoroughly
checked, not just for accuracy, but also for spin and such.  I
can't say much about who the reviewing parties are, or how many
people are involved 

But it clearly indicates that under this administration, the
system failed to operate the way it nearly always has.

Perhaps with the media abandoning objectivity and accuracy, most
people simply don't realize that the U.S. intelligence system
still strives for it, so they don't realize what a fundamental
problem this reflects.

Nick is right.  This is very serious.

Suppose the Bush Administration are good guys, as some believe:

  * then they cannot do a good job if they receive inaccurate information

Suppose the Bush Administration are bad guys, as some believe, who
however, are not Benedict Arnolds (he was a famous traitor to the US
during its war for independence):

  * then they cannot do a patriotic job if they receive inaccurate
information

From the point of view of US citizens, many would say that the best
hope is that the President lied in his State of the Union message, not
that he or the system was incompetent.

-- 
Robert J. Chassell Rattlesnake Enterprises
http://www.rattlesnake.com  GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.teak.cc [EMAIL PROTECTED]
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Horn, John
 From: John D. Giorgis [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 By the way - of the recent developments in the nuclear programs of
the
 DPRK, India, Pakistan, Iran, and Iraq over the past 15 years 
 - how many
 occurred with the knowledge of US intelligence sources?   
 
 I'll give you a hint - the answer is a very round number 
 so I wouldnt
 count on being able to know when a successful test is 
 imminent if that is your plan.

Wait a minute.  In another thread, you said to me that the United
States would be able to stop every country that wanted to develop
nuclear and biological weapons for the next 100 years.  Yet here you
admit that we have done a miserable job of determining that.  And,
in fact, we probably can't stop every rogue country from developing
these weapons.

So which one is it?

 - jmh
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Ray Ludenia
John D. Giorgis wrote:

 And despite you snide remarks about '''fluffing up, there is nothing
 fluffed up about calling Japan and Australia major players in foreign
 affairs. two glaring omissions from Bob's list.

Australia a major player in foreign affairs??? Do you perhaps say this
because we are loyal lapdogs to the US and so you think this lends
credibility to your views, or would you still say this if we opposed the
liberation of Iraq?

Australia is currently leading a small force to remedy a breakdown in law
and order in the Solomon Islands, but at the invitation of the government.
This to us is a fairly large undertaking, but on the world scale rather
minor. Sounds similar to the requests the US has received to go into
Liberia. 

Regards, Ray.

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Robert J. Chassell
Do we issolate people with the flu or AIDS to prevent these
deseases from spreading?  No.

Actually, we sometimes do, although not for AIDS.  It is called
`quarantine'.

As far as I know, quarantine has not yet been misused for political
purposes.  A legally similar process, incarceration in a mental
hospital, has been misused.

-- 
Robert J. Chassell Rattlesnake Enterprises
http://www.rattlesnake.com  GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.teak.cc [EMAIL PROTECTED]
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, July 30, 2003 7:01 AM
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words


 At 12:18 AM 7/30/2003 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
  Actually, Bush *did* do that, and Britain said that they completely
stand
  by their intelligence with the highest degree of confidence.
 
 Which British?  The worker bees, or top management.

 So, your position is that if you had been running the Bush Administration
 in this situation, you would have gone over Tony Blair's head and
directly
 to the underlings?

 Uh, its a nice thought, but it strikes me as impractical.

No, that's not what I said.  I said, that the reasonable thing was to have
consultations between the intelligence experts.  I know that, before
Afganistan, the US  presented its evidence to NATO members intelligence
communities.  Even without revealing sources, it would make sense for the
US and GB security folks to cross check each other's work.

As administration officials and supporters are now saying, intelligence is
a murkey business.  The words have learned deny the murkeyness. They
should only be used when reasonable knowledgeable people concur on the
certainty of the statement.  Given the fact that people in the British
intelligence have indicated that Blair overstated their case and the fact
that people in the US intelligence have indicated that Bush did; the most
logical conclusion is that Bush and Blair, together, got more certainity
out of the intelligence than was there in the first place.

 But, it definately appears that their assessment of the WMD was wrong.
It
 is hard to imagine hundreds of tons of deliverables, 45 minutes away
from
 delivery that were quickly hidden or taken into Syria without us being
able
 to trace them.

 Which is information that was not available to Bush at the time.

But, the information that was available to Bush was much more sketchy than
he let the American people know.

 My suggestion for the proper action for Bush
 seems clear to me.

 Is that suggestiong to admit any information for which there is
uncertainty?

No, to acknowedge that because you know something is true in your heart, it
doesn't mean that you have conclusive evidence.  Indeed, we can see Bush
origionally using words that properly reflect the uncertainty of the
intelligence and then switching language as he felt the need to make a
stronger case.

The leaders of democracies are in a position where they have access to
information that cannot be made available to everyone.  They have a
tremendous responsibility, when they summarize the information, to do it as
well as they can.  Overruling their own folks to make unwarrented
statements of certainty is not living up to that responsibility.  Bush
misrepresented the intelligence he had and it came to bite him when the
reality appeard to be at the lower end of the range of possibilities.

In short, if he used words like the British have received information that
leads us to believe that Hussein be trying to obtain uranium in Africa.
then it would have been OK.  But, that doesn't have the punch that the
White House felt it needed. So, he overruled people in order to get the
wording he needed.



Dan M.



___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/29/2003 10:57:56 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Actually, Bush *did* do that, and Britain said that they completely stand
 by their intelligence with the highest degree of confidence.   
 
Oh I get it; it went like this. Bush- Do you guys have information about uraniums 
sales to Sadaam in Africa?
British - Yes we have evidence of that. 
Bush - Well this is really important because this is the SOU address afterall and my 
intelligence folks are dubious about this information
British - Oh, I see you want proof
Bush - Yes
British - No problem. We are really really really sure that Sadaam did this
Bush - Wow! three reallies. That is amazing. I can go to the american public in total 
confidence. Wait till I tell our intelligence guys that you are really really really 
sure.

What he needed was evidence not assurances. (Really)

There is my shot. Where is the British evidence?
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 10:15 PM 7/30/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
There is my shot. Where is the British evidence?

As is usual in the intelligence business, the British said that they can't
reveal their sources so as to preserve their leads.   

Now what?

JDG - Choose, Bob.
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

 John D. Giorgis wrote:

 I'm not sure what you are getting at here.  Terrorism has existed
 for recorded history.  Don't forget that when they win, terrorists
 are called freedom fighters or revolutionaries.
 
 I disagree with this.   Suicide bombings, hijackings, 
 Oklahoma City-style
 bombings, etc. all strike me as fairly modern inventions.  

I think his point is that these tactics have been used for ages to
express political grievances and attempt a change in policy: attacks on
non-combatants, disruption of servics, destruction of public property.
And that the way the same are perceived differs from group to group.
The Mughals considered the Marathas as terrorists, a lot of people
thought they were freedom fighters. Chandrashekhar Azad and Bhagat Singh
were terrorists to the British but we Indians called them
revolutionaries then and martyrs today.

The last 6 decades or so have seen a change in the nature of terrorism
though - the targets are almost invariably non-combatants and modern
technology grants them greater capabilities of destruction.

 I firmly believe that the next 100 years are a crucial 
 opportunity to make
 the world safe for democracy, as technology gives rogue 
 states ever greater
 potential for destruction.  Now is the time to do something about it,
 before it is too late.

The next x number of years have been crucial ever since the first atomic
bomb exploded. And it is always going to be this way. What you say above
is comfortable and laudable, but how do you propose to go about
implementing it?
Who defines rogue states? How do you ensure that they don't develop
weapons? What do you do when each rogue state denies your claims and
assertions? What organisations and instruments are you going to use to
keep a check on what the rogue states are doing? How many pre-emptive
wars are you willing to fight? And how many of these wars do you plan to
fight in face of international opposition? How do you grade the two
menaces of terrorism and rogue states in terms of danger and lethality?
The last question is especially important as every pre-emptive war
fought to contain a rogue state and make the world safer for democracy
would also increase the support for terrorism. At least it will if the
US government continues with its current modus operandi.

Ritu


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Ritu

Gautam Mukunda wrote:

  Bush
 _used_ the sympathy 9/11 generated to make possible
 something that would not have been possible without it
 - the removal of Saddam Hussein, something that was
 clearly not in the interest of anyone in the region or
 in Europe (save England). 

I completely agree with the above statement. What I have never been able
to understand, though, is just whom this war *was* in interest of, other
than the Iraqi people that is [and that too when and if the
reconstruction is successful]. If any American or British interests were
supposed to have been served by this war or if they have indeed been
served by this war, I find myself unable to identify them and reconcile
the same with the way this war has been conducted.

 His ability to do that was
 diplomatic skill of the highest order.

I disagree here. Imho, the diplomatic skill exhibited by the Bush
administration was pitiful. Since the fall of the USSR, the US has been
the sole super-power in the world. It was a bare fact, everyone knew it.
Post 9/11, you guys had more sympathy and support than you have ever
enjoyed globally. Bush not only used it to oust Saddam, the way this war
was conducted, he almost used all of it up. That is a failure of
diplomacy, not a demonstration of diplomatic skill. The US didn't really
need anybody's help and the administration was willing to go in alone if
need be. Then where was the need to offend, threaten, insult and
denigrate other countries and institutions?

I honestly see no evidence of diplomatic skill. What I see is a wasteful
squandering of good will and old alliances, for a dubious and uncertain
end.
Now I don't mind it in the least. I am not American and I am definitely
not a supporter of the notion of Pax Americana. But I would have thought
the Americans would mind, at least those who *do* believe in this idea. 

Ritu


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 01:14 AM 7/29/2003 -0400 David Hobby wrote:
John D. Giorgis wrote:
...
 You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in this Britain. The
 other are either not major players or are
  anxious to please us (not a bad thing.
 
 Ahem.   ...   You have also forgotten Poland,
 which is the second-largest country in Europe 

   O.K., second in what sense, then?  Russia, Sweden, Finland, 
Norway... are all bigger by area.  Russia, Germany, UK, France, 
Spain... have greater populations.  Germany, France, UK, Italy,
Russia, Spain,... have greater GDPs.  
(These from: http://www.geographyiq.com/ranking/rankings.htm)


Sorry, I stand corrected on that one I've been reading too many
articles lately on the future of the EU and how Poland *will be* the
second-largest continental EU member in the near future, and got it
confused in my mind.

Nevertheless, the point remains that based on size, Poland should count as
a major player.

And despite you snide remarks about '''fluffing up, there is nothing
fluffed up about calling Japan and Australia major players in foreign
affairs. two glaring omissions from Bob's list.

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread John Garcia
On Sunday, July 27, 2003, at 09:07  PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Erik wrote-
Really? I have heard many people claim that everybody talks when
tortured. In the movies, the tortures that are applied seem so tame
and unimaginative. Perhaps I have an unusually sadistic imagination,
but I can imagine tortures that I don't think anyone could possibly
endure without talking. (They could give false information, of course,
but the torturer would make it clear that their information would be
spot-checked and if it did not check out the torturer would be back)
Having met a few people that have been through SEER. (Search,
Escape, Evasion and Resistance as best I can recall), torturers
have imagination.  Soldiers who go through training learn to plan
to survive- what I recall participants saying is to try to survive
24-48 hours is the critical time.  You learn a story close enough
to your own that you won't get tripped up, and you give the info
you have to protecting what you can.
Dee
___
The Navy called it SERE (Survival Evasion Resistance Escape) and back 
in the 70's the instructors always said that you will talk eventually 
(or die), but that you should hold out as long as you can. SERE 
training is mainly provided to Special Ops and Aircrew (maybe the 
troopers of the 507th Maintenance Co. now wish they had had this 
training) and was developed in response to POW experiences in Korea and 
Vietnam. Not for the faint of heart.

john

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread John Garcia
On Monday, July 28, 2003, at 09:26  PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

In a message dated 7/27/2003 6:43:54 PM Eastern Daylight Time, 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

And its unclear that arrest is even the proper word to describe 
what the
Chairman tried to do - since I don't think that even if the Chairman's
request had been carried out that the Democratic Representatives 
would have
been detained, placed in jail, or had charges filed against them.

At any rate, caning another Congreesman, literally nearly
to death, on the
floor of Congress is far worse.
Can we get real here. Once again this is not the 19th century. We are 
talking about a congressman of one party trying to have congressmen of 
the other party arrested. This is outragous behavior. It is not some 
little prank
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l

Y'know, the Dems should have let themselves be arrested. Its not as if 
they were going to spend even an hour in a DC holding cell, and the 
adverse publicity for the Republicans would have been beneficial to the 
Democrats.

john

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Julia Thompson
Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
 
 At 09:52 PM 7/28/03 -0400, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in this Britain. The
 other are either not major players or are anxious to please us (not a bad
 thing; it is refreshing that countries that owe their freedom to us feel
 gratitude but they would probably have agreed if we said we wanted to
 invade the moon).
 
 You been reading the _Weekly World News_ again?
 
 (That was a story on the cover of a recent issue.)

Dang, I *knew* I was missing something by no longer going to the grocery
store!  (Dan, and now my mom, have taken over that shopping, because
it's getting to be a bit much for me to put things into the cart and
then unload it at the checkout, not to mention what happens when I've
been walking around for a good solid 10-15 minutes)

Julia
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Julia Thompson
John Garcia wrote:
 
 On Monday, July 28, 2003, at 09:26  PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  In a message dated 7/27/2003 6:43:54 PM Eastern Daylight Time,
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 
  And its unclear that arrest is even the proper word to describe
  what the
  Chairman tried to do - since I don't think that even if the Chairman's
  request had been carried out that the Democratic Representatives
  would have
  been detained, placed in jail, or had charges filed against them.
 
  At any rate, caning another Congreesman, literally nearly
  to death, on the
  floor of Congress is far worse.
  Can we get real here. Once again this is not the 19th century. We are
  talking about a congressman of one party trying to have congressmen of
  the other party arrested. This is outragous behavior. It is not some
  little prank
 
 
 Y'know, the Dems should have let themselves be arrested. Its not as if
 they were going to spend even an hour in a DC holding cell, and the
 adverse publicity for the Republicans would have been beneficial to the
 Democrats.

But the police sent to arrest them might have realized that there were
no good grounds for arrest, and didn't do it for that reason.

I was reading something earlier this month where the legality of DPS
troopers in Texas arresting lawmakers to force a quorum was brought into
question.  Not sure when, though, and I'm hazy enough on the laws
regarding elected officials and their duties to wonder if that's one of
those things that would have to go through the courts to be settled, at
least here.  (Things can get a little weird in Texas politics)

Julia
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread John D. Giorgis
Here is a link to all of the Texas Redistricting Maps you could ever want:
 http://www.tlc.state.tx.us/research/redist/redist.htm

I personally have to disagree with Dan's and Julia's characterizations of the 
Republicans' plan as being much worse than the judges plan - based on a first look of 
what I think is the Republican's plan.   Essentially, the judgement of the level of 
gerrymandering centers entirely on three things - Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio as 
near as I can tell.  The level of gerrymandering difference between the judges' 
plans and the Republicans' plans does not strike me as significant - merely different. 
  The judges I am guessing tried to gerrymander some majority-minority districts.  The 
Republicans tried to make a few more districts competitive for Republicans.   I don't 
see a huge moral difference between those two (leaving aside tactics and timing.) 

JDG




---Original Message---
From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 One question I had about the Texas redistricting issue, I've seen the
map
 of the proposed redistricting, but no maps of the current districts

A map is at

http://gis1.tlc.state.tx.us/static/pdf/planc01151m.pdf

It appears to fit the descriptions of being somewhat gerrymandered, but
nowhere close to the proposed Republican maps.

Dan M.

Dan M.


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
 
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 12:19 PM 7/29/03 -0500, Julia Thompson wrote:
[snip]
(Things can get a little weird in Texas politics)


And Texas is hardly unique in that regard.



--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Julia Thompson
John D. Giorgis wrote:
 
 Here is a link to all of the Texas Redistricting Maps you could ever want:
  http://www.tlc.state.tx.us/research/redist/redist.htm
 
 I personally have to disagree with Dan's and Julia's characterizations
 of the Republicans' plan as being much worse than the judges plan -
 based on a first look of what I think is the Republican's plan. 
 Essentially, the judgement of the level of gerrymandering centers
 entirely on three things - Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio as near
 as I can tell.  The level of gerrymandering difference between the
 judges' plans and the Republicans' plans does not strike me as
 significant - merely different.   The judges I am guessing tried to
 gerrymander some majority-minority districts.  The Republicans tried
 to make a few more districts competitive for Republicans.   I don't
 see a huge moral difference between those two (leaving aside tactics
 and timing.)

Austin, as well.  Plus, there are mostly-rural districts that will be
split up and combined with suburbs, and the folks in the rural areas
aren't happy about their political power being diluted that way.

The messes in the cities, including Austin, could be enough to make a
new map illegal.

My biggest beef is that any map passed is going to be challenged in
court, and the state will waste money I paid to it to defend the map,
rather than using it on, oh, say, roads.

Most of the districts are not competitive, period -- safe one way or the
other.  The notable exceptions are the 5 districts in which the voters
are voting Republican for most everything *except* returning Democrats
to Congress.  If they'd just been courted to switch parties, that might
have taken care of it, or at least improved it from the Republicans'
point of view.  That's just not going to work now -- I don't think any
Texas Democrat in Congress wants to have anything to do with the
Republicans due to the whole redistricting thing.  Pity.  Could have
maybe gotten what almost everyone wanted with a minimum of time and
money spent, and *good* feelings all around.

Oh, and the Dems in NM are saying that they're not protesting the
redistricing issue per se now, but the fact that the Texas Senate is
breaking with a traditional rule *only* on the redistricting issue, and
if that's dropped, they'll be back to Austin in a jiffy.  (The local
news anchors were a *little* skeptical)

My wishlist on a redistricting map, in order (yes, I'm focusing on local
issues mostly):

1)  Doesn't go to court
2)  Doesn't split Travis County any more than necessary due to
population considerations
3)  Has Williamson County all in one district

Julia
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Deborah Harrell
  From: Deborah Harrell [EMAIL PROTECTED]

snip 
  I didn't see anything about this [the attempt or
whatever to bodily remove some Democrat
Congresspersons from a Congressional library]; 
  do you have an article or two?  Thanks.

Kneem and Julia, thanks for the links.

Not adult behavior, and foolish to boot, as well as
obstructionist and quite possibly illegal (but maybe 
just stupid?).
 
Thread cross-over: that dueling in the halls of
Congress is no longer acceptable behavior seems to go
along with the 'evolution of morality' - or at least
the evolution of *implementing* one's morals/ideals.*

Debbi
What Once Was 'Normal' Is Now Abhorrent Maru

*Are ideals what one claims to believe as the
highest, and morals how those beliefs are acted upon?
 Then ideals might be somewhat constant over time,
while morals change over the centuries.

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/28/2003 9:16:02 PM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Ahem.   You have forgotten Austalia, who was very much a true ally.   You
 have also forgotten Japan, the leader of which essentially got his
 country's constitution ammended so that Japan could help us out in Iraq,
 and is a major player by any measure. You have also forgotten Poland,
 which is the second-largest country in Europe - which I guess you could
 argue is anxious to please us, but given that Poland is already in NATO
 and on the fast-track to the EU, is certainly in a different category than
 Bulgaria and Romania.  You have also forgotten the Czech Republic, which is
 in a similar situation to Poland, with the exception of being a major
 player.   Nevertheless, you have also forgotten Spain - the fourth-largest
 country in continental Europe, and is certainly a major 
 player in the
 European Union.   

Yes of course I have forgotten these countries our traditional allies and stalwart 
military powers all. Poland is already an economic powerhouse in no need of political 
and economic support from us. I am not by the way denegating their support. I think 
some of it just real politik but some of it is legitimate graditude. Spain was with us 
as a country but its people were none too thrilled. Scandanavia was behind us of 
course. Now my point is not that these countries were right and we were wrong; I have 
already said that I support the war. My point is that we turned off many of our 
traditional allies and way to many people in Europe with our high handed arrogant 
actions before and after 911. Bush senior did not do this. He sent Baker around the 
world for months to build a coalition.
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/28/2003 9:16:02 PM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Ahem.   You have forgotten Austalia, who was very much a true ally.   You
 have also forgotten Japan, the leader of which essentially got his
 country's constitution ammended so that Japan could help us out in Iraq,
 and is a major player by any measure. You have also forgotten Poland,
 which is the second-largest country in Europe - which I guess you could
 argue is anxious to please us, but given that Poland is already in NATO
 and on the fast-track to the EU, is certainly in a different category than
 Bulgaria and Romania.  You have also forgotten the Czech Republic, which is
 in a similar situation to Poland, with the exception of being a major
 player.   Nevertheless, you have also forgotten Spain - the fourth-largest
 country in continental Europe, and is certainly a major 
 player in the
 European Union.   

Yes of course I have forgotten these countries our traditional allies and stalwart 
military powers all. Poland is already an economic powerhouse in no need of political 
and economic support from us. I am not by the way denegating their support. I think 
some of it just real politik but some of it is legitimate graditude. Spain was with us 
as a country but its people were none too thrilled. Scandanavia was behind us of 
course. Now my point is not that these countries were right and we were wrong; I have 
already said that I support the war. My point is that we turned off many of our 
traditional allies and way to many people in Europe with our high handed arrogant 
actions before and after 911. Bush senior did not do this. He sent Baker around the 
world for months to build a coalition.
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread John Garcia
On Tuesday, July 29, 2003, at 01:19  PM, Julia Thompson wrote:

John Garcia wrote:
On Monday, July 28, 2003, at 09:26  PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

In a message dated 7/27/2003 6:43:54 PM Eastern Daylight Time,
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
And its unclear that arrest is even the proper word to describe
what the
Chairman tried to do - since I don't think that even if the 
Chairman's
request had been carried out that the Democratic Representatives
would have
been detained, placed in jail, or had charges filed against them.

At any rate, caning another Congreesman, literally nearly
to death, on the
floor of Congress is far worse.
Can we get real here. Once again this is not the 19th century. We are
talking about a congressman of one party trying to have congressmen 
of
the other party arrested. This is outragous behavior. It is not some
little prank

Y'know, the Dems should have let themselves be arrested. Its not as if
they were going to spend even an hour in a DC holding cell, and the
adverse publicity for the Republicans would have been beneficial to 
the
Democrats.
But the police sent to arrest them might have realized that there were
no good grounds for arrest, and didn't do it for that reason.
I was reading something earlier this month where the legality of DPS
troopers in Texas arresting lawmakers to force a quorum was brought 
into
question.  Not sure when, though, and I'm hazy enough on the laws
regarding elected officials and their duties to wonder if that's one of
those things that would have to go through the courts to be settled, at
least here.  (Things can get a little weird in Texas politics)

	Julia
And the Capitol Police probably knew they couldn't arrest the 
Democrats. OTOH, had the police tried, I think that would have handed 
the Democrats a big stick to beat on the Republicans with. Assuming of 
course that they wanted to do so.

john

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-29 Thread Horn, John
 From: John D. Giorgis [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

 At 03:11 PM 7/24/2003 -0500 Horn, John wrote:
 I don't know.  It is a scary proposition.  We cannot defeat 
 every terrorist in the world.  
 
 We cannot?   Then why is it that suicide bombing is almost unheard
of
 almost everywhere in the world?  It doesn't strike me that 
 this problem is necessarily pervasive in humanity at all.

Suicide bombing may not be terribly of but terrorism certainly
isn't.  Suicide bombing was almost unknown 20 years ago.  But now a
large number of people seem to think it is a good strategy.  Perhaps
it will spread.  Perhaps it won't.  (Personally, I think it is a
very bad strategy but obviously there are a number of people in the
Mid-East who would disagree.)

I'm not sure what you are getting at here.  Terrorism has existed
for recorded history.  Don't forget that when they win, terrorists
are called freedom fighters or revolutionaries.

 
 We cannot stop every rogue state that wants to build a nuke
 or a biological bomb.  
 
 I disagree with this as well.   With intelligence, the US 
 armed forces are
 likely to be able to launch successful preemptive strikes against
any
 likely such rogue state for the next 100 years.

So, are you saying that this war is going to last 100 years?  I'm
not sure I like that idea...

 - jmh
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread David Hobby

  Ahem.   ...   You have also forgotten Poland,
  which is the second-largest country in Europe
 
O.K., second in what sense, then?  Russia, Sweden, Finland,
 Norway... are all bigger by area.  
...
 Sorry, I stand corrected on that one 
...
 And despite you snide remarks about '''fluffing up, 

That was based on Poland.  It did give the sense that you
were trying to make the list sound bigger than it was, meaning
that you knew it needed it.  Actually, I'm not sure how Spain
is 4th largest in Continental Europe, either, but let's let that
slide.
---David
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread listmail
On Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda wrote:

But that seems to be _your_ argument.  If we
understand why they are angry at us and seek to act in
such a way as to assuage their anger, they won't
attack us any more.  What you _want_ the US to do
anyways seems to accord precisely with this.

Do you feel more comfortable (or safe) never asking this question?

Dean

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 09:41 PM 7/28/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 You (e) ask the British to provide documenation of their claim. If they do 
 so you can include it in the SOU.

Actually, Bush *did* do that, and Britain said that they completely stand
by their intelligence with the highest degree of confidence.   

Which of course brings us back to a, b, c, or d - all of which would be
consistent with not using it in the State of the Union?Care to give it
one more shot Bob?How about you, Nick?

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:18:22 -0700 (PDT), Gautam
 Mukunda wrote:
 
 But that seems to be _your_ argument.  If we
 understand why they are angry at us and seek to act
 in
 such a way as to assuage their anger, they won't
 attack us any more.  What you _want_ the US to do
 anyways seems to accord precisely with this.
 
 Do you feel more comfortable (or safe) never asking
 this question?
 
 Dean

What question?  There isn't a question mark in the
above statement.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Nick Arnett
 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Behalf Of John D. Giorgis

...

 Which of course brings us back to a, b, c, or d - all of which would be
 consistent with not using it in the State of the Union?Care to give it
 one more shot Bob?How about you, Nick?

I don't know what you are after, but I think I've been overly kind to the
administration in saying that this statement should have been more carefully
verified.  After all, it is now clear that the White House revisited this
fact after it had already been discredited by the CIA, and persuaded the
NSC to come up with the new wording.  Why didn't Bush say but the CIA
disagrees, when it is obvious that the White House knew that?  That's an
inexcusable withholding of information, unless we are to put greater stock
in British intelligence than our own, in which case something is wrong
indeed.

So we have the most important political leader in the world, in his most
important speech, arguing for the most important decision a nation can
make -- and he leaves out the fact that our own intelligence assessment
disagrees with what he is saying?  That's outrageous.

The administration's explanation that the CIA failed to catch the bogus
information in review is ludicrous unless they'd have us believe that the
White House came up with the intelligence on its own, completely
independently of our own intelligence apparatus, and the reviews, done by
people who are the world's leading experts on the issues, somehow didn't
notice it.  Phooey.  Not only would that be dumb, it would require them to
deliberately bypass or manipulate a rigorous system designed to prevent
exactly that.

I guess I'll say a bit more about why I know about the process.

I used to be the product manager for the language analysis software that the
NSC uses to decide which intelligence documents they need to read.  Most of
our customers used it to find documents that were relevant to their
interests, but the NSC does just the opposite -- they use it to make sure
they don't miss anything.  As they review documents, they add key words
about the subject of the document to their filter.  Thus, the software
filters out documents that tell them about things they already know about,
so that they can read everything else -- this is a system for ensuring that
they don't miss anything that relates to their focus area.  Exactly who and
how many people brief the president is classified, so I can't say that these
are the very people who deliver intelligence to Bush.  I can say that they
are totally key to the process.  (All I'm jeopardizing here, if anything, is
my White House press clearance, which I haven't used in a long darn time.)

There is someone on the NSC who is responsible for Iraq.  There's someone
who is responsible for Niger.  There is someone who tracks nuclear issues.
There is no way these people -- whose job it is to vette intelligence for
the President -- could simply goof up like that, given their rigorous system
for ensuring that they don't miss any subjects that appear in our
intelligence.  Are we to believe that Ambassador Joe Wilson's report from
his trip to Niger did not make its way into the system, even though he says
his reports went to the State Department and the CIA, but an unconfirmed
British intelligence report did?  It is strange, to say the least, that the
DCI is taking the fall for this supposed mistake, since the NSC staff works
for Condoleezza Rice.  And now we have reports that the NSC's weapons guy,
Bob Joseph, did know about it and said it was not credible.  So did the
State Department, in direct response to an administration claim that the
Iraqis had a nuclear program.

I've realized that there's a strong emotional component to this for me,
which I suspect is shared by many others who grew up in the 60s.  I had
nightmares about nuclear war, lots of them, as a child.  I can remember the
Cuban missile crisis, vaguely, and certainly remember all of the fear in our
country, the people building bomb shelters, etc.  We practiced civil
defense drills at school and our basement was a fallout shelter.  As a
result, Bush's mention of the possibility of Iraq with nuclear weapons
touched a nerve.  The idea of those nightmares arising again was one of the
things that brought me to reluctantly support the war, and by no means a
minor reason.  Raising the specter of nuclear terrorism certainly was
effective, which makes the omission of the rest of the story all that more
egregious.

When manipulation of intelligence can make its way into the State of the
Union, it is very hard to imagine that it isn't being manipulated in many
other areas, too.  As I read the coverage of this issue, I see more and more
evidence that that's exactly what's been going on.

Nick

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-29 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Tuesday, July 29, 2003 9:57 PM
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words


 At 09:41 PM 7/28/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  You (e) ask the British to provide documenation of their claim. If they
do
  so you can include it in the SOU.

 Actually, Bush *did* do that, and Britain said that they completely stand
 by their intelligence with the highest degree of confidence.

Which British?  The worker bees, or top management. That seems like an
issue that the boys and girls in the trenches should work out together and
then put forth a joint understanding to both Blair and Bush.  If there is
uncertainty, then the statement doesn't belong in the State of the Union
message.

There are many advantages to being as strong minded and focused on one's
goal as Bush is.  One disadvantage is that one tends to discard data that
is inconsistant with one's certainty and highlight that which agrees.

We do know that there was also conflict between the certainty at the top
and the understanding in the trenches in GB.  My view is that Bush and
Blair had an understanding of Hussein through which they filtered all the
information that they had. I think part of their understanding, his
willingness to kill and torture countless thousands, was spot on.

But, it definately appears that their assessment of the WMD was wrong.  It
is hard to imagine hundreds of tons of deliverables, 45 minutes away from
delivery that were quickly hidden or taken into Syria without us being able
to trace them. Again, it looks like a classic case of management overruling
the experts in the trenches.  My suggestion for the proper action for Bush
seems clear to me.

Dan M.




___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Ritu

John D. Giorgis wrote:

 Ritu and Nick make similar points which I will respond to here.
 
 At 12:29 PM 7/25/2003 + Robert J. Chassell wrote:
 Robert J. Chassell wrote:
 
 The phrase The British have learned suggests to a 
 listening
 public that the US President had US intelligence agencies
 investigate the matter.
 
 John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED] responded
 
 It does not suggest this to me.  Indeed the mere fact 
 that British
 intelligence is being mentioned in the State of the 
 Union suggests
 exactly the opposite to me.  
 
 Interesting.  Your ideolect is certainly different from mine and from
 people with whom I have talked over the past half century.
 
 I find this astounding, and can't help but wonder if you 
 aren't letting
 your political bias and your various subtle biases towards my 
 opinions to
 color your perception of language.

John, what do you know of my political biases? Would you care to explain
what you think my political biases as well as my biases towards your
opinions are? :)

 Let's see, not one Brin-L'er responded to this the first time 
 around.
 let's see if at the very least one of you three can give it a 
 try this time
 around;

I must have missed the earlier questions - I am usually way behind on
the mail. :)

 QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned 
 that Iraq has
 recently tried to acquire significant quantities of 
 intelligence in Africa.
 
  The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this 
 claim, but cannot
 do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
 British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence 
 sources on this,
 but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
 
 At this point, do you;
 a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have 
 such strong
 reservations about it?
 b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence 
 that our own
 intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong 
 doubts about?
 c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
 d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have 
 access to sources
 our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British 
 intelligence
 services are generally considered among the best and most 
 reliable in the
 world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  
 
 Your choice.   What do you do?
 
 I look forward to your, Nick's, and Ritu's answers to  this question.

This is a simple one, JDG, though my answer falls in none of the
categories you provide. :)

It is a mix of your last two options. I'd accept that the British
Intelligence might have better resources than ours [I am pretending to
be the US prez here] and that they have a good record of reliability and
excellence.
However, when it comes to the SotU address, I'd go for option [c]
without any hesitation whatsoever. In fact, I'd expect to be rather
incensed if I received unverified information in *any* form other than a
'for-yours-eyes-only' note or a verbal report, with all the doubts about
its veracity noted before the report even started. 

However, let us also examine another scenario: I *want* to go to war
with Iraq and this bit of unverified information is a convenient filler
in my edifice of reasons. In such a case, I might be tempted to include
it in my SotU address, but only after I have clarified that the US
intelligence has been unable to verify this information. If the Congress
also decided to trust the British Intelligence as much as I chose to,
well and good. But it would be their decision to make, on their
assessment of the factual situation. And if I tamper with the facts I
report to them, if I imply things that aren't true, then I would have
crossed the line between leadership and manipulation.  
That is a Bad Thing, mmm'kay? :)

Ritu


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Ritu

John D. Giorgis wrote:

 As for your argument that liberation of  Afghanistan would 
 not have been
 justified on September 10th, 2001 - well   I find it most 
 peculiar to hear
 the logic of retribution coming from you.The liberation 
 of Afghanistan
 was justified because it made the Afghan people better off, end story.

But wasn't the liberation of the Afghans planned after Mullah Omar
refused to hand over Bin Laden to the US? 

Ritu


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Dan Minette
Having questioned one side in the debate, let me question the other side.
The discussion over the evidence for WMD that existed before Gulf War II
seems to naturally flow out of what happened.  Here's how I see what's
happening.

1) There was general acceptance that Hussein has chemical and biological
weapons when the inspectors left before the 1998 bombings by the US and GB.
There was also evidence that he had a program to develop  nuclear weapons
that was in a fairly early stage.

2) Top leadership in the US and GB gave the impression, leading up to the
war, that they had in hand intelligence that the WMD program was not just
leftovers of the earlier program that were not totally destroyed.  From
these 16 words, and others, I got the impression that they had weapons that
would test the US biological/chemical warfare defense.  I also got the
impression that the nuclear program was ongoing and making progress.

3) During and since the war various sources associated with the
intelligence community seemed to indicate that these viewpoint expressed by
the Administration was stronger than the intelligence actually supported.
The reality was that the intelligence was consistent with a broad range of
possibilities.  Professionals use cautious words under these circumstances,
for good reason.

4) Top leadership/management chose to ignore these cautions and use words
that
indicated certainty.  I've seen that happen in other cases in business.
Upper management in many companies put reports through a filter of what
they know to be true in their hearts.  They accept reports that fit this
understanding, and find flaws with those that don't.  Further, everyone in
the organization knows what is wanted, and it takes courage to issue a
contradictory report...especially if things are murky and top management
might be right.

 I got the general feeling that, even if they thought that their case was a
bit
overstated, they knew that the weapons found after the liberation of Iraq
would prove their point, so all that would get lost.

As an aside here, during the war there were other criticisms of the
Administrations viewpoints, both by retired professionals and by unnamed
sources from within the military stating that Rumsfeld did not use enough
heavy armor in the war.  I was concerned at the time, but now happily admit
that the heavy armor that was used was more than adequate for the task.
Even then, with the concerns, I leaned towards believing that the US forces
would do very well.  Indeed, at the time, I was unique in my house in
believing that the fall of Baghdad would take weeks, not months.

The proof was in the pudding.  With WMD, I expected the same.  When Gautam
stated that he was very confident that WMD  would be found in a few months,
I was too.

Now, its over 3 months since the end of the war, and the closest thing to a
smoking gun that has been reported is some centrifuges and plans that had
not been destroyed in '98.  The US has had control of the country for that
time, and has found next to nothing.  From the attitude and words of the
administration, I expected that they had a pretty good idea where things
were and that they knew the shell games the Iraqis were playing with the
inspectors.  Never would I have imagined that we would be left with little
more evidence than was produced by the inspectors last fall and winter
(they found plans too IIRC).

So, in this case, the proof is also in the pudding.  The administration
overruled their own intelligence, as I'm guessing did the GB administration
from the new coming from there, and overstated what was known.  I don't
actually think they lied because I think they believed what they said.

However, they were wrong.  When they overruled the military and attacked
with less armor then recommended, they were right, and they deserve credit.
When a political operative pressured the head of the CIA to go against his
own folks and accept the claim of African uranium, they deserve to take the
responsibility for that.

The reason this is important is that the negatives for going into Iraq are
long term.  We are going to be occupying Iraq for a long time.  I'm now
seeing timeframes close to five years for this.  Occupying and controlling
an Arab country for this length of time does has the potential for
tremendous risks.

So, given the close nature of the risk/reward tradeoff in the minds of many
people, the misrepresentation of the intelligence information was critical.
Containment vs. attack as the best option was balanced on a knife's edge.

I recently saw an interesting article arguing for three basis for going
into Iraq:

1) Human Rights
2) risk to the US from WMD
3) Transforming the Middle East

The author argued that the first reason has actually been strengthened
since Gulf War II.  The likelihood for the third reason is still uncertain.

The second reasons appears less valid as time goes on. The chances of
Hussein having a massive chemical/biological warfare system 

Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Sunday, July 27, 2003 6:07 PM
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words


 At 06:49 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq
has
  recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in
Africa.
 
  The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but
cannot
  do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
  British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on
this,
  but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
 
  At this point, do you;
  a) Call the British liars since our intelligence services have such
strong
  reservations about it?
  b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our
own
  intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts
about?
  c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
  d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to
sources

Why not
e) Both the British and the American governments have overruled the
better judgment of their intelligence services.  From what I've heard and
read from GB, there has been even worse tension over this than here.

The best example of this was the claim that GB knew that Hussein was 45
minutes away from delivering WMD.  I have a hard time believing that a
significant weapons deployment with that short of a launch window could
disappear that quickly.

Dan M.
Dan M.



___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread John D. Giorgis

---Original Message---
From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq
has
  recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in
Africa.
 
  The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but
cannot
  do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.  
The
  British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on
this,
  but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
 
  At this point, do you;
  a) Call the British liars since our intelligence services have such
strong
  reservations about it?
  b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our
own
  intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts
about?
  c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
  d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have 
  access to other sources

Why not
e) Both the British and the American governments have overruled the
better judgment of their intelligence services.  


Uhhh e does not answer the question of what do you do?

Please try again - I am really looking forward to having some of the critics of the 
Bush Administration's decisions at this juncture to actually answer the question of 
what they would have done.

JDG - But perhaps I should not hold my breath, Maru?
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, July 28, 2003 8:50 AM
Subject: Re: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words



 ---Original Message---
 From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq
 has
   recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in
 Africa.
  
   The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but
 cannot
   do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.
 The
   British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources
on
 this,
   but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
  
   At this point, do you;
   a) Call the British liars since our intelligence services have such
 strong
   reservations about it?
   b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our
 own
   intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts
 about?
   c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
   d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have
   access to other sources

 Why not
 e) Both the British and the American governments have overruled the
 better judgment of their intelligence services.
 

 Uhhh e does not answer the question of what do you do?

 Please try again - I am really looking forward to having some of the
critics of the Bush Administration's decisions at this juncture to actually
answer the question of what they would have done.


Accept the intelligence as given without having your political operative
pushing hard to make it say more than it does.

Dan M.


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Jon Gabriel
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Killer Bs Discussion)
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 18:49:28 -0400

 QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
 recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in 
Africa.

 The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
 do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
 British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on 
this,
 but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.

 At this point, do you;
 a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such 
strong
 reservations about it?
 b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
 intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts 
about?
 c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
 d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to 
sources
 our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British 
intelligence
 services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in 
the
 world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?

 Your choice.   What do you do?

 I look forward to your, Nick's, and Ritu's answers to  this question.

 YOU LEAVE OUT OF THE STATE OF THE UNION MESSAGE. YOU DO NOT USE IT TO 
TRY TO CONVINCE AMERICANS THAT WE MUST GO TO WAR UNTIL YOU CAN AT LEAST 
CONVINCE YOUR OWN INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY THAT THE STATEMENT IS TRUE
Um.  C In other words.

:-)

No need to shout, Doc. :)

Jon

Le Blog:  http://zarq.livejournal.com

_
MSN 8 helps eliminate e-mail viruses. Get 2 months FREE*.  
http://join.msn.com/?page=features/virus

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Horn, John
 From: Gautam Mukunda [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

 already.  When Ashcroft's jack-booted thugs come for
 you, give me a call - I'll be happy to protect you. 

When Ashcroft's jack-booted thugs come for them, they won't be able
to call you.  They won't get their one phone call.  They won't be
able to call a lawyer.  No one will know where they are or what the
charges are against them.  You won't be able to call them.  They
will be able to be held indefinitely as a suspected enemy
combatant.

Sounds like fun.

 - jmh
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Horn, John
 From: Gautam Mukunda [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 If John Ashcroft were anyone _but_ an evangelical
 Christian (speaking as a non-evangelical
 non-Christian) the way he is treated by the Left would
 be recognized by everyone for what it is - sheer
 religious bigotry of the most unvarnished sort.

Huh?  I'm one of those people who voted for a dead guy over
Ashcroft.  I didn't like him when he was govenor of Missouri  I
didn't like him when he was a senator from Missouri.  And I don't
like him now that he's Attorney General.  This has NOTHING to do
with religious bigotry.  Unless disliking the man because he pushes
his religious agenda upon the rest of us is religious bigotry!

 - jmh
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/27/2003 6:43:54 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 And its unclear that arrest is even the proper word to describe what the
 Chairman tried to do - since I don't think that even if the Chairman's
 request had been carried out that the Democratic Representatives would have
 been detained, placed in jail, or had charges filed against them.
 
 At any rate, caning another Congreesman, literally nearly 
 to death, on the
 floor of Congress is far worse.
Can we get real here. Once again this is not the 19th century. We are talking about a 
congressman of one party trying to have congressmen of the other party arrested. This 
is outragous behavior. It is not some little prank   
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/27/2003 6:41:06 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Lastly, if Al Gore had won the 2000 election, would you be bitterly
 complaining that he did so thanks to his partisans on the 
 Florida Supreme
 Court?

If a full recount of the florida vote had been ordered it would have been a reasonable 
thing to do. In close elections recounts are often performed and in some cases even 
mandated. 
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/27/2003 7:07:34 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 
 
 At 06:49 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
  QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
  recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in Africa.
  
  The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
  do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
  British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on this,
  but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
  
  At this point, do you;
  a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such strong
  reservations about it?
  b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
  intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts about?
  c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
  d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to sources
  our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British intelligence
  services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in the
  world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  
  
  Your choice.   What do you do?
  
  I look forward to your, Nick's, and Ritu's answers to  this question.
  
  YOU LEAVE OUT OF THE STATE OF THE UNION MESSAGE. YOU DO NOT USE IT TO
 TRY TO CONVINCE AMERICANS THAT WE MUST GO TO WAR UNTIL YOU CAN AT LEAST
 CONVINCE YOUR OWN INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY THAT THE STATEMENT IS TRUE
 
 
 The State of the Union is irrelevant to this example.
But it is not irrelevant because this is THE major policy speech that the president 
makes every year. This speech is worked on with the most care and intensity by the 
president's staff. It is givin to a joint session of congress. It is unique and 
important. Statements in this speech must or should be above speculation. In short it 
is not just another speech.

Leaving it out of
 the State of the Union is an action that is consistent with actions a, b,
 c, and d above.  
 
 So, which is it, Bob?Before you decide whether or not to include it in 
 the State of the Union, you have to make the more fundamental determination
 of a, b, c, or d.  

Actually I don't have to do any of those things. In fact it is my point that the 
president should have not used this data until it could be verified or disproved by 
our intelligence services. You don't have to call them (a)liers or (b) incompetent. 
You don't have to (c) ignore it. Not using it in the SOU address is not the same as 
ignoring it. You don't have 
(d) accept it on faith. You (e) ask the British to provide documenation of their 
claim. If they do so you can include it in the SOU.
 JDG - Tough Decisions, Maru - but he is the POTUS after all
 ___
 John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. 
 Bush 1/29/03
 ___
 http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l 
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/27/2003 9:21:05 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Do you seriously believe that if any person other than
 Bush were President we would have taken out Saddam by
 now?  Really?

I think there was some sentiment to do this amoung Clinton's advisors. I am not saying 
we would have but it is not impossible. 
 
 Also, the goal of international relations is not
 _popularity_.  The world is not a high school.  
That is correct. In high school one can be a bully but in the world it is better to be 
cooperative, to compromise on some issues.

Bush _used_ the sympathy 9/11 generated to make possible
 something that would not have been possible without it
 - the removal of Saddam Hussein, something that was
 clearly not in the interest of anyone in the region or
 in Europe (save England).  His ability to do that was
 diplomatic skill of the highest order.

You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in this Britain. The other are either 
not major players or are anxious to please us (not a bad thing; it is refreshing that 
countries that owe their freedom to us feel gratitude but they would probably have 
agreed if we said we wanted to invade the moon). There was so much ill will towards us 
that Schroeder got elected because he pledged to oppose the war. When the french went 
crazy he was stuck. It may be true that we didn't need any help but you don't have to 
rub the noses of the rest of the world in that fact. Especially if you need the rest 
of the world to manage the reconstruction of iraq
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 09:52 PM 7/28/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Bush _used_ the sympathy 9/11 generated to make possible
 something that would not have been possible without it
 - the removal of Saddam Hussein, something that was
 clearly not in the interest of anyone in the region or
 in Europe (save England).  His ability to do that was
 diplomatic skill of the highest order.

You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in this Britain. The
other are either not major players or are
 anxious to please us (not a bad thing.

Ahem.   You have forgotten Austalia, who was very much a true ally.   You
have also forgotten Japan, the leader of which essentially got his
country's constitution ammended so that Japan could help us out in Iraq,
and is a major player by any measure. You have also forgotten Poland,
which is the second-largest country in Europe - which I guess you could
argue is anxious to please us, but given that Poland is already in NATO
and on the fast-track to the EU, is certainly in a different category than
Bulgaria and Romania.  You have also forgotten the Czech Republic, which is
in a similar situation to Poland, with the exception of being a major
player.   Nevertheless, you have also forgotten Spain - the fourth-largest
country in continental Europe, and is certainly a major player in the
European Union.   

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in
 this Britain. The other are either not major players
 or are anxious to please us (not a bad thing; it is
 refreshing that countries that owe their freedom to
 us feel gratitude but they would probably have
 agreed if we said we wanted to invade the moon).
 There was so much ill will towards us that Schroeder
 got elected because he pledged to oppose the war.
 When the french went crazy he was stuck. It may be
 true that we didn't need any help but you don't have
 to rub the noses of the rest of the world in that
 fact. Especially if you need the rest of the world
 to manage the reconstruction of iraq

Which we apparently don't.  The astonishing failure of
the mass media to cover the fact that the
reconstruction is going fairly well is, well,
astonishing.  I think it's largely because most
reporters are too lazy to get out of Baghdad, combined
(of course) with hatred of the Administration, but
you'd think that they'd be at least _vaguely_
competent.  But they don't.

All of that aside, Bob, you keep circling back to the
same essential mistake, the belief that there was some
combination of words that would have convinced the
rest of the world to go along with Iraq.  You have
_no_ evidence for this, and a great deal of evidence
otherwise.  For 12 years after the war, France was
essentially bought off by Saddam and campaigned to
_lift_ the sanctions.  Germany's anti-Americanism is
so hysterical that one-third of the population thinks
that _we_ were responsible for the 9/11 attacks.  What
makes you think that they would have agreed to an
invasion that was clearly not in their commercial
interests (because they were in hock to Saddam) and
not in their power interests (because it demonstrated
their absolute and self-inflicted irrelevance on the
world stage)?  If not for 9/11, Bush could not have
gotten the early momentum that made the whole thing
possible, and he _certainly_ could not have got
Britain, Australia, (I hope that none of our
Australian list members object to the constant
denigration-through-omission here of Australia's
heroic efforts to liberate Iraq - as much as Britain,
Australia is a true friend to the US and to freedom. 
John Howard is no less a great man than Tony Blair for
his stand.) Japan, Poland, and the Czech Republic
(among others) as well as the (critical) acquiescence
of Russia.  He made a choice.  That choice was, I
think, the right one, but the choice did exist, and
pretending that it didn't is allowing your hatred of
the President to cripple your judgment.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

__
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! SiteBuilder - Free, easy-to-use web site design software
http://sitebuilder.yahoo.com
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Nick Arnett
 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]

...

  The State of the Union is irrelevant to this example.
 But it is not irrelevant because this is THE major policy speech
 that the president makes every year. This speech is worked on
 with the most care and intensity by the president's staff. It is
 givin to a joint session of congress. It is unique and important.
 Statements in this speech must or should be above speculation. In
 short it is not just another speech.

Yes, and there is no more serious decision a nation can make -- none -- than
the decision to go to war.  I'm dismayed that Bush apologists are willing to
belittle the importance of the State of the Union address and the gravity of
the decision that was being advocated.

At the same time, I'll sadly add that virtually every modern president has
lied in order to persuade the public that it must go to war.  There's
nothing partisan about it, I suppose, it's politics as usual, and if there's
any institution to be damned for allowing it to happen, it's the media,
which has failed every time to take a really critical look at the
justifications for war.  I do believe that this administration thought it
would get away with offering poorly investigated intelligence in the State
of the Union address because the press would swallow it, at least for long
enough to get us into the war.  And they were right -- in fact, at its
worst, the media pundits were fanning the flames by branding anyone who
questioned the decision for war as unpatriotic.

Going back to the 16 words, they were spoken by the most important leader in
the world, in his most important speech, on the most important decision our
nation can possibly make.  If that isn't the time for those in power to get
the facts right, there is no such time.  And if those are not the
circumstances in which citizens and the press deserve -- and should
demand -- solid evidence, there is no such time.

Nick

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 09:52 PM 7/28/03 -0400, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in this Britain. The 
other are either not major players or are anxious to please us (not a bad 
thing; it is refreshing that countries that owe their freedom to us feel 
gratitude but they would probably have agreed if we said we wanted to 
invade the moon).


You been reading the _Weekly World News_ again?

(That was a story on the cover of a recent issue.)



--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Who Are the US's Allies? Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread David Hobby
John D. Giorgis wrote:
...
 You are kidding about this. We had one true ally in this Britain. The
 other are either not major players or are
  anxious to please us (not a bad thing.
 
 Ahem.   ...   You have also forgotten Poland,
 which is the second-largest country in Europe 

O.K., second in what sense, then?  Russia, Sweden, Finland, 
Norway... are all bigger by area.  Russia, Germany, UK, France, 
Spain... have greater populations.  Germany, France, UK, Italy,
Russia, Spain,... have greater GDPs.  
(These from: http://www.geographyiq.com/ranking/rankings.htm)

Yes, there were some allies.  But really!  If you have to
fluff up the list to make it look bigger, then you know that it's
thin.
---David
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 03:11 PM 7/24/2003 -0500 Horn, John wrote:
I don't know.  It is a scary proposition.  We cannot defeat every terrorist
in the world.  

We cannot?   Then why is it that suicide bombing is almost unheard of
almost everywhere in the world?  It doesn't strike me that this problem is
necessarily pervasive in humanity at all.

We cannot stop every rogue state that wants to build a nuke
or a biological bomb.  

I disagree with this as well.   With intelligence, the US armed forces are
likely to be able to launch successful preemptive strikes against any
likely such rogue state for the next 100 years.

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 01:08 AM 7/25/2003 -0400 David Hobby wrote:
 Why do you think that Osama bin Laden objects to the
 same things about American foreign policy that you do?

   That's not a fair tactic in an argument.

Actually, I think that it is the most salient thing that Gautam has had to
say in this argument.

You have very clearly tied your objections to US foreign policy to the
motivations behind terrorists - and that tie is definitely worth questioning.

  We aren't dealing with an opponent
 that wants rational things - we are dealing with a
 pathology.  This isn't about giving them what they
 want so that they go away.  It's about killing them
 before they kill us, because one of those two things
 is going to happen just as surely as the tides.

   But it's not one monolithic group!  Some idiots want
everyone in the world to adhere to their religion.  Others are
driven by more reasonable concerns.  Let's deal with their 
concerns.  Then all we have to do is fight the former faction.

Please detail which of the Al Qaeda members who have attacked the US over
the past 10 years you consider to have, quote, reasonable concerns, and
what these concerns are.

Thanks.

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John Garcia
On Thursday, July 24, 2003, at 11:50  AM, The Fool wrote:

From: Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]

--- Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

The left is defunct only if we remain forever in a
state of total war.  And
that's precisely why a vaguely defined, open-ended
war on terrorism that
suspends normal checks and balances for civil rights
is as partisan as any
policy ever has been.
No, it's because that's what we've got.  Only in
paranoid fantasies do we have a war that suspends
normal checks and balances for civil rights.  If it
did, you and The Fool would have been arrested
already.  When Ashcroft's jack-booted thugs come for
you, give me a call - I'll be happy to protect you.
Friday browncoat republicans in the house of representatives called the
police to arrest and remove democratic representatives from a library 
in
the house of representatives.  The future is here and now.  Never 
before
has something so shocking happened in the history of the united states.
Worse has happened. I would say the incident where Congressman Preston 
Brooks beat Senator Charles Sumner nearly to death on the Senate floor 
over Sumner's speech on Bleeding Kansas was worse.

john

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-27 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 11:22 PM 7/25/03 -0400, John D. Giorgis wrote:
At 08:09 AM 7/21/2003 -0700 Nick Arnett wrote:
Perhaps we are at war, but under that definition, I'm having a very hard
time imagining that we will ever NOT be at war.  We are not going to remove
evil from the world, I'm quite sure.
Some likely conditions;
1) The establishment of a secure, viable and independent Palestine
alongside Israel.
2) Regime change in Iran, Syria, Lybia, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the DPRK

If this is not the future we want to create, then shouldn't we return to
normal political discourse, in which one is not branded a traitor for
questioning the leadership.  If we can't question and criticize our leaders
today, what is going to change to allow us to question them tomorrow, or in
20 years?
I don't think that we created the terrorist threat.


Unfortunately, they (= the ones we call terrorists) do.  They think they 
are defending their way of life against The Great Satan in the only way 
possible, given that The Great Satan is the world's only superpower and has 
overwhelming power both economically and militarily.  We may not agree with 
that analysis or think that their way of life (keeping their populations 
subjugated in a culture which is several hundred years in the past) is 
worth defending, but that is how they feel.



--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 09:24 AM 7/25/03 -0400, Erik Reuter wrote:
On Fri, Jul 25, 2003 at 01:02:00PM +, Robert J. Chassell wrote:

 From what I have heard, US interrogators are contemptuous of old
 fashioned torture since almost everyone who knows anything will die
 first.
Really? I have heard many people claim that everybody talks when
tortured. In the movies, the tortures that are applied seem so tame
and unimaginative.


Possibly because there are limits on what can be shown in even R-rated 
movies, and with very few exceptions an NC-17 rating is economically 
disastrous.



Perhaps I have an unusually sadistic imagination,
but I can imagine tortures that I don't think anyone could possibly
endure without talking.


And could the movie audience endure them without barfing and walking out?



Relax Kid:  It's Only A Movie Maru

--Ronn! :)

I always knew that I would see the first man on the Moon.
I never dreamed that I would see the last.
--Dr. Jerry Pournelle
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Erik Reuter
On Sat, Jul 26, 2003 at 06:04:49AM -, pencimen wrote:

 How about Dustin Hoffman getting holes drilled in his teeth in
 Marathon Man?

I had forgotten about that one. Did he talk? I think he didn't know
anything, right?


-- 
Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://www.erikreuter.net/
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Nick Arnett
I would agree, if I thought you were saying that the government should never
be entirely, or even mostly, in the hands of the Left.  I'd say the same
about the Right.  It seems quite clear to me that diversity and criticism
(of the positive kind) have been proven to be the most effective means of
achieving fair and just government.  And I do believe that's what the
founders of this country were aiming to put in place.  And thus I'm not
pleased at all with the current situation, in which the government is
dominated by one faction, even though quite a few of them claim to be
liberal.

--
Nick Arnett
Phone/fax: (408) 904-7198
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Behalf Of John D. Giorgis
 Sent: Friday, July 25, 2003 7:28 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words


 At 07:52 AM 7/24/2003 -0700 Nick Arnett wrote:
 Setting aside sarcasm now... I think that you may be mistake in
 *expecting*
 the left to come up with a coherent war plan against terrorism.

 I think that's Gautam's point.   If, as you seem to agree, the Left is
 simply incapable of coming up with a coherent war plan against terrorism,
 then the Left is inherently unqualified and unworthy to hold high
 political
 office in the United States for the future as far as we can see.

 JDG
 ___
 John D. Giorgis   - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world,
it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
 ___
 http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Doug Pensinger
Erik Reuter wrote:
On Sat, Jul 26, 2003 at 06:04:49AM -, pencimen wrote:


How about Dustin Hoffman getting holes drilled in his teeth in
Marathon Man?


I had forgotten about that one. Did he talk? I think he didn't know
anything, right?

No, he was completely in the dark.

Doug

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread David Hobby
John D. Giorgis wrote:
 
 At 01:08 AM 7/25/2003 -0400 David Hobby wrote:
  Why do you think that Osama bin Laden objects to the
  same things about American foreign policy that you do?
 
That's not a fair tactic in an argument.
 
 Actually, I think that it is the most salient thing that Gautam has had to
 say in this argument.

It is a form of ad hominem attack.  And we do not object 
to the same things.  He seems to object to most of our constitution,
while I do not.  BUT he probably also objects to large amounts of 
US meddling in the Middle East, from installing the Shah of Iran on.
On these issues, I do agree with him.
Now would you two stop mischaracterizing my position and
attacking strawmen?

...
   We aren't dealing with an opponent
  that wants rational things - we are dealing with a
  pathology.  

No.  We are dealing with a pathological minority, backed
up by a large sector of public opinion in the Middle East.  If 
we clean up our act, public opinion there will change.  When it
does, most of the support for Al Qaeda will dry up.

 Please detail which of the Al Qaeda members who have attacked the US over
 the past 10 years you consider to have, quote, reasonable concerns, and
 what these concerns are.
 
 JDG


Oh, they all had some, all mixed together with the rest
of their craziness.  But this is a silly way to argue about this
issue.  We would do much better discussing the concerns of moderate
Arabs (most of which are of course shared by the crazies).

---David
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Erik Reuter
On Sun, Jul 27, 2003 at 03:28:08PM -0400, David Hobby wrote:

 If we clean up our act, public opinion there will change.  When it
 does, most of the support for Al Qaeda will dry up.

That's an interesting fantasy world you are describing.


-- 
Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://www.erikreuter.net/
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message -
From: David Hobby [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Sunday, July 27, 2003 2:28 PM
Subject: Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words



 No.  We are dealing with a pathological minority, backed
 up by a large sector of public opinion in the Middle East.  If
 we clean up our act, public opinion there will change.

I'm in the middle and I have questions to ask of both sides of the
arguement.  Your's just happens to be the easiest to ask.  What is the
basis of this?  What horrid things have we done in the Middle East.  You
mention supporting the Shah in the 50s.  I'll agree with  you that this
definately was interfering with internal affairs, but

1) It was 50 years or so ago

2) I don't know enough about the other parties in the conflict to know if
the statement that they were likely to be allies of the USSR was correct.

But, we  facilitated the change of government when the Shah was deposed,
about 25 years ago.  The main things we have done in the Middle East
between that time and 9/11 was

1) Buy a bunch of oil
2) Roll back Hussein's attempt to overtake the Middle East
3) Work for Arab oil companies
4) Support Israel's right to exist.
5) Sell military equipment to less extreme governments in order to decrease
their obvious vulnerability to other countries, such as Iraq and Iran

#2 has some correlation with AQ, as does #4.  But, I really don't see what
horrid exploitive things we've done in the Middle East.  Now, if it were
South America or Central America that was the source of terrorism, this
arguement would have had a bit more versimilitude.

I've been in the Middle East twice, and I've talked to a number of expats.
Americans and Europeans are definately the hired hands in the Middle East.
While our status ranks above the unskilled laborers, we are supposed to
know our place.



 Oh, they all had some, all mixed together with the rest
 of their craziness.  But this is a silly way to argue about this
 issue.  We would do much better discussing the concerns of moderate
 Arabs (most of which are of course shared by the crazies).

I've worked with a number of folks from the Middle East, many for years.
Unlike my South American friends, I cannot provide a list abuses involving
the US government and US companies that they have outlined for me.  I know
that they are less than thrilled with the Israeli/Palestinian situation and
blame Israel for everything.  I also know that many are unhappy with the
government in the Middle East, and think the US can do more.

Finally, there is one other point worth thinking about.  Via both schools
and the media, the citizens of the Arab world have been taught a pack of
lies about the US and Jews.  A good example of this is the multiple
presentations of  The Protocols of the Elders of Zion as history.  It is
everywhere from being presented as a top rated television series on
Egyptian television to being taught in Palestinian schools.

Why aren't these lies more critical to Arab public opinion than any errors
the US may have committed in dealing with Arab governments?

Dan M.


___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Michael Harney

From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 At 07:52 AM 7/24/2003 -0700 Nick Arnett wrote:
 Setting aside sarcasm now... I think that you may be mistake in
*expecting*
 the left to come up with a coherent war plan against terrorism.

 I think that's Gautam's point.   If, as you seem to agree, the Left is
 simply incapable of coming up with a coherent war plan against terrorism,
 then the Left is inherently unqualified and unworthy to hold high
political
 office in the United States for the future as far as we can see.

 JDG

Like what high offices?  President?  Senator?  Representative? blatant
exageration I suppose that you would suggest that Democrats, Libertarians,
and Green party candidates shouldn't be allowed to even run on any ballots
in the next election.  Or better yet, we should arrest people outside the
polls who voted for any left party candidates and fly them to cuba,
locking them up as enemy combattants. /blatant exageration

The war on Iraq wasn't about liberating Iraq, it wasn't about weapons of
mass destruction or terrorism.  It was entirely politically motivated.  The
republicans saw their approval failing after Osama Bin Laden evaded capture,
and, wanting some sort of evil figurehead detained or killed as a trophy
that people in the US can applaud, they chose to attack our most recent war
enemy Saddam Hussain (sp?).  He was painted as having possible ties to Osama
Bin Laden (even though evidence of that is blatantly lacking) and was turned
into a scapegoat.  He was chosen probably because he seemed an easier target
to hit (and by golly, the military took every shot they could when they even
just had questionable evidence that he was at a given location... at least
three attempts to kill him using missle strikes, at least one of those on a
civilian target, all missed killing the intended person).  This was was
politically motivated to try to boost aproval ratings in the site of a
struggling economy and bad environmental policy.  Iraq posed no significant
threat to us.  There was no good reason to go to war with them.  There is no
reason to make a war plan for a war on terror, because a war on terror is
simply not necessary.  Should we have gone into Afghanistan to get Al Quida
after what they did?  Hell yeah.  Damn skippy.  They committed a very
criminal act that resulted in the deaths of thousands of people and
retribution was called for.  What did Iraq do though?  Nothing.  They had no
proven ties to the attacks of September 11th.  Should we wait for them to
attack us or one of our allies before we attack them?  Damn right we should.
Otherwise it is we who are the terrorists, it is we who are the criminals.

If this war really was about weapons of mass destruction, why aren't we
going to war against Isreal and North Korea for their illegal nuclear
weapons programs?  Case and point: it simply isn't about that, it is all
about politics.  Disgusting.

Let me illustrate the blatant lack of perspective that the majority of this
country has.  All of the following are more likely to kill someone in the
U.S. than a terrorist attack:

Heart disease; lung cancer; breast cancer; prostate cancer; aids; the flu;
etc.

That's right ladies and gentlemen, you are more likely to die from the flu
than from a terrorist attack.  How much is spent on medical reasearch each
year?  All together, about a couple billion dollars.  That is to cover all
these things as well as other medical research, which, even in 1991, when
the most deadly terrorist attack took place in the U.S, each were at least 7
times more likley to kill someone in the U.S. than a terrorist attack.  How
many tens of billions of dollars were spent thusfar in the war on terror.
Over thirty billion dollars spent on efforts in Afghanistan.  How much has
been spent in Iraq?  Unknown, but conservative costs estimates before the
war were above eighty billion dollars.  A *preemptive* war on terror simply
does not make any sense from any standpoint, and demostrates considerable
bad judgement in foriegn policy from the standpoint of foriegn relations.

Moreover, the blatant discarding of the constitution over this problem is a
paranoid knee-jerk over-reaction to a problem that just simply does not
warrant that kind of action yet.  Do we issolate people with the flu or AIDS
to prevent these deseases from spreading?  No.  Yet each is a greater threat
to human life than terrorism.  Should we tighten security on planes and
airports because of what happened?  Deffinately.  Should we blatantly
disregard the constitution and basic human rights?  No.  Issolating people
that we have no proof commited any crimes and blatantly disregarding the
constitution and their rights in the process is deplorable.  If we have
proof they committed a crime, charge them with one, if not, release them.

Your suggestion that the left's inability to form an effective war plan
against terror is a demonstration of bad leadership is not just wrong (as a
war plan is entirely 

Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/24/2003 11:43:18 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Didn't they used to duel on the floors of Congress?
 
 Sounds like classic ingomious political chicanery to me.

Sounds more like republican arrogance to me. Now the perpetrator (chairman of the 
House Ways and Means Committee) has since apologized but this does reveal the thinking 
of the republican leadership. Might makes right. Anything we do is ok because we are 
god's party.
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/24/2003 11:47:13 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 If your criticism is that Bush said learned instead of informed us that
 they believe, then who is being pedantic and mincing words 
 here?

The criticsm is that this is a weasally way of saying something that our own 
intelligence community could not confirm and had in fact serious doubts about. The 
criticsm is that this was a cleaver deception (aka a lie)
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/25/2003 1:08:42 AM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Uh, didja forget?  Gore *did* win -- the vote, anyway.  
 Just not the office
 that usually goes with it.

I am not one who thinks that Gore won. The popular vote does not determine the final 
result and therefore candidates do not attempt to win it. We do not know the result of 
a popular vote in which every vote would count. Under those outlandish circumstances 
(each individual's vote counts the same regardless of where it was cast) Bush might 
have gone after votes in populous states like NY and Cal where he had no chance of 
gaining the electoral votes. Bush won (Not fair and square but he won with the help of 
his friends on the court).
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Julia Thompson
John Garcia wrote:
 
 On Thursday, July 24, 2003, at 11:50  AM, The Fool wrote:
 
 
  Friday browncoat republicans in the house of representatives called the
  police to arrest and remove democratic representatives from a library
  in
  the house of representatives.  The future is here and now.  Never
  before
  has something so shocking happened in the history of the united states.
 
 Worse has happened. I would say the incident where Congressman Preston
 Brooks beat Senator Charles Sumner nearly to death on the Senate floor
 over Sumner's speech on Bleeding Kansas was worse.

I'd have to agree with John here.  There's a definite difference in
degree, if not kind, between trying to have someone arrested and
actually inflicting that kind of bodily damage.

Not to say that the Republicans look all that good in this, but it could
have been worse.  (And then the backlash would have been that much more,
as well.)

Julia

who still thinks that Gov. Perry needs a proctocraniectomy, and that
he's not doing anything to make Republicans terribly popular in Texas
right now
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/25/2003 8:54:11 PM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 
 
  Eh, probably not.  I have an almost reflexive need to point out the
 truth - and ultimately I consider this growing urban legend that the USSC
 somehow changed the outcome of the 2000 election to be most damaging to our
 country.

I wonder if the republicans in congress would have really elected bush if a recount of 
the vote in florida showed that Gore had won by a few thousand votes. I think some 
would have correctly viewed this act as an abrobation of their resonsibilities to 
americans. I doubt that Bush could have governed effectively under these 
circumstances. He would have gotten no cross over dem votes. He would have been viewed 
by 
Americans as illegtimate. It might have seriously damaged the republican party in the 
future (I think it still may).

___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/25/2003 9:09:23 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 The fact that a Committee Chairman in the House is making
 that tradeoff in a way that the minority disagrees with is hardly new.
 Thus, I know that I am not a hypocrite, as you accuse, because Democratic
 Committee Charimen in the House most certainly have rammed bills through
 Committee in the past - and I know that I have never 
 complained terribly
 loudly about it.

Unless I missed the point, the problem was that the republican sent the capital police 
to arrest (or do something else nasty) to the dems who were trying to meet about the 
bill. In addition, the dems had not actually seen the changes they were being asked to 
vote on. So it is a bit more than trying to ram something through.
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/25/2003 9:28:26 PM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 I think that's Gautam's point.   If, as you seem to agree, the Left is
 simply incapable of coming up with a coherent war plan against terrorism,
 then the Left is inherently unqualified and unworthy to hold high political
 office in the United States for the future as far as we can 
 see.

So it really depends on who the left is. If you are talking about moderate democrats 
and liberals, their plan would have been much the same as Bush's sans the alienation 
of the rest of the world and the war on Iraq this year (maybe not; Some in Clinton's 
white house wanted to take Sadaam out so with a changed political climate this might 
have happened anyway). If you are talking about the real left (not just the left of 
center liberals), who cares?
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: When does it end? (RE: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words)

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/25/2003 10:22:08 PM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 1) The establishment of a secure, viable and independent Palestine
 alongside Israel.
 
 2) Regime change in Iran, Syria, Lybia, Saudi Arabia, 
 Egypt, and the DPRK

We would then be at war for at least a decade. Does that mean we can't criticize bush 
or the gop for that long? Golly
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
 
 QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
 recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in Africa.
 
 The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
 do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
 British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on this,
 but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
 
 At this point, do you;
 a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such strong
 reservations about it?
 b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
 intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts about?
 c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
 d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to sources
 our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British intelligence
 services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in the
 world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  
 
 Your choice.   What do you do?
 
 I look forward to your, Nick's, and Ritu's answers to  this question.
 
 YOU LEAVE OUT OF THE STATE OF THE UNION MESSAGE. YOU DO NOT USE IT TO TRY TO 
 CONVINCE AMERICANS THAT WE MUST GO TO WAR UNTIL YOU CAN AT LEAST CONVINCE YOUR OWN 
 INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY THAT THE STATEMENT IS TRUE
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
 
 QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
 recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in Africa.
 
 The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
 do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
 British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on this,
 but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
 
 At this point, do you;
 a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such strong
 reservations about it?
 b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
 intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts about?
 c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
 d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to sources
 our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British intelligence
 services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in the
 world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  
 
 Your choice.   What do you do?
 
 I look forward to your, Nick's, and Ritu's answers to  this question.
 
 YOU LEAVE OUT OF THE STATE OF THE UNION MESSAGE. YOU DO NOT USE IT TO TRY TO 
 CONVINCE AMERICANS THAT WE MUST GO TO WAR UNTIL YOU CAN AT LEAST CONVINCE YOUR OWN 
 INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY THAT THE STATEMENT IS TRUE
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 04:48 PM 7/27/2003 -0500 Julia Thompson wrote:
I'd have to agree with John here.  There's a definite difference in
degree, if not kind, between trying to have someone arrested and
actually inflicting that kind of bodily damage.

And its unclear that arrest is even the proper word to describe what the
Chairman tried to do - since I don't think that even if the Chairman's
request had been carried out that the Democratic Representatives would have
been detained, placed in jail, or had charges filed against them.

At any rate, caning another Congreesman, literally nearly to death, on the
floor of Congress is far worse.   

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 05:43 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 We do not know the result of a popular vote in which every vote would count.
 Under those outlandish circumstances (each individual's vote counts the same
 regardless of where it was cast) Bush might have gone after votes in
populous 
 states like NY and Cal where he had no chance of gaining the electoral
votes.

 Bush won (Not fair and square but he won with the help of his friends on the
 court).

Ahem, how exactly did Sandra Day O'Connor and Anthony Kennedy become
friends George W. Bush?(I'm not aware any friendship between
Rehnquist, Scalia, and Thomas and GWB - but I suppose its possible, and in
those cases you could at least imagine an ideological affinity.)

Additionally, how exactly did the actions of the USSC impact the eventual
outcome of the 2000 Presidential election?  

Lastly, if Al Gore had won the 2000 election, would you be bitterly
complaining that he did so thanks to his partisans on the Florida Supreme
Court?

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 06:33 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
I wonder if the republicans in congress would have really elected bush 
if a recount of the vote in florida showed that Gore had won by a few
thousand 
votes.

You can wonder all you want - except that we now know that no such result
would have ever happened. the only recount that would have even
produced the slightest of Gore wins was a recount that both the Gore
campaign and the FLSC rejected.   Indeed, it was the FLSC's rejection of
that exact recount that got the FLSC's-mandated recount ruled
unconstitutional by the USSC.

Yes Virginia, the *only* people in the Florida recount affair who made a
decision that would have produced a Gore victory were the five Republicans
on the USSC. 

History is full of ironies.

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 06:40 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Uhhh because finding WMD's was considered a very nice way of deterring
 criticism of the war?
 
so in your mind it is ok to use WMD to deter criticsm even if the threat 
of WMD (at least nuclear) was unsubstantiated. 

Good grief, you really do have an unlimited ability to twist things to
criticize Republicans.   If you at all paid attention to the context of
the discussion, it is clear as to what I am referring to.   Someone asked
me why we were searching for WMD's in Iraq if it was unlikely that we could
keep them all out of the hands of the retreating/disappearing Baathists.
I noted that if you justify a war by claiming that country isn't disarming
itself of WMD, and critics of the war argue that that country really didn't
have any WMD, then finding at least a few WMD's is an important part of the
political process of justifying the war - since the US is a republic after
all, and  wars have to be justified - even if you prefer not to.  :)

incoherent nonsequitur rant snipped

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 7/27/2003 5:48:11 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

 Not to say that the Republicans look all that good in this, but it could
 have been worse.  (And then the backlash would have been 
 that much more,
 as well.)

Worse in what way in 21st Century USA? Had them beaten? Had them lead from the Capitol 
in chains and sent to Quantanamo with the rest of the enemies of the US? The 19th 
century was, well the 19th century. Has anything remotely like this happened in the 
20th or 21st century except in Texas (hey that was another republican adventure wasn't 
it?)
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 06:49 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 QUESTION 1)  The British inform us that they have learned that Iraq has
 recently tried to acquire significant quantities of intelligence in Africa.
 
 The Bush Administration naturally tries to verify this claim, but cannot
 do so.   They tell the British that we can't verify their claim.   The
 British respond that they cannot reveal their intelligence sources on this,
 but they assure us that the intelligence is of the highest quality.
 
 At this point, do you;
 a) Call the British liars since our intelligece services have such strong
 reservations about it?
 b) Call the British incompetent for giving us intelligence that our own
 intelligence services has not verified, and indeed has strong doubts about?
 c) Ignore the British intelligence as questionable?
 d) Accept that the British intelligence services may have access to sources
 our own do not, particularly in Africa, and that the British intelligence
 services are generally considered among the best and most reliable in the
 world, and BELIEVE the British intelligence report?  
 
 Your choice.   What do you do?
 
 I look forward to your, Nick's, and Ritu's answers to  this question.
 
 YOU LEAVE OUT OF THE STATE OF THE UNION MESSAGE. YOU DO NOT USE IT TO
TRY TO CONVINCE AMERICANS THAT WE MUST GO TO WAR UNTIL YOU CAN AT LEAST
CONVINCE YOUR OWN INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY THAT THE STATEMENT IS TRUE


The State of the Union is irrelevant to this example.Leaving it out of
the State of the Union is an action that is consistent with actions a, b,
c, and d above.  

So, which is it, Bob?Before you decide whether or not to include it in
the State of the Union, you have to make the more fundamental determination
of a, b, c, or d.  

JDG - Tough Decisions, Maru - but he is the POTUS after all
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world, 
   it is God's gift to humanity. - George W. Bush 1/29/03
___
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l


Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 03:14 PM 7/27/2003 -0600 Michael Harney wrote:
The war on Iraq wasn't about liberating Iraq, it wasn't about weapons of
mass destruction or terrorism.  It was entirely politically motivated.  The
republicans saw their approval failing after Osama Bin Laden evaded capture,
and, wanting some sort of evil figurehead detained or killed as a trophy
that people in the US can applaud, they chose to attack our most recent war
enemy Saddam Hussain (sp?). 

This is nonsense, Michael.   President Bush declared that Iraq was a member
of the axis of evil in January of 2002 when his approval ratings were
sky-high.  Try another theory.

 (and by golly, the military took every shot they could when they even
just had questionable evidence that he was at a given location... at least
three attempts to kill him using missle strikes, at least one of those on a
civilian target, all missed killing the intended person).  

So, the US should not have tried to kill Saddam and using missile strikes
to try and do so was wrong?   Are you serious  

They committed a very
criminal act that resulted in the deaths of thousands of people and
retribution was called for.  

Do you really believe that the liberation of Afghanistan was justified
solely by retribution?I mean, I don't even consider retribution to be
in the Top Ten of reasons for the US to liberate Afghanistan and
indeed, I'm not sure that it is a reason at all. 

What did Iraq do though?  Nothing.  They had no
proven ties to the attacks of September 11th.  Should we wait for them to
attack us or one of our allies before we attack them?  Damn right we should.
Otherwise it is we who are the terrorists, it is we who are the criminals.

Actually, on 2 August 1990 Iraq suddenly attacked Kuwait.In early 1991,
Iraq signed a cease-fire with the United States, a cease-fire whose terms
they have never abided by.   Case closed.  

If this war really was about weapons of mass destruction, why aren't we
going to war against Isreal and North Korea for their illegal nuclear
weapons programs?  Case and point: it simply isn't about that, it is all
about politics.  Disgusting.

What's disgusting Michael is your inability to comprehend that an attack on
a country that already has a nuclear weapon would very likely result in the
incineration of hundreds of thousands of people - to say nothing of the
hundreds of thousands of civillians that would die in Seoul thanks to DPRK
artillery shells.  Once Iraq gets a nuclear weapon, Michael its game over -
unless of course you advocate direct confrontations between nuclear powers.  

Let's consider for a moment what might have happened had Iraq waited to
attack Kuwait until 2 August 1992.   We now know that Saddam Hussein would
likely have shocked the world by successfully testing a nuclear weapon at
this time.   Thus a nuclear-armed Saddam rolls into Kuwait and begins
pushing on into Saudi Arabia - and he declares that if the US sends troops
to Saudi Arabia that he will lob a couple nuclear weapons into Tel Aviv and
Haifa.*Now* what, Michael?  

You have argued that it is terrorist and criminal to attack a country that
has not attacked you or one of your allies  so, you simply wait for
that country to build nuclear weapons and *then* attack your allies?   

By the way - of the recent developments in the nuclear programs of the
DPRK, India, Pakistan, Iran, and Iraq over the past 15 years - how many
occurred with the knowledge of US intelligence sources?   

I'll give you a hint - the answer is a very round number so I wouldnt
count on being able to know when a successful test is imminent if that is
your plan.

Let me illustrate the blatant lack of perspective that the majority of this
country has.  All of the following are more likely to kill someone in the
U.S. than a terrorist attack:

Only because Iraq has so far been successfully prevented from developing
nuclear weapons and selling them to the highest bidder.

Michael, a nuclear bomb going off in NYC would kill millions of people...
so that statistic of yours is absolutely meaningless.  

Your suggestion that the left's inability to form an effective war plan
against terror is a demonstration of bad leadership is not just wrong (as a
war plan is entirely uncalled for IMNSHO), it disgusts me that you beleive
that the republican style of the war on terror is neccessary.  How many
civilians has our war in Iraq killed? 

I'm glad you brought this up, Michael, because the answer is between
100,000 and 200,000.Meanwhile, according to UNICEF, Saddam Hussein was
kiilling around 5,000 people a day. Of course, the Left only cares
about people killed by Americans thus if you get killed in Zimbabwe,
don't expect ANSWER to start rallying international support to stop the
killing.

JDG
___
John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the 

  1   2   3   >